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Everything posted by SID.IS.SID.ME.IS.ME
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Scary news out of California. 56% of Californians is around 25 million people. That’s what they’re projecting for infections, in the State of California, in the next 8 weeks.
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100’s of flying lights/satellites/planes?
SID.IS.SID.ME.IS.ME replied to Vanfansince88's topic in Off-Topic General
Still could be Starlink, or any one of several other sets of satellites that use a trailing formation. I’ve seen some images and reports where the satellites are not in that tight chain, but instead the line is significantly more spaced out (much like what you described). -
Joe Biden Debates Donald Trump September 29
SID.IS.SID.ME.IS.ME replied to DonLever's topic in Off-Topic General
Looks like he’s suspending his campaign advertising on Facebook. https://www.axios.com/bernie-sanders-suspends-facebook-ads-2020-election-8d888649-55fb-4358-a6e6-cac09584bac8.html This usually signals that the end is near. I suspect Bernie will announce fairly soon that he’s suspending the campaign. Axios just jumped the gun with the earlier report (which they quickly corrected). -
Joe Biden Debates Donald Trump September 29
SID.IS.SID.ME.IS.ME replied to DonLever's topic in Off-Topic General
#DropOutBernie Seriously, it’s time. Sanders doesn’t have a path the the nomination anymore. The math just doesn’t work. His support is actually lower than than it was 2016. He hasn’t managed to turn out the young voters he needs. Biden continues to beat him decisively in the battleground states the Dems actually need to turn blue and win an election versus Trump. And the only places Bernie seems to be winning in a head-to-head race with Biden are the Democratic strongholds (like California), which are perma-blue no matter who’s the nominee. At this point, staying in just means forcing people to show up to more primaries during this COVID-19 crisis, which will literally end up costing lives. Lives lost for a cause that has no real chance of succeeding now. At this point, it’s just a really bad look for Bernie and his supporters to keep pushing this lost cause. And I like Bernie. I rated him above Biden, when this process started. Neither of them were at the top of my list, but Bernie was definitely higher than Joe. But this nomination is Biden’s. It’s inevitable. They need to wrap this **** up now. Start working on unifying the party. The Bernie Bros are gonna be sour for a while and the Dems will need as much time as they can get to try to heal the divide. Extending this race just creates more division and bad blood. And more people needlessly heading out to polls during the height of this pandemic. Just give the nomination to Biden now and shut down the primary. Anything else is pure stupidity. -
Well, I guess technically it means invoking the Emergencies Act (formerly the War Measures Act), something that has only happened three times in Canadian history (WWI, WWII, and the October Crisis of 1970). In this case, it would be for a Public Welfare Emergency, which you can read all about here: https://laws-lois.justice.gc.ca/eng/acts/e-4.5/page-1.html This would give the government extraordinary powers to take action to address COVID-19. Just speculating, I’d expect they’d shut down most non-essential public services. We’d likely see what’s already happening in many cities become nationwide policy: shutting down community centres, libraries, swimming pools, ice rinks, etc. I’d expect schools will remain closed past spring break. They could also order temporary closures of private businesses like stores, shopping malls, bars, restaurants, etc, while ensuring places like hospitals, pharmacies, gas stations, and grocery stores remain open. They might restrict travel and/or establish quarantine zones, if deemed necessary. It would also free up funds for the government to use to directly address the emergency, whether that’s paying for medical services and devices not currently covered under the healthcare system, or offering financial assistance/compensation for affected businesses and individuals, and/or a creating some form of overall stimulus package, etc. Lots of possibilities. Really only depends how far they deem necessary to take it, because technically speaking, once the Act is invoked, the government has a lot of power, to the point where they are allowed to temporarily suspend our Charter freedoms. Of course, that’s a really negative and “tinfoil hatty” way of stating things. They’re not going to turn Canada into some dystopian nightmare. They’re just likely (assuming the rumoured State of Emergency happens) going to undertake some fairly sweeping and drastic actions to protect the public, which is most likely a very good thing for the government to do right now. It just might not be much fun.
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Jack Rathbone | #3 | D
SID.IS.SID.ME.IS.ME replied to Tomato Pajamas's topic in Prospects / Farm Team
Harvard lists him at 190 lbs, and I believe that was from weigh-ins near the start of the season. Would not be surprised if he’s gotten stronger and added even more mass, given that he’s known to push really hard in the gym and has made significant gains during previous seasons. I think it’s a fair bet that Rathbone, in his professional prime years of his mid-20s, will be playing at around 200 lbs.- 3,880 replies
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Yeah, like others, I’m not exactly giddy at the prospect of adding Bromé. Not against it either, though. But this would be a pretty minor addition with fairly low odds of yielding an NHL player of any significance. Honestly, we’d probably have been just as well off keeping Rödin in the system. Heck, probably was a better case to add Ābols, before we let rights expire and Florida scooped him up. Ābols is actually doing pretty well as an AHL rookie this season (and he produced at a comparable rate to Bromé in 2018-19). This year, Ābols is scoring around two points every three games for Springfield. And he’s younger than Bromé, has really good size (6’4”, 206 lbs), plays all three forward positions, and can play on a shutdown or scoring line, has some grit, is strong on the puck, and can play PP, PK, and evens. Not that it was a huge loss letting Ābols go. Just he’s a comparable level asset, and we didn’t lose much sleep over it. And if we’re really looking at “free prospects” who are actually closer to 30 than being teenagers, why not just go after some retreads like Grigorenko or Jaskin? They’re both roughly the same age as Bromé, but have produced far more impressive KHL numbers than Bromé’s 2019-20 SHL scoring, and they also have proven that they can at least hold their own and play regular shifts in the NHL. Both players are also said to have matured and developed more complete games since they last saw NHL ice.
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Bye bye hockey. AHL and CHL (OHL, WHL, and QMJHL) follow the NHL and suspend play until further notice. EDIT: NCAA and USHL too EDIT2: and looks like SHL, Liiga, Extraliga, DEL, NLA, EBEL, Metal Ligaen are all cancelling or postponing playoffs or entire seasons. KHL seems to be continuing their playoffs, but now will be playing in empty buildings.
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I wouldn’t mind giving him a shot. Oops, didn’t even intend to start punning yet. But in all seriousness, Johnny Walker is a solid player with a fun backstory and a great name. When he was a teenager, he weighed 230 lbs and was over 20% body fat. ASU offered him an opportunity, but only if he could cut some serious weight. Kid lost around 30 pounds over one summer and kept working hard at his training, and today he plays at a rather svelte 185 lbs and under 10% body fat. Walker is one of the top goalscorers in the NCAA over the past few years, with a good variety of high quality shots in his toolkit and a set of quick hands. He plays a very aggressive style, hard on the forecheck, pressuring defenders, and driving the net, but he can also snipe from distance. Plays with a lot of grit and loves to antagonize opponents, bringing a fairly refined pest game to his bag of tricks (he actually models his game after Brad Marchand). One of those guys who’s hated by anyone he plays against, but that every one of his teammates just loves being around, on and off the ice. Brings a ton of energy to his team and keeps spirits high. Here’s a good article on Walker from a couple years back: https://www.sportingnews.com/us/nhl/news/johnny-walker-arizona-state-style-grows-college-hockey-in-desert/1u2ywnl4xeina1qcj5b2307tq2 Like most of the “free prospects,” he’s a long shot to become an NHL player. But given his relative quality among the players this year’s UDFA class, coupled with his personality and story (and, of course, that name), I’d be quite happy to see the Canucks take a flyer on him. Most of all though, I like the possibilities of the having a Johnny Walker on the Canucks. The whole “Shotgun Jake” thing isn’t really my bag, but I would happily drain a nice glass of scotch every time this guy scores a goal (and I have a feeling @Alflives would join me ).
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[Signing] Red Wings re-sign Alex Biega
SID.IS.SID.ME.IS.ME replied to -Vintage Canuck-'s topic in Trades, Rumours, Signings
I think quality of teammates (EDIT: and obviously the quality of the players themselves) is probably having a much larger impact on Corsi for the players you’re discussing here. Zone starts tend not to be much of a factor (most zone start adjustments are <2% CF%). For example, adjusted for each player’s zone starts, here are the “expected” Corsi-for percentages this season for the players mentioned: Biega: 50.02% Corsi-for Tanev: 49.79% Corsi-for Hughes: 50.83% Corsi-for Fantenburg: 49.09% Corsi-for (Raw data from Natural Stat Trick. Calculations were my own.) All the players listed are within one percentage point of 50% expected Corsi-for, based solely on their zone starts. I’m not trying to argue about whether or not any of these players’ Corsi results are “piss poor” or “better than expected.” Just pointing out that zone starts alone really don’t do much either way. -
I’m sticking with double zero for Tryamkin. Seems like the best visual replacement for 88. No skater has ever worn it, and only two goalies, but I think Tryamkin would look great in 00. Plus, Nik is obviously the Robert Parish of hockey, so it just fits.
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Goal tonight for Will The tweet says Blankenburg, but Lockwood gets in the tip from the high slot and is credited with the goal. Also pretty clear from his teammates reactions that Lockwood got the goal. Michigan leads 2-0 through two periods. Lockwood with 8 shots already tonight.
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Jack Rathbone | #3 | D
SID.IS.SID.ME.IS.ME replied to Tomato Pajamas's topic in Prospects / Farm Team
Harvard leading 2-0. Rathbone 2 assists and +2. Including this beauty of a stretch pass:- 3,880 replies
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Lockwood with an assist tonight in Michigan’s 3-0 win over Michigan State in Game One of the Big Ten Quarterfinals: Also had a big block in the game that likely saved a goal.
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Yup. That’s the real wildcard in the mix. If we actually see outbreaks in major cities, teams could end up playing games in empty arenas. Heck, even the misinformation and panic out there currently could really lower attendance figures. Add in a declining Canadian dollar and other factors and it’s quite possible we don’t see league revenues reach the levels associated with that $84 million cap projection. Wherever revenues land, the NHLPA likely stays with a more conservative 1.25% escalator (instead of the 5%). So that makes the top end closer to $85 million (based on $84M * 1.0125), instead of $88.2M (84 * 1.05). And, given the various factors and uncertainties, I’d actually put the bottom end somewhere in the range of $80-82M (especially if the **** hits the fan with COVID-19). Teams would probably be wise to budget for something like a flat cap at the current $81.5, with some planning options for a modest increase, and the very “best case” being an $85 million cap. Banking on having $85-88M to spend on next year’s roster seems like a recipe for disaster.
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Joe Biden Debates Donald Trump September 29
SID.IS.SID.ME.IS.ME replied to DonLever's topic in Off-Topic General
Probably none. “Second choice” polling of Warren supporters suggests an even split between Bernie and Biden. Bigger question is what would have been the result if Bloomberg dropped out before Super Tuesday? Biden may have actually won California in that scenario. -
Joe Biden Debates Donald Trump September 29
SID.IS.SID.ME.IS.ME replied to DonLever's topic in Off-Topic General
I think Bernie’s pathway is narrower, in terms of electoral college and potential flippable states from 2016. Bernie basically needs to flip the Rust Belt. Biden can win either through the Rust Belt (where he’s actually quite close to Bernie in polling strength) or the Sun Belt (where Biden is far ahead of Bernie), or some combination of both. For example, if Biden just flips Florida and North Carolina (and he’s polling ahead of Trump in both), and just holds Hillary’s states from 2016, Biden wins. Arizona also looks in play for the Dems, but only Biden seems to have a chance to flip it, based on polls. The Rust Belt is where Bernie is arguably stronger, but a closer look suggests that Bernie is only significantly ahead of Biden in Michigan, which happens to be the most likely to flip blue, with almost all Dem candidates polling higher than Trump. Not really a strong argument for Bernie, as the Dems likely take back Michigan no matter who runs. Ohio and Pennsylvania are also in play, but Bernie and Biden basically poll identically against Trump in those states, with each either tied with Trump or holding a narrow advantage over the president, depending on the poll (Bernie does slightly better in Pennsylvania, but it’s a small difference over Biden). Wisconsin looks lost and should remain red, so not really even worth looking at. So basically, Bernie likely needs to turn Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Michigan all blue to win. He needs to bat 3/3. Biden only needs to bat 3/6 in North Carolina, Florida, Arizona, Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Michigan (even 2/6 gets it done in some scenarios). -
Questionable if another goalie of Marky’s quality will even hit the open market, be willing to play in a Canadian city, and be affordable under our cap situation.
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No doubt. But still a very nice crop of players this year in that 10-15 range. A guy like Dylan Holloway, for example, would be an amazing addition to our current group. I hope we find a way to acquire a second round pick. Would be a great year to take a big swing at some of the potential steals. There are a handful of kids with truly elite potential (but with undeniable risk factors, or who are undervalued due to counting stats vs. underlyings and/or league value biases) that are almost assured to slip past the first round. Even the third round might have a few fallers that offer legitimate “first round” level talent and potential. Guys like Marat Khusnutdinov and Kasper Simontaival (although I suspect he won’t fall that far, despite some rankings currently having him this low) come to mind here.
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Wonder if this thread will pick up, if we drop out of playoff position? (Come at me bro ) I kid, I kid. (Or do I?) Anyway, assuming we’re not picking until well into day 2, time to start discussing some lesser known prospects who should be available when we pick. I’ve recently taken notice of the impressive season Trevor Kuntar is putting up with the Youngstown Phantoms in the USHL. (And he already appears on my “all name” draft list ) Kuntar went undrafted last year, despite putting up some respectable U18 numbers for the USHL. He’s a June birthday, so he’s still only 18, and this year he’s a top-10 scorer in the USHL and probably having the best offensive season of any player on a team outside of league powerhouses Chicago and Dubuque. With 51 points (27G 24A) in 42 games, Kuntar is currently only 5 points off the leaguewide scoring lead, and sits second place in goals. Pretty good numbers, especially on what’s a fairly offensively challenged Phantoms team this season. Kuntar has good size, with a Horvat-like build at 6’0” and 203 lbs, skates very well (in terms of speed, although his edgework has room for improvement), is very solid on his skates and tough to move, can play a heavy game (at the USHL level anyway), has good puck skills, can snipe with a pretty decent shot, goes hard to the net, and has above average hockey sense and offensive instincts. Started this season as a “C” rated prospect but recently he’s been upgraded to a “B” rating. #76 overall on Craig Button’s recent list. I don’t necessarily see any real elite talents in his toolbox, but he’s definitely a solid all-around player. Plays LW and C. Mostly 1LW of late, but has also played 2C at times this season. With the strength of our scouting at the USHL level, I’m sure the Canucks are already very familiar with this player (also because his played two season with Canucks 2019 pick Jack Malone, including some time as linemates). Might be a player to consider in the middle rounds, and certainly worth a shot if he’s still hanging around the board in the later rounds, where we’re had good success with USHL picks. Kuntar is committed to Harvard and will join the Crimson next season, possibly even playing with Rathbone (if he isn’t signed this spring).
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It would seem that Marky’s +22 was covering up for a fair amount of roster weaknesses and the occasionally questionable coaching decision. That +22 represents about a dozen wins this season that the Canucks probably wouldn’t have gotten with league average goaltending. Captain Obvious: I guess having the league’s best netminder was a factor in this team’s ability to compete for the division lead this season. Of course there are other factors. It makes sense that we’re getting some bad bounces now, as we benefited from quite a few lucky breaks in many of our wins earlier in the season. These things tend to average out over the full 82 games. Same goes for missed calls/bad calls. Once they realized the Canucks were leading the league in power play opportunities, you knew the zebras would feel the need to put their fingers on the scale. But mostly, we’re just seeing how much our MVP meant to this team. Simply put, Marky was the best goalie in the NHL in 2019-20, up until his injury. He probably won’t win any league awards (mostly because of the antiquated stats that generally are still used to determine goaltending quality), but he undoubtedly deserves the Vezina this year, and probably the Hart at well. Tough break losing him (understatement of the year), but I suppose the bright side is that we get the opportunity to actually see how much he means to the team, and a reality check on where this roster is without him.
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Aidan McDonough | #25 | LW
SID.IS.SID.ME.IS.ME replied to GoldenAlien's topic in Prospects / Farm Team
Two assists earlier today. NU lost 4-2. Should bring him to 26 points (10G 16A) in 28 games (stats sites haven’t updated yet).