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Rough calculations now suggest about a 10-5-0 record will get us into the playoffs assuming Montreal doesn't improve.
Also, if we were to win 14 of our remaining 15 games, the Canadiens would need a perfect 10-0 record to tie us (indicative of the 8 point discrepancy between the two teams).
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I'd love it if Montreal went .300 for their next 10 games, but I've had too many disappointments to get that optimistic to think that a .500 record would realistically get us in. Montreal will likely improve at some point, even if they don't get key players back.
I'm betting Montreal goes about 6-4 or 5-5 in their last 10. If they're worse, then great, but I'm not betting on it. I'll hope for the best, but expect the worst.