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tybarber last won the day on July 22 2015

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About tybarber

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  • Birthday 09/07/1989

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  1. Hey Harvey, really appreciate all the updates regarding housing. Question and some commentary for you, does the BCREA (or any organization for that matter) look at number of rentals and rates as well over the last year? Has this empty home tax had an effect do you know? The reason I'm asking is I live in a shared house along the Cambie corridor which got bought up by a developer (5 mil for a piece of garbage, but that's for another day) and we all are looking to move out. Over the past year, I would occasionally check craigslist to see what was available for rent. And as I'm looking now, it seems like the supply of available 1 bedroom condos (brand new nonetheless) to rent is significantly larger than what I remember from say 6 months ago. This is purely anecdotal of course, so I'm wondering if BCREA has the stats for this? It seems that the empty home tax might be having an effect, in conjunction with a lot of new developments being completed. Because there just seems to be an astounding number that are brand new. In one of the earlier articles posted, it talked about supply, and how that's not the real underlying problem for housing prices (not necessarily rentals), which I agree with. Maybe there's a supply problem for the purchase of condos, but for renters, it just doesn't seem that way? The most notable statistic is how the rate of increase in dwelling numbers has matched or exceeded the growth rate of the City, and has consistently been like that for the past 20 years.The argument has been that, well, there are too many luxury condos that are being built. So, If just looking at the City of Vancouver, do you think it's possible to see downward pressure on rental prices? I only say this because the supply seems so high right now, and where's the demand for these luxury units coming from? And, also posted in one of the previous articles, it had mentioned that some major developments are slated for completion at the end of this year (again, more luxury homes) and are supposed to double (not sure on this figure) the number of units completed last year. So, a combination of these high 1-bedroom rental rates (~1,800 - 2,000), which seem to be all that's on the market, and all that will be coming on the market, who can they rent them to? I only say this of course assuming that there's quite a few that need to be rented, because, well the owner doesn't actually live here. There's only a select group that seem to be in a position to comfortably be able to rent these units. It seems to me to only be the sort of 25 - 35 year old young professional that is making over 60K/year. Which even then seems to be a bit of a stretch for some. We don't have the high paying tech industry that sort of, "justify" isn't the right word, but maybe, "accompanies" the high rental rates we see in SF, so something seems awry to me that just doesn't add up here in Vancouver. Unless you consider that industry developers. Of course though, people have been saying that for the last 5, 10 years and nothing has happened to start put a downward pressure on prices. Anyways, what I'm seeing could be the total opposite of what the stats say, but that's just what I'm seeing as I start too look for a new place to live in the City.
  2. There may be a perfectly reasonable explanation for this, but when a company has subsidies of companies with different registrations, e.g. limited vs limited partnership, and some company called '0742012 B.C. Ltd', something seems off. It's insane that the West Residences one-bedrooms went from 300K to 800K in 5 years, even though it's only been built for 3. Do you think that Loonie strengthening will cool down some offshore inflow?
  3. This article made me feel a lot better about the pick. (Sorry can't embed text from my phone). Sounds like the kid has a lot of skill and outscored forsberg and Nylander in their respective draft years in the allsvenkan and has a lot of pure skill and hockey IQ. Has a lot of upside imo, needs to pack on a few L-Bs though. http://www.vancourier.com/pass-it-to-bulis/should-the-canucks-draft-elias-pettersson-1.20342866
  4. First thing I noticed, there's a "Jaycob Megna" with Anaheim (yes, it is Jayson's brother). I had no idea there was more than one. Maybe George will take both Megna's and try to start his own Sedin line. Megnary? Doesn't have the same ring to it.
  5. Moving up in the lottery AND getting Anaheim's first round pick, talk about the stars aligning.
  6. Don't think that's how it works, it's not really a matter of who you expose vs. protect. It only matters who you protect, everyone else is technically exposed. There is just the caveat of the "everyone else" category where they are exempt if they are a prospect and there has to be at least 2(?) forwards with X number of NHL games and 1 D with X number of NHL games and they have to be under contract, etc in your "everyone else" category.. If Gaunce is left unprotected, he is still available to Vegas, they just get a player who is not under contract, which they are probably fine with. Also, if this were the case you would just wait to sign Horvat until after the expansion draft if players without contracts are exempt. The league is just requiring that in the "everyone who is not protected" category, there are at least some quality NHL experienced players who are already under contract so as to help Vegas be competitive. But for I think most if not all NHL teams, this doesn't really matter because you can protect so few players, that Vegas just basically gets to pick one NHL-er (not really AHL-er) from each team who isn't protected (unless they are in the prospect exemption category). I would have to check this, but I think that also Vegas has first rights at extending qualifying offers to RFA's prior or during the expansion draft? But if they sign the RFA they can't pick a player from your team anymore, not sure if they would have to give up compensation though? That wouldn't make sense... I'm not too clear on that scenario. But I think there's something about if they sign one of your FA's during there negotiating period prior to the expansion draft they can't take one of your players? The Boeser6 post above is great. Megna is not very good and is used in peculiar situations, but his compete/effort is there and I'm okay with instituting a culture of requiring hard work to get the ice time. If you can't out compete Megna for a roster spot, then you should have your work ethic checked.
  7. Boom goes the dynamite on that hit.
  8. Sorry, it was actually in this thread, see above from Darius.
  9. Yes, Someone posted some links in a thread the a day or two ago... Can't remember which one. It had links for the Utica game, Juolevi game, and Boeser game, so one of those three I think.
  10. Yeah, I was mistaken, I'm just used to flu's running Oct - Dec. That sounds like a horrible experience. Fair enough, I'm not going to pretend to know the playing styles of some of the prospects, especially considering I've seen very few actually play in their respective leagues. I agree, Edler was never that. I do like the idea of Benning getting another defenceman to add to the pool though, you just can't seem to have enough, assuming we fall out of the Top 2, which will likely happen.
  11. I still find it interesting Goldobin has a bad case of the flu in non-flu season.... but it is what it is. He mentions he is looking for a true PP QB defencemen, I wonder what he considers Juolevi? I do think that you can never have enough defencemen, and as we've seen, teams pay premium for them.
  12. This should be prerequisite reading for incoming rookies.
  13. Torts' favorite reporter pens the idea of reuniting Burrows and AV. He says "a third probably won't get it done". I agree, I think Burrows has 2nd round pick value. http://nypost.com/2017/02/16/nhl-pest-who-would-make-sense-as-a-rangers-trade-rental/
  14. UND Coach Brad Berry on 1040: http://www.tsn.ca/radio/vancouver-1040-i-1410/berry-full-expect-boeser-to-leave-und-after-this-year-1.671647 He doesn't say much, outside of the generic answers they typically give, but I'll summarize it here: - He says Brock has played well this year, he started off hot then was playing injured and had to have the surgery. He says his slump has to do mostly with the team and the league. Teams are tightening up for a "playoff push", a lot more 2-1, 3-2 type of games been harder to score, but he's also been unlucky, quite a few posts, some that just miss the net, etc. - Talks about Brock on the PP (only 2 PP goals), he says the other teams are adjusting to Brock, saying it's harder in your second year when people start to recognize you. In his first year he could easily find the open space to score, he says though the team needs to get better to try to open Brock up for the PP. - Thinks he will be able to score at the NHL level. - Says he's a really powerful skater, but did not go on to say he's necessarily a fast skater, but overall a good skater. - UND's preparation plan for next year is that Brock is going to leave for the show. Other non-Boeser related info: - Really enjoys watching Stecher play, thought his assist on Burrows' goal was very good. - Goalie Cam Johnson might be a collegiate FA option from UND. - Tyson Jost is having a great season, has a great work ethic, his on ice/off ice work ethic reminds him a lot of Toews.
  15. Just because they trade for him doesn't mean they have to protect him. An Edler trade would most likely be a "rental" scenario, just like teams do every deadline for players on expiring contracts. Which, basically negates the "leverage" that other posters seem to think Benning has, which is to tell Edler: "either waive your NTC or we won't protect you", which is a terribly unprofessional thing to do, imo. But since Edler will likely get traded to a contender, on a rental basis, to a team that already has a list of player to protect, as you pointed out, he'll likely end up being un-protected for Vegas anyways. Where it could get interesting, is that since he isn't a true rental, in the sense that his contract is not expiring, a team could trade for him at a "rental" price from the Canucks, and then after being eliminated from the playoffs or winning, they could trade him again at a higher price to any team that wants him for the remainder of his contract. That team would have the leverage to say "waive or we'll expose you", even though they were probably planning on not protecting him anyways, but at least this way Edler would have a say in what team he wants to play for. But again, that's pretty unprofessional and seems fairly unlikely to happen. Moving on from that, I see a trade as a possibility to a contender, but like you were alluding to, don't be surprised if we don't get great value. Maybe a 2nd/3rd round pick and a B grade prospect if we're lucky.