If Smith is out then PHX is done
So we can look at DAL
DAL has 11 games remaining, they currently have 79 points.
If they lose 7games(CHI,STL,WSH,TBL,CBJ,STL,FLA) [Lou would have to steal a game for us]
They would finish with 88 Points
We have 9 games remaining, We have 76 points
If we go 6-2-1 we will have 89 points
Some people would call this Extreme Optimism,
I call it making the most out of a tough situation