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Everything posted by aGENT
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[Signing] Flyers re-sign Rasmus Ristolainen
aGENT replied to -Vintage Canuck-'s topic in Trades, Rumours, Signings
I have him on my fantasy team as well. He's played largely well but it's tough to get wins or keep a high SV% when you've got a fire drill in front of you more nights than not. He's easily top 5 of current Canadian goalies and is 23 years old. He's doing just fine. -
He may "just" turn out to be "Tanev-light" (hard to say, given he's still so young) but you don't get his underlying numbers by just being "toolsy"...Or Virtanen would have been like Mark Stone.
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[Rumour] J.T. Miller Trade/Contract Talks
aGENT replied to Podzilla's topic in Trades, Rumours, Signings
Moving one player does not equal a rebuild. And certainly not a perpetual one. Fact is, this team isn't good enough WITH $5m Miller. An $8-9m, soon to decline Miller, isn't going to fix that or fix our dog's breakfast D (or it's massive succession holes). Him at a higher cap hit just erodes the depth and quality of that already not good enough team. You say perpetual rebuild, I counter with perpetual not good enough bubble team that will slowly decline to an actual rebuild because we wasted years of our young core's prime, spending ever more money, desperately clinging to said mediocre team. -
Depends highly on Boeser's contract demands. Personally I think we sign him for some term at around $6.5. But if he and his agent are being silly and hell bent on his QO, I'd be ok with something like Boeser for Marino + Kap (assuming management does due diligence on their health, upside etc). Marino's offense has dried up a bit since his rookie year and he had a bit of a 1/2 year sophomore slump but his defensive play, underlying numbers/play driving are still very, very good. I don't know who or what you were listening to but he's got pretty good underlying numbers, plays very well defensively and consistently pushes play forward (if not creating actual direct "traditional" offense stats for himself) and is an excellent skater. Sounds a lot like a young Tanev to me... Unfortunately for them, they'd need to take our cap needs in to consideration as well.
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[Rumour] J.T. Miller Trade/Contract Talks
aGENT replied to Podzilla's topic in Trades, Rumours, Signings
It's really not. I honestly don't see any realistic way we can, or should, retain him given his age, where the team is at in its cycle, and what his next contract looks like. (And sorry but we do have a pretty good idea, whether you like to think so or not). Not if we want to build a contending team. Once you've made the determination he's not in the long term plans, the ONLY route is to trade him. Maximize the return for him in order to strengthen the club in its contention window 2+ years from now. The further in to next season he's here, the less he's worth. The closer to the TDL it gets, the more leverage buyers have. IMO, he gets moved this TDL (unlikely), or this summer. Too many risks waiting beyond then. Risk he gets hurt, has a down year, buyers gain leverage, that you'll pull the rug out from a team (hopefully) competing for a playoff spot... I have no interest in speaking for other people. No, I do want a good team! The contender management has promised in fact. Not the current only-bubble playoff team WITH a $5m Miller on it and a mess on D and no succession plan. I have no idea how people expect it to become a contending team paying him $3m+ more, no trade assets from moving him, and no way to fix our D that is a couple years from being Poolman, Juulsen and Woo as our right side. I don't think anyone disputes that. And they're fools if they do. If he ends up re-signing at $7.5x4 years, I'll happily strap on a bib for my helping of crow. I just think the chances of that are near zero. -
A guy that has a similar effect on the game as Tanev isn't "impactful"?
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I just feel like we need to find some "sneaky good" players (like PIT seemed to always be able to do under Rutherford). Guys that will cost less to acquire in trade, less cap to retain etc. Chychrun is going to cost some team a LOAD of assets (as he should) and then eventually more cap. I'm just not sure I want that to be us. If it was Dobson or McAvoy...sure. And the last thing we need is another top 4 LD, even if he "can" play R side.
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[Rumour] J.T. Miller Trade/Contract Talks
aGENT replied to Podzilla's topic in Trades, Rumours, Signings
If that's how you "feel like people are reacting", perhaps you should try actually reading their posts Seems to me that's you projecting. Who's panicking? Some of us are trying to be pragmatic about the realities of the situation. This is far from a panic move. Prudent planning. Airy-fairy "wait and see" and ignoring clear comparables, projections, player fall off stats etc doesn't strike me as good management or planning. Agreed. Hell of a player. Exceeded even my lofty expectations of when we first traded for him and I was one of the few people not panicking on "wasting a first on a 3rd liner". -
Shoulder problems, wrong side, going to demand more cap eventually, higher acquisition cost.... Not that he's a bad D (at all) but I prefer Marino's fit for us.
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Would even out the cap if they're sending us an also middling, Kapanen.
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[Rumour] J.T. Miller Trade/Contract Talks
aGENT replied to Podzilla's topic in Trades, Rumours, Signings
Why wouldn't he want a similar deal to his contemporaries? I honestly don't see any way he signs for less than 6 years (which is still VERY unlikely and still too long). Honestly, you're entire premise is odd. I may not know it's going to rain tomorrow, but if the weather forecast says 90% chance of rain, I'm packing my rain coat. It's just prudent planning. We can infer, with reasonable certainty, what his next contract will be. +/-8.5m and 6-8 years. That's what his comparables dictate. And if anything, his recent play is raising that, not lowering it. It's not a deal we should be signing, as good as he is RIGHT NOW, with where we are. Who said NOW NOWNOW!!!? Potentially this TDL with an appropriate offer (unlikely) and if not, this summer. We're a poorly constructed (D in particular) bubble playoff team, with goaltending masking a lot of flaws and major structural and succession and hampering cap issues. And nobody suggested " tearing it all apart". No that's not all teams and no, that's not when you go all in/accelerate. it's also the opposite of what management has said is their plan (build a contender in 2+ years). Yeah, I'd love to retain Miller too (for $8mx4-5 years). Unfortunately that's a pipe dream. -
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Probably why we haven't seen a trade yet....
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[Rumour] J.T. Miller Trade/Contract Talks
aGENT replied to Podzilla's topic in Trades, Rumours, Signings
We can. In a few years. Just as management has already stated, is their aim. We're not remotely a contender as currently constructed. And even less so, moving forward with our current structural and succession issues. -
[Rumour] Canucks getting calls on Conor Garland
aGENT replied to -Vintage Canuck-'s topic in Trades, Rumours, Signings
Sure. I'd prefer Kapanen (who's presently somewhat out of favour in PIT) to the late 1st. -
24 year old, excellent skating, cost controlled, defensive RHD. Been one of the better defensive D in the league the past couple years, glowing underlying numbers, consistent (but not flashy) play driver. Think young Tanev.
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[Rumour] Canucks getting calls on Conor Garland
aGENT replied to -Vintage Canuck-'s topic in Trades, Rumours, Signings
Prefer something around Kapanen and Marino. -
[Signing] Flyers re-sign Rasmus Ristolainen
aGENT replied to -Vintage Canuck-'s topic in Trades, Rumours, Signings
Hart's bounced back just fine after a rough sophomore season. He's been one of the few bright spots on that team this year (besides probably Farabee), playing behind a injury/covid filled train wreck. -
I might prefer Marino out of PIT if we can swing it...
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[Rumour] J.T. Miller Trade/Contract Talks
aGENT replied to Podzilla's topic in Trades, Rumours, Signings
Yeah, it's probably unlikely he gets moved this TDL unless someone caves and comes in with a "Godfather" offer (*fingers crossed*). And that's fine, the boys, Miller included, have played hard. But I don't see any way this makes it past this summer. Either he's extended (unlikely IMO), or he's moved. Until one of those two things happen, this thread and discussion, will continue (sorry folks who want the thread closed). There's far too much risk dragging it in to the season and especially the TDL as I've seen some mention. His value now vs summer is similar but his value decreases, as we get increasingly closer to that TDL. And buying teams increasingly gain leverage. Risk of his play dropping off, risk of injury, risk of increasing buyer leverage closer to the TDL, risk of moving him in the midst of (hopefully) another battle for a playoff spot. Very little chance this carries on past summer IMO. -
[Rumour] J.T. Miller Trade/Contract Talks
aGENT replied to Podzilla's topic in Trades, Rumours, Signings
Yes. A Stanley Cup. The entire reason these guys play/manage hockey. That's his comparative contract value. What else would he be signing? I don't think we will be signing him to that but that means he's moving on. Therefore, it's pretty clear, given management's comments on not letting UFA's walk, that trading him is our only option. I'm not sure what you're talking about. Forwards, overwhelmingly, decline sharply, starting at 32. That's just statistics. We're not even in our contention window yet and that's simply not a contract we should be signing because of pretty clear statistics and math and the timing (2+years as stated by management) of our contention window. -
Would you re-sign JT Miller to a 7.5m/7yrs extension?
aGENT replied to billabong's topic in Canucks Talk
I don't think we even get 5 years in to that contract. We'd be lucky to get 5 years from now, one year out from his new deal. We've probably got 3, maybe 4 years from NOW (2-3 in to new deal) before he becomes a 2nd line player. Another couple seasons after that until he's an $8.5m Player Name, errrr I mean... 3rd liner. Half that deal is likely going to be BAD. 1/4 of it, not great but manageable. BAD MATH. -
[Rumour] J.T. Miller Trade/Contract Talks
aGENT replied to Podzilla's topic in Trades, Rumours, Signings
It's not based on fear. It's based on pretty clear, overwhelming statistics about forwards dropping off in their early 30's. We don't need an $8.5m, Player Name 2.0 in the meat of our young core's prime. It's just poor planning. -
Would you re-sign JT Miller to a 7.5m/7yrs extension?
aGENT replied to billabong's topic in Canucks Talk
2 years younger than Miller and D last longer. And it fits our window (unlike Miller). The math just doesn't add up with Miller, regardless of how good he is or how much we love his play. -
If we can move Poolman, I'm fine with no 1st