Arrow 1983 Posted August 31, 2015 Share Posted August 31, 2015 Assuming this is the line up. Make your Goal predictions. Right wingers G Vrbata 30 Burrows 22 Hansen 15 Dorsett 9 Virtanen 14 If he is ready for NHL (a whole lot more if he gets to play with Sedins) Left wingers D.Sedin 20 Higgins 17 Prust 9 Baertschi 14 Kenins 7 Center H.Sedin 18 Sutter 26 Horvat 20 Vey 10 Defence Edler 12 Tanev 5 Hamuis 8 Weber 12 Sbisa 8 Bartkowski 3 Corrado 3 Tell me what you think. If you disagree, please tell me why; but most importantly post your predictions. If you agree with this it means total of 282 goals or 3.44 goals per game. Lets put this in perspective now: If my prediction is 36 goals less that would mean 246 goals = 3 goals per game. If you disagree with me please tell me by how much and if you can get that below 246 goals or less then 3 goals per game. If we can manage anywhere near 3 goals a game, we should not only manage to get into the playoffs but I would argue place any where from 2-6 in our conference. If this is unreasonable please explain why. For you grammar police the title should be Canucks. How I get to my predictions: Average career goals by season after factoring out injury seasons ,worst and best season, and factor in last season totals at .666 if player wasn't injured or last season gets factored in at .500 if player was injured. So D.Sedins goal total is 20 last season at .666 and his career season total at .333 minus injury season 09-10 and minus his lowest and highest goal totals. The .666 counters for decline in his play and .333 a counts for career #s his range or margin of error is plus or minus 3. If you want to know where the .666 and the .333 comes from take advance probability courses in math. Correct 19 out of 20 times with a margin of error of + -3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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