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Everything posted by Derp...

  1. 2018 NHL Entry Draft

    Boqvist showing why he is ahead of Smith on a lot of boards at the u18's. His shot is elite, and his skating and agility are also top end. Ty Smith reminds of a smaller Ryan Suter. Just a steady game, with a lot of poise. Dobson had another 2 assists in the QMJHL playoffs tonight to go along with 9 shots!!! Acadie-Bathurst has a good chance to make the QMJHL finals as they are up 2-0 in the series now. Would love to see Dobson play at the Mem Cup. If we end up staying at 6, 7, or 8 Dahlin Svech Zadina Hughes Boqvist Dobson Tkachuk Wahlstrom Are all players I would be happy with. I've been a Jonatan Berggren fan for a while now and he is absolutely lighting it up for Sweden at the u18's. I've seen him play a couple games throughout the year, and he plays such a high tempo, physical brand of hockey for an undersized guy. Reminds me a lot of Viktor Arvidsson. We're a little weak at LW and I would love to add him into the prospect mix. Calen Addison who is still playing with Lethbridge is also someone a lot of people have started to pay attention too. RHD with a good shot. Pretty hard to find those these days in Canuck land.
  2. Elias Pettersson | C/RW

    Elias Pettersson is like the better version of Clayton Keller. What an incredible season he's had. SO fun to watch The one play from today where he stepped around his guy from the corner boards and set up a teammate in the slot for a chance was just magic. He must have had 7 or 8 shot assists and half of them into the high danger area of the ice. Not to mention 2 goals and two shots from in tight too. I'm actually excited for the WC this year. Horvat Pettersson Hopefully Juolevi Hopefully
  3. Olli Juolevi | D

    I think there is a distinct possibility that Juolevi is only scratching the surface of his ability. He seems able to produce at a moderate to highend rate while still having his coaches and most of CDC say he looks disinterested at times and isn't in great shape. If he is able to really focus and train hard I think we could see his game jump up to an Ekman Larsson like level. I'm actually really excited to see him try and reach his ceiling under Green. He's going to get pushed hard, and will likely need some adjustment time similar to Hutton this year. For Juolevi, in the end we will either get a true high skill pro D man who is a #2, or a guy who is an above average puck mover, but lacks consistency as a 4. He has that extra gear for big stages, and if he can bring that out consistently we could see some serious progress.
  4. Elias Pettersson | C/RW

    I just want him to win something. He came 2nd twice this year already in the WJC and CHL.
  5. Lukas Jasek | RW

    You were always right on this it seems!
  6. Current Untouchables?

    Jasek That's probably it right?
  7. I know there are a lot of people who would have rather had Glass than Pettersson and I think that number is going to grow before Christmas next year. There is a very real possibility that Glass will score a ton of points next year in the WHL playing with Kieffer Bellows. So much so that he could be the most productive player in the WHL similar to Sam Steel this past season. While this is happening Pettersson will be playing in Vaxjo against bigger, faster, stronger players that will take time for him to adjust too. He will probably have a transition period where he isn't scoring a ton, and is playing second or third line minutes in the SHL. By christmas Pettersson might be around a half point per game in the SHL, while Glass is around 2 points per game in the WHL. That is going to be a tough pill to swallow for a lot of fans, and rightfully so. Elite scoring centres don't come along every day in the CHL. What should we take away from the early season then? The jump that Pettersson is going to make is nearly equivalent to going to the AHL for a North American player at 18-19. He will be learning how to defend and create against players that have many of the small details of the game figured out. This experience is going to be huge for him when he comes over to the AHL/NHL. Personally I think Pettersson has a skill set that is somewhat like a combination of Daniel and Henrik Sedin. He projects to be about the same size as them: 6'2 185-190, and thinks the game at an elite level. While he is learning how to play the pro game and Glass and the Winterhawks are picking on young players and goalies in the WHL we should not just focus on the points. What is Glass most likely to become? Looking into comparable seasons, only 4 players with similar numbers and size to Glass have become first line players in the NHL. 4/20 That is a 20% chance of getting a first line Centre, and a 45% 9/20 of him becoming a second line centre. I realize there is totally the chance that he becomes the player everyone expects he could be like, but in reality there is no guarantee with any prospect. I actually think there is a very good chance that Suzuki will pass him with Vegas and become their first line Centre of the future as 36% 10/28 of his comparables became first line players. What is Pettersson most likely to become? Short answer is we will have a much better idea by the end of next season. But some things to consider are players in their draft year that scored at a similar rate in the Allsvenskan. I don't factor in the 98 birthday for Pettersson since he is so undersized anyways. Normally I see the extra year of time is for players to fill out, and dominate physically, but that isn't the case for him. So let's get to it: Top u18 and u19 (late birthday same draft year) seasons in the Allsvenskan: Elias Pettersson 19G 22A 41 Points in 43 games 0.95 pts per game (2.0 pts per game in the playoffs!!) William Nylander 15G 12A 27 Points in 35 games 0.77 pts per game (played for 2 teams) Alexander Wennberg 14G 18A 32 Points in 46 games 0.70 pts per game (late birthday) David Pastrnak 8 G 16 A 24 Points in 36 games 0.67 pts per game Jesper Boqvist 3G 9A 12 Points in 19 games 0.63 pts per game Lucas Wallmark 5G 5A 10 Points in 16 games 0.63 pts per game Jonathan Dahlen 15G 14A 29 Points in 51 games 0.57 pts per game Mikhail Zhukov 9G 14A 23 Points in 41 games 0.56 pts per game Robin Kovacs 17G 11A 28 Points in 52 games 0.54 pts per game Par Backer 12G 10A 22 Points in 46 games 0.48 pts per game Filip Forsberg 8G 9A 17 Points in 43 games 0.40 pts per game Magnus Hedlund 6G 11A 17 Points in 44 games 0.39 pts per game Elias Pettersson (D-1) 3G 6A 9 Points in 25 games 0.36 pts per game Jesper Bratt 8G 9A 17 Points in 48 games 0.35 pts per game Andre Burakovsky 4G 7A 11 Points in 43 games 0.26 pts per game What does this mean for NHL Success? Wennberg is most direct comparison, as both of them were late birthdays in their draft years. In his D+1 season Wennberg put up 21 points in 50 SHL games. Now he is a 60 points player in the NHL. Nylander had 20 points in 21 games in the SHL for his D+1 and is now also a 60 NHL point player. Pastrnak had 28 points in 25 games of AHL action in his D+1 and is now a 70 point player in the NHL. Forsberg had 33 points in 38 games of Allsvenskan action 0.87 points per game (august birthday makes that season closer to Pettersson) in his D+1 and is now a 60 point player in the NHL. Burakovsky went on to score 1.53 points per game in the OHL in his D+1 year after scoring 0.26 points per game in the Allsvenskan. Think about that for a sec. He's only a 35 point player in the NHL now, yet scored a massive amount in 2014 with Erie playing with McDavid, Connor Brown, Brendan Gaunce, Dylan Strome, and Dane Fox. Elite CHL teams inflate production, and there is much more parody in the SHL and Allsvenskan. Pastrnak and Nylander are playing at 181 and 190 pounds respectively too. Takeaways if you don't feel like reading the whole thing Glass is going to score a lot next year, but don't over value CHL scoring. It's good to have a great team in the CHL, but it's just as good to be taking the next step and challenging yourself to compete against better competition. By the end of next year Pettersson will probably be closer to NHL ready than Glass in my opinion, but especially if he can put on about 15 pounds by next July. Pettersson might not score a lot in the SHL next year, but that doesn't mean he won't be a first line centre. He's already ahead of almost everyone who has ever been drafted out of the Allsvenskan, and I wouldn't put it past him to have a terrific second half in Sweden and then come over and play a few games in the AHL at the end of the year on a tryout basis. Glass has some good first line comparables to live up to, but Pettersson is already better than some of his first line comparables in their draft years. 2017-2018 will be an exciting season for prospect fans to follow, and I hope everyone can go into it looking forward to seeing our players develop.
  8. Elias Pettersson | C/RW

    Ya I was wondering about him, but I don't know how to define generational when it comes to players that don't win a cup. He's the highest level of talent you can get who hasn't won though so he's definitely in the conversation. Having said that he's also late 20's now. Were pretty much due.
  9. Elias Pettersson | C/RW

    I think Malkin is probably the closest of active players. Kopitar also is up there but im not sure if he qualifies as generational. Were pretty much due for the next true generational player out of Europe. There's a decent chance that could be Pettersson.
  10. Elias Pettersson | C/RW

    Who is the last player developed and drafted out of Europe who was a generational talent?
  11. Lukas Jasek | RW

    News flash Canucks have been trying to get Jasek under contract for 2 years. He's still under contract with Liberec though.
  12. Brett McKenzie | C

    I'd like to see him play in the AHL. He might get an ATO still. I wonder if Gadjovich is healthy enough to go to Utica?
  13. Jonah Gadjovich | LW

    The Attack have a good chance I'd say. They are playing a well rounded 4 line game from the sounds of things. Game 7's usually come down to goaltending though.
  14. 2018 NHL Entry Draft

    He's very similar to Anthony DeAngelo in terms of the reported flaws in his game. There aren't a lot of Defenseman with below average attitudes in the NHL, let alone ones who are elite scorers. I trust the Canucks interview process when it comes to evaluating people. The one thing they can consistently do is draft high quality people.
  15. Elias Pettersson | C/RW

    Boarding, roughing, a fight almost breaks out. Skelleftea is just trying to injure their way to the cup.
  16. Zack MacEwen | C/RW

    I think this was the announcers first fight. He didn't even know what was happening. Massive right, takes him down....? All they did was pull each others helmets off and get some jabs in. Then MacEwen gets him in a headlock, and they go down.
  17. 2018 NHL Entry Draft

    Hey no problem, happy to get some data beyond points, per 60's and corsi. That is the big takeaway for me too. Smith is definitely someone I would be happy with at 6-9 if we go that way. His 5v5 play was tremendous. Calen Addison feels like the Kole Lind of this draft from the WHL. I would be very happy if we drafted both of them. Dobson is an interesting case. His 5v5 p1/60 and p1/gp is only slightly behind Smith. I still like his game and I think that his natural skating ability allows him to get away with not moving his feet all the time. In that way he has the most room to improve speed wise, but also farther to go to be pro ready. He was very good defensively last year from the sounds of things, but isn't especially adapt at defending the neutral zone. Will be interesting to see how he progresses.
  18. 2018 NHL Entry Draft

    I'm confused by the lack of information in this tweet. Where was he playing these 26 games? Why is 9/16 the only date without a day? I can't find any historical record of him scoring 1.19 p/gp at age 16-17. If he did that in the USHL that would literally be as good as Svechnikov was at the same age without Jack Hughes. Regardless 5 shots a game is incredible production.
  19. 2018 NHL Entry Draft

    Got to see some scoring chance and defence fancy stats on CHL D man for 5v5. Will have some images below. Best offensive player by a mile is Ryan Merkley Best 2 way is Ty Smith Most underrated is Calen Addison Bouchard is a first rate offensive D man, but not the best at 5v5 in the draft, and he doesn't defend that well. Rasmus Sandin is 1 of the best defenders of the bunch, and still puts up points. (Not on these charts) This is providing some nice context that Ty Smith is probably the best 5v5 two way D man in the CHL for draft eligibles. He also has fantastic zone entry rates with control.
  20. 2018 NHL Entry Draft

    When you look at top players to play with elite talent at the USHL level for USDP Eichel had Milano, Tuch, Bracco Matthews had Roslovic, Tkachuk, Fischer, Keller, Bracco Keller had Bellows Now Hughes has Wahlstrom The best numbers any of those guys put up were 1.56 p/gp (Milano) Wahlstrom is at 1.73 p/gp. 12th best USHL points per game for a u18 player in history. It isn't easy to score that much regardless of teammates. Your probably looking at a guy whose floor is 50 points at the NHL level historically.
  21. Lukas Jasek | RW

    GWG - Finishes the regular season with 7 points in 6 games for Utica
  22. 2017-18 Utica Comets Thread

  23. 2017-18 Utica Comets Thread

    Hopefully Goldy is okay. Last thing we need is for him to be injured for any extended time this summer.
  24. Olli Juolevi | D

    Just checked. Definitely the WC. Juolevi can't be added until his season is done. That's April 20th. I would think they give him a look.