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CAP Will Go Up?(effect on Canucks)


Nuxfanabroad

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Reasons it may increase?

-People's short memories on CBA-impasse

-Other major sport's issues. EG:NFL, concussions; MLB, doping; NBA, egos. In the US market, I sense the NHL is gaining some market share, as their athletes don't seem to attract so much media-negativity. Simply better role-models.

-Last CBA, in 2004, they set the bar deliberately lower(39 mill?). Probably they've tried to repeat this pattern. Easier to adjust upwards.

-Winnipeg gets a lot more $$ than Atl did. There'll be expansion fees, & perhaps 1 or 2 more weak sisters moved to better markets.

-USA's players are getting better every year; with an upcoming Olympics to showcase them.

-Also potentially more interest through new division-alignment. Better game start times for a few markets/interesting renewed rivalries.

Potential negatives?

-Overall economy(eg:Detroit city)

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Glad you asked. Figure it's gonna help illustrate the fine job MG has done with salaries. Our D-salaries are balanced, & pretty fair. Also expecting the twins to re-sign a little lower(humility/team-1st philosophy). Seems the only error is Booth's hit.

Say the cap goes up to about 70-72 mill. I can see MG feasibly putting together a roster(2014-15 season), around 60 mill. Largely due to an influx of youth, who'll be entering ELC's. Imagine Lu has a solid season, but would still prefer to move out east. With so much space, Gillis has the option to eat some of his cap(eg:4 yrs, 2 mill per), this would make Lu a pretty attractive option, & could greatly enhance the return. We go forward with the swedish option...

2014/15 possible roster(assuming Edler/Lu are dealt)...

twins Kass-12mill?

Jensen Kesler Burrows...11 mill

H-Horvat-H...7 mill

muscle Lain Weise....4 mill Total-34 mill

Ham Juice

JGarr GUDBRANSON(sure!)

Sauve/McEneny/Alberts Corrado....about 20-22 mill

Lack & Eriksson(about 4-5 mill, tops)

It comes in around 60-62 mill, with more prospects omitted(some will be dealt for picks, after we win it all in 2013/14)...

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70 is probably the high end estimate for the 14-15 cap. It was originally estimated to stay the same as this year, but as you said revenues were already better than expected post-lockout. My prediction is 68 or so.

Will be interesting to see how Phoenix does this year. IMO that will be one of the two biggest factors. The other relates to the fact that the playoffs this year came down to the past four big teams, which is not necessarily a good thing for the league. They've basically got those fans in their pockets at this point, but casual fans of a lot of bubble teams might be already looking in other directions.

But then there's also the wildcard of an Olympic year. A gold medal for the US could drive playoff ratings and revenue through the roof.

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Supposedly the six outdoor games alone are estimated to recover NHL revenues back to pre-lockout levels. The CAP will recover much faster than anyone predicted. The boycott the NHL movement never materialized in any significant way. The only threat I can see is that the overall economy crashes which it will within 5 years. In the meantime let's party on.

Critics of the NHL business plan by Bettman and ownership failed to note the recent $800 million a year deal signed for Nascar TV. The NHL NBC deal comes in at $200 million a year. If the NHL had got that deal the CAP would surge $25 million per team overnight. A gate driven league would have to increase their ticket prices by at least 30% to get the same bang. If Team USA were to win Gold in Russia it could be enough to bag that home run media contract the NHL has chased for decades. Seriously, who would rather watch cars racing around in circles versus a NHL game?

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What effect will it have? Lou's contract will seem palatable even to worthless eastern media hacks, Garrisons contract will finally look good to those constant complainers, Booths contract will be palatable whether he produces to the level we want or not and we will be able to sign a decent free agent or two when a few other teams realize how much trouble they're in cap wise.

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Guest Pinchin

The cap will go up because revenue will go up. Much of the computer chair economics that is being mentioned is irrelevant.

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Guest Pinchin

Sadly Vancouver isn't a prime UFA destination anymore. Unless we go deep into the playoffs next season and prove we're contenders again, prime players are heading to Chicago or Boston.

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If we can get the Sedins to sign for 5 million, I think the salary cap will go up by enough that we could make a serious attempt to get Vanek (who is UFA next summer):

Sedin-Sedin-Vanek

Burrows-Kesler-Kassian

Higgins-Horvat-Hansen

Jensen-Gaunce-Lain

Sestito

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