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Strength of schedule for Canucks and playoff contenders


Mackcanuck

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San Jose (66 points, 2nd in Pacific)

Games left: 24

Home: 11

Away: 13

Games vs. current playoff team: 13

Back-to-Backs: 3

Regulation/overtime wins: 27

Note: Floundering of late. 5 of final 6 games vs. Colorado, Arizona, Dallas and Edmonton

Vancouver (65 points, 3rd in Pacific)

Games left: 27

Home: 14

Away: 13

Games vs. current playoff team: 12

Back-to-Backs: 3

Regulation/overtime wins: 29

Note: Pretty much a .500 team lately and their defense is starting to get beat up. Last 2 games vs. Arizona and Edmonton at home.

Winnipeg (68 points, 1st wildcard spot)

Games left: 24

Home: 13

Away: 11

Games vs. current playoff team: 15

Back-to-Backs: 2

Regulation/overtime wins: 24

Note: Arguably the easiest schedule the rest of the way, but they still have four games against St. Louis.

Calgary (65 points, 2nd wildcard spot)

Games left: 26

Home: 12

Away: 14

Games vs. current playoff team: 11

Back-to-Backs: 4

Regulation/overtime wins: 28

Note: Have a five-game homestand in the middle of the next month, including. four current non-playoff teams.

Wild (63 points, 9th)

Games left: 27

Home: 13

Away: 14

Games vs. current playoff team: 17

Back-to-Backs: 5

Regulation/overtime wins: 26

Note: The Wild’s final 6 games and 8 of last 9 are against playoff teams, including a road trip to Chicago, Nashville and St. Louis. The Wild has lacked success in each of those cities, however, if those teams are locks with position just prior to the playoffs, could the Wild be facing teams in do-not-get-hurt-mode? Look for the Wild to try to add a scoring forward and defenseman before the March 2 trade deadline

Los Angeles (62 points, 10th)

Games left: 27

Home: 11

Away: 16

Games vs. current playoff team: 17

Back-to-Backs: 3

Regulation/overtime wins: 14

Note: Actively looking for a defenseman to replace suspended Slava Voynov. Lots of road games left. Despite the fact the Kings were so good on the road in last year’s playoffs, they’ve been fairly awful this year.

Dallas (60 points, 11th)

Games left: 26

Home: 12

Away: 14

Games vs. current playoff team: 19

Back-to-Backs: 4

Regulation/overtime wins: 24

Note: Tyler Seguin is out with a knee injury.

Colorado (57 points, 12th)

Games left: 26

Home: 13

Away: 13

Games vs. current playoff team: 15

Back-to-Backs: 5

Regulation/overtime wins: 16

Note: Avs are tied for the fourth-fewest ROW’s in the NHL. Only 32 of its 57 points have come via regulation/overtime wins.

http://www.startribune.com/sports/blogs/292085341.html

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Good thread. If you work on the assumption that Nashville, St.L., Anaheim and Chicago are locks that leaves 4 spots for the above. If I had to put money down I would pick San Jose, Winnipeg, Calgary and L.A. (I have a feeling L.A. is going to pick up some D help before the deadline and that combined with our injuries tips it in their favour.)

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San Jose (66 points, 2nd in Pacific)

Games left: 24

Home: 11

...

Note: Avs are tied for the fourth-fewest ROW’s in the NHL. Only 32 of its 57 points have come via regulation/overtime wins.

http://www.startribune.com/sports/blogs/292085341.html

Good information. I had been wondering about strength of schedule. Early in the season it seemed to me that part of the Canuck success was due to a relatively easy schedule and I thought the weaker recent record was due in part to a pretty tough schedule. It makes sense that the record from here on out is not too bad.

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Again if love to play Calgary in the first round of the playoffs that would be hella fun. While we have slightly above 500 as of late, who in our division had picked up steam? The most important thing about our recent slump is that we have been winning every other game and picking up points. I do belive that we will make the playoffs this season and have home ice advantage vs Calgary in the 2-3 series in the pacific.

GCG

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Thanks for compiling this information.

I guess now we have 26 games left, 12 of which are against current playoff teams. That's 14 games against non-playoff teams (which includes Kings, however). If we win the games we should against non-playoff teams, and 1 or 2 from the Kings, I think we'll be fine. Thankfully we don't play Kings until March 12; hopefully that buys us some time to recover from injuries.

While it sucks that we have a bunch of games scrunched up at the same time we have injuries, at the very least the games are against Eastern conference teams and we won't be handing points to direct competitors if we lose. No Western teams until March, and hopefully a couple of Edler, Tanev, Bieksa, Bonino, and Richardson will be back by then.

When you think about it, we aren't doing so badly. Sure, we're 3 points from being out of a playoff spot, but have two games in hand on SJ. It seems to me that when LA and VAN play those two games SJ will be in the rearview. Here's to hoping the Preds will trounce them tonight.

If I had to bet, I'd say that Calgary falters down the stretch and that LA comes and dukes it out with the Canucks for 2nd and 3rd in the pacific. Which would be horrible if we have to play them first round, haha.

Predictions:

1. Anaheim

2. LA

3. Vancouver

Wild card:

4. Sharks

5. Winnipeg (they have 15 more games against playoff teams, not including LA)

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The more the season is winding down it appears that the playoff cut-off will remain at 92 points. But if we say 94 points is the cut off, here is what the following teams records will need to be to make the cut.

Jets

23 Games remaining (12-11)

Canucks

26 Games remaining (13-12-1)

Flames

25 Games remaining (13-11-1)

That means the 3 Canadian teams need to finished of the year with at least a .500 record to achieve 94 points and clinch a playoff spot.

Sharks

24 Games remaining (14-10)

Kings

26 Games remaining (15-11)

Wild

26 Games remaining (15-10-1)

Stars

26 Games remaining (17-9)

AV’s

25 Games remaining (17-7-1)

That means that Av’s and Stars win 6 & 9 games the rest of the season, that is not an easy task. Especially now for the Stars with Seguin out.

That would leave 4 playoff spots for 6 teams, with the Canadian teams having the advantage. Not only would the Canadian teams have to play below .500, The south of the Border teams would “all” have to go on a bit of a role as well. Fingers crossed, the next two weeks we will start to see some separation.

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I expect LA to go off down the stretch. Will be surprised if they're not in the top 3 in the division.

Canucks have a hard road infront of them missing so many D, but the division is more balanced than everyone expected. The Flames are for real, and San Jose is regressing. The other division spot is sup for grabs between all 3 of us.

The Wild are a playoff team. A skilled, gritty character team. This will be their 3rd straight playoff appearance. They had a gutsy series win over the AVs last year, down 3-2, and took a game 7 on the road in OT. Then gave the Hawks a tough 6 games. They are a team no one wants in the first round.

The leaves the other 2 Pacific Div teams and the Jets battling for the last spot.

Add: I think we'll do ok on this toad trip. It's the Blues-Sharks-Coyotes-Sharks-Ducks-Kings to kick off March that will really test this team's character, and health. If we survive that we close out the month with Kings-Coyotes-Jets-Avs-Stars-Blues-Preds

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I like Forsberg's approach. Used in conjunction with the trends, quality of competition, road/home games, etc. would be very useful.

I'm not sure SJ will go 14-10 playing 13 playoff teams and 13 away games and only 10 home games. They might miss out this year. LA has 16 away games and 16 games against playoff teams. Not sure they can pull it off, but if anyone can, it's them.

The performance levels are so close, though, that it will probably come down to the head-to-heads in March. Big games between SJS/LAK/VAN.

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Almost feel ta'Hell with the wildcards..they're just a blindfold & a cig. What we NEED is to fit in the #'s 2 or 3 divisional-slot.

So it's down to 4 teams fighting for them 2 places. Van, Cal, SJ, & LA. So much will come down to health, & our depth contributing(like yesterday's game). Unfortunately, I see LA being one of the two, that should make the grade.

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