-AJ- Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 I figured another pro-rated stats update might be nice at the midway point. I missed the exact halfway point by one game, but oh well, close enough. I've done this as the 1/5 mark and the 1/3 mark of the season so far. If you want to see how the pro-ration of the stats has changed since then, you can check out those topics here: 1/5 mark point projections - http://forum.canucks.com/topic/365028-point-paces-thus-far/ 1/3 mark point projections - http://forum.canucks.com/topic/365683-canucks-point-projections-at-the-13-mark/ With that out of the way, here they are, point projections based on 42 games! First, the projections for our skaters: Next, our goaltenders: And finally, the team's record: Some things, I've noted: - As a whole, we've scored a fair bit less than since the 1/3 mark of the season, however, we've also let in less goals - The twins are pretty close to maintaining their production from the 1/3 mark - Vrbata's assist count is lowered, but his goal projection is only slightly lower - Vrbata being on pace for 8 PIM should have him in the discussion for the Lady Byng - Even aside from Vrbata, Willie D's team is very disciplined, with many players having drastically reduced penalty minutes - Bonino has regressed to an level that I think many of us expected him to be at before the start of the season - Vey's numbers still present a decent rookie campaign - Hansen is still on pace for 20 goals, a career high for him - Richardson's numbers still look like premier 3rd liner point totals - Burrows is doing surprisingly well without the twins (granted he now plays on the PP with them) - Edler has picked up a little bit of offense, which is a good sign - Dorsett's numbers still look stellar for a 4th liner - Miller still on pace for over 40 wins, and an impressive 8 shutouts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Master Mind Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 Looks like we still need an upgrade on the 2nd line, as well as a defenceman that bring score. Thanks for sharing, though I do find it odd how you have it sorted by points, yet after the top 4 it doesn't stay that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Sestito Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 The only two players I was off by were Richardson and Kassian. Last year I paraded on CDC and HF for Richardson, but I still felt like his offensive abilities would always limit him to being a 4th line center. This year, he's been able to add much more offense to his game which was unexpected to say the least. It would be criminal to not re-sign him. He's the true leader of our bottom nine. And then there's Kassian. Showed real signs at the end of last season - 20 pts in 35 games, 9 pts in last 10 games.. then he's just fallen flat on his ass. I was expecting a 40-45 point season based on management planning on playing a second line role and the fact he was by far our best 5 on 5 scorer last season. And again, we're short two top six forwards and an elite RD, and a capable top four replacement - which is why we'll stay in mediocrity. Horvat is also pretty much on line with everyone's expectations. 21 points / 82 games playing a fourth line role. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miss Korea Bob.Loblaw Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 A big concern is our lack of blue line production. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
-AJ- Posted January 16, 2015 Author Share Posted January 16, 2015 Thanks for sharing, though I do find it odd how you have it sorted by points, yet after the top 4 it doesn't stay that way. Good point. I'll meant to sort it by points. I'll get a better version up ASAP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Odd. Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 Edler has been magnificent. He and Tanev are going to make a really strong pairing and I hope the league really notices too. Easily one of the best top shutdown d-man in the league. Last year, you couldn't say that to Edler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Master Mind Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 Edler has been magnificent. He and Tanev are going to make a really strong pairing and I hope the league really notices too. Easily one of the best top shutdown d-man in the league. Last year, you couldn't say that to Edler. That pairing has been great all season. If we could get an offensive defenceman that plays the right side, we'd have a very solid top 4. I think it's our teams biggest need. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StarGirl Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 Lowered goals against per game for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HC20.0 Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 Good totals actually. Pros: Vrbata on pace for a 30 goal year! Burrows bounced back amazingly without the twins. Miller doing his job. Honey Badger and Richardson having career years. Dorsett being a 3rd liner on the 4th line. In the Middle: Sedin's, while not being dominant, are having 70+ point years. Bonino is on pace for what we expected, regressed after his start. Horvat getting 14 points is decent for a defensive rookie. Vey with 32 points is good for a rookie! Cons: The D production is extremely alarming. Kassian's having a bad year after having high hopes for this season. Lack with only 6 wins in 27 appearances. Higgin's regression. All in all, I'd say this that despite stumbling at times, this season's exceeded expectations. There is a lot of cause for concern among the D production, but all in all, we're still hanging in there. Vrbata and Dorsett were brilliant pickups. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CanucksFan2323 Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 You mentioned that Vrbata is on pace for 8 PiM, but is that including the bench minors? Because WD usually puts Vrbata in the box for those and they aren't even his fault and would be really stupid if they counted towards his PiM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kazin! Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 You mentioned that Vrbata is on pace for 8 PiM, but is that including the bench minors? Because WD usually puts Vrbata in the box for those and they aren't even his fault and would be really stupid if they counted towards his PiM. They don't. Assessed to the team. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilliesStache14 Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 Burrows bounced back amazingly without the twins. 36 points is amazing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HC20.0 Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 36 points is amazing? Considering he had 5 goals and 15 points last year, I'd say so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mathew Barzal Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 36 points is amazing? Well considering he's been pushed and pulled up and down the roster all year it has been pretty decent when you consider is average is probably between 45-50pts per year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheMohammadman Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 I'd be extremely happy if these projections came through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdatb Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 If Vey hits 40 points this year, I'd be thrilled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tangelos Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 The only two players I was off by were Richardson and Kassian. Last year I paraded on CDC and HF for Richardson, but I still felt like his offensive abilities would always limit him to being a 4th line center. This year, he's been able to add much more offense to his game which was unexpected to say the least. It would be criminal to not re-sign him. He's the true leader of our bottom nine. And then there's Kassian. Showed real signs at the end of last season - 20 pts in 35 games, 9 pts in last 10 games.. then he's just fallen flat on his ass. I was expecting a 40-45 point season based on management planning on playing a second line role and the fact he was by far our best 5 on 5 scorer last season. And again, we're short two top six forwards and an elite RD, and a capable top four replacement - which is why we'll stay in mediocrity. Horvat is also pretty much on line with everyone's expectations. 21 points / 82 games playing a fourth line role. Richardsons are a dime a dozen in free agency, if he wants too much you can always just go after someone cheaper but can do exactly what he does Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
apollo Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 That Hansen... So hot right now. What happened to the geniuses that said trade him and he can't score on breakaways? Been doing it all year. JANNIK THE GREAT! I couldn't be any happier with this squad half way through. All the way from Lord Henrik to Bo. This is could be our year. Ok I'm not done... Gotta give extra props edler, juice, Miller, Daniel, Burr, Vrbadass, boneshow, higgy, Matthias, richy, Kass, dd, Tito, Hammer, Weber, tanman , Stanton, luuuuuu, and lack! Oops named the whole team. Greatness is upon us! Feast your eyes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hatedkid666 Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 I wouldn't mind us continuing with these type of stats. After all we are in a re-tooling year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr.53 Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 I hope Kassian and Matthias pick get some more offense going. If they do, they can be the ones to put this team over the top. Or at least to that next level. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.