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Everything posted by Provost
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Poll - Which meltdown has been more spectacular this month?
Provost replied to Provost's topic in Canucks Talk
Are you already whinging about nonsense? Yikes. I will continue to believe in math and objective reality. If the team isn’t at least at .500 hockey or is not right near the playoff bar by American Thanksgiving and their odds have dropped to below 20% to make the post season… don’t worry, I will again create a thread giving regular factual updates on their chances. Clearly you will regularly hold your breath and stamp your feet about it… then get really loud and start name calling when they win a couple games because you feel vindicated… then really quiet when they lose a few games… then disappear completely from the thread when the team again follows the odds and doesn’t make the playoffs. We could just dispense with all that and you could scroll on by if you don’t understand math. If you want someone to make you feel better because you are sad… at least the odds say that if they keep going down to under 20% chance to make the playoffs odds are eventually they will actually make it. -
Poll - Which meltdown has been more spectacular this month?
Provost replied to Provost's topic in Canucks Talk
I am assuming you just recognized so many faces on the team. Honest mistake. -
[Signing] Canucks re-sign J.T. Miller
Provost replied to -Vintage Canuck-'s topic in Trades, Rumours, Signings
Wait… so you respond to a post where people pointed out you were lying… with a post filled with lies and name calling other posters. … and now your takeaway is that you think it is childish for people to point out that you are lying? -
Poll - Which meltdown has been more spectacular this month?
Provost replied to Provost's topic in Canucks Talk
Sorry I thought you knew that the Canucks blew four leads. You should probably avoid the forums if you don’t want fro know that. -
Poll - Which meltdown has been more spectacular this month?
Provost replied to Provost's topic in Canucks Talk
… I choose B. At least in Option A, most characters were gifted with the blessed relief of a quick death to end their suffering. Also, her expression is exactly the mirror of mine when the opposition scores their first goal in 3rd periods. -
Which has been the most spectacular meltdown this month? :D Option A: Mount Doom exploding and transforming the Southlands in Mordor Option B: The Canucks breaking their own record for blowing multi goal leads.
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[Signing] Canucks re-sign J.T. Miller
Provost replied to -Vintage Canuck-'s topic in Trades, Rumours, Signings
Please feel free to go search for that imaginary post you just made up. There is a function to be able to do it. We will wait while you do it…. Otherwise stop lying to make false arguments, and sit down while the grown ups talk. -
[Signing] Canucks re-sign J.T. Miller
Provost replied to -Vintage Canuck-'s topic in Trades, Rumours, Signings
There are many words for that… but they all mean lying when you try to mislead by presenting information in a way to try to obscure the truth. Lying by Omission, Prevarication, Disingenuous, etc I know why you think it is clever and that people don’t understand what you are doing. Everyone understands the context of the discussion is his extension…. It is literally in the actual thread title and is what people are talking about in the thread titled “Canucks Re-Sign JT Miller” Making an argument that requires your to blatantly ignore the existence of the extension is frankly silly. -
[PGT] Vancouver Canucks at Columbus Blue Jackets | Oct. 18, 2022
Provost replied to -Vintage Canuck-'s topic in Canucks Talk
Watching LoTR is about the same thing as watching a Canucks game. -
[Signing] Canucks re-sign J.T. Miller
Provost replied to -Vintage Canuck-'s topic in Trades, Rumours, Signings
You are such an optimist! We aspire to hopefully become mediocre one day…. -
[Signing] Canucks re-sign J.T. Miller
Provost replied to -Vintage Canuck-'s topic in Trades, Rumours, Signings
You are framing things falsely by omitting some significant context. He is getting paid an average of $8 million over a long term contract where the expectation is that there is supposed to be surplus value in the first half in order to make up for the decline in production over the last half of it. The value is over the entire contract. A four year contract would have been for a lot more. If he can’t provide significant surplus value early on, then it goes from a risky contract to an albatross. -
[PGT] Vancouver Canucks at Columbus Blue Jackets | Oct. 18, 2022
Provost replied to -Vintage Canuck-'s topic in Canucks Talk
They got Marino for basically free as a cap dump… we could have had him for pennies on the dollar if we had the space too. Hughes would command a lot more than that. It starts with Nemec and they keep adding until they can beat other offers from the rest of the league who would be in on it. -
[Signing] Canucks re-sign J.T. Miller
Provost replied to -Vintage Canuck-'s topic in Trades, Rumours, Signings
No one said he can’t… he will get the prime PP time with good line mates so he should put up decent points. Maybe he can stay on pace to hit a -82 by the end of the season too… -
[Signing] Canucks re-sign J.T. Miller
Provost replied to -Vintage Canuck-'s topic in Trades, Rumours, Signings
He somehow probably has less value with this contract than unsigned. There was a lot of Vitriol when it was suggested that he is more likely to revert back to a 70-80 point pace than to repeat his one time 99 point season. He will probably still put up points, but that whole “Inwant to be committed to being a better 200 foot player” thing seems to have become an early season casualty. I also suggested that there was no sign he had done any growing up from the pouty toxic Miller we saw early last season. It was that things went so well in the last half there was no opportunity for that side to expose itself. Let’s see what his attitude is with some hardships. This management said all the right things about the team needing a lot of work to be a contender. No idea why they didn’t follow through with that vision. Maybe Benning left his playbook behind and they accidentally copied that instead. -
Apparently they were ordering pizza? Or maybe drawing up plays to at least salvage a point out of multi goal leads? It is actually hard to do what they are accomplishing…
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Predict The Score Contest: VAN @ MIN Oct 20 2022
Provost replied to goalie13's topic in Canucks Talk
I don’t know the final score, but I can predict we will get at least a two goal lead and then lose the game I guess I will say 5-3 Wild - Erikkson Ek -
[PGT] Vancouver Canucks at Columbus Blue Jackets | Oct. 18, 2022
Provost replied to -Vintage Canuck-'s topic in Canucks Talk
I had to leave to take the kids to activities but was certain we were going to blow the 2-0 lead. I was pleasantly surprised to find out we salvaged a point from our lead! … my bar isn’t high. 30th place baby!!! -
Saying our team was trash when the team was trash isn’t anti-Canuck. That is the same as the sad sacks here who get all bent out of shape when media give pre-season projections of the Canucks missing the playoffs. The fact that those predictions keep turning out to be right seems lost on folks… because they are convinced the media treats us unfairly. Definitely anti-Benning by the end but that was well earned and shared by every non homer. Even his radio hits he always made it clear the Canucks were a team he would want to join in some sort of front office capacity.
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[Signing] Canucks re-sign J.T. Miller
Provost replied to -Vintage Canuck-'s topic in Trades, Rumours, Signings
I don’t think that time is now… but if we aren’t at higher than the .500 mark in a month it should be. Literally no one off the table. Our cap projection going forward means this is largely the roster we will have for the next few years going forward. Raises in the cap all go towards raises owed to our actual good players needing new contracts. Those new contracts will be inflated to the new higher cap reality. No cavalry coming from the prospect pipeline in the near future to let us get high level ELCs making up for expensive veterans. That window was when Hughes and Petterson were cheap. If this core isn’t even a playoff calibre team, there is no reasonable expectation it can suddenly grow into a contending team from within. If the team shows it isn’t able to compete…. Then the reality is that we should be in for a 3-4 year tear down to the studs rebuild. We can get these same sort of results from cast offs and taking on bad contracts while trading away all our useful players for futures. Maybe the preseason and these first few games are a blip, maybe the team just needs to get used to some new systems and get a couple injured players back. No one knows. I know we had better see some signs of life in the team as how can you explain to Aquilini all the money he is shelling out for front office staff and to the cap ceiling with no results. -
Good analysis to stop folks from jumping off bridges. Mathematically it is really the 20 game mark where standing get pretty baked in. Lower numbers of games are still too volatile as 3 game winning or losing streaks are exceedingly common. We would hardly raise our eyebrows if it happened mid season. It would be interesting to see if there are “special” causes like injuries to key players that explain some of the turnarounds like it did St. Louis when they went from crap at Christmas to the playoffs. What it really means is that the team has to play catch up and find a way to go at LEAST 3 games over .500 over the next month or so. If a team is more than 4 points out of a playoff spot after 20 games… they have a surprisingly low likelihood of catching up, especially if there is a pack of teams between them and the playoff bar that they would need to outplay ALL of.
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[Signing] Canucks re-sign J.T. Miller
Provost replied to -Vintage Canuck-'s topic in Trades, Rumours, Signings
We don’t know what the offers were at all so it is impossible to speculate as it isn’t even hindsight and just random guessing. We just know it was an extremely valuable asset and it didn’t get done. We just know that a GM in Calgary was able to get a massive haul for his asset in really difficult circumstances, I would have been happy for a whole lot less than that for Miller. Rutherford had made it clear publicly that they didn’t just want picks/prospects coming back so there could have been packages including those that weren’t explored deeply. In hindsight we could have sued those as currency to make other moves. -
Predict The Score Contest: VAN @ CBJ Oct 18 2022
Provost replied to goalie13's topic in Canucks Talk
6-4 Columbus with an empty net sealing the deal late. -
[Signing] Canucks re-sign J.T. Miller
Provost replied to -Vintage Canuck-'s topic in Trades, Rumours, Signings
I was very in favour of making moves but wasn’t too critical of not making them last deadline giving some benefit of the doubt. At the time I said repeatedly that I hope that little run of success doesn’t end up costing us years of more rebuilding. It paralyzed the management group from making moves whereas if the team had kept losing they would have probably shipped out as many veteran players with positive or neutral value as they could to prepare for more room to make changes in the offseason. I am still hopeful that things turn around quickly. We have just looked small and slow… and played like we expected to win on talent alone rather than work effort.