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Canucks Prospect Pool - A Reflection and Evaluation Thread


Rob_Zepp

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The Benning team has now completed their fifth amateur draft.   That seems a fair milestone to compare the prospect pool his team inherited and the one they presented have.   Prior to this arrival, this as the"consensus pool" (2013):

 

Vancouver Canucks Top 10 Prospects

1. Hunter Shinkaruk, Center 
2. Bo Horvat, Center 
3. Frankie Corrado, Defense 
4. Nicklas Jensen, Left Wing 
5. Brendan Gaunce, Center 
6. Jordan Subban, Defense 
7. Henrik Tommernes, Defense 
8. Eddie Lack, Goaltender 
9. Joseph LaBate, Center 
10. Patrick McNally, Defense

Organizational Ranking: 29th

System Overview

The Canucks system is a desert; their top two are strong, and overall, their top four or five make up a mediocre core. Most of their prospects have notable question marks or low upsides.

 

 

Flash forward to June 2018, not sure exactly what the top 10 would look like but here are some candidates and it would be difficult to see anyone not named Horvat on that former list even cracking the top 10?   Roughly ordered - please add your own re-jiggle.      Point is, THIS Is a prospect pool that can support a successful NHL team.

 

Elias Pettersson
Thatcher Demko

Quinn Hughes

Olli Juolevi
Jonathan Dahlen

Big Tall Guy in Russia

Nikolay Goldobin
Kole Lind

Jett Woo
Adam Gaudette
Brendan Leipsic

Tyler Madden
Lukas Jasek
Petrus Palmu
Jalen Chatfield   
William Lockwood  

Dmitri Zhukenov   
Zack MacEwen    
Jack Rathbone

 
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5 minutes ago, Rob_Zepp said:

The Benning team has now completed their fifth amateur draft.   That seems a fair milestone to compare the prospect pool his team inherited and the one they presented have.   Prior to this arrival, this as the"consensus pool" (2013):

 

Vancouver Canucks Top 10 Prospects

1. Hunter Shinkaruk, Center 
2. Bo Horvat, Center 
3. Frankie Corrado, Defense 
4. Nicklas Jensen, Left Wing 
5. Brendan Gaunce, Center 
6. Jordan Subban, Defense 
7. Henrik Tommernes, Defense 
8. Eddie Lack, Goaltender 
9. Joseph LaBate, Center 
10. Patrick McNally, Defense

Organizational Ranking: 29th

System Overview

The Canucks system is a desert; their top two are strong, and overall, their top four or five make up a mediocre core. Most of their prospects have notable question marks or low upsides.

 

 

Flash forward to June 2018, not sure exactly what the top 10 would look like but here are some candidates and it would be difficult to see anyone not named Horvat on that former list even cracking the top 10?   Roughly ordered - please add your own re-jiggle.      Point is, THIS Is a prospect pool that can support a successful NHL team.

 

Elias Pettersson
Thatcher Demko

Quinn Hughes

Olli Juolevi
Jonathan Dahlen

Big Tall Guy in Russia

Nikolay Goldobin
Kole Lind

Jett Woo
Adam Gaudette
Brendan Leipsic

Tyler Madden
Lukas Jasek
Petrus Palmu
Jalen Chatfield   
William Lockwood  

Dmitri Zhukenov   
Zack MacEwen    
Jack Rathbone

 

That 2013 pool looks like $&!# compared to now. Horvat is the only stand out.

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7 minutes ago, Rob_Zepp said:

The Benning team has now completed their fifth amateur draft.   That seems a fair milestone to compare the prospect pool his team inherited and the one they presented have.   Prior to this arrival, this as the"consensus pool" (2013):

 

Vancouver Canucks Top 10 Prospects

1. Hunter Shinkaruk, Center 
2. Bo Horvat, Center 
3. Frankie Corrado, Defense 
4. Nicklas Jensen, Left Wing 
5. Brendan Gaunce, Center 
6. Jordan Subban, Defense 
7. Henrik Tommernes, Defense 
8. Eddie Lack, Goaltender 
9. Joseph LaBate, Center 
10. Patrick McNally, Defense

Organizational Ranking: 29th

System Overview

The Canucks system is a desert; their top two are strong, and overall, their top four or five make up a mediocre core. Most of their prospects have notable question marks or low upsides.

 

 

Flash forward to June 2018, not sure exactly what the top 10 would look like but here are some candidates and it would be difficult to see anyone not named Horvat on that former list even cracking the top 10?   Roughly ordered - please add your own re-jiggle.      Point is, THIS Is a prospect pool that can support a successful NHL team.

 

Elias Pettersson
Thatcher Demko

Quinn Hughes

Olli Juolevi
Jonathan Dahlen

Big Tall Guy in Russia

Nikolay Goldobin
Kole Lind

Jett Woo
Adam Gaudette
Brendan Leipsic

Tyler Madden
Lukas Jasek
Petrus Palmu
Jalen Chatfield   
William Lockwood  

Dmitri Zhukenov   
Zack MacEwen    
Jack Rathbone

 

That 2013 depth...wow. One star, one barely 4th liner and one barely #2 goalie. What a world of difference to now. Even being pessimistic, the current depth looks like: 2-3 stars, 5 good regulars, and the remainder largely capable of making the NHL but totally a dartboard trying to figure out where. One guy not listed; Guilliame Brisebois.

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2 hours ago, Father Ryan said:

That 2013 depth...wow. One star, one barely 4th liner and one barely #2 goalie. What a world of difference to now. Even being pessimistic, the current depth looks like: 2-3 stars, 5 good regulars, and the remainder largely capable of making the NHL but totally a dartboard trying to figure out where. One guy not listed; Guilliame Brisebois.

Picking high in consecutive rounds, in consecutive drafts, will do that. It’s a predictable cycle. 

 

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4 minutes ago, 189lb enforcers? said:

Picking high in consecutive rounds, in consecutive drafts, will do that results in this natural cycle. 

 

Either than petterson juolevi and Hughes. All of those guys could have been taken drafting in the back end of rounds. If they like them enough just take em however many slots early. Plus benning hitting on quite a few guys after the 4th round is not too common.

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1 minute ago, Bure1010 said:

Either than petterson juolevi and Hughes. All of those guys could have been taken drafting in the back end of rounds. If they like them enough just take em however many slots early. Plus benning hitting on quite a few guys after the 4th round is not too common.

He gets opportunity to make those hits because he is consistently picking first out of the next 25 teams in those rounds. 

Nobody is laughing at Team Tank after picking Woo, etc, never mind Hughes. 

 

The pool is better because of a natural cycle. Plus mining the crowd on draft day is one way to acknowledge this cycle, I suppose. 

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56 minutes ago, 189lb enforcers? said:

Picking high in consecutive rounds, in consecutive drafts, will do that results in this natural cycle. 

 

A high second rounder is around the same as a low first rounder.  Take the first rounders out of the equation and our prospect pool today STILL wipes the floor with the 2013 group.

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1 minute ago, 189lb enforcers? said:

Wow. (?)

I mean only removing the firsts from our group now. 

 

So:

1. Hunter Shinkaruk, Center 
2. Bo Horvat, Center 
3. Frankie Corrado, Defense 
4. Nicklas Jensen, Left Wing 
5. Brendan Gaunce, Center 
6. Jordan Subban, Defense 
7. Henrik Tommernes, Defense 
8. Eddie Lack, Goaltender 
9. Joseph LaBate, Center 
10. Patrick McNally, Defense

 

Vs:

  1. Thatcher Demko
  2. Jonathan Dahlen
  3. Nikita Tryamkin
  4. Nikolay Goldobin
  5. Kole Lind
  6. Jett Woo
  7. Adam Gaudette
  8. Brendan Leipsic
  9. Jonah Gadjovich
  10. Tyler Madden

 

I like the second group much better.  All of these guys would have been available if we had been drafting at the end of the first round.

 

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1 hour ago, Rob_Zepp said:

Flash forward to June 2018, not sure exactly what the top 10 would look like but here are some candidates and it would be difficult to see anyone not named Horvat on that former list even cracking the top 10?   Roughly ordered - please add your own re-jiggle.      Point is, THIS Is a prospect pool that can support a successful NHL team.

 

Elias Pettersson
Thatcher Demko

Quinn Hughes

Olli Juolevi
Jonathan Dahlen

Big Tall Guy in Russia

Nikolay Goldobin
Kole Lind

Jett Woo
Adam Gaudette
Brendan Leipsic

Tyler Madden
Lukas Jasek
Petrus Palmu
Jalen Chatfield   
William Lockwood  

Dmitri Zhukenov   
Zack MacEwen    
Jack Rathbone

 

When you look back in 5 or 10 years, you will find out that the majority of these players busted too (Zhukenov has virtually no chance of making the NHL, etc...).

 

It's ridiculous how this board always over-rates our prospects and just assumes they'll all turn out amazing.  Just to point out...  5 years ago, absolutely everyone here had Shinkaruk pencilled in as a 1st line scorer.  Everyone here also thought Subban was going to be a dominant d-man.  Every year, you guys are wrong.  Horribly wrong.


Also, your list includes quite a few players who aren't actually prospects (Leipsic, Goldobin, Tryamkin).

 

And, isn't it surprising how our prospect pool is ranked near the bottom of the league - after we were drafting last in each round?!!  And then, once we started drafting at the top of every round, our prospect pool got magically better?!!  No, that's not a coincidence at all - and it's not evidence that Benning is an amazing drafter.  It's expected.  100% expected.  Your prospect pool better rise dramatically in quality after you were the worst team in the league over the last 3 years.  In fact, it should be better than it is now.  Unfortunately, we made a few horrible mistakes along the way with our best picks (Virtanen, Juolevi). 

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1 minute ago, bloodycanuckleheads said:

When you look back in 5 or 10 years, you will find out that the majority of these players busted too (Zhukenov has virtually no chance of making the NHL, etc...).

 

It's ridiculous how this board always over-rates our prospects and just assumes they'll all turn out amazing.  Just to point out...  5 years ago, absolutely everyone here had Shinkaruk pencilled in as a 1st line scorer.  Everyone here also thought Subban was going to be a dominant d-man.  Every year, you guys are wrong.  Horribly wrong.


Also, your list includes quite a few players who aren't actually prospects (Leipsic, Goldobin, Tryamkin).

 

And, isn't it surprising how our prospect pool is ranked near the bottom of the league - after we were drafting last in each round?!!  And then, once we started drafting at the top of every round, our prospect pool got magically better?!!  No, that's not a coincidence at all - and it's not evidence that Benning is an amazing drafter.  It's expected.  100% expected.  Your prospect pool better rise dramatically in quality after you were the worst team in the league over the last 3 years.  In fact, it should be better than it is now.  Unfortunately, we made a few horrible mistakes along the way with our best picks (Virtanen, Juolevi). 

If a player is not on the NHL roster they are, by definition, a prospect.   As the former list has one (Horvat) name that is a legitimate player and there are at least five players on the new list who will be NHL players (a couple likely stars) you can be as pessimistic as you like, but the lists are night and day.

 

This was not a thread about "amazing drafting" or otherwise, it was about comparing prospect pools but clearly you see it yet another way to post your dislike of Benning and point out your dislike of both the Virtanen and Juolevi picks - two players that will still make you eat a lot of crow (Jake this  year, OJ soon too).


Cheers happy guy.   :)

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Prospects need to start making the jump...when they do, the prospect pool goes down...Pettersson, Dahlen, Gaudette, Goldy, Liepsic, Demko, MacEwen, OJ....possibly removed from this list this coming year....now that is something to talk about!!

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38 minutes ago, King Heffy said:

I mean only removing the firsts from our group now. 

 

So:

1. Hunter Shinkaruk, Center 
2. Bo Horvat, Center 
3. Frankie Corrado, Defense 
4. Nicklas Jensen, Left Wing 
5. Brendan Gaunce, Center 
6. Jordan Subban, Defense 
7. Henrik Tommernes, Defense 
8. Eddie Lack, Goaltender 
9. Joseph LaBate, Center 
10. Patrick McNally, Defense

 

Vs:

  1. Thatcher Demko
  2. Jonathan Dahlen
  3. Nikita Tryamkin
  4. Nikolay Goldobin
  5. Kole Lind
  6. Jett Woo
  7. Adam Gaudette
  8. Brendan Leipsic
  9. Jonah Gadjovich
  10. Tyler Madden

 

I like the second group much better.  All of these guys would have been available if we had been drafting at the end of the first round.

 

Goldy was a first rounder

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4 minutes ago, stawns said:

Goldy was a first rounder

Acquired via trade though, which didn't involve us finishing near the bottom of the standings.  Sub in DiPietro if you like though.  The point I'm trying to make is that Benning has done a better job of building the prospect pool, even if you take out our best pieces.

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Just now, King Heffy said:

Acquired via trade though, which didn't involve us finishing near the bottom of the standings.  Sub in DiPietro if you like though.  The point I'm trying to make is that Benning has done a better job of building the prospect pool, even if you take out our best pieces.

I agree completely

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35 minutes ago, bloodycanuckleheads said:

When you look back in 5 or 10 years, you will find out that the majority of these players busted too (Zhukenov has virtually no chance of making the NHL, etc...).

 

It's ridiculous how this board always over-rates our prospects and just assumes they'll all turn out amazing.  Just to point out...  5 years ago, absolutely everyone here had Shinkaruk pencilled in as a 1st line scorer.  Everyone here also thought Subban was going to be a dominant d-man.  Every year, you guys are wrong.  Horribly wrong.


Also, your list includes quite a few players who aren't actually prospects (Leipsic, Goldobin, Tryamkin).

 

And, isn't it surprising how our prospect pool is ranked near the bottom of the league - after we were drafting last in each round?!!  And then, once we started drafting at the top of every round, our prospect pool got magically better?!!  No, that's not a coincidence at all - and it's not evidence that Benning is an amazing drafter.  It's expected.  100% expected.  Your prospect pool better rise dramatically in quality after you were the worst team in the league over the last 3 years.  In fact, it should be better than it is now.  Unfortunately, we made a few horrible mistakes along the way with our best picks (Virtanen, Juolevi). 

fremont-troll.jpg

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2 hours ago, 189lb enforcers? said:

Before Team Tank... and after.

Dont need a hill to see where this leads to. 

DC5F53B4-A30C-4CF6-981B-2BB99A018BA3.jpeg.5bc576a4d542c1d7c3abc6188c2561ec.jpeg

Great thing is we didn't tank. Injuries had a big part to play in our draft positions.  Benning still tried to develope a win no matter what attitude at least. 

 

Our management never made it ok to lose. With record setting man games lost , the team gave us good draft positions all on their own.  

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10 minutes ago, bloodycanuckleheads said:

Oh, so Kovalchuk was a prospect until this morning?  That's interesting...

Uh, ok...didn't realize he was LA property until he signed.   As he has played in the NHL for more than a decade, I would have thought that was self-evident but apparently that isn't the case.   

 

Do you work at being obtuse or is it an innate natural ability?   

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