Jump to content
The Official Site of the Vancouver Canucks
Canucks Community

TGokou

Members
  • Posts

    854
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by TGokou

  1. Not making a case for Kent Johnson as a comparable stylistic wise but based on previous players who have gone through the BCHL system such as Kyle Turris, Tyson Jost and Alex Newhook and their very comparable D+1 NCAA seasons I can see Kent Johnson going anywhere from 7-11. Since Johnson is practically a year older than most of these comparables his draft season is most comparable with the aforementioned D+1 where most of them were either ppg or slightly over ppg. Personally I see an upside cap of anywhere between .4-.8 ppg which would equate to 30pt-60 pt per season. Mind you this is a small comparable and if they felt that Johnson could vastly improve based on opportunities and/or coaching I could see teams willing to reach a little higher. Personally I don't see the huge potential in a player like this if Canucks wanted to take a swing at a big game player but I think his floor is 3rd line center and his ceiling is 2nd line center. With a choice between Edvinsson and Johnson I'd be willing to go Edvinsson. Edvinsson could take longer to develop but I think Edvinsson will be a a decent 2nd pairing D floor with potential for top pairing potential.
  2. I think this thread has died because of all the crazy speculative plays that have blown up over the course of the last few months. Time to talk bout normal names that I think have great potential. I really like BABA and it's my number one holding right now, I believe we are looking at a double in the next couple years if not more. It's going to always have political overhang on the stock but it's just too damn cheap to ignore from a valuation stand point considering it's growth.
  3. Big difference in talent. Also Wallstedt apparently has the technical side already down which is where I believe most goalies need time to improve. If anything it means that Wallstedt will be NHL ready a lot sooner than most goalies.
  4. Had been watching GEO for a while. Really beaten down but supremely undervalued even at the levels it's at today after a short squeeze. Anyways it was about 40% shorted. Prison REIT with tons of cashflow with debt being the only thing holding it back. Bought some at $6 range and holding till Friday.
  5. Since everyone here is chiming in BPA and what that means I have a feeling to most teams BPA means the player with the most 'trade value' assuming he reaches their expected potential. There is a reason why teams typically draft centers and defensemen first. They also generally tend to gravitate towards 'safer' choices. By that I mean they will generally take the player that has shown more in their draft year (but are also a early Oct-Jan) birthday vs a young (May-August) birthday who has shown a little less but still just as highly skilled. This trend is starting to shift however with more teams entering the analytics fold. Overall, this tends to leave more 'skilled' real BPA wingers fighting for the 5-10 spot.
  6. I'm not gonna let my hopes up that we select 1st or 2nd and assume we draft 9th. I am also loving McTavish at this pick for the same reasons you give. There was a scouting report that he may be better suited to wing which I don't have a problem with although I'd still prefer him as third line center.
  7. I do have to say Guenther is really interesting as a prospect. Typically the centres and defensemen get all the priority so I could see Guenther anywhere between 3-7. Even though it's a smaller sample size 2 PPG (with a 1.0 gpg) is indicative of a #1 winger in the NHL and although it's not really our priority he would solidify our top 6 and give us depth on the third line. I could see him as a 25-30goal scorer 60 pts in his prime with upside of PPG in his prime. Boeser -Pettersson - Miller Guenther - Horvat - Podkolzin Motte - Lind - Pearson Highmore - Boyd - xx Personally I'd still rather see us draft a defenseman but if the top three D men and top 2 centers are gone I think Guenther would be an amazing pick. Of course this also now depends on where Vancouver drafts and it's looking more and more likely we will draft at 9 or lower.
  8. To be fair a lot of us had Seider ranked higher than where his final rankings stood. I'll still give that I doubt any of us had Seider THAT high but I was still disappointed when he got drafted by Wings. In the end a few spots won't make a difference as long as you get your guy.
  9. I still think he probably needs one more year in the AHL but at least we can call him up and he can play a game here and there now that they are moving to Abbotsford.
  10. I can think of another recent draft pick Joni Jurmo that is much the same. Was ranked pretty high and then fell to us. Had the skating and a big guy but made bad errors and offense wasn't quite there. I'm not suggesting Edvinsson will fall nearly that far but would not be surprised if he fell out off top 10. Also his shot is quite weak so that's definitely not one of his strengths.
  11. Personally I don't see why Edvinsson would go any higher than 5-6. To me he doesn't scream high offense. Sure the guy is big and can skate and he may eventually put it all together but he's still very raw and can't really be compared to a Hedman / Ekblad / Seider who had the offense as well. If Canucks are drafting in 7-8 range and he's still available I might take a look at him depending on who is still available as I feel the range of 7-10 is more where he deserves to sit.
  12. From what Ive heard he's a pretty good skater although not to the same extent as Hughes or Makar.
  13. With the way we've been playing there's still a great likelihood we will be drafting anywhere between 8-14. I do have to say Corson Ceuleman is a really interesting prospect. With the few games he's played there's a lot to like. Most would probably compare him to Cale Makar because they came from the same junior team (Brook's Bandits of AJHL). He was rated top 10 last year, has some size to him and with limited sample size has shown that he can put up points to a similar degree to Makar but almost a full year younger when compared at the draft. Also a RHD which helps our defensive depth which is a bonus.
  14. For "long term" play do you know if disc or viac is better? I've heard disc has more going for it but I haven't really done any reasonable amount of DD on it.
  15. We all know that fundamentals don't mean anything in these crazy markets. GME was practically trading at 1x cashflow at one point (back in 2020) so things can get ugly before it gets better. Unfortunately I would say only 10-20% investors are now value investors so the other 80% traders will continue selling because they get stopped out or what not. Personally I'm just gonna wait for a nice long consolidation bottom before getting in.
  16. I gotta agree here. It is not going to hit all time for highs or come even close for a looooong time. The fact a hedge fund blew up over it means that money is now completely lost and will never be invested in those companies again. I could potentially see a dead cat bounce but it would likely be capped at about $45-50. The fact there was barely a dead cat bounce after it imploded suggests that it might still have much lower to go.
  17. Assuming we are drafting 4-7 and assuming Powers,Beniers,Hughes are gone I'd want Clarke, Johnsson, Guenther, Eklund...probably in that order. I think there will be a few surprises in the top 10. I think Pastujov and Silinger have a chance at making it into the top 10.
  18. What are you investing into now? I had a few speculative plays..bag holding a couple but luckily it wasn't a huge part of my portfolio. Have a decent amount in tech stocks that have rebounded nicely (aapl, fb, lspd, sq,msft). Large chunk in pds (pd.to for tsx) as I like the value and long term play on this...looking for double or triple on it in a few years. The rest in fairly safe dividend yielders
  19. Pretty sure what he suggested is not the Smith Manoevre. Smith Manoevre implies borrowing money and leveraging your investment. He is only taking the extra cashflow to invest which is just regular investing with actual cash.
  20. I don't think anyone can make that decision for you so take our advice with a grain of salt. Rather than trying to time the top which you'll never be able to do, do what you feel comfortable with and be sure your ok with any negative emotions that come with making that decision down the road. Here is what I'd do from a financial point of view though. First of all how close are you to retirement and if housing prices came back down would you be forced/panic sell? Would you be able to hang on for another 10 years? If you did sell what would you do with the money and how would you manage it? If your buying another property then it's not such a big deal as you'll still have skin in the game. With the excess cash do you plan on investing it into stock market where you can get 6-8% returns annually? I assume the property is already paid off so your no longer leveraged. If your not leveraged then you can afford to put it into stock market (assuming you have the tolerance for it) into some safe dividend aristocrats. I'd also do this if you need the income from your investments to fund your retirement. To be honest there's no real urgency to sell your property yet. Your probably safe to see if the property increases any more in the next few months so take your time.
  21. Yah it's been pretty quiet on here. Definitely not having a good time of it in the last week. I'm sure others are feeling the same.
  22. Wow team high in what is basically the most intense situation you can be in...tie game going into third period of a playoff game. Shows the coach knows who is the best overall player and he can't afford to play politics any longer.
  23. Crazy end to the day. Everything just tanked in the last hour. Picked up some oil stocks to average down and will buy more if it dips again tomorrow.
×
×
  • Create New...