[Proposal] Colorado & Dallas Goalie Swap

[Misconduct16]

Proposal:
Lehtonen + Nichushkin/Lindell (Or some combination of Prospects/picks)

for
Varlamov

Reason for the deal:

Colorado and Dallas both have goalies with term left on their deals that aren't performing up to snuff with big, similar, cap hits.

Lehtonen 2016-17	33	DAL	NHL	27	24	9	11	4	69	678	609	.898	2.87	1

Varlamov 2016-17	28	COL	NHL	23	22	6	16	0	71	719	648	.901	3.31

(Sorry about the formatting)

 

Lehtonen: 1 Year Left at 6.0M
Varlamov: 2 Years left at 5.9M

 

For Dallas: Varlamov has consistently (until this year) been a league average or above goaltender. He's got the ability to stand on his head and really give a team what it needs to succeed while healthy. If Colorado is interested, also gets some value out of a player in Nic that has said he won't play for Ruff.
Downside: If he doesn't regain form, Varlamov has an extra year on his deal.

For Colorado: Definitely rebuilding, have a younger goalie in Pickard they seem willing to give the reins to. Trading Varly gets them a year less of contract on their goalies and I've read articles considering leaving him unprotected this year instead of Pickard anyways. Owing Lehtonen a year of 6.0M to be a backup to Pickard is... expensive. But getting either a combination of young talent or draft picks and some cap flexibility earlier while being able to see what they have in Pickard could be well worth it.

It would be amazing if Colorado could turn Varlamov into a prospect like Honka, but I think there would have to be something else given back to Dallas with Varlamov to bring back Honka.

 

 

[Alflives]

How does this help our team...you know...the CANUCKS?  

[-Vintage Canuck-]

1 minute ago, Alflives said:

How does this help our team...you know...the CANUCKS?  

Members are allowed to make proposals that does not involve the Canucks.

[Misconduct16]

10 minutes ago, Alflives said:

How does this help our team...you know...the CANUCKS?  

Because I have no hope the Canucks braintrust will make any moves in-season at all, so thinking about it only causes headaches. Thinking about other teams with active GMs that actually try to improve their teams (successfully or not) is far more interesting lol.

[Sygvard]

Weird fact of the day. Did you know that Dallas' goalies have the second best even strength save percentage in the league? What is bringing it down so much is a catastrophically bad save percentage short handed. Worst in the league by miles. 

 

Dallas doesn't have a goal tending problem. Dallas has a special teams problem. 

[Nuxfanabroad]

After that last outing, could see Auntie Nemo being traded for some GM's kid's hamster.

[Misconduct16]

14 minutes ago, Sygvard said:

Weird fact of the day. Did you know that Dallas' goalies have the second best even strength save percentage in the league? What is bringing it down so much is a catastrophically bad save percentage short handed. Worst in the league by miles. 

 

Dallas doesn't have a goal tending problem. Dallas has a special teams problem. 

7th best* as of stats.hockeyanalysis.com

#	Team	GP	TOI	GF	GA	GF60	GA60	GF%	SF	SA	SF60	SA60	SF%	FF	FA	FF60	FA60	FF%	CF	CA	CF60	CA60	CF%	Sh%	Sv%	PDO	OZFO%	DZFO%	NZFO%
1	Washington	43	2027:22	94	51	2.78	1.51	64.8	999	926	29.6	27.4	51.9	1409	1321	41.7	39.1	51.6	1912	1756	56.6	52.0	52.1	9.41	94.49	103.9	33.6	29.3	37.1
2	Minnesota	42	2033:38	94	62	2.77	1.83	60.3	963	1023	28.4	30.2	48.5	1328	1436	39.2	42.4	48.0	1770	1938	52.2	57.2	47.7	9.76	93.94	103.7	31.1	32.9	35.9
3	Chicago	46	2260:31	79	72	2.10	1.91	52.3	1061	1156	28.2	30.7	47.9	1446	1533	38.4	40.7	48.5	2060	2027	54.7	53.8	50.4	7.45	93.77	101.2	33.1	30.4	36.5
4	Columbus	42	2024:09	89	64	2.64	1.90	58.2	998	972	29.6	28.8	50.7	1393	1370	41.3	40.6	50.4	1863	1858	55.2	55.1	50.1	8.92	93.42	102.3	33.7	32.2	34.2
5	Montreal	44	2096:49	93	68	2.66	1.95	57.8	1112	1015	31.8	29.0	52.3	1510	1373	43.2	39.3	52.4	2102	1904	60.1	54.5	52.5	8.36	93.30	101.7	31.9	32.1	35.9
6	Buffalo	42	2030:14	62	70	1.83	2.07	47.0	944	1039	27.9	30.7	47.6	1282	1434	37.9	42.4	47.2	1711	1895	50.6	56.0	47.4	6.57	93.26	99.8	29.4	34.3	36.2
7	Dallas	44	2080:45	72	70	2.08	2.02	50.7	1022	1013	29.5	29.2	50.2	1481	1453	42.7	41.9	50.5	1992	2028	57.4	58.5	49.6	7.04	93.09	100.1	28.8	36.0	35.3
8	Nashville	43	2047:44	82	69	2.40	2.02	54.3	1049	996	30.7	29.2	51.3	1462	1410	42.8	41.3	50.9	1963	1873	57.5	54.9	51.2	7.82	93.07	100.9	32.8	32.3	34.9
9	Arizona	42	2017:03	61	81	1.81	2.41	43.0	927	1121	27.6	33.3	45.3	1328	1600	39.5	47.6	45.4	1785	2079	53.1	61.8	46.2	6.58	92.77	99.4	29.0	36.7	34.3
10	Anaheim	46	2158:26	77	75	2.14	2.08	50.7	1007	1009	28.0	28.0	50.0	1416	1421	39.4	39.5	49.9	1870	1916	52.0	53.3	49.4	7.65	92.57	100.2	31.6	33.6	34.8

But yes, the percentages aren't as bad as they seem, but the eye test certainly is. The Dallas goalies are letting in goals they should stop every game... although your point about special teams is very valid. Ouch.

#	Team	GP	TOI	GF	GA	GF60	GA60	GF%	SF	SA	SF60	SA60	SF%	FF	FA	FF60	FA60	FF%	CF	CA	CF60	CA60	CF%	Sh%	Sv%	PDO	OZFO%	DZFO%	NZFO%
1	Carolina	43	176:38	4	11	1.36	3.74	26.7	35	130	11.9	44.2	21.2	41	190	13.9	64.5	17.7	43	266	14.6	90.4	13.9	11.43	91.54	103.0	6.4	75.7	17.9
2	Florida	45	240:42	3	21	0.75	5.23	12.5	33	213	8.2	53.1	13.4	40	287	10.0	71.5	12.2	50	345	12.5	86.0	12.7	9.09	90.14	99.2	5.4	78.7	15.9
3	Toronto	41	236:27	2	21	0.51	5.33	8.7	33	200	8.4	50.8	14.2	41	290	10.4	73.6	12.4	47	407	11.9	103.3	10.4	6.06	89.50	95.6	6.3	76.6	17.1
4	Minnesota	42	198:41	3	18	0.91	5.44	14.3	19	171	5.7	51.6	10.0	23	254	6.9	76.7	8.3	26	335	7.9	101.2	7.2	15.79	89.47	105.3	3.3	82.8	13.9
5	Boston	46	262:49	4	21	0.91	4.79	16.0	43	198	9.8	45.2	17.8	51	296	11.6	67.6	14.7	58	413	13.2	94.3	12.3	9.30	89.39	98.7	7.1	78.8	14.1
6	Columbus	42	198:27	4	18	1.21	5.44	18.2	27	167	8.2	50.5	13.9	36	232	10.9	70.1	13.4	41	313	12.4	94.6	11.6	14.81	89.22	104.0	6.0	77.7	16.3
7	New Jersey	45	231:33	2	21	0.52	5.44	8.7	12	194	3.1	50.3	5.8	15	285	3.9	73.9	5.0	17	374	4.4	96.9	4.3	16.67	89.18	105.8	2.8	77.9	19.4
8	San Jose	43	194:07	2	19	0.62	5.87	9.5	28	169	8.7	52.2	14.2	34	249	10.5	77.0	12.0	44	335	13.6	103.5	11.6	7.14	88.76	95.9	7.0	76.9	16.1
9	Anaheim	46	280:00	4	28	0.86	6.00	12.5	44	249	9.4	53.4	15.0	61	357	13.1	76.5	14.6	71	455	15.2	97.5	13.5	9.09	88.75	97.8	7.4	79.9	12.7
10	St. Louis	44	256:32	0	23	0.00	5.38	0.0	27	203	6.3	47.5	11.7	35	282	8.2	66.0	11.0	40	390	9.4	91.2	9.3	0.00	88.67	88.7	5.8	79.3	14.9
19	Vancouver	45	203:39	2	24	0.59	7.07	7.7	27	193	8.0	56.9	12.3	33	276	9.7	81.3	10.7	39	342	11.5	100.8	10.2	7.41	87.56	95.0	9.2	76.9	13.9
30	Dallas	44	231:46	3	35	0.78	9.06	7.9	27	193	7.0	50.0	12.3	38	291	9.8	75.3	11.6	45	395	11.6	102.3	10.2	11.11	81.87	93.0	4.8	77.8	17.3

 

 

 

 

[Sygvard]

Woops, yeah, seventh not second. Slip of the tongue. Still, at even strength they are .931. Just a hair behind Price and the Canadiens  at .933. Their 35 goals against on the PK stands out like a sore thumb though. 

 

I don't actually watch many Dallas games, so I will defer entirely to your eye test on that one.

[87Crosby]

Isn't hammer doing good defensively? Always was a strong penalty killer in his time here. 

[BigCountry18]

6 hours ago, Alflives said:

How does this help our team...you know...the CANUCKS?  

Because this trade would consequently bring both those teams down thus bringing our team up in the standings and into playoff contention.

[Phil_314]

Wouldn't be surprised if it did happen, Semyon should be the better of the two (Kari's known for lehtonen bad goals) despite the amount of losses he's amassed, and if the Av's are running with Pickard then might as well turn their starter into a respectable backup and an asset who could help with an area of need (left side defense).  Dallas' goalie situation looks pretty solid after this move too (Niemi and Semyon for a playoff run sounds pretty good, though they'd have to expose one of them in the expansion and that might spell the end of Niemi, but it's a definite upgrade).