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Everything posted by -AJ-
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It's noteworthy that guys like Miller and McAvoy put up their numbers as teenagers in college. Hirose is already 23 years old, so they're not apples to apples.
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Imagine if we've found Tanev 2.0.
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2022-23 End of Season Milestone Watch...
-AJ- replied to Kevin Biestra's topic in General Hockey Discussion
Another one is to see if McDavid can surpass 155 points. Doing so would put him past Yzerman's career high and make him the third name after Gretzky and Lemieux on the single-season highest point totals. -
My votes: Cyclone Taylor: Hughes, but Petey was a very close second Babe Pratt: Hughes, no contest Pavel Bure: Kuzmenko Hume: Dries. Provided a surprising punch on the PP and on the 4th line.
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He's my pick for the most underrated this year. Never expected him to actually succeed at the NHL level.
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Good points--you make a fair case. Maybe his defensive averageness can be overlooked more than I am simply due to how incredible he is performing offensively.
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He's pretty amazing offensively, but I just have a tough time giving the Norris to a defenseman who is average at best defensively, especially considering that is the primary role of the position. I feel that it should be a near requirement that any Norris contender be a strong all-around defenseman and those who specialize in only one category should almost never be seriously considered. Karlsson's offensive output is so amazing this year that he can be at least looked at, but personally, I have him maybe edging into my top 10 at best. I'd take guys like Pietrangelo, Makar, Sergachev, Hedman, and Dahlin ahead of Karlsson just based on their far more well-rounded game. All that said, I would be shocked if he's not at least top 3 based on his points alone. People are more wowed by points than a good defensive block or takeaway.
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I'm not sure if he'll be nominated, but his points will get him a lot of votes/points, maybe even more than they should. Karlsson might win, but I'll be admittedly frustrated if he does. Current Karlsson is not as good defensively as old Karlsson was. Right now, he's all offense--back in his Ottawa days, he could do both. Morrissey and Hamilton are also both quite heavily focused on offense. I see a guy like Dahlin or Makar as the best choices, but we'll see how it plays out. A lot of voters still don't do enough work in deciding their votes for these more complex awards.
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True, but I think he should try playing C. His face-off percentages are pretty solid. Also, I checked a lot of the main stat sites and he's still listed as a C. I'll add W as another position he plays.
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Crazy, haha. I do wish we would start using Net PK and Net PP more often. They seem to be better measures of overall effectiveness with special teams.
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Let's hope the recent play from Demko is like what we saw from Pettersson at the end of last year and something he can carry to next year. Since returning, he's 7-3-0 with a .918 save percentage. Note that league average is .904 and most starters are probably close to .910.
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[PGT] San Jose Sharks at Vancouver Canucks | Mar. 23, 2023
-AJ- replied to -Vintage Canuck-'s topic in Canucks Talk
Probably, but let's be honest, it'd be more fun for both us and probably Juice. -
[PGT] San Jose Sharks at Vancouver Canucks | Mar. 23, 2023
-AJ- replied to -Vintage Canuck-'s topic in Canucks Talk
Please SN, just pay whatever it takes to steal Juice from the analyst desk. I want Shorty and Juice to be the next thing.- 369 replies
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It is an interesting point to note that Miller has been largely healthy throughout his career, which should extend his best years.
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[Signing] Canucks re-sign Christian Wolanin
-AJ- replied to -Vintage Canuck-'s topic in Trades, Rumours, Signings
Small deal, but amazing for Abbotsford and good for Vancouver depth. -
Really hope we can stop saying "he looked good and had some chances" and start saying "he put up some nice points tonight" soon.
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I think Petey is a bit better, but being a D just makes Hughes worth a little bit more.
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[PGT] Vegas Golden Knights at Vancouver Canucks | Mar. 21, 2023
-AJ- replied to -Vintage Canuck-'s topic in Canucks Talk
9 hours after the game's end? You're slipping, @-Vintage Canuck-.- 211 replies
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Fanatics to be Official NHL Jersey maker next year
-AJ- replied to OldFaithfulCap's topic in General Hockey Discussion
From what I understand, they have a history of making poor-quality gear. Bit of a shame. -
On this note, based on his current career pace, Makar is on pace to exactly tie Hughes to this record, making 200 assists in his 263rd game.
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Thanks. Hughes does have a much higher HDCA than OEL, but like many stats, it's flawed when viewed in a vacuum. Hughes plays far more minutes than OEL and also generates more HDCF than OEL. OEL: High Danger Chances Against: 203 High Danger Chances For: 170 Net: -23 Hughes: High Danger Chances Against: 250 High Danger Chances For: 231 Net: -19 This difference in net is reflected in the HDGF%, which is 48.02% for Hughes and 45.58% for OEL. Of course, this argument looks more holistically and not just based on defense, which this user seems to be hyper-focused on. A crucial part of their argument is that Hughes plays easier minutes than OEL, which I struggle to believe, given the vast difference in their TOI (20:11 for OEL and 25:23 for Hughes). This is another huge factor in why Hughes has higher HDCA and HGDA numbers than OEL. Once you look at relative rates (per 60 minutes), a different story is told: Hughes: HDCA/60: 12.29 HGDA/60: 1.67/60 SCA/60: 26.44 OEL: HDCA/60: 13.41/60 HGDA/60: 1.92/60 SCA/60: 29.98 Hughes fares better than OEL in all three of these stats (notably, HDCA is a subset of SCA, so that's not overly surprising). The one point where the user is correct is that OEL is used in a more defensive role than Hughes, except for on the PK, where they play about equally as much as each other. Another bit of interesting information based on what the user writes is on pairings. Vancouver has had 24 different pairings who have played at least 30 minutes of ice time with each other. Of the the top 10 ranked by HDCA/60, Hughes is in four of them (2nd, 6th, 7th, and 8th). OEL is in just two, one of which includes his time with Hughes (5th and 6th). Another stat to look at is Expected goals against per 60 minutes (xGA/60). Here, Hughes finishes in 2nd, 5th, 6th, and 7th with various pairings. OEL finishes only 7th and 9th in the top 10. OEL's highest ranking pairing here is with Hughes, so it seems like Hughes is helping OEL, not hurting him. Notably, OEL is also 21st and 22nd, whereas the lowest rank for Hughes is 19th with Myers. Remember, all of these are only focusing on defense--when you bring in offense, Hughes is not even comparable to OEL. The only possible argument for OEL relates to usage, and it can be difficult to determine how much what impacts your defensive metrics, but my own experience in looking at stats suggests that I don't think the gap is significant enough for OEL to have a large disadvantage. Tanev used to play 38-42% oZ%, but OEL is closer to 46%. Definitely more defensive, but not hugely so. Hughes is used more offensively, but at 52.5%, it's not a huge disproportion. Ironically, I think the user is a bit blind in their own assessment.
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He was certainly far more respectable last year (as was Myers).