numb3r 16 Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 columbus won!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
48MPHSlapShot Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 2 minutes ago, baumerman77 said: Someone correct me if I am wrong. We finish 28th (3rd last) so we have a 34.2% chances of picking top 3 and a 65.8% of picking 4, 5, of 6. With our most likely selection being 5th at 37.81% odds. So we should most likely be debating the 5th overall selection right? That seems like kind of a ripoff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noseforthenet Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 3 minutes ago, baumerman77 said: Someone correct me if I am wrong. We finished 28th (3rd last) so we have a 34.2% chances of picking top 3 and a 65.8% of picking 4, 5, of 6. With our most likely selection being 5th at 37.81% odds. So we should most likely be debating the 5th overall selection right? True, however this is a lottery where the chances of picking the top pick are close to 1 in 10 approximately and they go up for pick 2 and 3. So actually anything can happen. I really like this lay out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumerman77 Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 2 minutes ago, Noseforthenet said: True, however this is a lottery where the chances of picking the top pick are close to 1 in 10 approximately and they go up for pick 2 and 3. So actually anything can happen. I really like this lay out. True but for our purposes I really wish it was last year's layout. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noseforthenet Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 1 minute ago, baumerman77 said: True but for our purposes I really wish it was last year's layout. Very true. But fair is fair. I am just happy we will likely get a top 5 pick. The top 15 in this one is so deep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Off_The_Schneid! Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 3rd! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Off_The_Schneid! Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 3rd! edit: tried copying that graph to see the odds of picking where now that we are 3rd but it didn't work Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gaudette Celly Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 Excellent results today. Jackets win, Canucks retain 3rd. Habs win, fall from 8th to 9th. Flames win, fall from 4th to 6th, unless Jets beat LA tonight (currently down 2:0). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gstank29 Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 1 hour ago, Off_The_Schneid! said: 3rd! edit: tried copying that graph to see the odds of picking where now that we are 3rd but it didn't work Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Junkyard Dog Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 5 minutes ago, Gstank29 said: 34.2% chance to draft top 3. 86.2% chance to draft top 5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warhippy Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 2 minutes ago, Junkyard Dog said: 34.2% chance to draft top 3. 86.2% chance to draft top 5. Can we just please see Edmonton and Toronto drafting 4/5 respectively? That would make me sooo happy. Van 1 Mtl 2 Wpg 3 Tor 4 Edm 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gaudette Celly Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 3 minutes ago, Warhippy said: Can we just please see Edmonton and Toronto drafting 4/5 respectively? That would make me sooo happy. Van 1 Mtl 2 Wpg 3 Tor 4 Edm 5 Let Arizona have Matthews, we'll take Laine and Winnipeg can have Pool Party. Get those Habs OUT of there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Junkyard Dog Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 2 minutes ago, Warhippy said: Can we just please see Edmonton and Toronto drafting 4/5 respectively? That would make me sooo happy. Van 1 Mtl 2 Wpg 3 Tor 4 Edm 5 I am just praying we get Matthews. Would set us up at C for years and gives us someone who's capable, and perhaps worthy, of replacing Hank. Would be huge boost for our rebuild. If McCann can swap to LW it would save us from having to draft another one. McCann-Matthews-Boeser Baertschi-Horvat-Virtanen. My god the potential there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sean Monahan Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 8 minutes ago, Hutton Wink said: Let Arizona have Matthews, we'll take Laine and Winnipeg can have Pool Party. Get those Habs OUT of there. sean would be okay with this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Junkyard Dog Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 Crawford, Matthews coach, compared Matthews to McDavid without the extra gear and more of a shooter, Kopitar with the pace he plays with and Sakic with the shot and release. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Off_The_Schneid! Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 41 minutes ago, Gstank29 said: Thankyou nice to look at now that 3rd guaranteed def better than 4th because of a lot slimmer chance at picking 6th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gaudette Celly Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 Ugh, Jets win in overtime, vaulting over Calgary. Wonder if the tanknations in Calgary and Winnipeg are as apoplectic as here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TGokou Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 2 hours ago, Gstank29 said: So here's what I don't get. If the #1 seed retains the #1 spot how does this now affect the draw? Because now that "17.5%" has to be divided between the remaining teams to make 100% so actually this graph is not entirely correct. I think we technically should have a greater chance of picking in the top 3%. On the other hand if a team leapfrogs us, let's say #6 seed, their 7.8% chance would need to be divvied up because they can't win the lottery twice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ossi Vaananen Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 I like this graphic better. 22.9 to move up, 11.3 to stay the same, and the greatest likelihood is moving back - 65.8. I hate that the new rules occur on the year we have our worst season to date. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Qwags Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 Now the waiting game can truly begin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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