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The Great Offensive Explosion of 2017-18


-AJ-

Offensive Explosion?  

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I'm sure I'm not the only one to notice very extreme offensive numbers this year. I looked into it and through 31% of the season, the NHL is averaging 3.00 goals-per-team per game, the highest since 2005-06. The average save percentage is .911, where it hasn't been since 2009-10, and the average powerplay percentage is at 19.76% a level that hasn't been reached since 1989-90. Three players are on pace for 110+ points, three players are on pace for 50+ goals, and Stamkos remains on pace for over 120 points.

 

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Now, any seasoned fan knows that the league always starts off offensively and then cools off as the season goes on, but maybe it's just me, but it seems like this offense has lasted a little longer this year. 

 

Any thoughts? Is this just another ol' normal season or have things changed at all? I suspect things will cool off, but I'm betting that we'll still average around 2.80 goals-per-game per team by the end of the year, higher than the last 7 years.

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This is just a theory, but maybe this is partially a result of the Pen's Stanley Cup wins.  This is a copy-cat league.  The Pens have largely won the past two years due to speed and skill.  So maybe teams are turning away from beating their opponent into submission and simply trying to outscore them.

 

I agree with your end prediction.  I think as the season goes that average will come down, but it will still be above the average from the past 7 or 8 years.

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17 minutes ago, gurn said:

The focus on slashing, on the hands, has helped a bit.

I'd say it has helped a lot - along with the other changes which basically cater to speed, mobility, and sticking to the rules or you get a penalty.

 

16-17 being an actual anomaly of the trend, if you look at the power play opportunities verses the goals per game historically, the trend is pretty obvious.

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i'm gonna go with things always tighten up as the year goes on

and things will look closer to normal.. or last year. when all is said and done

 

and remember this has been an odd year

some huge blow outs against top teams.. example. = pittsburgh

that is just weird and not repeatable or reliable in terms of trends

i think scoring will be up just a bit this year

but nothing major

 

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Been noticing it in the hockey pool.  October is normally a high point month, but it has carried into November for longer than usual.  I agree with @goalie13, the pace won't keep up as teams will tighten up but it'll probably be a higher scoring year and I think too, the replacing of some big (perhaps slower) shot blocking defencemen with smaller puckmovers is starting to play out.

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Amazingly, with just one game left, we're at 2.97 goals-per-game. We haven't seen more offense in the NHL since 2005-06. Despite not having any 50-goal scorers, there are a lot of players who are capable of scoring a lot of points these days. The average powerplay percentage was over 20% and higher that it's been since 1989-90.

 

Gotta say, I really like how the league looked this year.

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On 4/9/2018 at 4:05 AM, -AJ- said:

Amazingly, with just one game left, we're at 2.97 goals-per-game. We haven't seen more offense in the NHL since 2005-06. Despite not having any 50-goal scorers, there are a lot of players who are capable of scoring a lot of points these days. The average powerplay percentage was over 20% and higher that it's been since 1989-90.

 

Gotta say, I really like how the league looked this year.

Take away first shots against the Canucks, and scoring average back down to normal of past decade.

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