Yeah im with you. At 10 theres atleast a chance of getting someone that you expect wont be available coming in. I dont know that Id want to go back any further than 13.
after the top 2 theres 6 guys I have ranked to go ahead. (Dach, Byram, Turcotte, Pod, Cozens, Boldy)
Then starting at 9, a group of:
Zegras
Newhook
Soderstrom
Caufield
Krebs
(Could throw Heinola or Seider in there too if you like)
But basically theres still an opportunity there to get good upside & not huge risk. After this guys have less upside, more risk or are just generally more of a project. Imo.
(Could change after u18s but this is how i see it now)