Rick Grimes Posted April 15, 2015 Share Posted April 15, 2015 This is the third straight year (2013, 2014) we’ve done this, and so far we’ve only been wrong twice. Try and find more accurate NHL predictions than that. Calgary Flames: The worst team to make the playoffs. And we’re not even talking about their advanced stats, which are indeed awful. According to the standings, they were the worst team to make the playoffs. In a related story, it’s kinda funny how people are comparing this year’s Flames to last year’s Avalanche. Um, hello? The Avs won the Central and had a Vezina Trophy finalist in goal. The Flames finished third in the Pacific and have Jonas Hiller in goal. On top of that, they’re without Mark Giordano. Good. Night. Vancouver Canucks: The second-worst team to make the playoffs. Somehow, the Canucks were lucky enough to match up with the Flames in the first round. Their luck won’t last long, though. Vancouver entered the season with the misguided goal of getting back to the playoffs, and can’t stop bragging that it accomplished that goal. While ownership will be happy with a couple of playoff gates, what this team really did was blow its chance to start a much-needed rebuild, and in a draft year with two “generational” talents to boot. Instead, the Canucks think they can “continue to build this team and be a playoff contender every year,” which is another way of saying they’d like to have their cake and eat it too. Question: if Jim Benning is such a genius at identifying talent, how does one explain Luca Sbisa? Ottawa Senators: It’s hard to criticize these guys after what they did to make the playoffs. True, they got their coach fired because he was too mean to them, but 23-3-3 is 23-3-3. It’ll actually be too bad when Andrew Hammond falls back to earth over the next few weeks. The Hamburglar’s been a great story, from not being very good in college and the minors to what he’s done at the highest level of the game. He will fall back to earth though. The playoffs are a whole different animal, and Hammond — a 27-year-old undrafted rookie — is not the next Patrick Roy or Ken Dryden. Pittsburgh Penguins: Remember when these guys were going to be the next great dynasty? It was funny then and it’s even funnier now, because we don’t recall the 83-84 Oilers needing to beat the worst team in the NHL on the last day of the season just to make the playoffs. But that’s what the Pens needed. And boy were they completely unconvincing against the Sabres. Talk about zero confidence. Talk about no killer instinct. The Penguins could’ve easily lost that game. “It hasn’t been easy,” said Ben Lovejoy. “I’m proud of the way we were able to close it out tonight.” Yeah, way to go. You showed a lot of heart losing five in a row then barely defeating a historically bad team. Good luck against the Presidents’ Trophy winners. Detroit Red Wings: It’s one thing to bench your big-money goalie for a young guy who’s playing out of his mind. It’s quite another to park him for Petr Mrazek, a 23-year-old with no playoff experience and a save percentage (.918) that isn’t even that great. That’s how poorly Jimmy Howard played down the stretch. And make no mistake, the Wings have issues beyond goaltending. They were a mediocre possession team in the second half of the season, and there’s no way Pavel Datsyuk is 100 percent. Enjoy Mike Babcock while he’s still behind the bench, Wings fans. (Which should be about five, maybe six, more games.) Winnipeg Jets: You have to be happy for Jets fans. It’s been a long time since meaningful hockey was played in Winnipeg, and it’s going to be a tough assignment to beat the home side at MTS Centre. Except, of course, for the fact the Jets are the least disciplined team in the league, as ably demonstrated here by Dustin Byfuglien. Oh, and they don’t really have an elite center either. Also, Ondrej Pavelec is their goalie. (Other than that, though.) And please, PLEASE don’t argue that Pavelec is good now. Yes, he had a strong finish. But he’s shown flashes in the past too, only to revert back to what he really is — a below-average NHL goalie. Montreal Canadiens: Unlike Pavelec, Carey Price is decidedly not below average. He’s actually the favorite to win the Hart Trophy, which would make him the first goalie to win the award since Jose Theodore did it for the Habs in 2001-02. Hey, how did that turn out anyway? Oh right, Theodore was just OK in the playoffs and Montreal lost to Carolina in the second round. Goaltending: impossible to predict and incredibly risky to rely on. That’s why teams that are good at possessing the puck are better bets. Puck possession is a team thing, so if one guy falters or gets hurt, it’s not the end of the world. By the way, the Habs were the worst possession team to make the playoffs in the Eastern Conference. Washington Capitals: One of the most improved teams in the NHL still doesn’t have what it takes to win it all. That’s basically what Barry Trotz admitted a few months ago, and he was absolutely right. Asking Evgeny Kuznetsov to play first- or second-line center in the playoffs it way too much to ask. He’s a 22-year-old rookie. Even if he’s “come a long way over the last two months,” he’s still got a ways to go. The Caps simply aren’t strong enough down the middle, period. (Admit it, you all thought this was going to be a screed against Alex Ovechkin, and how he’s never won anything of meaning and never will. Nah, we’ll wait until they’re eliminated for that.) Minnesota Wild: Sure, we could point out that Devan Dubnyk got run into the ground by Mike Yeo and, come April, the goalie savior started to show a few cracks. But the reason the Wild won’t win the Stanley Cup is because they won’t score enough goals. The power play stinks, and if they’re counting on Thomas Vanek to produce in the playoffs, well, let’s just say he hasn’t always been at his best in big games. Need another reason? The Wild aren’t deep enough on defense, and that can be big-time problematic in the playoffs. Anaheim Ducks: The most overrated team in the NHL. Goals per game: 11th. Goals against: 20th. Power play: 28th. Penalty kill: 15th. Those aren’t the numbers of a Stanley Cup champ. In fact, the Ducks (+10) had the worst goal-differential of the 16 teams to make the playoffs. “If you look at teams that have won the Cup, they’re high in the defensive standings — L.A. was the best defensive team last year, won the Cup. Chicago before that, won it. When Boston won … there’s definitely a trend there.” You know who said that? It was Bruce Boudreau. Tampa Bay Lightning: What seemed like a savvy preseason pick doesn’t seem quite so smart anymore. Yes, the Lightning score a lot of goals, but they don’t keep them out of their net particularly well, ranking 12th in that category. The year after being named a Vezina finalist, Ben Bishop predictably regressed and finished with a so-so save percentage of .916. Also remember that Bishop, 28, has never played in the playoffs. This is a young team that may win a Cup in the future, but it’s not quite ready yet. New York Islanders: Can the Isles win a playoff series for the first time since 1993? We only ask this question so we can point out the fact that the Isles haven’t won a playoff series since 1993. It’s pretty sad how far the standards have fallen on Long Island. A fan base that once celebrated four straight championships now holds up Jaroslav Halak as some sort of goaltending god for having a .914 save percentage. Meanwhile, everyone’s doing cartwheels because Johnny Boychuk and Nick Leddy, two good-but-not-great defensemen that were deemed expendable by their former teams, actually agreed to re-sign. The Isles finished the regular season with four wins in their last 14. Maybe they’ll raise the bar when they get to Brooklyn. Nashville Predators: Similar to the Islanders, the Preds got off to a great start and had people debating whether they were legit Stanley Cup contenders. This despite the glaring facts that Mike Ribeiro was their first-line center and they had a rookie by the name of Filip Forsberg who was piling up points at an unsustainably high rate. Yada, yada, yada, the Preds went 8-13-4 in their last 25 games, including six straight losses to finish the season. Bottom line: this team is gonna be done real quick if Pekka Rinne doesn’t find his game. He gave up 17 goals in his last five outings combined. New York Rangers: Back in March, a handful of Rags faithful got all hot and bothered when we pointed out the Blueshirts were “good but not great” down the middle. As if hockey fans everywhere should marvel at the amazing talent the Rangers had assembled to play center for their spectacular team. Sorry, but Derick Brassard, Derek Stepan, Kevin Hayes, and Dominic Moore are pretty much the definition of “good but not great.” Which, hey, is better than “fine but not good”; however, when you consider the truly great centers that Cup champs almost always possess, not to mention the Rangers’ worrying possession numbers, it’s really not hard to doubt this team. On the bright side, at least Alain Vigneault has another Presidents’ Trophy to his name. St. Louis Blues: The new San Jose Sharks. Or maybe the Sharks were the new St. Louis Blues. After all, the Blues were choking in the playoffs long before the Sharks started gagging away successful regular seasons. Six times in franchise history have the Blues amassed over 100 points, only to fall well short when the games start counting. This season was their seventh with more than 100 points, so of course they drew one of the league’s hottest teams in the first round. But it’s not a cursed history or tough opponent that will doom the Blues. It’s questionable goaltending (another Blues tradition) and a coach that can’t stop himself from over-coaching. Chicago Blackhawks: Fun fact about the ‘Hawks: Out of the 16 teams to make the playoffs, only Ottawa and Winnipeg finished with fewer regulation/overtime wins. Another fact: If instead of going 9-3 in the shootout they’d gone 3-9, they’d have made the playoffs by one measly point. And yet the ‘Hawks remain Stanley Cup favorites in the eyes of many. Have people not been paying attention? The simple truth is, these guys have not been playing at an elite level since the Winter Classic. Antoine Vermette hasn’t been the answer, andKimmo Timonen‘s not the answer either, based on the 40-year-old’s dreadful possession stats. Just do us a favor and don’t act surprised when Chicago’s eliminated in the first or second round, OK? http://prohockeytalk.nbcsports.com/2015/04/15/bulletin-board-material-why-your-team-wont-win-the-stanley-cup-3/ A Straight-Up Nutshot to each team, damn this dude is accurate, but merciless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heretic Posted April 15, 2015 Share Posted April 15, 2015 Accurate? I stopped reading at: "Vancouver Canucks: The second-worst team to make the playoffs." They were the 8th best overall in the league. That's right, they finished ahead of 8 other playoff teams. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TOMapleLaughs Posted April 15, 2015 Share Posted April 15, 2015 It's true that we have the easiest 1st round matchup by far. Sweeping the Flames will make the road to the cup easier for us. Meanwhile the other totally-beatable contenders will hammer each other and weaken themselves. This is the year. We're On a Mission from God. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Bookie Posted April 15, 2015 Share Posted April 15, 2015 well you know, it is hard to be wrong when you don't actually make a prediction 'nobody wins this year, playoffs cancelled, everybody go home' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crackers Posted April 15, 2015 Share Posted April 15, 2015 Pretty damn accurate! Wow every team that made it sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HerrDrFunk Posted April 15, 2015 Share Posted April 15, 2015 Damn, it's too bad they can't just call off the playoffs and not award the cup this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crackers Posted April 15, 2015 Share Posted April 15, 2015 Also, I like how he made a subjective comment, followed by only talking about what the Canucks COULD have done, and not what they have actually done. I think he knows we are unstoppable!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mathew Barzal Posted April 15, 2015 Share Posted April 15, 2015 It's true that we have the easiest 1st round matchup by far. Sweeping the Flames will make the road to the cup easier for us. Meanwhile the other totally-beatable contenders will hammer each other and weaken themselves. This is the year. We're On a Mission from God. This. No Cali teams <3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thejazz97 Posted April 15, 2015 Share Posted April 15, 2015 Accurate? I stopped reading at: "Vancouver Canucks: The second-worst team to make the playoffs." They were the 8th best overall in the league. That's right, they finished ahead of 8 other playoff teams. Second worst possession team. This was depressing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miss Korea Bob.Loblaw Posted April 15, 2015 Share Posted April 15, 2015 Everyone should've tanked for McDavid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick Grimes Posted April 15, 2015 Author Share Posted April 15, 2015 Accurate? I stopped reading at: "Vancouver Canucks: The second-worst team to make the playoffs." They were the 8th best overall in the league. That's right, they finished ahead of 8 other playoff teams. Bud, we barely made it in when compared to some of our previous runs, this is not a regular season to be proud of for Vancouver, and we DO have the easiest first round match-up. This team shows flashes of what they once were, but there are periods where they just look old - I will say, with Bo Horvat, Linden Vey, & Yes, even Luca Sbisa, I do like our future, add in a pair of crazy, whacky Swedish Goaltenders, a couple of steady dmen in Tanev & Corrado, and the future starts to look alright in Vancouver. We'll need to draft well, but, I think every team has to draft strong nowadays, its just the way the league is built, draft well or goto League-Hell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Time Lord Posted April 15, 2015 Share Posted April 15, 2015 Brassard, Stepan, Hayes, and Moore isn't great??? Stepan - 65 point pace. This pace is good enough for top 30 in the league, putting him in the top 1/3 of 1st liners. Brassard - 60 points. Still 1st line caliber stats. Hayes - 47 points = 2nd line production, as a third liner. Moore - 27 points as the 4th line center There's a few other inaccurate statements, but this one caught my eye the most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heretic Posted April 15, 2015 Share Posted April 15, 2015 Bud, we barely made it in when compared to some of our previous runs, this is not a regular season to be proud of for Vancouver, and we DO have the easiest first round match-up. This team shows flashes of what they once were, but there are periods where they just look old - I will say, with Bo Horvat, Linden Vey, & Yes, even Luca Sbisa, I do like our future, add in a pair of crazy, whacky Swedish Goaltenders, a couple of steady dmen in Tanev & Corrado, and the future starts to look alright in Vancouver. We'll need to draft well, but, I think every team has to draft strong nowadays, its just the way the league is built, draft well or goto League-Hell. The Kings were the worst "regular" season team in the Western Conference in 2012....we all know what happened to the 1st overall Canucks that year.... I like what Botchford said, the Canucks look rested - not burned out heading into the playoffs. (crap, did I just agree with Botchford???) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brad Marchand Posted April 15, 2015 Share Posted April 15, 2015 In the spirit of the article, winning the Cup post-lockout has been about finding a way to suck less than your opponent and compensate for your team's flaws. LA and Boston won their cups with powerplays that had the potency of Larry King. Hawks have won two cups effectively without a 2nd line centre. The perfect team can no longer be built in the cap world. It's about sucking less than the rest of the field. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Webster6 Posted April 15, 2015 Share Posted April 15, 2015 Second worst possession team. This was depressing. Canucks are a good possession team. Just an awful faceoff team, which makes it harder to create and sustain aforementioned possession. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick Grimes Posted April 15, 2015 Author Share Posted April 15, 2015 Brassard, Stepan, Hayes, and Moore isn't great??? Stepan - 65 point pace. This pace is good enough for top 30 in the league, putting him in the top 1/3 of 1st liners. Brassard - 60 points. Still 1st line caliber stats. Hayes - 47 points = 2nd line production, as a third liner. Moore - 27 points as the 4th line center There's a few other inaccurate statements, but this one caught my eye the most. No, good, but not great, they have no elite #1 center. Getzlaf. Toews. Backstrom. Sedin. Stamkos. Crosby. Tavares; They can all take on Stephan/Brassard in a 7 game series, IMO. The Kings were the worst "regular" season team in the Western Conference in 2012....we all know what happened to the 1st overall Canucks that year.... I like what Botchford said, the Canucks look rested - not burned out heading into the playoffs. (crap, did I just agree with Botchford???) Haha, you are right, Once you get into the playoffs its pretty much a roll of the dice, I want to see the Canucks go deep, and there are moments where they look very much like the team that went to war with Boston, the Speed is there, the skill is occasionally there, and we have a surprising amount of depth up front, our Defense scares me every time any pairing that isn't "Edler-Tanev" is out there. Other than that the playoffs pretty much come down to which goalie steals a series, which line/young players show that they want to be here and evolve, and who stays healthy, lol.(I'm expecting a huge series out of Mark Stone in Ottawa, that kid is going to be awesome IMO.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2SKATES1STICK Posted April 15, 2015 Share Posted April 15, 2015 It's true that we have the easiest 1st round matchup by far. Sweeping the Flames will make the road to the cup easier for us. Meanwhile the other totally-beatable contenders will hammer each other and weaken themselves. This is the year. We're On a Mission from God. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DIBdaQUIB Posted April 15, 2015 Share Posted April 15, 2015 The Kings were the worst "regular" season team in the Western Conference in 2012....we all know what happened to the 1st overall Canucks that year.... I like what Botchford said, the Canucks look rested - not burned out heading into the playoffs. (crap, did I just agree with Botchford???)This should get you banned!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DIBdaQUIB Posted April 15, 2015 Share Posted April 15, 2015 DP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2inthecup Posted April 15, 2015 Share Posted April 15, 2015 Bud, we barely made it in when compared to some of our previous runs, this is not a regular season to be proud of for Vancouver, and we DO have the easiest first round match-up. This team shows flashes of what they once were, but there are periods where they just look old - I will say, with Bo Horvat, Linden Vey, & Yes, even Luca Sbisa, I do like our future, add in a pair of crazy, whacky Swedish Goaltenders, a couple of steady dmen in Tanev & Corrado, and the future starts to look alright in Vancouver. We'll need to draft well, but, I think every team has to draft strong nowadays, its just the way the league is built, draft well or goto League-Hell. This is the 6th best point record the Canucks have EVER had. Which runs are you comparing too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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