Now with Christian Ehrhoff gone, there is a gaping hole in offensive contribution from the D.
So exactly how much does Ballard need to step up for next year to fill the void of Ehrhoff's offensive contribution?
Looking back into last year's stats...I took the pts % of our top 6 regular to find out how much they would have produced if they had played at the same rate throughout 82games.
Kevin Bieksa: 22pts / 66games = 27pt / season
Dan Hamhuis: 23pts/62games = 30 pt / season
Alex Edler : 33pts/ 51games = 53 pt / season
Sami Salo: 7 pts/ 27games = 21pt / season
-25-30 pts defensmen in Tanev / Rome / Alberts - = 25~30pt / season
Based on LAST YEAR'S statistics, Keith would have to contribute about 40 pts for the Canucks to successfully fill the void of Ehrhoff.
Funny enough, Ballard had a rookie season of 39 pts, so it's totally doable.
Furthermore, you have to take into account of how many of our defencemen had an off-season in points production, as getting back into the game from an injury is not an easy task. (Every one of our main defencemen had been injured this year)
A Classic example would be Kevin Bieksa posting 10 less points than he's used to.
If Bieksa is going to have a full steady season, that further lessens the weight the 3rd defence pairing would have to endure.
Projected point production from defence corp next season:
Hamhuis (30pts) / Bieksa (35pts)
Edler (50pts) / Salo (25pts)
Tanev / Rome (25 ) / Ballard (35)
So assuming if Kevin Bieksa would produce the way he has in the past, as well as the rest of the defensive corp producing up to par (Edler with 50 pts, Salo with the usual 25, Ballard's partner to help in), Ballard + the 3rd defensive pairing could easily fill the void left by Ehrhoff.
-It also should be noted that Ballard commits to less errors in the defensive zone than Ehrhoff as well.
Last year, with Ballard + Tanev / Rome / Tanev / Alberts in the lineup, the defence corp only amounted to about 180pts.
So the big question remains, will Ballard transition into the Canucks' system, and produce as he has in the past?
If so, losing Ehrhoff will not have an effect onto the 2011/2012 Canucks roster.
We would also not miss the defensive zone mistakes that Ehrhoff committed to.
So calm down CDC,
Edited by Pyrene, 23 July 2011 - 06:41 PM.