I don't match. The Captain of the team just signed and agreed to a deal with a different team.
How do you match that and overcome the optics? He just served notice that he is no longer the captain of the Predators, and while that sucks for the franchise, you take the picks and move on. Sad day when you match an offer sheet the Team Captain himself signed.
If they match this, the team is doomed more so than if they don't.
Edit: my math says the offer could have been in the second highest catagory:
so they might only get 2 firsts a second and a third, but I still don't match it. The Captain of the team signed with another team...that is the end of that relationship, in my opinion.
2 words: David Backes
Also, it'll be the AAV or salary for the first 5 years, whichever comes first. In this case, it'll be the first 5 years, and most likely it'll be front loaded. Thus, it'll be 4 1sts
Can you give up your franchise player for a handful of picks and still convince a market like Nashville that you want to win? Especially after you just lost another top defenceman for nothing? The Preds finally put themselves in a position where they could be considered legit Cup contenders. Suter walks for nothing, which was a huge blow. If Weber goes too, and all they get back is draft picks... I just don't see any scenario in which that works out well for them. If you ask me, the Predators HAVE to match this offer. They've got the cap space to do it, and not matching it could be catastrophic not only for the on ice product but for the teams standing in their market.
@Primal: by that logic Thomas Vanek hasn't wanted to be in Buffalo for years. Ryan Kesler wanted out of Vancouver. etc. The Preds already went public that they would match ANY offer sheet for Weber. Shea signing this could just be that he finally got the numbers he wanted, and so forced Nashville's hand to get a deal done. He may have signed it with the intent to remain in Nashville for the rest of his career. Perhaps he was tired of all the politics, the trade rumours, the negotiations that seemed to be stalling over and over... so he jumped at the chance when an avenue was presented to him where he could control his destiny (now it's either Philly or Nashville, no other option and he was able to choose that himself) and likely get the long term security the Preds were reluctant to give him in negotiations.
I just don't see how the Preds don't match this. I'd be shocked if they didn't.
Same, they even showed Suter they'd spend the money (Rinne, trading for Fisher, and also see Gaustad's contract).
They have 29 million in cap space, Radulov is gone, where else will they spend to get to the Cap floor?
If ownership commits the front end salary and bonuses to weber, do they have anything left in the cash drawer? this team has an internal cap don't forget.
last year they finished with 12 million extra cap space, the year before 8.5m to spare, almost 13m the year before that, It is safe to say their internal cap is 57 to 58 million based on a 70.2m league cap.
They are currently at 41 million and need six more guys.
Now you could go and pay 7.8m for Weber per year, but with bonuses and front end loaded contract have the owner actually pay 12m bonus and as high as 10m salary for the first two years, 22m a year for one guy is not smashville modus operendi, but aside from the actual cash, if the hit is almost 8m and you have 16m left on your 'internal cap' it is doable to match the offersheet, but then your have 8million to sign or promote 5 more guys.
Even with Weber, your team wont compete with 1 Dman and a depth chart of 7 other 2m or less Dmen.
THey need to hire 2 or 3 total Decent Dmen, a la MG with his 4.5m dollar defense, lol. Weber means the rest of the D will generally be subpar or young. No weber means they can hire 6 generally decent players. and come back and try to get in the playoffs. Weber means they have a star who doesn't want to be there, and no support.
They budgeted so they could sign both Weber/Suter for 7+ million. Ownership said they will no longer constrain Poile and allow him to spend to be a contendor.
To that bolded point, see Minni's Defense even with Suter
(Only him and Gilbert above 1.1 million)
EDIT: I will match unless the deal is somehow 100 million in initial signing bonuses with 500k per season salary, then I'd have to think about it.
Edited by y0shi, 19 July 2012 - 03:23 PM.