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End of the World: killer asteroid to hit Earth in 2106


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#1 Tystick

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Posted 12 February 2013 - 07:37 PM

We have 93 years left

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Less than a month ago NASA announced that the Earth is in fact safe from the infamous asteroid, Apophis, which was expected to collide with our planet in 2036.
It is now reported that the chances of impact are lower than one in a million. Despite that good news, it turns out that any celebrations might be a little premature. Two weeks ago Russian astronomers Andrey Oreshko and Timur Kryachko discovered yet another asteroid, with the catchy name of 2012 YQ1, which will, in all likelihood, crash into Earth, but not until 2106.

With the collision date quite so far ahead it seems that few of us will still be here to witness the apocalyptic event. However, as life expectancy is steadily increasing with the latest developments in medicine and biochemistry, it is quite probable that many of the Y2K generation will live to see the massive asteroid hitting the Earth with their own eyes.

It was yet another all-nighter for two Russian astronomers, Andrey Oreshko and Timur Kryachko, when their red eyes saw a previously unrecorded asteroid revealed by the lens of their remote-controlled telescope 'Elena', located in the Chilean Atacama desert. Having already found more than a dozen previously unknown asteroids, the astronomers were not particularly excited about their latest discovery.

However, their ambivalence quickly gave way to anxiety when the two men studied the size and trajectory of the new-found 2012 YQ1; with a diameter of 230 meters and an orbital period of 1040 days, it soon became clear that the asteroid was highly likely to strike planet Earth.

Using 'Elena', with its integrated CCD technology and 0.4 meter diameter primary mirror, Oreshko and Kryachko were able calculate the probable time of collision: January 2106. Given that 'Elena' is one of the most advanced telescopes in use today, the probability that the astronomers are mistaken is extremely low.

According to Mr Kryachko, if the asteroid's course is not altered by a random collision with another celestial body or similarly unpredictable circumstance, in January 2106 the asteroid will pass through a gravitational keyhole bringing it as close as one and a half moon-distances to Earth, near enough for earth's gravity to change the asteroid's course and draw it even closer.

Ultimately, YQ1 will hit Earth so hard that a global catastrophe will be unavoidable. The scientists estimate that the impact would equate to the energy released by approximately 25000 atomic bombs all going off at once. That puts YQ1 on par with the infamous Apophis which measures 270 meters in diameter and had been thought likely to strike Earth in 2036. According to NASA's 'virtual impactors' directory, YQ1 is 17th of the most dangerous asteroids ever discovered.

What is particularly interesting about the discovery of YQ1 is the fact that the asteroid was found by a privately-owned telescope in the southern hemisphere which was being remotely controlled from an apartment in Moscow. This is a rather unusual event as the discovery of new asteroids has tended to be the privilege of NASA.

With annual funding of around three billion dollars, the agency closely monitors thousands of celestial bodies and studies hundreds of potentially hazardous asteroids by analysing their trajectories and taking various measurements. Nonetheless, this time NASA's network of robotic telescopes was beaten by the Russian-funded 'Elena' which was first to spot one of the most dangerous asteroids in the history of astronomy.

In Mr Oreshko's opinion, this once again proves that while technology plays a significant role in space exploration, attention to detail and open-mindedness are, in the end, what count the most. The night Oreshko and Kryachko made their disturbing discovery they were actually busy taking pictures of galaxies and other celestial bodies and, were it nor for sharp eyes, YQ1 might have remained undiscovered for another decade.

At the moment, YQ1 stands as the 556,678th celestial body of its kind to be discovered by man. The very first known asteroid was identified just over two centuries ago by the Italian astronomer Giuseppe Piazzi.

The scientist was conducting research at the Palermo Astronomical Observatory when he saw an unknown celestial body that overtook a comet. Piazzi subsequently learnt that the body was a dwarf planet which he called Ceres. As time has passed, planets of this type came to be known as 'asteroids', from the ancient Greek, meaning 'like stars'.


Taken from article here


Hopefully we'll be able to create some badass deathray that could obliterate it before then.
I mean, we're already creating black holes, doesn't seem like it's that improbable.
Anywho, don't have children k? :lol:
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#2 NightHawkSniper

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Posted 12 February 2013 - 07:40 PM

Time for construction of the Death Star!
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#3 Pears

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Posted 12 February 2013 - 07:42 PM

I read that as 2016 at first and almost lost my ****.
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In my eyes drouin is overrated he can score in the qmjhl but did nothing in last two gold medal games that canada lost. Fox will be better pro than him talk to me in five yrs

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#4 WHL rocks

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Posted 12 February 2013 - 07:47 PM

We will have the technology to knock it off course well before 2106.

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#5 hudson bay rules

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Posted 12 February 2013 - 07:48 PM

Sell yer Apple shares
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#6 Heretic

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Posted 12 February 2013 - 07:48 PM

Maybe they should cryogenic-ally freeze Bruce Willis and then wake him up in time to blow it up!
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#7 AllHailSmyl

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Posted 12 February 2013 - 07:50 PM

We will have the technology to knock it off course well before 2106.


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By the way learn how to spell SHIRIKOV who is this shirakov


Amazingly on his first shift Kassian would have had a breakaway if Kesler knew how to pass. And he still got switched with Weiss. And note it is "Weiss" not "Wise".


#8 Mr.DirtyDangles

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Posted 12 February 2013 - 07:51 PM

Creating black holes huh ? Yeah not sure about that but the catastrophic asteroid thing is waaaaay out of hand. A day after our supposed demise on the Jan 1st many media sources ran a story about an asteroid on a collision course with earth due to impact sometime in Sept 2015. I hope a law is passed that makes ok to dispose of doomsday wack jobs on the spot.
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#9 Captain Aerosex

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Posted 12 February 2013 - 07:58 PM

This asteroid has a 1 in 10 million chance of striking.

Have kids if you want to :lol:
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#10 Ghostsof1915

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Posted 12 February 2013 - 08:03 PM


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#11 Alchemy Time

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Posted 12 February 2013 - 08:09 PM

Well shi- oh wait, I'll be dead LONG before then.
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#12 lowest common denominator

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Posted 12 February 2013 - 08:20 PM

Ooh that reminds me.. I'm running low on canned tomatoes and tuna
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#13 Special Ed

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Posted 12 February 2013 - 08:41 PM

It would be so cool to be part of a mission to save the world for real.
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#14 canucks since 77

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Posted 12 February 2013 - 08:46 PM

This asteroid has a 1 in 10 million chance of striking.

Have kids if you want to :lol:

Please provide link to the 1 in a ten million. I read the link and the chances are near 100 percent.

Edited by canucks since 77, 12 February 2013 - 08:46 PM.

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#15 Aladeen

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Posted 12 February 2013 - 09:08 PM

Please provide link to the 1 in a ten million. I read the link and the chances are near 100 percent.

I think he is referring to the asteroid in 2036 which has a 1 in a million chance, so I am assuming he read the article wrong. Looks like the one in 2106 is going to hit unless it is struck by something else, which there is a very small chance for that to happen.
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#16 canucks since 77

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Posted 12 February 2013 - 09:19 PM

The doom sayers will have 93 years to get wound up over this. :rolleyes:
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#17 key2thecup

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Posted 12 February 2013 - 09:33 PM

Guess that's why NASA is starting there asteroid missions
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#18 MadMonk

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Posted 12 February 2013 - 09:42 PM

From wikipedia:

2012 YQ1 is an Apolloasteroid discovered on 19 December 2012 by astronomers Andrey Oreshko and Timur Kryachko using an "Elena"Telescope located in the Chilean Atacama desert.[1] With a 4 day observation arc, the asteroid had a 1 in 3 million chance of impacting in 2106.[3] With a 10 day observation arc, the asteroid had a 1 in 10 million chance of impacting in 2106.[4] On 5 January 2013, the asteroid passed 0.10 AU (15,000,000 km; 9,300,000 mi) from Earth.[2] It was removed from the Sentry Risk Table on 8 January 2013.[5]


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#19 мцт вяздк чф

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Posted 12 February 2013 - 11:27 PM

crap, i have my holographic lan party scheduled for that day :sadno:
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#20 Tystick

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Posted 13 February 2013 - 03:25 PM

From wikipedia:
[/sup]


Wow
Thanks for posting!
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#21 Common sense

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Posted 13 February 2013 - 03:31 PM

Don't worry, guys...2012 will happen before then.
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#22 Dellins

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Posted 13 February 2013 - 03:31 PM

It would be so cool to be part of a mission to save the world for real.


If a CDC'er were on that crew it would be the guy that freaks out and kills himself (and maybe a few others) when all hope is lost.
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#23 fwybwed

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Posted 13 February 2013 - 03:41 PM

Pish posh....we'll have some that'll destroy the moon by then and we wont have to worry about it....lol
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#24 Dittohead

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Posted 13 February 2013 - 07:44 PM

won't be here don't care. Hope I don't have to pay an asteroid tax.
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#25 DonLever

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Posted 13 February 2013 - 11:38 PM

The article does not quote odds of it hitting the earth. Unless they do, this is a non-story.
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#26 DonLever

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Posted 13 February 2013 - 11:52 PM

The source is not credible. It came from the news of Russia. It is impossible to calulate 100% accuracy from a few orbit passes.

http://www.slate.com...xaggerated.html
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#27 canucklax

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Posted 14 February 2013 - 12:13 AM

Removed from list of possible impacts
http://neo.jpl.nasa....sk/removed.html
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#28 pwnstar

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Posted 14 February 2013 - 04:54 AM

Maybe they should cryogenic-ally freeze Bruce Willis and then wake him up in time to blow it up!

cant forget ben afflek
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#29 DownUndaCanuck

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Posted 14 February 2013 - 05:21 AM

Probably a big chance it'll hit something else within the next 90 years that steers it off course. Otherwise yeah the legacy of man is over.

That being said, I remember reading that the asteroid that killed off the dinosaurs was several kilometers wide, this is only a few hundred meters, so maybe it won't be too bad...
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#30 Tystick

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Posted 14 February 2013 - 11:33 AM

Thanks for posting :)

Removed from list of possible impacts
http://neo.jpl.nasa....sk/removed.html



Some other things to note are:
  • It could easily gain orbit through the gravitational force of another planet such as Jupiter.
  • It could be struck by something just as big and steer it off course (Just as others have mentioned).
  • Man could devise a way to steer it off course; they do have lots of time.

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