Bert Diesel

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About Bert Diesel

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  1. I'd rather have MCcan but it doesn't matter now. The 2nd rounder included in the original Gudbranson deal was the thing that killed us. Could've been Carter Hart, DeBrincat or Girard. Thankfully we redeemed the trade to some extent because Pearson is a vastly superior player to Gudbranson. More and more I think Guddy does not belong in the NHL, he just doesn't have the puck skills or agility. I was ecstatic when we got rid of his contract, not because I was that enthusiastic about Pearson but I knew losing Gudbranson and his contract would be addition by subtraction. He was awful. Pearson fitting in with Bo and playing well has been a bonus. As it stands, Pearson for MCcan and a 2nd rounder isn't a great trade but its not terrible. Pearson is definitely the type of player we've been missing and can play up and down the lineup.
  2. Not sure I agree. The center depth is not good. Gravoac is injured but they’re still woefully thin at that spot. I think they expected Gaudette in Utica. Winger and defensive depth is the best since I can remember but this team can’t be a Calder cup contender without acquiring another solid center
  3. Top 30 Canucks Prospects 1. Hughes 2. Podkolzin 3. Demko 4. Juolevi 5. Hoglander 6. Woo 7. Madden 8. Dipietro 9. Macewen 10. Rathbone 11.Lind 12. Jasek 13. Lockwood 14. Keppen 15. Brisebois 16. L. Karlsson 17. Sautner 18. Gadjovich 19. Utunen 20. Chatfield 21. Focht 22. Malone 23. Palmu 24. Kielly 25. Plasek 26. Silovs 27. Thiessen 28. McDonagh 29. Manuykan 30 .Costmar
  4. Good work on this and appreciate the research. It's nice when people have actually done the calculations themselves and drawn their own conclusions. I could argue with some minor parts of this lineup but it's mostly accurate. They have usually gone with 8 D and 13 forwards but it seems like here you've included 14 forwards and 7 D. This is a real possibility but your lineup is one man short since Roussel will be on LITR (as you've stated) and on your cap is counting as the 14th forward. That means that one more player will have to be on the roster counting towards the cap, making it even tighter. Also consider what happens when Roussel gets back, there clearly isn't enough cap room for everyone. Your right that there isn't a huge conundrum and maybe the title of the thread should have had a question mark at the end. The real issues come down the road if we can't move Eriksson and some other dead weight and we have to pay Petterson, Hughes, etc. As others have stated in this thread, the hope is that the cap rises significantly making these issues less contentious.
  5. Yes. Yes I do. That's what cap room can give you if it isn't tied up in bottom six players. I'm not saying it's a great idea to add Barrie on some terrible contract but it would be nice to have the option of signing someone like him while our core players are still being underpaid on their entry level deals. It could still happened but it looks like it might be hard to move some of these salaries out.
  6. I would rather keep Stecher, who is criminally underrated because of his size, than lose him because of inept salary cap management. This is my point. Although the situation isn't as bad as it could be, we will have to lose good players in order to add high end talent. Not ideal.
  7. Really, Beagle isn't overpaid? I wouldn't have had a problem with Beagle at 2 million for 3 years but 3x4 is an egregious contract. I wish I had your optimism about Canucks management but show me another 4th line center in the league that has this type of contract. Barrie would be a very nice piece and saying their is no need for him is strange. I might have a problem with him getting paid more than 8$ x 5 but he would fit very nicely on the team. He fits probably the biggest need on the team, an offensively gifted right shot defenseman; they don't grow on trees. If you can add one of these guys and surrender nothing but cap space then, your winning the asset management game.
  8. Also, let's hypothetically imagine that Tyson Barrie wants to come to Vancouver next season. He would be a huge piece that could shore up the right side of the D, a weakness for ages and a weak part of our prospect pool. Even if he wants to come here on a hometown discount, how can we fit him under the cap? The only way is to trade other assets like prospects and picks to get rid of our bad contracts. This is where these contracts create issues. We need to continue the momentum of building our prospect base as Utica hasn't been a juggernaught yet and we are just beginning to see the fruits of the previous 3-4 drafts.
  9. I agree with you here. I'm not sure which part of my previous post you disagreed with then? My point is that both the Benning bro's and the ultra negative crowd are both not seeing a complete picture. The salary cap conundrum will prevent us from being serious contenders for a couple years but solve itself in about 3 years.
  10. I don't mind Beagle. In isolation that contract isn't as terrible as others think and he's a nice piece as a penalty killer and a gritty 4th C. He is better on a good team and will have better numbers with better wingers but he isn't a huge upgrade from a replacement level player like Cracknell we had a few years back. For that money and term he's being paid as a 3rd line center compared to the rest of the league. Despite your opinion, it's not a good contract. Sutter is also a character guy, he'd also be a good 4th line or checking line center but doesn't provide enough offence or make the players around him better enough to justify his contract (being paid as a 2nd line center). He's had terrible injury luck and I hope he has a bounce back season, but he is overpaid by any metric. If we have smart cap people working for the team, there has been little evidence to prove this assertion. The Loui problem is not going to be solved by him retiring, that would be amazing but highly unlikely. He can still play but is overpaid by about 5 million. When you add up all the bad contracts it does not paint a rosy picture of this managements ability to assess pro talent and manage the salary cap. Nice try Alf but this managements strength has been drafting not cap management.
  11. I used capfriendly the whole time I did the research for the post. I'm not saying my numbers are 100% accurate; they are projections. You aren't taking into consideration the fact that capfriendly is only counting 15 players next year on the cap and only 7 the year after. That means they will have to sign 8 more players with that 2020-21 money, it may turn into a problem when Petterson, Hughes, Juolevi, etc all have their ELC's expire. More than that, the poor contracts on the books shorten their contention window as the prime ELC years of Petterson and Hughes will not be maximized. The cap rising could create some space but salaries also correspondingly rise. There is not oodles of cap space next season or the season after despite what you claim. I will give this management credit for drafting but they have done an objectively poor job at managing the cap and those who think otherwise are wearing their homer goggles. That being said, their mistakes (plus Gillis' Luongo penalty) will be over soon enough and the teams core should thrive. The point of the post was not to be overly negative about Eriksson, Beagle, Sutter, and other mistakes but to show that there is hope at the end of all this. That being said, if you aren't somewhat skeptical of this managements ability to manage a cap at this point, you haven't been paying close enough attention.
  12. Much of the recent criticism and negativity towards the team relates to the way in which Benning/Weisbrod have constructed the salary structure. They have clearly made the team better and much harder to play against but some of the negativity is warranted. Management has put themselves in a risky situation for a couple seasons. The next 3 years will be difficult to navigate salary wise and it will be challenging to add more free agents. However, the situation isn’t as dire as some (J.D. Burke especially) would like you to believe. The bad contracts come off the books in a way that allows them to resign their big RFA talents but not with much room to add. They may be able to add UFA talent at the deadline with LITR space but overall, they’ve hamstrung themselves a bit in this regard. The year that the team should build towards would be the 2022-23 season. I know it’s too far ahead and there are too many variables to make a truly informed prediction but with the core intact and the cap space to make changes, that season will be a very strong opportunity to do playoff damage. At least a few of the prospects like Podkolzin, Woo, Madden, Hoglander, Tryamkin, Rathbone, Lind, etc. will be coming into the league at that point on their ELC’s and the team will still have Horvat, Myers, Ferland, Miller, Hughes, Petterson, Boeser on the squad. After the Luongo recapture, Erikson, Beagle and Roussel contracts come off the books they could add another impact forward or defenceman. My main concern is patience, I hope they don’t jump the gun and trade some of their prospects or draft picks too early. Another X-factor is the Seattle expansion; if the team is smart, they will expose players like Myers and Ferland who might be attractive to Seattle and will make cap room if taken. The Upcoming season (2019-2020) In= Benn, Myers, Miller, Hughes, Fantenburg, Ferland, Pearson Out= Pouliot, Hutton, Spooner, Granlund, Gudbranson, Schenn Cap Space Remaining= 5-6 million (Boeser unsigned) Salary Cap Outlook: Boeser will need to be resigned and will likely make between 6.8-7.5 million. This can absorbed with Roussel’s LITR. By the time Roussel gets back someone else may be injured and the team can stay compliant. Obviously trading one of Baertschi, Sutter, Tanev or Eriksson would instantly solve the issue. I can see a salary retention on Tanev or Sutter may give them back value. Next Season: (2020-2021) In= Juolevi, Macewen Will need a raise: Stecher, Virtanen, Gaudette, Markstrom= total raise $ required=6-7 million (above the current cost of players) Out: Tanev, Schaller, Leivo= around 7.5 million Salary cap outlook: If the salary cap goes up around 2 million; the team will have 3-5 million left over, resigning Leivo and replacing Tanev will likely take up this space. Ultimately, there will not be much room for improvements this season, they need to worry about the following year with Petterson and Hughes’ contract will be up. Following Season: (2021-2022) Expansion Draft=????- may create some cap space In= Podkolzin, Woo, Hoglander, Lind? Needs to be signed: Petterson, Hughes, Demko, Juolevi= Petterson 10.5 Hughes= 7.5 Demko 3 million= Juolevi (2 million)= 23 million estimated Out/UFA: The buyout of Spooner, Edler, Pearson, Sutter, Baertschi, Benn: total=20 million coming off the cap Salary Cap Outlook: Very little space. The big name core pieces will need to be resigned. Depending how the cap goes up and how the RFA numbers are going up, this could be a tricky season. Thankfully, there is enough veteran contracts expiring this season to be flexible. If Demko and Juolevi or some other prospect has a strong season the year before, it may mean there isn’t enough space to keep everyone. They may have to buyout Eriksson’s if he isn’t already gone or Beagle. The team will have to get younger this season and the success may largely depend on the strength of their prospect pool. Following Season: (2022-2023) Need to be signed: ?? This is too far ahead to predict. May be some RFA bridge deals that need to be signed. Out: Eriksson, Beagle, Roussel, Luongo cap recapture= 15 million Salary Cap Outlook: Quite good. This season will see a bunch of space free up and the big RFA’s will have already been signed. They will be able to add some veterans (hopefully on short contracts) to help the core who will be entering their prime. The outlook for this season is quite optimistic and this may be a good time to trade prospects or draft picks and go for a cup. Conclusion: In a weird, roundabout way, the bad contracts they’ve signed will prevent them from making other similar mistakes. It has created some contract discipline as they need to focus on retaining their stars. The reasonable contracts they have like Horvat and Miller will serve them well in the long run and things are looking up. My prediction is that they miss the playoffs this year, make it the year after, and are in contention for a few years after that.
  13. Biega is better than most people think. He's active, physical and skates well. He scored at a 30 point pace last year, around the same output as Myers. Benn also is quite adept at playing the RD position so I wouldn't be too worried about this right now. I'm more concerned about the lack of prospect depth at this position. Woo and Rafferty aren't going to cut it. It would be my priority to address this in the next draft.
  14. Great point. I wonder if they give Hutton 1 million or less if he doesn’t get snagged. He must be getting a bit worried.