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Status Updates posted by -AJ-
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Is Mackenzie Weegar massively underrated or is he the byproduct of playing with Ekblad?
I'd argue he's one of the most underrated players in the NHL right now. He was amazing last year and played much of his time while Ekblad was out injured.
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Oh yeah, he's the real deal and a draft steal (he was drafted in the 7th round, 203rd overall in 2013... with the pick just after the Canucks selected Miles Liberati). He's a perfect complimentary piece for Ekblad and can handle big minutes. He's probably the best defensive defenseman since Chris Tanev.
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Here's an interesting little stat: The Canucks are a -1 goal diff at 5v5 (33 for, 34 against). At 5v5, they have a 50.7% CORSI, which ranks them 15th of 32 teams. Fix the PK (PP isn't quite as bad) and things should get a LOT better.
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Corsi doesn't account for shot quality. The Natural Stat Trick model has them 30th in high danger corsi %. 23rd in scoring chances for % and 25th in expected goals for %. There are limitations to the model (*) but it gives more of an indication of shot location.
(*) doesn't capture pre-shot movements, screens, and not all shots from a high danger areas are necessarily dangerous.
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Perhaps teams don't try that hard on 5on5 against the Canucks because they know they just have to wait for a couple of PPs and they will be up 2-0. Why put in a 60min effort when 4-6 mins of good PP time is more than enough against this team? We are 29th in GF/G, while we have the 6th highest GA/G.
I love how we've come to this point where we have to grab a magnifying glass and look for random minor stats to feel better ourselves. It's never a good sign when your whole argument is "see, we don't suck that hard in this aspect of the game!". Problem is, we can't just cherry-pick. We have to look at the whole from a distance, and this team just sucks. We have some very good pieces in place, but the team as a whole is very poorly put together/coached.
Since Benning took over, we play a very boring style of hockey, we get pushed over, we get shutout all the time and we constantly rank as one of the worst when it comes to scoring:
GF/G
2014-15: 8th
2015-16: 29th
2016-17: 29th
2017-18: 26th
2018-19: 26th
2019-20: 8th
2020-21: 24th
2021-22: 29th
I couldn't find a year-to-year stat for getting shutout (perhaps you can help me?), but I swear we would lead that as well or at least would be at the very top almost every year. This team is just bad, don't sugar coat it.
And of course I realize that this core came together around the 2018-19 season, so they don't responsible for what had happened before that, but it just gives you a general idea of the team's overall direction and the competence of our management/coaching staff.
Benning and his coaches had their chances, time to move on and start fresh.
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To @mll's point, our shooting percentage is 2nd worst in the NHL. Sometimes that's an indicator of poor luck, but it seems like stats suggest it's an indicator of poor shooting. We can control the puck just fine, but we can't get any sort of threat once we have the puck for some reason.
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First workout at a gym since COVID today. Felt good and it was nice that it was pretty much as normal as it's ever been.
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@-AJ- Just skip leg day, problem solved
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Last night, I had a dream that the Canucks lost and all of CDC was panicking because we were 1-2-1.
Probably the most realistic dream I've ever had.
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After spending many hours digging into Benning's draft history, I have concluded...that it takes until about 6 years after the draft for me to be confident in my judgments about draft picks.
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@JM_ Well I'm only confident in the 2014 and 2015 drafts. In the end, the 2014 draft was better than I realized and the 2015 one was worse than I realized.
Virtanen wasn't quite as good as hoped in 2014, but we had a lot of other solid picks outside of him. McCann and Demko were solid, Tryamkin was okay, and Forsling was a steal in the 5th.
Boeser and Gaudette were good in 2015, but we had nothing at all outside of that. Brisebois was fairly disappointing for a 3rd round pick and has played very little, showing little promise. Zhukenov, Neill, Jasek, and Olsen also didn't play a single NHL game. The one caveat is that I didn't consider AHL success. Jasek was a decent pick in that he was at least a good player for Utica.
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Just sitting here hoping that CDC crashes soon.
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@Ghostsof1915 Because it's somewhat leaked out already (assuming it's even true/final), the reaction might be more muted. If the deals are different than rumoured, then I could see a crash.
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Finished my exam. Excited to have no homework for at least a few months now. No CPA until January! (assuming I passed this module)
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1st vaccine dose done! Really looking forward to going back to life as normal eventually.
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@-AJ- That lasted about a week for me. Pretty painful Day 2 and 3.
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I know most everyone (including myself) has realized we won't be making the playoffs, but for anyone curious, we need approximately a 10-0-1 record in our last 11 to catch Montreal right now at their current rate.
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Team needs about a 9-2-1 record to catch Montreal. Definitely pushing towards a no-go now.
Still proud of our boys for playing in such tough conditions.
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Rough calculations now suggest about a 10-5-0 record will get us into the playoffs assuming Montreal doesn't improve.
Also, if we were to win 14 of our remaining 15 games, the Canadiens would need a perfect 10-0 record to tie us (indicative of the 8 point discrepancy between the two teams).
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I'd love it if Montreal went .300 for their next 10 games, but I've had too many disappointments to get that optimistic to think that a .500 record would realistically get us in. Montreal will likely improve at some point, even if they don't get key players back.
I'm betting Montreal goes about 6-4 or 5-5 in their last 10. If they're worse, then great, but I'm not betting on it. I'll hope for the best, but expect the worst.
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Montreal loses! Do it again, Edmonton.
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@King HeffyThink of it as rooting against the Canadiens.
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I had a dream last night that the Canucks schedule was so condensed that they played two games in one day, once at 11am and once at 7pm.
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My calculations roughly estimate that we would have to go around 14-4-1 for the rest of the season to make the playoffs.
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Reminder on why we passed on Tkachuk:
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@Drakrami that song is so "mood" for how he's drifting around out there
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I haven't watched the games recently, but have kept up with the boxscores. The boxscore seems to suggest that the team is decent at mitigating shots on goal, but way too many goals are going in. Sounds like a goaltending problem to me. For those who've watched more closely which one of forwards, defensemen, and goaltending is struggling the most right now?
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Is Jeff Petry the next Mark Giordano? Really late bloomer into Norris winner? Guy's been putting up solid point totals for a few years and is now at 11 points 9 games.
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Eating healthier is both exciting and depressing at the same time.
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Blegh, I think I probably just failed that exam.
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@Chicken. Yep. The module went great all term long but this exam killed me. Sucks that 100% of the pass/fail is on the exam.
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Well browsing reddit everyone seems to be saying the same thing about the Finance exam, the first case felt OK to answer, manageable, but the second case was just ridiculous. the plant purchase offer I just rambled about some qualitative stuff and said we lose like $3M but save $1M and to accept since the division is about to start losing cash lol . the curve will save us, enjoy the holidays!
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Blegh, having abdominal pain and horrible insomnia. All just in time for the home stretch of my online course and exam coming up in 3 weeks. Not anxiety-inducing at all.
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Could BE anxiety...funny how absolutely debilitating it can be at times if we're subconsciously worrying about something.
The blue screen light is supposed to interfere with sleep. I rarely sleep a full night, ever and do exactly what Rubik does at times. Last night I fell asleep during Colbert and woke up at 4:15 (that's a usual for me). Couldn't sleep so turned on Just For Laughs (watched it at first then turned the volume way down)...then dozed off before it ended at 5.
I am struggling over having to work in a school and, with what's happening with Dad, have a whole lot on my plate. I'm wrestling with it all. So I totally get the "have stuff to do" and why this always happens then...instead of when there's nothing going on and it doesn't matter! It's daunting when you "have" to rest and focus and something gets in the way of that. Especially when we can't pinpoint it.
I've recently done a lot of work on anxiety (10 weeks+). A lot of mindfulness, meditation and re-scripting thoughts. It's quite helpful if I start to spiral in the wee hours...some good techniques are out there. My favourite is the deep breath in, imagine it "rolling over" at the top (instead of the usual "hold", which was a struggle) and then exhale. Focus on it and it's super relaxing and smooth. Even JUST trying to focus on a new technique is enough to distract us and relax us. I take my b/p and pulse at home and it makes a HUGE difference in before and after readings.Good luck to you...you'll be fine no matter what happens! Just remember that nothing is TOO big a worry on the grand scale of it all - COVID certainly puts that into perspective. Take care of yourself. Learn to drink tea (if you don't)...can be very soothing. But mostly just stay in the moment and focus on something that relaxes you. This'll all be past you in no time, keep that in mind.
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Looks like the "reverse retro" jersey will be green. I'm eager to see what it looks like!
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@goalie13 that is based on speculation. If you look at the trailer video each team has a number and that the year they are throwing it back to. Canucks was 01 and people are suggesting its going to be based on the moorn orca and that why that fan made that concept,
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I would like @goalie13 jersey. Our green isn't a really nice main colour for a jersey, so I'm hoping for a fade like that.
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@Squamfan I'm well aware of what 'concept' means. But thanks for pointing out the obvious.
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I had a dream that the Canucks traded Loui Eriksson. No details this time, sorry. All I remember is thinking "this'll be interesting".
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I had a dream I was watching a game from next season and there were about 2,000 fans in attendance, all spread out one-by-one, with about 6 seats in between each fan. Weirdly enough, no family groups.
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@goalie13 I think it's an accountant thing.
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I had a dream that I could see the future division winners and Cup finalists. There were no winners for the next five years due to COVID. Then the Canucks lost in the finals in the late 30s, but I didn't see anything beyond that.