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If the last place team has like 30 something % chance to get mcdavid wouldent that mean there is a 70% chance the last place team doesnt get mcdavid?
c00kies
This rule (percentage-wise) is fairly new. I think Edmonton won one lottery to move up, one or two to stay #1, and then another team won that didn't move them off the #1 spot. So they haven't always won the lottery to get #1.
Niloc009
2015 draft lottery percentage chance to get the #1 pick:
30th - 20%
29th - 13.5%
28th - 11.5%
27th - 9.5%
26th - 8.5%
25th - 7.5%
24th - 6.5%
23rd - 6%
22nd - 5%
21st - 3.5%
20th - 3%
19th - 2.5%
18th - 2%
17th - 1%
jdatb
those percentages are misleading. Last place is still 1.5x as likely to get McDavid as 29th. The percentages mean absolutely nothing, relatively.