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Alberta premier warns of $6 billion shortfall in oil revenue

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#1 dudeone


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Posted 24 January 2013 - 07:59 PM

Alberta premier warns of $6 billion shortfall in oil revenue

By Jeffrey Jones | Reuters – 5 mins ago


CALGARY, Alberta (Reuters) - Alberta's premier warned on Thursday that the Western Canadian province faced a C$6 billion ($6 billion) shortfall in revenue due to deeply discounted prices for its crude oil but offered no specifics on how to prevent falling deeper into the red.

Alberta's financial forecasts have been thrown into disarray by fast-growing output from its vast oil sands and limited pipeline capacity to move it to markets in the United States and elsewhere. That has pulled the price of a barrel down to less than half that of international benchmark Brent oil.

The situation has prompted Premier Alison Redford and her government to warn of a tough budget on March 7, and raised questions about her ability to meet a promise of erasing its budget deficit in the upcoming fiscal year.

In an eight-minute televised address, Redford explained the reasons for the sharply reduced take from Alberta's biggest industry and pledged not to raise taxes to make up the difference, but did not say where she will cut spending.

In fact, she made note of strong desire in the province of 3.8 million people for new roads, schools and healthcare facilities.

"Despite falling oil revenues, I give you my commitment that as we deliver our long-term economic plan for Alberta, we will be thoughtful in our approach and we will deliver on these priorities," she said.

Alberta is Canada's largest oil-producing province and the largest foreign energy supplier to the United States, and had become used to boom times until the oil market weakened last year.

Redford has been an enthusiastic promoter of TransCanada Corp's contentious Keystone XL pipeline, which would carry Alberta's crude to refineries in Texas.

The project took a series of steps forward this week as the governor of Nebraska approved a new route for the long-delayed project through the state and 53 U.S. senators urged U.S. President Barack Obama to approve it. However, Obama's decision is not expected for several months.

Alberta is considering a host of other potential routes to new markets that could lead to higher returns, but Redford cautioned that long-term solutions will not be quick.

In the meantime, Alberta, which derives 30 percent of its overall revenue from the oil industry, will be C$6 billion short of its revenue target for the upcoming fiscal year, she said.

Recently, the bitumen crude from the oil sands has sold for more than $40 a barrel below U.S. light crude, leading the Bank of Canada this week to also point out the national economy was feeling the effects as well.

"It will take focus and determination over the next several years to open new markets. And that is job one for my government," Redford said.

The Progressive Conservative government, in power since 1971 and re-elected last year, is being pilloried by its opponents for forecasts they say that have been far too rosy, for relying too heavily on the fortunes of a highly cyclical industry and for tapping debt markets.

"It doesn't do any good to talk about how we might have pipelines four or five or six years from now," said Danielle Smith, leader of the opposition Wildrose Party. "What is the plan over the next three or four or five years to get us accustomed to this new reality of lower energy prices and lower revenues?"

Redford was vague as she cautioned about upcoming spending cuts in programs and services "that are not sustainable over the long term."

"Quite simply, we have to put Alberta's finances on a more stable footing. A province as prosperous as Alberta should not be as susceptible as we are to swings in the price of oil and gas." ($1=$1 Canadian)
(Reporting by Jeffrey Jones; Editing by Lisa Shumaker)

#2 Lockout Casualty

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Posted 24 January 2013 - 11:25 PM

Should really take those lessons from Norway, eh?

#3 Lancaster


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Posted 25 January 2013 - 03:24 AM

So basically the oil from Alberta can't seem to make it to the more lucrative markets.

#4 BabychStache


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Posted 25 January 2013 - 09:16 AM

The Provincial PCs in this province are off their rocker. Redford is a terrible premier and seems to have controversy follow her around. This is what Alberta gets for electing them back in.

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#5 Electro Rock

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Posted 25 January 2013 - 09:37 AM

REDford is ruining Alberta, just as the NDP screwed up B.C. in the '90s.
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#6 ronthecivil


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Posted 25 January 2013 - 09:42 AM

A nice preview of what happens to the country if the green lobby gets their way and blocks all the pipelines.

FYI with the US on it's way to energy independance I would expect even keeping that status quo to result in even less money generated in that sector.

Redford is chanting the "more programs, less taxes, balanced budgets for all!" line that anyone with a brain can see is impossible.

This will not end well for Alberta.

#7 ronthecivil


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Posted 25 January 2013 - 09:43 AM

Should really take those lessons from Norway, eh?

We do make a LOT of money from oil.

The problem is that instead of squirreling it away we use it to subsidise our low tax rate and bloated healthcare system (among others).

What's sad is that if we actually did run surpluses and had to squirrel money away we have some of the worlds best investing programs already set up.

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