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Simulation

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  1. oh okay, i was unaware that you and others weren’t aware of the comorbidities study regarding to COVID hospitalizations. Thought it’d have been mentioned here being one of the most revealing ones but anyways here you go: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid_weekly/index.htm?fbclid=IwAR3-wrg3tTKK5-9tOHPGAHWFVO3DfslkJ0KsDEPQpWmPbKtp6EsoVV2Qs1Q it’s also well known the effects COVID has on people of different ages. All the data is there for you to search yourself which shows the higher you go in age, the higher risk of hospitalization and mortality there is. Been mainstream for a while now actually, the data has been there for over a year.
  2. Proof or evidence of what exactly? Yes I do. Lots of places are requesting a negative COVID test which would be fine with me. These vaccine “passports” I hope don’t become a thing, at least permanently (wouldn’t care if it’s just for the short term future in certain places, I’d gladly just not go). Eery sci-fi film vibes, and it’s usually never a good thing in those movies haha. It’s quite funny to think certain places would want a proof of vaccination over a negative covid result considering the latter could be positive even if you do get the vaccine.
  3. Great deal by Yzerman. Showcasing again that when he makes deals, he’s not in to lose them. Mantha was a core piece for Detroit’s future alongside Larkin. You can see that they only parted with him because of the overpay on Washington’s end. Vrana is a raw top6/top9 scoring winger yet to fully put it altogether (due to ice time/lack of opportunity will be answered shortly) whereas Mantha is a legitimate top line scoring winger who’s often injured. Not sure why the Caps couldn’t just wait on Vrana but either way seems like a win-win in terms of both teams needs. If Mantha can stay healthy, he should easily be close to point-per-game for WSH.
  4. I’m respectful of you (and the others) for the civil dialogue shown, not disparaging at all! Bolded 1 - hypothetical game. One can say for all the cases not confirmed/tested which haven’t been taken into account. Also, restrictions(lockdowns) more or less not being able to stop the inevitable when comparing places that are open to not. & I do acknowledge New Zealand’s early and impressive plan, that’s the way most places should have done it from the get go. As a result, there’s virtually too many loose ends to capture with this subjectiveness in opening/closing things every couple weeks. 2nd paragraph - yes I do and they say most of the those symptoms apply to people with underlying or chronic medical conditions. Yes there are “athletes” that suffer from covid whether it be effects or a very unlikely death. When it comes to athletes, there’s no hard data showing why perfectly “fit” athletes tend to be down under the weather. A lot of early predictions have been made that just b/c they are athletes or fit doesn’t mean they’re necessarily healthy. Physically yes but internally/immune system/underlying conditions, that can’t be overlooked simply due to the fact they are “athletes”. Also, that’s their livelihoods. When in playing season, they are literally playing to the point of exhaustion and not well rested depending on the ground of their schedules. The data’s not there but maybe there’s some sort of correlation to be made with covid and it’s effects when it enters an “athlete” when they’re nowhere near in a fully recovered state. Yes I’m sure there are those that get effected when fully fit/recovered, that’s just how things are in the world. That’s why some people have adverse reactions to vaccines or to the virus itself. I can also say why these same “perfectly fit” athletes are having to take days off and be away from their teams after having received their vaccine dose. It’s just the reality of things but not the norm. Said athletes feeling the effects of covid isn’t the norm amongst all professional athletes, just as it isn’t for what, 98 or 99% of the global population. It’s life, it’s just the odds, and it really sucks for those who don’t have fortune on their side at those times for whatever reason(even if they are healthy and all). Yes I’m aware diff variants reportedly hit and effect people differently compared to other strains. And yep acknowledged - I’m not trying to preach or convince anyone either, just sharing my personal reasons and thoughts :]
  5. Haven’t been here for any of that but I’ll just say the SARS covid outbreak of 2003 disagree(their vaccine attempts)
  6. sorry but I have to disagree with you undermining the scientific process and standards by calling it “red tape”. This isn’t some spellcheck red tape, it’s for long term effects which has been the norm for vaccines. Same response to what @thedestroyerofworlds said about having tested on animals, having tested in under a year and shutting the door by no historic standards means all stones have been left unturned. It went from step 1 to 2 to 3 to 10. There’s no way that sort of “red tape” means you’ve figured out long term effects - it’s actually been completely ignored/skipped for better/worse. and also @Warhippy comparing the flu to COVID is pretty whacko wouldn’t you say?
  7. not twice the salaries worth of a similar player with a better corsi and less giveaways
  8. @thedestroyerofworlds if what you're saying is none of the vaccines skipped any processes, then genuinely asking - why are they all labelled as "emergency use"?
  9. it turns out j&j knew of this but had it overlooked anyways. That's just the unfortunate reality with having vaccine's rushed and rolled out in emerg use when they bypass what would otherwise be normal procedural phases. ^in their trial a 25y/o(very close to my age) with no pre-existing health conditions had a thrombosis and stroke under j&j trial. Investigators at first said it was due to the vax, j&j said no and won, which now turns out they were wrong. And another thing I really want to mention is how we can't overlook the long term effects. If the numbers 6 clots out of however many million doses is true, then that would be an incredible achievement if it was made clear after normal vaccine trial/testing/non-emerg approval over years. Those blood clot numbers are only 1 major risk/effect attributed to whichever of it's vaccine. It's unknown and unlikely it'll stick to just that 1 long term effect. Only time will be able to tell the entire effects+percentages totaling for a single vaccine and not just a single discovered/known one we have atm. as well as clinical trials tending to exaggerate efficacy while underreporting adverse side effects such as j&j did for example. its just uncharted territory and times we're in really b/c vaccines are supposed to be in trials at these stages(and for the next 7+ odd years to be accurate) but as is the world, the trials/errors are being discovered as they're being administered solely off the fact there not being enough time to base anything off. As you've probably come to see, for myself am choosing to caution on the side on the error with this vaccine process. I'm not pretending to know-it-all by any means. In fact, I hope to get to have genuine interactions here with others. I'm just doing whatever due diligence possible to try to learn more. Like for example: I learnt the SARS coronavirus outbreak of 2003, there is still no non-emerg approved vaccine 17 years later (prior to COVID-19) despite many years of efforts to develop them. I found out that when they used certain trials on animals(mice), they later on discovered it caused severe liver damage and as a result wasn't able to be approved for human use. Trials (over years) allow us to figure these things out. It's why I have my personal concerns with how abruptly the current vaccines have been rolled out in emergency use. And why lots of researchers/regulators/doctors/etc have voiced concerns about it on the other end of the specturm. Like the SARS1 trial vaccines, if they rolled them out in emerg use for the entire general public, they'd have discovered later the liver damage+multitude of other long term effects it caused. There's no way for any of us to know that rn with where things stand in the world. And it's why you have to respects peoples choice if they're comfortable moving forward or not with said variables/unknowns. As I said before, if it weren't for my overall wellbeing and 4-5 years back, yea I'd gladly take a vaccine knowing how torn my body and immune system was. It's really about weighing risk/reward for yourself, and everyone has their own definitions for that. anyone else here, feel free to share any sort of breakthroughs and such, would love to read and educate myself more - hope everyone stays safe!
  10. ok so wanting to share my stance on the covid vaccine and open to hearing peoples responses and learning, here goes nothing: (please don't bother responding if you have anything disparaging or judgmental to say) I'm a healthy male under the age of 30 with no current underlying health issues. A few years back I had a sudden health problem which needed immediate medical care - long story short, fortune was on my side and I came out clear of that health problem. As as result of the diagnosis/treatment, I was in weakened physical state for a span of about 1or2 years having to recover from it at which I have done. Couple weeks back actually, received a letter from BC GOV pertaining to "CEV" (clinically extremely vulnerable) COVID19 vaccination since I had a history. Was surprised to have gotten it b/c its been over 4 years since I was ill and 2 years having fully recovered to healthy after being in the dumps from the diagnosis. Guess my name's in the health registry so it got sent out even though I'm 100% in the clear now for quite some time. so despite getting that letter, I chose to forgo my CEV vaccination. No I'm not anti-vax and will share my reasoning for why. reason being I'm completely healthy and of the age where COVID isn't detrimental like it is to others (45+ is where you begin to see significant differences, 65+ being the extreme end of that). Simply put, self evaluating where I stand atm, i don't feel dependent on needing the vaccine to boost my immunity b/c my age(u30) + currently uncompromised health statistically will show virtually the same response to the vaccine as it would to actual COVID (in fact, studies show I may be down under the weather for an extra day or 2 with a vaccine). And just as reference to show, I evaluated myself a few years ago and for 4 consecutive years took annual flu shots due to the treatment I underwent and years following where I had to work my way back to a strong level. Knowing I was sick and had a weak immune system, I chose to take the flu shots then. The last 2 years, I haven't because I don't feel at risk like I did those prior years where then I did rely on them to help get me through. There's no shame in that nor in saying you don't feel so reliant on having to take it imo. I've been delved into COVID for longer than most. Following independent reporters, actually became aware of COVID in early Nov of 2019. See at the time, I had more concern than most people having recovered from a pretty serious health issue and every day, I'd see the things being reported which at the time was 4-5 months before it became mainstream in March of 2020. Ngl i was terrified because of the lack of knowledge anyone had on it and how China att was actually suppressing journalists and citizens from sharing it to the world - there was a lot of unknown which made it difficult to see between the lines and come to any sort of understanding. Actually in Dec2019 when I had my semi annual follow up appointment with the hospital doc, i shared to her what I learned of COVID and asked if she was aware of it. Firstly she was surprised an average joe like me (not in the medical field) was aware of it this early on and then proceeded to say that she and her colleagues had been aware for about a month and following it intensively, knowing it's only a matter of time before it spread. Funny enough I said they will probably try to create a vaccine of some sort right like the SARS outbreak of 2003 and she jokingly said, "don't quote me on it" (which I'm doing exactly the opposite of rn ) "but I think it'll be like the flu shot where you'll take it every year if more than 1 strain emerges which looks likely". We've met more times since and still talk about how we spoke for nearly an hour that day when I was in for a 5 min checkup lol. There was study published less than a month ago showing that 94% of COVID hospitalizations on average had 2-3 (2.6 to be exact) comorbidities. 78% of those alone are from people who are obese (counting as a single comorbidity). Meaning COVID hospitalizations (94% of them) are an overwhelming result from having some sort of pre-existing health condition. It really does show that it pays to be healthy and the immeasurable value it holds for those that don't neglect it. Then there's my friends mum. I went to his house a over a month ago and his mom works with the FDA, government, and pharmaceutical companies that make all sorts of drugs. She's been working for 15+ years as a regulator that holds drug makers accountable to any kinds of negative effects on their products. So as everyone is doing, we got into COVID talk and she went on to say how she and her colleagues were overlooking vaccine manufactures from 2020 beyond. She said some pretty telling stuff about the vaccine and how the companies have actually stated they're trial doses being administered since they were rolled out in "emergency basis/use" and skipped animal trial(which is the case for every other vaccine/shot made prior) which is the first time ever a vaccine(s) of this volume have been able to do that / bypass it. She being a regulator is critical as is I take it but she shared a lot of notes and letters of fellow colleagues of hers/doctors/scientists/etc that raised a lot of concern with how this unprecedented race for a vaccine was developing. She mentioned averaging 3-4 hours of sleep in the summer months of last year b/c that's just how much work and effort was being put in to keep up with things. Ultimately, she said she's electing to not take any of (all) the emergency vaccines seeing she works directly in the industry and there not being anything clear cut about the long term effects of any of them. In fact, she showed where a lot of her coworkers raised red flags about the j&j + astrazeneca leading to potential blood clots and it turns out a few weeks later, that's what's been admitted. In her words, the trials are being done in mass rn with no knowing if there is or isn't wrong with any of the vaccines down the road. Vaccines take 8-10 years to make on average and she said she's uncomfortable with the way they've gone out in rolling them out. In fact, she said working with the FDA there was initially a goldrush for companies to develop their own vaccines but once the initial companies got there's, mostly everyone stopped what they were doing and reverted to them to not be left behind. Usually, different avenues and approaches are taken to come up with various solutions. There were also COVID "remedies" in trials that sort of just got shutdown/suppressed and forgotten when it was certain there were vaccines ready to be made available in emergency use. And 1 final thing, she said her and her colleagues were expecting there to be emergency vaccines - just not for the entire general public. Being in unprecedented times, the people at high risk of COVID effects (certain age groups and people with certain underlying health problems) were thought to be the ones who'd be getting the "emergency use" vaccines. She says her work community was generally shocked when that wasn't the case and in fact being pushed for almost everyone to take it which could be an incredible risk long term not knowing any sort of effects. It was initially supposed to be for "high risk" folks seeing it's skipped clinical trial and all and not just that, an entirely new mrna system of vaccine to boot which only complicates their concerns. People across the board to have to realize this is literal trial and error happening in real time, so you have to respect people's decisions based on if they're comfortable with that or not regardless if they happen to align with yours. ...so all of that is sort of my reasoning as to why I've elected to not take any of the current vaccines. I'm just not comfortable taking something with no firm basis in emergency use when it comes to possible long term effects. The current stops/pauses with certain vaccines is quite literally what would have normally been done in trial phases such as animal testing over a number of years which is what's been bypassed. And most importantly as mentioned somewhere earlier on (ive just noticed this has become quite the text, heck im going to shrink the font a bit to make it easier for whoever reads haha), my uncompromised health allows me not to be reliant to rush in receiving a vaccine with unknown long term effects. That's just my personal decision. I actually shared that with my hospital doc not too long ago and she said she's quite impressed that I went to the lengths I did to make said choice and glad I'm at least aware and have a personal reasoning. Late 2019, for me it was unknowns which led to fear but over the course of last year and how more and more date/research has become readily available, I'm far more at ease knowing the real numbers and percentages and that it's nowhere near the concern it could have been as thought initially.
  11. hi everyone, i wanted to talk about vaccines is there an isolated thread for vaccine talk or is it all wrapped up in this 1 big looking mega thread?
  12. What's the commotion here? everyone in hockey from agents to reporters to fellow GM's know Benning (once again) overpaid a player that the team had no obligation doing whatsoever. example #233 as far as i'm concerned. this has and will be the Canucks reality so long as JB continues to somehow be employed through all these years. everyone in hockey knows the way he operates when it comes to finances and the players+agents are beyond gracious for it. Benning continues to give out these deals, the majority of hockey world laughs, miniscule portion of canucks base tries to justify it. rinse & repeat a leopard doesn't change it's spots.
  13. hahaha yes, great off szn the past summer which translated well this season the group took a huge step to build off last playoffs right? o , ye nevermind
  14. Sheary has better offensive contributions right now (TOI/PP vs production) and better corsi and has less giveaways than Pearson. I could care less about size if the size translates to less hockey efficacy compared to the price tags (main comparison im making, dont try to twist this into something else other than the contracts at hand). using your analogy, you'd take Gudbranson over Stecher because ...size? u do u
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