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SID.IS.SID.ME.IS.ME

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Everything posted by SID.IS.SID.ME.IS.ME

  1. Lines going in the blender for tonight’s rematch game. I wouldn’t call Madden’s move to 2C a demotion, especially since he was the only Husky to score in their 6-1 loss last night. Just a shake up of the lines, but I’d expect Madden to still be on the top special teams units and leading the way tonight in forward minutes and faceoffs taken.
  2. Didn’t realize his name was pronounced “Rat Bun” but maybe the ESPN guys know something I don’t. EDIT: and Rat Bun’s goal proves to be the game winner. Harvard wins 2-1.
  3. Nothing. Wasn’t really suggesting otherwise. Just saying that I doubt JB went into his first draft saying “I hope I can grab a solid 3rd line winger” with a sixth overall pick. Nor was the Juolevi pick about trying to secure a solid 2nd pairing guy to back up the potential star Dman they’d draft in 2018. This isn't criticism of the draft record. It’s more questioning the idea that all the top picks from 2014-18 were hits and part of a grand design to create a specific group. Like every team, plans change and evolve. And like every scouting department, the Canucks have had some hits and misses. Overall, the Canucks are moving toward something good. But it’s not like they’ve had only successes with their top picks. I dunno. I’d say Larkin and Pastrnak would look pretty good right now (instead of Virtanen and McCann). I’m not really big on the hindsight game though. Like I said earlier, every team has hits and misses at the draft. And I’m not saying Virtanen or Juolevi were really (complete) misses. Just that they weren’t anything close to home runs. And I’m sure the Canucks would pick differently on both of those first round picks, if they could go back in time. So would 20 other teams, most likely.
  4. It may very well turn out that way, but I suspect that wasn’t quite the design. I imagine JB was hoping he had a first line winger in Jake and a top pairing guy in Olli. He didn’t know he would be getting Boeser and Petey when he drafted Virtanen, nor did he know Hughes was coming when he drafted Juolevi. Normally the plan would be to fill those top roles first, and then grab the supporting cast. As it stands, we have a couple guys in Jake and Olli who will likely be solid supporting pieces, but it took JB a few swings of the bat to grab truly elite first round talent. In the end, the results should be positive, but I don’t think the Canucks were looking to nab good secondary players with their top-6 picks in 2014 and 2016. They were hoping for star players, and just missed the mark a bit with those picks. That said, the 2015, 2017, and 2018 first rounders were home runs, and all said, the 5 first rounders from 2014-18 are, on average, ahead of the curve.
  5. *fights urge to make an off colour post* Rathbone is playing well. Not putting up points at the same rate he was earlier in the season, but making solid plays at both ends of the rink and continuing to look good on the top pairing with Fox. Harvard has a big game tomorrow night against 14th ranked (nationally) Cornell. And they play Colgate on Saturday afternoon. As for the Rathboner, that’s probably a little too personal for this thread, but if you’re really interested, you can DM me. (Guess I didn’t quite fight off that initial urge. )
  6. Yeah, that 11 games makes no sense to me, unless the guy from SN650 typing the tweet pressed one twice by accident. It would also be a significant departure from everything Biech has said previously.
  7. Biech has said basically the same thing as me, regarding Hughes and expansion, in several previous articles: https://theathletic.com/702802/2018/12/10/projecting-who-the-canucks-will-protect-in-the-seattle-expansion-draft-version-1-0/ https://theathletic.com/639815/2018/11/09/taking-measure-of-how-the-canucks-might-approach-the-expansion-draft/ https://canucksarmy.com/2018/03/27/gaudette-dahlen-and-the-expansion-draft/ Basically, a professional year is 10 or more NHL games when you’re talking about 18 and 19 year olds. But for age 20 and over, a professional year is a single game or more played in a pro league while under contract for that season. Hughes, if signed to a 2018-19 SPC (ELC) in 2019, will be considered “age 20” because he turns 20 in calendar 2019. Age here is determined using rules that are similar to those used to determine slide eligibility. Since Hughes will turn 20 before the end of calendar 2019, he would be deemed “age 20” for any contract signed in 2019. And so he’d be an “age 20 or older player,” when it comes to expansion and professional years, should he sign and play at the end of the 2018-19 season (even though he’d only be 19 years old at the time). Should Hughes appear in a single pro game this seaon, while under contract, then 2018-19 will be considered his first professional year. This is why Biech has Hughes on the protected list for his mock expansion draft. Assuming he signs at the end of this season, and gets a few games played in Vancouver, then he’ll be expansion draft eligible and need to be protected. We know from the last expansion draft when players like Kyle Baun (and age 20 or over player) were eligible for the draft. Baun burned his first professional year from playing only 3 games for Chicago at the end of 2014-15, after leaving college to go pro.
  8. Have to disagree a bit here. Looking over the 5v5 numbers from 2016-17, Tryamkin consistently placed among the best 3-4 Canucks D in “for percentages” (ie: the “differentials” like CF%, FF%, etc) and “against per sixty” rates (ie: the “suppression” stats like CA/60, FA/60, etc) for Corsi, Fenwick, shots, goals, scoring chances, high danger chances, and high danger goals. When it comes to “expected goals” models, Tryamkin had the 3rd best Rel xGF% on the D. He also had the third highest individual expected goals (5v5). Production-wise, despite only playing the 5th highest 5v5 TOI, he had the 2nd most 5v5 goals, 4th most 5v5 assists, and 4th most 5v5 points. Where his numbers lagged a bit behind the top Ds were in the deployment related stats, like TOI/G, zonestarts, and quality of competion and teammates. The first group of numbers (events stats, for% and against/60) generally reflect what the player can control through the quality of their play on the ice (to some extent anyway—stats kinda suck for evaluating Dmen, but that’s another topic for another day), while the second group (deployment stats) are what coaches largely control from the bench. And as far as counting totals go for things like blocks and shot attempts, placing 5th in the D order, while playing the 5th most TOI, really just tells us that Tryamkin was pretty much matching the per minute rates of the Canucks’ top-4 Ds. Similar goes for takeaways/giveaways, although it’s highly debatable if these stats really provide much value at all in evaluating Dmen (especially giveaways). In any case, I think the argument could be made that Tryamkin’s on-ice results in 2016-17 represent a statistical profile that was top-4 among the Ds on that year’s team (at least when considering his differentials and per minute rates) . And in several key categories (especially when it comes to events stats), his on-ice results were, at the very least, comparable to those of the guys that were considered (and deployed as) the top-4 defencemen on the 2016-17 Vancouver Canucks. It’s anyone’s guess whether or not Tryamkin would have actually sustained his numbers under different deployment than what Desjardins gave him. Perhaps he would have been exposed under heavier usage? Or perhaps he would has risen to the occasion and established himself as a clear-cut top-4 Dman?
  9. Brassard’s goal from yesterday: Brings him to 31 points (9G 22A) in 38 games on the season. And 4 points (1G 3A) in his three games since joining Niagara.
  10. Yikes! Today’s game, Mikey got the hook after giving up 5 goals on 18 shots. Yesterday, he gave up 4 goals on 28 shots. But the hashtag in the tweet has it right. Those numbers absolutely won’t last.
  11. So with a win tonight vs. Ohio St., Michigan could find themselves in first place in the Big Ten conference standings. Huge chance for the Wolverines to turn around the season, if they can sweep this weekend series.
  12. Game two vs. Maine starts in around 4hrs. Should be streaming here: https://goblackbears.com/watch/?Live=4565&type=Live
  13. Madden was really good last game. In addition to the two assists in the highlights, he had a shift in the third on the PP that might have been competition for “The Shift” by the twins, in terms of pure puck possession dominance. NU spend the full two minutes in the attacking zone, but just couldn’t find the back of the net. Madden made a handful of brilliant plays to hold possession and control puck movement in the zone. Had things ended in a goal, he might’ve ended up with a highlight pack to rival the Sedins.
  14. Definitely one of the closest Canucks comparables. Lots of similarities to their games.
  15. Just to add: plays all 3 forward positions (LW/C/RW), can play both with skilled players and/or grinders, can fit most roles (scoring, defensive, energy), can create offence off rush or cycle, can play special teams, excellent skater, strong board work, defensively responsible, good on-ice vision/awareness, and brings a fair amount of grit and agitation to his game. He’s also used to being shifted around into different roles and moving in and out of the lineup as needed. Jasek has the makings of a really good 13th forward/utility player in the NHL, and with the upside to move higher up the roster chart. Could be our next “glue guy” type, which, while maybe not the most glamorous of roles, is a definitely a highly useful piece in any lineup.
  16. 3 assists and second star honours for Brassard tonight.
  17. You can watch the game live here: https://goblackbears.com/watch/?Live=4564&type=Live
  18. No points for Brassard in first game after trade to Niagara. He was used on the second pairing and as PPQB, shifted between PP1 and PP2. Finished -2 and with only 1 SOG. Niagara lost 6-5 in OT.
  19. Yeah, sometimes prospects forecasts are a bit like a Vancouver weather forecast: mix of sun and clouds, with a chance of heavy rain, possibly mixed with snow, and a potential for high winds. Huge range of variance and a possibility for just about everything. That said, I still think Hughes will be bringing us many “sunny days” in the future.
  20. He’s always had a physical side, even back in prep. And he’s a really strong kid. Naturally build pretty thick through his legs and core, and a lower centre of gravity, and now has really pushed himself in the gym the last year to add mass and strengthen his upper body. He’s 5’11” and 190 lbs, and really solid. When he hits guys, they definitely feel it, despite Rathbone’s smaller stature (for a Dman)..
  21. You wanna ID the second shooter? I’d ask this guy: I dunno, Jester. You mean this interview: Seems like Thatcher opens up the topic of how much video he’s been watching and the reporter is just asking a standard follow-up, which is basically their job. I mean, I’m as willing as anyone to jump on the media whenever they go out of bounds with one of our players, but this just seems like business as usual.
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