Started to feel the resistance from Ceres to lynch AV even though he knows and sees the logic, Ceres as SK is another strong possibility. If AV is not the SK he is literally a meatshield for whoever is at this point.
I have shown logically why AV is likely maf and Ceres wants to hit maf. Nobody else has the potential to be maf or SK as AV does at this point.
SS maybe KP as you think Ceres but if that is what you think he is the numerical odds are 1/12 of being scum.
AV in my opinion has a purely numerical chance of being town at 1/12 because him being town means he is the only other TP special. He got a PM and is 4x more likely to have gotten a scum PM than town.
Imo that is just the numbers his gameplay and his responses have been anything but towny and not logical in the slightest.