Your analytical expectations of success from a 5th round pick are probably statistically spot on. The mighty 'nucks have had somewhat successful moments via the 5th round. Without going too far back. Adrian Aucoin,Gino Odjick, Scott Walker, Kevin Bieksa, Mike Brown ( the good one ) and more recently, Frank ( asset management ) Corrado, Gustav Forsling and current 'nuck Ben Hutton. I haven't done the math, but, if this falls in the 5%-15% success zone, I'm a happy 'nuck fan.