Here is our current line-up as most CDCers are predicting. There are a few open spots, obviously:
Daniel Sedin ($6.100M) – Henrik Sedin ($6.100M) – Alex Burrows ($2.000M) = $14.200M
__________ ($0.000M) – Ryan Kesler ($1.750M) – Pavol Demitra ($4.000M) = $5.750M
Mason Raymond ($0.883M) – Cody Hodgson ($1.725M) – Steve Bernier ($2.000M) = $4.608M
Darcy Hordichuk ($0.775M) – Ryan Johnson ($1.100M) – Rick Rypien ($0.550M) = $2.425M
FORWARDS = $26.983M
Alexander Edler ($3.250M) - __________ ($0.000M) = $3.250M
Willie Mitchell ($3.500M) – Sami Salo ($3.500M) = $7.000M
Kevin Bieksa ($3.750M) - __________ ($0.000M) = $3.750M
Aaron Rome ($0.550M)
DEFENCE = $14.550M
Roberto Luongo ($6.750M)
__________ ($0.000M)
GOALIES = $6.750M
Okay, let’s start with the hole up front. There are a few guys I’ve picked out as good guys to sign to fill this role, and these are who they are.
Mikael Samuelsson | 81GP | 19G | 21A | 40P | Notes: Playing 15min a game on Detroit’s 3rd line, had 7 PP goals last season. (Signed with VAN)
Alex Tanguay | 50GP | 16G | 25A | 41P | Notes: Missed 32 games, was playing on Montreal’s 1st line, hasn’t played 82 games since 2002.
Antropov’s stats are better than the other two, but it’s best to stay away from him because of his plus/minus and the fact he’s never played 82 games in his career. Tanguay is a good player, and would be a very good 2nd liner, but he’s injury prone and a playmaker, not what we need for the second line. That leaves us with Mikael Samuelsson. The guy is putting up 40 points on Detroit’s third line, is still pretty big at 6’2”-210 and can man the point on the PP, where he scored 7 times last season. He’s pretty good in his own end as well. He’s also going to come cheaper than the other two, so that’s who Gillis should sign.
Mikael Samuelsson (UFA): Sign for 2 years, $5.000M ($2.500M/year)
UPDATE: SAMUELSSON SIGNING IS OFFICIAL, 3 YEARS, $7.5M ($2.5M/yr), SAMUELSSON IS NOW A VANCOUVER CANUCK.
Now we have Kyle Wellwood, a very good playmaker, sitting as an RFA, and no forward spot open for him if Cody Hodgson makes the team. The best option would to trade. I've looked at what players with similar numbers have gotten to decide what we could get for Wellwood in a trade. Here is a possible trade to move Wellwood somewhere, if Gillis chooses not to keep him.
To Atlanta
C Kyle Wellwood (18+9=27)
To Vancouver
2010 3rd Round Draft Pick
2011 3rd Round Draft Pick
Wellwood has proven he has offensive talent, and his career totals are higher than Bernier, whom we got for a 2009 3rd and 2010 2nd. However, Bernier is younger and has more upside, which is why I think we could only get two 3rd rounders. Atlanta needs someone to play with Kovalchuk, badly, and Wellwood is a very good playmaker. This would give Atlanta a top line, although not the greatest, but a top line nonetheless. (Kovalchuk-Wellwood-Antropov) If the Canucks brass decides to keep Wellwood, and that Hodgson is not ready to play on the big club, this is the deal I would sign him to.
Kyle Wellwood (RFA): Re-sign for 1 year, $1.725M
The forwards are now taken care off, let's move onto the team's defense. There are two spots here, and there are a couple possibilities we can explore. One of these slots is likely to be filled by a re-signed Shane O’Brien, so we’ll just pencil him in at $1.100M right now.
Shane O’Brien (RFA): Re-sign for 3 years, $3.300M ($1.100M/year)
UPDATE: O'BRIEN HAS RE-SIGNED WITH VANCOUVER. 1 YEAR, $1.600M.
Now here is where we’ll start exploring different scenarios. The first will be that Gillis is not comfortable with Edler, Bieksa, Mitchell and Salo as the team’s top 4 defencemen. Gills may want someone else in the top four, and I wouldn’t disagree, seeing as all Edler’s turnover problems have me a little worried about him taking extra minutes. This also means he’s confident Edler can become that puck mover we need, which is still very possible. The other possibility, is that Gillis is confident in the top four the way it is, and I’m thinking that this scenario is the most likely, especially with our cap space issues.
Kurtis Foster | 10GP | 1G | 5A | 6P | Notes: Coming off a serious leg injury and has bad foot-eye (is that right?) co-ordination, but a good skater, has a booming shot and is very big.
Sergei Zubov | 10GP | 0G | 4A | 4P | Notes: Aging, injury-prone, and not very physical. However, he’s a puck mover.
In the scenario that Gillis is comfortable with the top 4 defencemen as Edler, Bieksa, Mitchell and Salo, the best option here is Kurtis Foster. Beauchemin, while the best out of this group, is out of our price range and Zubov is too old. He hasn’t played a full season since 2002, and we’ve already got Salo who’s constantly out of the lineup. Foster earned just over $1.000M with the Wild last year, and put up solid numbers in the few games he returned for at the end of the year. Nicely enough, he’s also going to come cheaper than all the others in the group.
Kurtis Foster (UFA): Sign for 2 years, $3.500M ($1.750M/year)
There were a few options I considered for a backup goaltender. Curtis Sanford is too small, and we saw that in the period Luongo was out of the line-up this season. Manny Legace is washed up, and I won’t be surprised if he announces his retirement soon, or signs with an AHL team. Dany Sabourin was unhappy with his playing time here, so he won’t want to come back. That leaves only a couple options for us. Calling someone up from within, or if we’re going to take someone out of UFA, there is only one option I can think of.
Andrew Raycroft | 12W | 16L | 3.14GAA | 0.892 SV% | Notes: Extremely streaky, but when on his game, very good. (Signed with VAN)
Cory Schneider | 28W | 10L | 2.04GAA | 0.928 SV% | Notes: Won AHL Goalie of the Year, but was mediocre in his NHL stint.
Raycroft, thought very good when on his game, is way too streaky to sign. The best option here is to call up Cory Schneider, and have him play 15-20 games. With the way that it looks like Luongo will be signing an extension in the ballpark of 5 years, those games will show Schneider off to the rest of the NHL and hopefully, raise his value considerably for a trade next off-season, or possibly at the deadline.
With everything said and done, here is how the line-up would look for next season:
Daniel Sedin ($6.100M) – Henrik Sedin ($6.100M) – Mikael Samuelsson ($2.500M) = $14.700M
Alex Burrows ($2.000M) – Ryan Kesler ($1.750M) – Pavol Demitra ($4.000M) = $8.250M
Mason Raymond ($0.883M) – Cody Hodgson/Kyle Wellwood* ($1.725M) – Steve Bernier ($2.000M) = $4.608M
Darcy Hordichuk ($0.775M) – Ryan Johnson ($1.100M) – Rick Rypien ($0.550M) = $2.425M
FORWARDS = $29.483M
Willie Mitchell ($3.500M) – Sami Salo ($3.500M) = $7.000M
Alexander Edler ($3.250M) – Kurtis Foster ($1.750M) = $5.000M
Kevin Bieksa ($3.750M) – Shane O’Brien ($1.100M) = $4.850M
Aaron Rome ($0.550M)
DEFENCE = $17.400M
Roberto Luongo ($6.750M)
Cory Schneider ($1.084M) [A. Raycroft Signed, 1yr @ 500k]
GOALIES = $7.834M
-Italics means the player has been signed by Vancouver.
*If Hodgson doesn't make the team, Wellwood plays here. If Hodgson does, see the trade scenario mentioned.
TOTAL SALARY: $54.717M
CAP SPACE: $2.083M
With this, Gillis now has $2.000M left to spend on depth signings, at the deadline, or possibly on Mats Sundin if he decides to return at a (huge) discount, however I don’t know where you can slot Sundin in. Sundin or not, you’re getting a team that can compete for the NW Division title. Other teams in the division have added big names, but they’ve lost big names too. What I think will work with this team, is there are no “superstars” besides Luongo, so there’s no one thinking they have to do everything, and that is a very important thing in my opinion.
This post has been edited by sd94.: 06 July 2009 - 05:01 PM








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