In the smart phone market, the number of apps is the number one thing that the majority of people look at (at least in North America). This is the reason why playbook has flopped and it could be the reason why BB10 will flop in the future (in North America). I don't know about their situation outside of NA but it is pretty bad here. Their niche market right now is the people that like to use physical keyboard and BBM. Windows phone is gaining ground and will only gain more market share.
Nope. The reason the Playbook flopped was because it was released with an OS that was incomplete. It took RIM a full year before releasing an update to the OS. This is why BB10 was delayed, to ensure the same thing doesn't happen again.
Windows phones still have a lot of work to do to catch up to Blackberry, and the reason it won't catch up to Blackberry is the same reason no company is making money with Android phones other then Samsung, and the reason is that the OS is licensed out to other companies.
If you look at Nokia, they released their Lumia 920, and are still in worse shape then RIM who has yet to release BB10.
The reason BB10 will be a success is that RIM is targeting a specific type of person with BB10. They have gone out and researched what type of people use Blackberry's and have built a phone for those people. Anyone who has ever liked a Blackberry because of its efficiency and reliability, but has left because of its limitations is a potential buyer of a BB10 phone. That's a lot of people.
I suggest doing some research on BB10, there's a lot to be learned.
For anyone who hasn't seen it, here is a preview of the developer version of BB10:
Edited by Peevish, 25 November 2012 - 01:33 PM.