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TGokou

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Everything posted by TGokou

  1. I have him pretty high on my list. Probably anywhere between 12-14 but would be fine if we selected him at 10. The difference between 10-12 is so miniscule that if you truely believed in this player then you would have no qualms selecting him at 10. Not to mention if he reached his ceiling his value would be a lot higher than all the forwards you would be selecting in his place.
  2. I get the feeling the Canucks scouting team has him rated lower than 10. If I have to guess their ranking system for sure favors centers and defensemen based on previous drafts. In addition the 3 interviews that are confirmed(?) were Zegras, Newhook and Krebs. Also Benning mentioned being interested in Broberg and Soderstrom.
  3. And to further expand I think he means Hlinka tournament..
  4. It is true. However surgery vs having a few weeks off because he tweaked his shoulder is a completely different story. Of course I would want to know the extent of the injury. A few weeks off leads me to believe it was just a shoulder sprain that will/has fully recovered. Not to mention he came back and played even better than before. I personally have Seider ahead of Krebs in my own personal rankings.
  5. I too project him as a 50-60 point 2nd liner but even then it's not guaranteed that he reaches that ceiling. While his points are lower than Jost and Turris, he does have more 5v5 points after taking away all PP points. He also did play with inferior linemates in comparison to Jost and Turris. I hope I'm wrong and he can project to be a 60-70 point guy but if he only has 50-60 points a season my reasoning is that perhaps a D like Seider who could pot 30 points might be more valuable, both on our team and in trade value.
  6. Same here. Everyone likes to make excuses for why he won't get be a good player. Ie. Skating, size, playoffs etc. His elite talent will shine through regardless of his 'short'comings. I expect his floor to be 25 goals and potentially upwards of 40 goals in his prime as his upside.
  7. I agree, this will likely ruin most of his off-season training. No lingering injuries going into the off-season for any player please. This off-season is a huge developmental step for many of these players and this will set him back.
  8. While I wouldn't be against this pick with the 3rd my two concerns are that his production for USHS-Prep is only decent for a forward. On top of that he is going to Harvard which is the one school where I feel most of the players who wait for unrestricted free agency come from. While it may work with Rathbone, he was more of a faller from the 1st round because he chose to stay in highschool a second developmental year. A player like Farinacci will likely need the full four years of development to get to a level where he is ready to play in the NHL and thus choose where he would like to play.
  9. Do remember that Button rates on who he believes will be the best player down the road. While it's easy to criticize his choices I can also understand why he has some of the players rated as high and as low as he does.
  10. Just watched a bunch of games of Seider at the WC. Here is my take-away points in point form Good: -Excellent gap-control and defensive positioning. Very good IQ in this regard - Good speed skating backwards and never let the forward get around him. - Has a bit of snarl and isn't afraid to cross-check players after the whistle, even against men - Seems to pick and choose his spots wisely as to when to rub his man out along the boards - Shows confidence on offence and while he rarely jumps into the play he is looking to get the puck back on a give and go - Has a heavy shot, I noticed an opposing player go down hard after blocking a half slap-shot Bad - His passes are not always tape-to-tape but overall I only noticed this a few times - Doesn't have blazing fast speed and didn't really notice him make any zone-entries on his own for the most part - A little passive on the offensive blue-line, would like to see him move around a bit more and try to find open ice for a pass - Needs to work on his ability to walk the line, didn't notice it enough All in all he was extremely solid defensively playing against men at the WC. I didn't really see much offensive drives/production from him, partially because he wasn't involved on the PP and because I didn't feel he moved his feet enough to make himself open for the pass. Once in a while he would make a rush with the forwards and that's when he looked dangerous offensively but once they are in the zone I didn't notice too many rushes down low. This could just be coaching and he doesn't want to make those moves and get caught. Anyways, this is pretty much a recap of what we already know about Seider but at least I can say these are my own opinions on him as a whole.
  11. I'm not sure I agree with this statement from what I've heard about him. Gap control is not that good, offensive ability is limited. His skating speed is tantalizing but you can do the same with a forward like Alex Newhook. We already have one speedy rover on the backend, I'm not sure if pairing him up with a Broberg would be that sound defensively.
  12. I have no problem selecting Caufield with the 10th overall pick. I believe people just want to assign a label to him as to why he can't do something. I could say that about a number of other players. Broberg will never be a good player, he has low IQ. Podkolzin is Russian. Zegras played behind Hughes and didn't get good matchups...grossly overated etc. (BTW, I was being sarcastic about all of these). I have no doubts Caufield will be an elite goal scorer in this league. I think 30 is his floor...playoffs...ok different animal completely but the way he jumps into plays with a quick give and go has me feeling he will be just fine. He's not really the type of player to carry a puck and dance around a defender. He sneaks into those spots so interference won't be a problem for him.
  13. I don't know if I expect an increase in production but I don't think it was inflated either this year. He was playing behind Josh Brooks most of the year and when he went down with injury was when Woo started to make some noise in the league. Going to Calgary will be like going to a new system and so there will be a slight learning curve but it'll be good for him as he can adapt to a new change of scenery and learn new things. If he can increase his production a small amount that would be excellent for his development but not necessarily expected.
  14. I'm pretty sure Seider would be a Parayko comparable. He will be counted on defensively while chipping in 25-35 pts in his prime. I'm not sure I see much more offensive upside with this guy then that. It is a still top pairing if he can chip in once in a while holding the fort defensively while Hughes does his work on the other side.
  15. All this talk about Moritz Seider from our own Canucks fans does make me wonder if we overvalue him when most of the scouting services have him late teens to 20's. Personally I'm sure he goes anywhere between 12-20 as I am confident in his offensive abilities. He is not a dymanic defenseman and therefore will likely never breach 40 points in the NHL but I can see him netting 25-40 for the majority of his career and that's fine. If he is drafted 10th overall I'd be ecstatic although wondering if we drafted him too high. I'd prefer to trade down 3-4 spots to 13-14th and draft him there, garnering a 2nd round pick in the process and if Seider is gone there will still be a really good player there for us.
  16. Caufield doesn't have poor skating. It's just not his strength. His skating is still above-average.
  17. I understand where your coming from and I just made an argument to counteract a pretty weak argument that Debrincat was somehow responsible for Chicago not making it into the playoffs. Also the size argument for forwards is somewhat debunked as small forwards have had lots of success in the playoffs. St. Louis in Tampa, Brad Marchand, etc. It all depends on how much heart you have. Gaudreau disappearing in the playoffs is not a new phenomenon. You can point to a dozen players (big players) who have disappeared in the playoffs much the same way. You pointing to Gaudreau not performing is one example in one particular year. It's not like he didn't have his chances, he just couldn't convert. Happens to the best of them. If anything, playoff success has more to do with your clutch ability in big game situations and your overall heart. Has little to do with your size.
  18. I agree to an extent. It's not black and white where if you have two small guys on your D you are not going to win in the playoffs. However you do need a balance so pair a bigger guy with your small D to balance it out. More than anything it matters more on your backend then it does in your forward group. While Boston has lots of smaller guys in their forward group, and a couple of smaller D on their backend they also have the size back there to balance it out. Also St. Louis D looks huge but they can still skate and keep up with the play. Since we already have Hughes, Stecher and most likely Rathbones making it into the league we will need some bigger D to balance our own backend. Broberg, Seider or Harley would go a long way. Seider has more of a mean streak from what I can tell but possibly injury prone. Broberg has crazy talent but no guarantee he can put it all together. I would still choose either of them over a Soderstrom tho.
  19. Right..and that's exactly why I wouldn't draft McDavid either..the tool can't even get Edmonton into the playoffs. What a bust...
  20. My personal take on Caufield is that he has enough skill that he will be an effective player in the league with a minimum of 25 goals a season in his prime, falling more realistically between 30-40 goals. This is based solely on regular season production assuming he's paired with one or two guys that have drive play and pass the puck to him. His edge work is really good as far as I can tell and his top end speed is good...but he's no speedster. Perhaps it is the main thing he can work on during the summer as I believe it's easier to increase your speed when you have a smaller frame to begin with. I'm not sure I would select him in the top 8-9 but after that it's personal preferance and I could see him being selected as early as 9 and as late as 16. The only thing that might hinder him by not having top end speed is his break-away speed and pulling away from defenders. However, a lot of his game seems to be jumping into the gaps left open by a defender and he can do that effectively with his edge-work and acceleration.
  21. I don't know if would say Seider has the same high offensive potential but you also forgot to mention Seiders injuries which would knock him down a little bit at least in my eyes. like you said, I feel with Broberg you are looking at a minimum of 3 years before he makes the NHL..possibly as much as 4. Similar to a Travis Sanheim? Hopefully it doesn't take that long and he blows us out of the water next year assuming we draft him.
  22. Actually this does concern me and hence why I think Seider will "fall" to mid half of 1st now. 2 shoulder injuries and a concussion do not look good for his future outlook. Injuries scare the crap out of me when it comes to draft eligibles. Look at Gabe Vilardi as a recent example who had injuries in his draft year his D+1 and now his D+2. As for Broberg his "mistakes" are concerning but he is still only 17 and may take an extra year to develop that area of his game. If he ever figures it out he will be a game changer at the NHL level with a floor of second pairing defender. Of course it's a big "if" but that's the risk you take atwhen drafting at 10 vs 3-5.
  23. This whole time I thought you were being sarcastic but I guess not haha
  24. I'm thinking 2nd or 3rd would be a bit high. There's no evidence that 5'7" defenseman can make it in this league although I believe he can if talented enough. More like a project 5th or 6th round to me.
  25. Sorry had to correct you here. I've already taken that into consideration. I took ONLY the defensemen that were drafted between 10-20 from 2007-2015. Meaning some years there are as few as 2 D and some years as many as 7D selected. Overall, in about 38 selections total in that time span 10 became 1st pairing D men. Also by weeding out selections I've deemed not worthy of being selected (because of age - No Sept-Dec babies, or because of how low their offensive production was in their draft year) that success rate increases to about 37%. I did a mini report last year on the success rates of D-men born from Sept-Dec being statistically significantly lower. By combining this with the offensive point totals it increases the probability of success significantly.
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