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Everything posted by mll
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Eriksson is signed for 2 more years. Melnyk was telling media a few weeks ago that they hope their team can be really competitive next year and make the playoffs. Doubtful that they'd want a slowing down vet holding them back for 2 years. Demko hasn't proved anything and his numbers are poor.
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Not according to them. Both want to sign with their NHL teams. Kaprisov has a NHL agent and is in regular contact with Guerin. Even their KHL team knew that they weren't planning on coming back but the NHL changed the rules. They don't want to wait until next December or even now January to play though, so there is a risk that now they delay coming over for another full year.
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He's not allowed - he had to be signed by 1 December because he is a RFA. They are not going to make an exception. They don't even want to allow new ELCs to start this season although it was allowed in the past, Hughes, Boeser, Makar for example.
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The bubble is cosmetic unless all the people involved are also quarantined. Hotel staff (guests too), custodians, maintenance staff, camera crew, bus drivers, etc have to be under the same protocol if they want to preserve the bubble. Are they going to be going home to their families and simply re-entering the bubble the next day.
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Compliance buyouts increases escrow. The buyout cost counts towards the players' share of revenue. Revenue is going down so if they increase the players' share by adding compliance buyouts on top of salary, they'll have to give more back. Not convinced players will want them. Don't think owners want to be pressured by fans to buy out players either. Several teams, including the Canucks per Dhaliwal, have cut back staff salary or furloughed employees. Their last paycheck was 120 million (they are paid circa every two weeks over the regular season). They've postponed payment and have yet to decide how much of it they want to give up now - they are going to owe money back.
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Lavoie has TV revenue at about 650M over a full season. The NHL is around a 5 billion league - rough proxy 31 teams x 81.5M is about 2.5 billion. Share of revenue is 50/50. Without completing the season losses were estimated at around 1 billion. Players would have some 500M to pay back from their salaries. LeBrun several weeks ago estimated completing the season worth between 300 and 500M in revenue. It's going to still leave them with a sizeable gap compared to a normal season. The salary cap could well stay flat for next season but it will be even less reflective of revenue than in the past.
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Romanov's contract is not filed with the league - Perunovich (STL) and a few others are also waiting to know whether their contracts can start this season before signing & then filing with the league. In the past players like Boeser, Hughes could sign and play once their season was over. Makar even joined during the playoffs. Teams had allowed cap room to add those new ELC contracts. If the season had gone on as normal those players would have been playing like Boeser, Hughes did. This season the league is arguing that it wouldn't be fair for teams to be allowed to add those players as the rosters are set and these were the players that got the teams to where they are. The league is allowing an expanded roster of 28 players (+ as many goalies as a team wants) and says any of those 28 players or goalies can play. Toronto has already confirmed that prospect Nick Robertson will be part of their expanded roster - he spent last season in the OHL. The only difference to Romanov, Perunovich is that he was already under contract when the league paused. There is legit concern that teams are going to lose players if the league doesn't go back to the old rules. Benning would like Rathbone to turn pro. It's still undecided whether he will and there is not the incentive of burning an ELC year this season. He can become a UFA in August 2021 per Thomas Drance. The NHL season is not expected to start before December or even January. He might just prefer to go back to college rather than wait that long without playing. There's no cap for the rest of the season - and teams had allowed room to add those ELCs anyway. There has never been a cap for the playoffs and the league doesn't consider the play-ins as a continuation of the regular season. Ferland, Guentzel can all be activated off LTIR and play. Toffoli was added at the TDL when the league was not yet suspended.
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Minnesota was only 1pt behind Vancouver in the same amount of games. They were last in October but have a better record than the Canucks since.
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Russo from last week - really doesn't sound like they will allow it: And as The Athletic reported last week, a well-placed league source said there’s likely “zero chance” that the NHL will change its mind if the season resumes. Deputy commissioner Bill Daly has made that clear to the Wild, sources say.
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Minnesota are one if not the best defensive team in the league. They have received well below average goal tending. Canucks are one of the worst defensive teams in the league but are saved by stellar goaltending. Thomas Drance was telling Russo again today: "The Canucks are potent offensively with bad defense and stellar goaltending." Numbers agree with him - whether video tracking, heat maps or more traditional advanced stats. Goaltending is going to make a huge difference. Markstrom is in Sweden and rinks are open there.
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Not equal odds for the 2nd lottery: The odds for each losing team in the Qualifying Round for the first drawing of the Second Phase, determined by inverse order of regular-season point percentage, will be as follows: Team A -- 24.5 percent Team B -- 20.4 percent Team C -- 14.3 percent Team D -- 12.2 percent Team E -- 10.2 percent Team F -- 8.2 percent Team G -- 6.1 percent Team H -- 4.1 percent Edit. I took the numbers/scale from the NHL website but they've corrected their wording since. It's 12.5% across the board.
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They are doing a draw with 15 teams on 26 June. 1 to 7 are the known eliminated teams. 8 to 15 are blanked and don't represent a team yet. If during that draw the 3 top picks are won by teams 1 to 7 there won't be a 2nd draw as the top-3 picks have already been allocated among teams 1 to 7. Teams eliminated in the play-ins will just rank 8 to 15 based on their point percentage over the season. If any of the teams outside of the top-7 win a lottery pick then a 2nd draw will take place once the play-ins are over. The draw will be between the 8 teams eliminated. Odds of 12.5% for each team. Whichever team wins that lottery will move into the lottery spot that was determined on June 26. They'll draw this lottery as many times as teams won the lottery in phase 1.
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Dubnyk will show up - can't see him holding out. He is simply voicing the concerns of the executive committee and the players on their teams. There is work that still needs to be done for players to feel comfortable to return. Once it goes through a vote and even if some are luke warm I doubt anyone would hold out. As he was explaining you don't want a positive that they are returning to become a negative because the players didn't fully understand what it meant and are then upset about the situation.
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Wasn't sharing my viewpoint. It's theirs and why there is a possibility that the league does not resume. It will depend on the protocols. They've postponed their last salary instalment (about 120M) - they have to give back the amounts needed to split revenue at 50%. They are still undecided whether to give it up in full now or only a portion of it.