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Everything posted by Provost
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[Waivers] Tyler Ennis, Nikita Gusev, Matt Luff
Provost replied to -Vintage Canuck-'s topic in Trades, Rumours, Signings
We don't have any cap space next year to take on any other players. I don't even know how they are considering negotiating with Pearson unless they have a plan for some buyouts (Holtby and others) or something else up their sleeves. -
I hear ya man... most of my family is in the UK and a bunch of them have had it. Extended family members have died, and all sorts of weird lingering effects for some others, even young healthy folks. People complain about "lockdowns" here... but friends/family in the UK and Australia were REALLY locked down, like police wouldn't let you go outside kind of locked down.
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[Signing] Canucks re-sign Thatcher Demko
Provost replied to -Vintage Canuck-'s topic in Trades, Rumours, Signings
One can only assume Benning threw in a 2nd round pick as part of the deal? Also, does Demko get ventilated for 6 goals tonight to get everyone freaking out? That would definitely be a Canucks thing to happen. -
[Signing] Canucks re-sign Thatcher Demko
Provost replied to -Vintage Canuck-'s topic in Trades, Rumours, Signings
Yes... I really don’t want to see us having to play crazy hardball with Hughes by leveraging his limited 10.2 (c) status for a really cheap 1 year deal just so we can fit the roster under the cap. That could cost us down the road. -
[Signing] Canucks re-sign Thatcher Demko
Provost replied to -Vintage Canuck-'s topic in Trades, Rumours, Signings
We currently have to expose Myers or Schmidt I believe.... there are minimum requirements and they are who fits. It is not a matter of who would be better for that money... it is literally how much cap space we have. -
[Signing] Canucks re-sign Thatcher Demko
Provost replied to -Vintage Canuck-'s topic in Trades, Rumours, Signings
It will be REALLY interesting to see how the cap gets worked out this summer. We now have $61 million committed to 12 players, with our two biggest stars needing extensions. That means unless money moves out, we need to keep the combined Petterson/Hughes contracts around $12 million, leaving an average of $1 million per remaining 8 players to get to just a 22 man roster. Something will have to give.... goodbye Pearson for one. Unless expansion rescues us by taking on Myers, or we use assets to trade money, it is a bad year next year to find well performing roster players for cheap. Tryamkin - $2 million Podkolzin - $1 million Edler - $3 million Lind - $900k Rathbone - $900k Hamonic - $2 million Miller-Petterson-Boeser Podkolzin-Horvat-Hoglander Roussel-Gaudette-Virtanen Motte-Beagle-Lind MacEwan Hughes-Hamonic Edler-Schmidt Juolevi-Myers Rathbone-Tryamkin Demko Holtby -
[Signing] Canucks re-sign Thatcher Demko
Provost replied to -Vintage Canuck-'s topic in Trades, Rumours, Signings
I don't think anyone suggested he was a flake. The position has such small margins of error that guys lose their technique and fall off all the time... even the most highly touted players. There are a lot of guys with a couple of amazing years and then their play took a massive tumble, a lot more than names like Luongo who had a decade or more of high end play. Do you remember superstars like Jim Carey, Rick DiPietro. Leighton, Scrivens, Huet, Jose Theodore, Hammond, etc, etc. Heck Markstrom isn't a flake and was coming off a couple of Vezina calibre seasons bailing our team out. He doesn't look too good at the moment. There is no long term goalie signing that isn't a significant risk... it is the nature of the position. -
[Signing] Canucks re-sign Thatcher Demko
Provost replied to -Vintage Canuck-'s topic in Trades, Rumours, Signings
I am surprised by the term. I was expecting a 2-3 year bridge deal for less dollars. Goaltending is a fickle position, it many guys maintain a great level of play for long periods of time, so there is certainly risk.... especially if an Ian Clark signing isn’t also forthcoming. Having said that, there is so much potential upside, that it would be tough not to make this deal. If Demko plays like playoff Demko and the way he has played the last month or so... we could have a regular Vezina finalist for the price of a mid-range starter. It also helps put a cap on Petterson and Hughes contracts since there is less money to go around now (and with more than $9 million set aside for the goalie position next year). Savvy to do it that way. I now fully expect Holtby to be traded or bought out once expansion is done. -
5 prospects the Canucks could select in the first round of the 2021 draft
Provost replied to Me_'s topic in Canucks Talk
It would be interesting to see a team basically get rid of almost all its scouting staff and just go off the existing central scouting and pundit lists. At least half the teams would draft better. If it wasn't a money savings idea and you instead pumped all that money into player development, could that actually have better results? Any 15-18 year old they are scouting has so far to go after they are drafted, that development is way more important. I wonder what the rules are around going nuts on development once players are drafted but before they sign their ELCs? Could a team basically have their own "academy" a couple of times a year to manage their prospects? Could they pay for a development coach to work with the prospects on junior/college teams? Heck even working directly with undrafted college players and developing those relationships could pay dividends with college free agent signings. -
Same... but part of that was because he was going to be cheaper and shorter term.
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Ya, they should be able to see the writing on the wall for an offseason with at least as bad of cap issues as last year. Taking on a contract for free doesn't sound better than getting assets in return for taking on money. They can probably harvest some really good young players that can't be protected in expansion anyways in the process. Could they get Cal Foote if they take on Killorn's contract as an example? It is still possible Ghost moves, but it may be a retained salary transaction.
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Meh... a little dislike in games is good. Did anyone (on our side) get worked up when Bure took out Churla? That is the best part of the new schedule... sometimes teams are getting really annoyed with each other after playing a few games in a row. When we go back to normal divisional play, I hope they keep the baseball style series where we play 2-4 games in a row against an opponent.
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A buyout window wouldn't start until after expansion.
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Because we could save $3.8 million in cap next year when we are in a terrible cap crunch and replace him for a back up at less than half that cost? We get a deferred $2.4 million cap hit the year after that, but we have a lot of money coming off the books that year and can't really spend it because we have a bunch of extensions that will be coming up due in the consecutive seasons after that.
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Any more fun breakdowns of how we just need to just win games against the “right” teams and we will be right in the mix for a playoff spot? Maybe Montreal will get really tired from a compressed schedule... but won’t lose all their games to Calgary and vault the Flames ahead of us at the same time?
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5 prospects the Canucks could select in the first round of the 2021 draft
Provost replied to Me_'s topic in Canucks Talk
Well maybe he would do well as head of amateur scouting... but then again, he maybe he had less intel if he is in the employ of a team. He is likely so good because he gets to chat with scouts from all organizations without being a competitor. I am on record saying we need to hire a President and then have them figure out the rest. I keep beating the drum on Larionov for that role. -
5 prospects the Canucks could select in the first round of the 2021 draft
Provost replied to Me_'s topic in Canucks Talk
When I did the comparison of all the scouting lists and figured out who they would have chosen for us in the first round since Benning started... Button came out on top, followed by Pronman. Benning was above average. No one is 100%, Button is pretty much as good as it gets though with the draft. Most teams would do well to just listen to him. -
5 prospects the Canucks could select in the first round of the 2021 draft
Provost replied to Me_'s topic in Canucks Talk
The likely truth is that we will have no idea who is better in the top 10. Hughes has been rated as high as #1 and also outside the top ten. He is probably somewhere around where we might pick... if he is available it won’t be a reach at all and there likely won’t be any daylight between half a dozen guys available at that point. Why not take the guy with some extra marketing spin and who may help keep his brother in the fold longer term. -
[proposa] The Vancouver Canucks and Jeff Skinner
Provost replied to Patel Bure's topic in Proposals and Armchair GM'ing
There is zero upside to this in my opinion. IF Skinner got back to his career year production.... he is still $3-5 million overpaid. If he doesn’t, he is $8 million overpaid.... for a crap ton of years. With a flat cap for likely 5 years, that is a franchise crippling contract. Ae won’t be paying Petterson or Hughes $9 million. You could get the best free agent on the market for the next couple seasons for that price. -
How many first round picks are we adding to that deal? We are talking a likely regular Norris finalist who was playing 25 minutes a night in Ekblad. I don’t see them moving Ekblad at all. They are not going all in for one season at the expense of contending for a few more.
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Those are also reasonable deals. They don’t have a ton of cap space next year... but enough to absorb those players if Stralman comes the other way. My issue would be that Schmidt is a bigger loss to me than Myers... is it worth losing that cap/club controlled player for a late 1st and a little cap relief in Roussel? Maybe... I would really have to sit with that and think about all the downstream impacts. It means we probably have the space to extend Edler for a couple of years if Schmidt isn’t taking up a top 4 spot. If you remove Roussel’s salary and maybe even factor in a Holtby buyout, we suddenly have reduced a drastic cap crunch. A defence would probably look like: Hughes-Tryamkin/Hamonic Eder-Stralman Juolevi-Myers X (depth guy picked up in expansion) Rathbone (probably in minors but getting injury call up time) I completely trust an Edler-Stralman veteran pairing when things need to be settled down and they probably end up playing the most minutes. Tryamkin probably isn’t ready for a top 4 role, but if Hughes plays less 5v5 and gets a lot of minutes on the PP, that means Tryamkin is really only getting 16-18 minutes a game (not used on the PP) while Hughes is getting 20-22. Maybe it is Hamonic in that spot initially... but I would rather see a younger player. Does Tryamkin sign here to be a 7th D? Juolevi and Myers were improving as a pairing before Juolevi was yanked from the lineup. That 1st round pick maybe can be flipped to get rid of Eriksson and our cap troubles mostly evaporate. The puzzle works, but I think it works better with Schmidt who can play both sides.
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(Rumour) Virtanen on the trade block
Provost replied to Wayne Glensky's topic in Trades, Rumours, Signings
I honestly think even the 3 year timeframe is unlikely to see the cap rise. It was already artificially high with the escalator clauses the NHLPA chose to put in each year to make sure there was money to go around for UFAs When they negotiated the cap on escrow for the next few years, they also changed the way the cap was calculated. Instead of just looking at the previous year’s revenue, they are going to average the previous two years. Assuming there will still be revenue impacts next season... which is a safe bet... that makes three seasons from now before those low revenue years are off the calculation for the cap. Add in the escrow limits all the way through 2024-25... it means they players will likely continue to owe $1-2 billion in overpayments to the owners that most of won’t get paid back even with a new US TV deal. 100% of that remaining money will be owed from players in the 2025-26 season when the artificial escrow cap is done. That should all work to keeping the cap pretty steady (maybe a nominal increase for optics) until after 2025-26. Hopefully the new US TV deals are just massive and that money can be paid back faster. I wouldn’t bet on magic cap space from the ceiling increasing anytime soon though. Of course, GMs will still spend more money than they should because they don’t care about 3-5 years from now.