Maybe I shouldn't have claimed, but I did it so that we would likely see both JOATs living and confirmed town for D3. Two confirmed townies helps narrow the PoE substantially, and it's nice to have that done mid to early game. The most we're going to get in this game is two confirmed towns, and the tracking and motion detecting actions being known also feeds info to the thread. I decided to claim somewhat on a limb.
@Zfetch there are reasons I seem/am unhelpful right now (lots to do with my irl--some actual household stuff went down after I subbed in), but I still think my reads have been valuable.
I haven't looked at MR this game at all fwiw, so don't take my non-talking about his as indication that I'm town-reading him. Although I like that he agreed with my Toews read.