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TGokou

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Everything posted by TGokou

  1. I think so. Unless Petey goes ahead and scores 100 pts in the next two seasons I can't see him making more than 10M? Boeser I'm expecting anywhere between 7-7.5M. Hughes, anyone's guess right now...probably around 6-7 if he reaches 50 pts? Mind you this is at todays rate. I fully expect the cap...and player's salaries to jump significantly in next year or so.
  2. I'm all aboard the Panarin train. I wasn't sure initially if we should try to make the splash but here is why I think it is a trade that will work out for us in the end. Our young core won't be signing their contracts for another 2 years and the cap will definitely go up significantly once Seattle comes into the league. You can pay him $11M for 6-7 years and as long as he doesn't have too steep of a drop off his contract will be manageable in those final years. He's been remarkably consistent and still relatively young at 27. At 7 years he will only be 33 so I don't expect too much of a decline. He will instantly complete our top line and we can then focus on filling out our 2nd and 3rd lines.
  3. One of his guys had basically boxed him out so he couldn't cut to the inside. He saw that the player 'had' to go wide and he closed it off. I wouldn't call this an impressive play. A good read though.
  4. Yah I'm falling in love with Seider but he definitely would be a reach at 10. I would want to see the Canucks try to get another first rounder or trade down. It's hard to find any good clips from german league and Seider hasn't been in any major tournaments. He did however compete in the WJC-20 D1A where he had in 5 games played: 1 G 6 A 7 P and +8 while winning gold in the process, an absolutely dominant performance for him in that tournament. Granted the teams they play are not good competition as you are competing against teams like Norway, Belarus, Austria and Latvia but it is an U20 tournament so playing against older competition. The only notable comparables I could find in approximately 8 years of the tournament are the following players Oliver Bjorkstrand Draft Season: 5G 3A 8 P in 5 Games Draft Season WHL: 31G 32A 63P in 65 Games D+1 Season: 4G 2 A 6 P in 5 Games Draft Season WHL: 50G 59A 109P in 69 Games Dominik Bokk - Not yet NHLer but drafted 1st round last year Draft Season: 1G 4A 5P in 5 Games Draft +1 Season: 1G 7A 8P in 5 Games SHL Season: 8G 15A 23P in 47 Games Nikolaj Ehlers Draft Season 2G 4A 6P in 5G Draft Season QMJHL: 49G 55A 104P in 63G The main takeaway I can see here is that it's not a very high scoring tournament and even for players that had over 100P in their respective leagues (WHL and QMJHL), they had only about slightly over ppg in the tournament. The fact that Seider had 7 points in in 5 Games is a testament to how offensively skilled he can be. I hate to use short tournaments as comparables but I think it's realistic to say that if he were playing in the CHL, he would most likely have anywhere between .8-1 ppg playing against his peers. He had a better tournament statistically than Nikolaj Ehlers who had over 100 points his draft year! Just so you know, for under 18 players playing in this tournament Seider currently sits 4th all time going back just under 10 years.
  5. Thought I'd mention this as well since there's been a lot of talk about Seider. He's had two injuries (shoulder?) where he missed 3-5 weeks during the season so I guess that could be a knock against him.
  6. Trust me, you'd rather he develop in a pro league, even if it's the german DEL. Generally speaking D-men just tend to develop better in men's leagues. However the option is always there for him to come over as early as next season if you draft him, or you can leave him where he is for one more season. I'm not for or against either option although I think he 'may' have a better development path as he's already proven in that league by winning rookie of the year so he will get tons of minutes. He will also be a star in the league in the sense that I'm sure lots of people will want to see who the next german NHLer might be so he will get a lot more attention both on the ice and off the ice.
  7. Agreed. Would definitely be a bold pick but I'd support him if his team thought he was the best player with the best possible upside. Like I've said before, it's not how your ranked at the time of the draft as that is only a snapshot at any given time, it's how you project and what your ultimate upside will be. I think Seider has an amazing upside and definitely can be a #1 - #2 D man in this league. Is it likely? Probably not in the way of generating significant offense although I've said I think he can be a 25-35 point guy playing on your top defense pairing with the odd 40 point year. These projections are only based on a 'snap-shot' of how he has developed up to today. If he has a significant progression next season then his upside could be a lot higher. Personally I think they should trade down 2-3 draft spots and try to get him there rather than take him at the 10th overall pick.
  8. He's been playing really well since joining the Huskies. Currently at 1.5 PPG in the playoffs. He will be fine. 2014: Ehlers 2015: Konecny 2016: I think I was only slightly leaning towards Tkachuk (vs Juolevi) 2017: Pettersson 2018: Dobson
  9. I posted this in the "Who would you draft at #10?" thread but thought it deserves to go here more. Coming into today I didn't really know too much about Moritz Seider from the german DEL league. Fact is there isn't really a lot of comparables and so it is scary to draft a player from a relatively unknown league. However based on my research I think it's safe to say it is a pro league that probably isn't quite on par with SEL, Liiga, or KHL...maybe closer to swedish Allvenskan league. He currently has 6 points 2G 4A in 29 games which is good for .21 ppg and also has 3A in 9 playoff games. People may scoff at those numbers but for a pro league that is pretty good production, even if it's the german DEL. If compared with Phillip Broberg's Allvenskan numbers their ppg are fairly comparable. Moritz Seider is a 6'4'' RH defenseman, 198lb with a late birthday (April 2001). He apparently has above average skating considering his size and can maintain excellent gap control. He is also quite physical with a good reach and rarely makes mistakes defensively in the pro league. Personally I feel if he were playing in a more well-known league he'd be going top 10 or just outside of the top 10 but is currently rated in the mid-teens. Personally I think he would make a great addition to the Canucks and he could be slotted in to fill that RH d man position beside Hughes. The fact that he is 6'4'' with good skating and excellent defense will greatly help Hughes in the future. However I also think he has offensive upside. Based on the very few comparables I could scrounge up he projects to be significantly better than other german D-men such as Christian Erhoff and Dennis Seidenberg. I think his ceiling is 25-30 points in the NHL per season but that could easily go up to 35-40 depending on how well he develops next year and how he is deployed in the NHL in the future. Based on his projected rankings based on most scouting lists he currently is rated firmly in the mid-teens. I have a feeling this is primarily because of the fact he plays in the german league and so most scouts have no problem slotting him behind other players such as Victor Soderstrom, Phillip Broberg, Thomas Harley and Arthur Kaliyev. Personally I feel he deserves to go much higher but is he top 10 material? I'm not sure how other teams feel about drafting a player that high out of the DEL but I definitely would be open to trading down 2-3 picks while picking up a 2nd round pick in the process. Worst case scenario I believe at least Soderstrom, Boldy, and maybe one of the top 10 fallers could still be there at the 12-13 pick although I feel Seider should still be there for the picking. If the Canucks don't trade down, he is my darkhorse pick to be picked early causing CDC to melt down because they have never heard of this guy.
  10. Coming into today I didn't really know too much about Moritz Seider from the german DEL league. Fact is there isn't really a lot of comparables and so it is scary to draft a player from a relatively unknown league. However based on my research I think it's safe to say it is a pro league that probably isn't quite on par with SEL, Liiga, or KHL...maybe closer to swedish Allvenskan league. He currently has 6 points 2G 4A in 29 games which is good for .21 ppg and also has 3A in 9 playoff games. People may scoff at those numbers but for a pro league that is pretty good production, even if it's the german DEL. If compared with Phillip Broberg's Allvenskan numbers their ppg are fairly comparable. Moritz Seider is a 6'4'' RH defenseman, 198lb with a late birthday (April 2001). He apparently has above average skating considering his size and can maintain excellent gap control. He is also quite physical with a good reach and rarely makes mistakes defensively in the pro league. Personally I feel if he were playing in a more well-known league he'd be going top 10 or just outside of the top 10 but is currently rated in the mid-teens. Personally I think he would make a great addition to the Canucks and he could be slotted in to fill that RH d man position beside Hughes. The fact that he is 6'4'' with good skating and excellent defense will greatly help Hughes in the future. However I also think he has offensive upside. Based on the very few comparables I could scrounge up he projects to be significantly better than other german D-men such as Christian Erhoff and Dennis Seidenberg. I think his ceiling is 25-30 points in the NHL per season but that could easily go up to 35-40 depending on how well he develops next year and how he is deployed in the NHL in the future. Based on his projected rankings based on most scouting lists he currently is rated firmly in the mid-teens. I have a feeling this is primarily because of the fact he plays in the german league and so most scouts have no problem slotting him behind other players such as Victor Soderstrom, Phillip Broberg, Thomas Harley and Arthur Kaliyev. Personally I feel he deserves to go much higher but is he top 10 material? I'm not sure how other teams feel about drafting a player that high out of the DEL but I definitely would be open to trading down 2-3 picks while picking up a 2nd round pick in the process. Worst case scenario I believe at least Soderstrom, Boldy, and maybe one of the top 10 fallers could still be there at the 12-13 pick although I feel Seider should still be there for the picking. If the Canucks don't trade down, he is my darkhorse pick to be picked early causing CDC to melt down because they have never heard of this guy.
  11. To answer your question, you just answered your own question lol. Plus I totally get it but at #10 I think it's a great boom or bust pick. From what I hear he plays with a lot more jam than most realize so he definitely doesn't play soft. I think Benning would really have to consider it.
  12. I wonder if there's a chance, albeit slim that Podkolzin will drop as far as 10th to the Canucks. I think the reason noone has talked about him is because most of us expect him to go early but I do wonder if the Russian factor and the fact he has made it clear he will stay in the KHL will put teams off. He has done remarkably well in the international tournaments and I think he will get another chance to showcase at the u18 tournament. Either way at this spot do you continue to pass with the "No Russians" mentality or do you try to go for a homering pick. I think at this spot if he was available you would have to pick him.
  13. Oh come on, either you completely can't see emotions on someone's face or you didn't watch his interview after. I thought it was fairly obvious.
  14. Did anyone see how choked Jack Hughes was? Looks like he was trying to contain tears.
  15. It's not that we over rate him, he he is deserving of going in the #3 spot but you might be right in that teams will take centers over Dmen with such a high pick. The odds of Dmen working out top5 as #1 D pair are not as high as say a center that is drafted top 5 in the draft. Not to mention they tend to have less fanfare than a forward, they are harder to sell to an uneducated crowd who want flashy forwards. There's reasonable thought that Byram could slip as far as 6 but if that's the case I think whoever gets him there will be getting a hell of a steal.
  16. For me personally I find it hard to project a player from a league that has almost no comparables. I like him from the eye test but wouldn't want to select him in the 9-10 range like you said. Fully agree on either dropping down or seeing if you can get a mid 1st somehow. I still have Soderstrom ranked before Seider though.
  17. The problem with Krebs is not the argument that "he should've had an additional xx number of points" if he were on a better team it's the fact that he is on a crap team and will be for the forseeable future unless another team trades for him. I'm not a huge fan of the WHL/OHL/QMJHL overall as a development league which I've made clear in some of my previous posts but the fact that he's on a losing team just makes it that much worse and is no good for his development. It's not where you are in your development in your draft year, it's what you will continue to do in your D+1 and D+2. I'm not saying that he won't develop next year, I just think being on a bad team will severely hamper his development.
  18. The problem I see is that if I were Fox, in the end what is an extra year in the NHL even if it's the team i want to play for? The guy is in Harvard with one more year to get a degree. That right there can be worth more than a million dollars of playing in the NHL.
  19. Definitely been impressed with Rathbones season. I think a lot of us are sleeping on this pick as a prospect. He could be really good for us one day. The only thing that sucks is he will have to play behind Fox for another year.
  20. I also agree with you on the point about Boldy. Doesn't seem like a play driver and his stats could be inflated playing with such elite talent. In some aspects I feel if you were choosing between Boldy and Caufield I'd rather take Caufield but I'm confident Boldy will go before Caufield. Even if we are picking at 9-10 I still feel there may be better choices such as Seider or Soderstrom. I haven't made up my mind yet but I'm just not seeing it with Boldy.
  21. I am pretty sure all their draft lists are set a week or more before the draft. They can't let emotions get to them on draft day where they flip flop on their agreed upon selections.
  22. Wow it's coming up fast! Not holding my breath though.
  23. I think a lot of us would agree that Byram is BPA at #3 including myself. Realistically however, I see him getting drafted #4-6. While #1 D-men in this league are impossible to trade for, there is usually a lower chance of getting a #1 D in the top 10 of a draft than drafting a #1 center. Regardless of what we think of Byram, the stats don't lie that there is no guarantee he will be a true #1 D man in this league although he will for sure be a top 4 D-man. Having said that, there are a handful of centers (choose your pick!) that all project to be #1 centers in this league and typically have a greater chance of success of hitting their potential. This is why in previous years you saw a guy like Barrett Hayton and Pierre Luc-Dubois move up in the draft. Rarely do you see a defenseman get chosen ahead of where he is ranked. Teams just value centers more overall in the top 10 and I anticipate that will have an effect on where Byram is selected in the actual draft order.
  24. The funny thing about Caufield is that he may be one of the most talented in the draft but I still don't expect him to be drafted in the top 10. Let's take Alex Debrincat for example who would be a great comparable. Even in a 2016 redraft, Debrincat would probably be re-rated as 7-8 (as of this moment). I think if Caufield hit Debrincat's ceiling we'd all be ecstatic but that would also be assuming he DID hit his Ceiling, there's also a good chance he's an effective player but not to the same degree as Debrincat. Therefore I can't see him going any higher than 10th, most likely in the 10-15 range.
  25. I am secretly hoping for Kaapo Kakko. I just saw his highlight package and I was unaware how deceptive and agile this player is. Most of his goals are scored near the net and is not afraid to play somewhat physical. I wouldn't say he's a prototypical power forward that barges his way to the net. This guy can stickhandle out of a booth and has silky mitts.
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