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Provost

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Everything posted by Provost

  1. This is one I don’t know, are there trade limitations after club elected arbitration? Can they trade him even while waiting for the hearing, or say 1 after getting the result?
  2. He is a good 3rd pairing D who can move up temporarily in case of injury. Nothing wrong with that all. His entire career he has faltered when you ask too much. That is when he becomes Tyler Minors. Due to a lack of options, he was set up to fail by the Canucks by asking him to play the toughest match up minutes. Not his style of game When you get paid that much money it is fair to ask a lot of you though. I wouldn’t pay to get rid of him with just a year left, because I think he would help solidify a 3rd pairing at 15 minutes a night against lower competition and give some injury insurance. We should still try to move him after his bonus is paid if we can. That is mostly because there will he good players on the waiver wire at training camp of even good players who we can get assets for taking on due to cap considerations. $6 million in cap space is worth more than what Myers brings.
  3. … it makes no sense in the current NHL market to be adding cap for players and giving up assets to do it. There are UFAs soon and a lot of RFAs and pampers who will shake out due to cap considerations. These are going to be decent players. There are even D that will be available because of cap… don’t go and blow our newfound cap space and few remaining trade assets on players that aren’t going to move the needle. The sign and trade for Barbashev isn’t a bad idea if part of the deal is being able to talk to him to get a contract worked out. Late round picks are currency for this sort of thing.
  4. After a week or two of thinking about this, I still definitely think that a Miller for PLD deal has some merit. It would be conditional on him signing a long term deal at around the same value as Miller. Logan Stanley and PLD for Miller and Rathbone looks like a hockey trade. If you could also swap Garland and one of DeMelo or Dillon in that deal you fill another hole. The risk of PLD not developing or being a headache is balanced by the expected risk of age decline by Miller and the fact we already know he can be a headache and get toxic when things go wrong.
  5. Gee, why are you being an alarmist?!!! Just because we have an objectively crappy team that can’t even make the playoffs; with one of the worst prospect pools in the league; capped out; and have some of our only efficient contracts up for significant raises in the near future… … what about all of that even remotely suggest a problem? (Insert random assumptions of magical things that will happen in the future) and we will be totally fine and Stanley Cup contenders in two years!
  6. Well aside from the fact we don't actually know the future (OEL was fine two seasons ago and terrible this past season).... that literally has nothing to do with the post I was responding to. It was claimed that the buyout will save the owners $10 million in real dollars. I simply pointed out that isn't true as OEL's roster spot actually has to get replaced. If we are upgrading from him, it will be several million per year.
  7. That is like my wife saying she saved money by buying something we don't need for 25% off. It doesn't save money because we also have to replace that roster spot. To replace it with a player better than OEL, the team is going to have to spend more than it saves.
  8. No, that isn't math, and it certainly doesn't relate to the question of whether it is smart to draft smaller players or not. Lots of smaller players exist in lower levels and even get drafted. They rarely make it to the NHL though, and excelling at that level while smaller is an exception rather than the rule. That literally changes the average. The average height of men in North America is 5'9"... an average man is a tiny NHL player, the hockey system literally self selects out smaller people due to the nature of the sport. There is a reason the average size of a hockey player is about 6'1" and a little over 200lbs. In a physical game, it is harder to be successful when smaller. You also don't see a lot of 5'8" 160lb defensive linebackers in the NFL.
  9. Yes it frees up cap to get us out of a bind. We shouldn’t forget that this management group is the one that put us into this bind. OEL was a Benning mistake… but they kept compounding it. If the management actually recognized that this isn’t a team a UFA signing or two from contending, it would have made significantly different moves since they came here. 1. They could have traded Miller as late as last deadline and freed up $8 million this offseason 2. They could have traded Kuzmenko for a boatload at the deadline. A top like producing player at a million dollar cap hit? That would have been good to a contender. That frees up $5.5 million in cap this offseason. 3. Don’t trade for Hronek, at least don’t do it until the offseason. We weren’t making the playoffs, and giving up an unknown 1st round pick for a year of the player before having to sign him for market value still doesn’t make sense. Do it July 2nd conditional with a reasonable extension number in place if you really think you need to. That is another $4.4 million in cap space. Remove all those moves and the team has $18 million in cap space and several extra first round picks plus some high end prospects as returns on the trades. $18 million buys you a whole lot this summer. The team still needs major surgery, to do so you need a bunch of cap space. You free up the space first and then rebuild. Not the reverse and paint yourself into a corner.
  10. It is never a good time to throw a. Inch of dead cap for years until all your young players are past their prime. We keep getting burned on being hopeful that thinking management actually has a plan. If they can snag us good, cost controlled players with the cap space that turn out to play well for us, good on them. They have earned the skepticism many times over though. There “should” be players available for pennies on the dollar or even that get us assets to take on. We need to see if we get any of them and improve the roster.
  11. That is the key… are we a contender in the next couple years? Why save money in the short term to push pain into when we have a chance of competing. As someone with rose coloured glasses, I am going to hope we find a way to use that cap space to take advantage of a team needing cap space and end up with a good, cost controlled player like Carlo. Of course, we will probably just end up wasting millions on another iffy player that doesn’t move the needle… or spend it on a $3 million, multi year extension for Bear.
  12. So reporting that we are buying out OEL… sweet. Gotta make sure we do more of that long term pain stuff to incrementally help our chances of being a fringe playoff team over the next couple years.
  13. Gotta make sure to have some dead cap and poison pill for the next regime!
  14. Do you have the quote where he said he refuses to play? His agent just said it was probably better for both sides to move on now rather than letting it drag on yet another year.
  15. If you knew we had cap space to activate him, that sounds like a decent plan. Unfortunately we don’t know that, so we could easily have to give up more assets to clear cap space than we would get for him at the deadline. Folks are just assuming that Poolman and Pearson are out for the entire season and we can easily move Myers after his bonus is paid. Those things might happen… but you can’t spend that cap space on “maybes”. You aren’t allowed to exceed the cap, and imagine how badly other teams would roast us on trades if they knew we only had a day or two before having to become cap compliant.
  16. To be clear, he can still take the team to arbitration if they qualify him to get more money. His injury is not permitted to be considered as evidence in how much he would be awarded. The “good news” on this is that the team can put pressure on him to sign a cheap deal before they have to tender a qualifying offer. Otherwise he just does without pay for half a season or more. Who is going to sign him knowing he can’t play and his contract wouldn’t be insurable…. And knowing he probably isn’t going to be up to game speed for a couple months after that. We regularly see how hard it is for players to come in mid season. Bear for one year, $1.5 or let him walk.
  17. Not quite, it was reported that Benning effectively stabbed Linden in the back by arranging to roeort directly to Aquilini and cutting him out. It was a coup, not Linden fired and then Benning took over. Linden stepped down after being submarined.
  18. Doesn’t seem like a great plan. We can probably trade Beauvillier for a decent return if we don’t plan on re-signing him. If he is getting premium top six minutes he will have some pretty good stats to show off. No term left to worry about.
  19. No... that was 4-5 years ago. He said year 2 was in 2016, and by year 4 or 5 we would be elite. All I can say is wish in one hand and poop in the other, see which one fills up first.....
  20. There isn't a lot of motivation for him to sign that deal. His qualifying offer is $2.2 million, and he probably has an arbitration case which could pay him more. RHD are the one position in high demand, even with a league wide cap crunch. If he doesn't agree to an early deal with us before his qualifying offer is due, we probably can't qualify him (and risk the higher arb award which you contractually aren't allowed to walk away from).. and then he becomes an instant UFA. His agent would really have to be worried that no one would offer him $2 million on the open market to sign a deal under his QO... and that seems like a low risk compared with the upside of becoming a UFA early and getting his pick of any team. Always at least one GM who will overpay a player if you have all those options.
  21. I agree with everything except Allvin being a massive improvement. He hasn't shown that yet at all. I gave Benning the benefit of the doubt for several years and didn't totally give up on him until the offseason after the bubble and he couldn't undo the messes he made and also treated longtime players like Tanev with a lot of disrespect that clearly affected the locker room long afterwards. Allvin gets some time to prove himself, but so far has also been pretty random in his signings and draft picks, as well as managing the cap really poorly and not understanding the economic landscape of the league. There is no sense of building a team identity or vision. That is a GM's job. The only Canucks GM in recent history that really talked about that believably was the one with the most successful winning percentage in team history. None other than the Steamer himself and his 2-0 record in his time at the helm. Steamer was screwed as well, when he was put in front of the cameras for that presser, and talking about his plans and how he was going to make decisions along with his identity for the team... Aquilini had already hired someone else days before and not told him about it.
  22. His excuses about Brackett were pretty patently false. Months before Brackett was let go and was still the Director of Amateur Scouting, Benning promoted Gear and publicly said it was so that he and Weisbrod could spend more time focussed on the day to day workings of the amateur scouting department.... you know, the department Brackett was 'supposedly' in charge of and probably the only department in the entire organization that was performing well. I think not wanting your boss and his hatchet man to micromanage the day to day of your department, is slightly different than demanding final say in all the picks. Jimbo wasn't smart enough to avoid contradicting himself regularly, just not an honest character guy. It came down to Brackett being a Linden guy (he was one of the guys Linden mentioned when he left), and not a Benning guy, and Benning flailing away at most parts of his job... so wanting to go do the thing he actually had experience at, watching amateur hockey. (this link makes reference to it, it was in a radio hit) https://theprovince.com/sports/hockey/nhl/vancouver-canucks/patrick-johnston-benning-believes-canucks-now-headed-in-right-direction-despite-lapses
  23. This is the biggest key I think. I have no idea what any of our GMs actually want or what style of team they want to have. They say they want one thing and bring in players that aren't what they said they wanted... then they change their minds. Seems entirely random. Same with the coaches they pick. Different coaches are suited to different types of teams. You know what type of team Tocchet needs to have and the style he coaches... he likes hard nosed, North-South, defensively responsible, structured hockey. It isn't that he doesn't like skill guys, but he wants the nucleus of the team to be a certain way and thinks that makes the skill guys jobs easier, and let them loose on special teams. The roster he has is about the opposite of that, that is why he tries guys like Joshua higher up in the lineup. Petterson can play that style, not a tough guy by any means... but he plays hard like the Sedins winning battles and being strong defensively. He is good enough that he can play any style though. He was good under Green's structure, good under Boudreau's run and gun style, and good under Tocchets style (which is pretty similar to Green's actually). The new signings since Tocchet of Kuzmenko and Hronek don't seem like they are Tocchet style players. They are both solid players, but they don't move the team towards a certain style of play.
  24. He has done amazingly well. The Wild literally have the top ranked prospect pool in the entire league, based off entirely off picks from years Brackett was in charge (none are of the top picks are holdovers from previous scouting directors. That is even considering two of his three drafts were Covid years when it was remarkably hard to scout players as most weren't playing. ... and also amazing as he didn't have high picks to work with, he was finding those guys in the mushy middle or later. His highest was 9th overall, the rest were late teens and late in the round. He got better results with late round picks than GMs did when they had high picks. 2020 - 9th 2021 - 20th, 26th 2022 - 19th, 24th Oh, and he got a steal in identifying Brock Faber (an amateur, so under his purview) to be part of the return in the Fiala trade. https://thehockeywriters.com/nhl-farm-system-rankings/ Facts matter...
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