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Canucks had the 2nd best odds of picking 1st overall with one ball left to draw. Ottawa had the best odds. Also, Buffalo technically won the 3rd overall pick as well.


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https://www.sportsnet.ca/hockey/nhl/inside-happened-2018-nhl-draft-lottery-room/

 

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The first three numbers drawn for the first overall pick were 1, 4, 14, in that specific order. After those three numbers were called, Buffalo, Arizona, Vancouver and Chicago each had two number combinations remaining that could’ve seen them win the top selection, while Ottawa had three potential winning combos. No. 6 was called and that meant it was the Sabres that became the lucky team with the opportunity to draft consensus top prospect Rasmus Dahlin, a player who said he enjoys watching Senators captain Erik Karlsson above all others.

We had the 2nd most winning combinations left, tied with BUF, ARI, and CHI. OTT was the team that got dicked the most with 3 numbers that would have won them Dahlin.

 

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The number combination on the third draw was one that also belonged to the Sabres, so there needed to be a redraw.

Bettman said he could not recall a redraw ever happening in the past and Coutinho [of Ernst & Young], who has done the past four draft lotteries, said this was the first redraw he had witnessed.

The Canadiens benefitted from the fourth draw and now hold the third-overall pick in June’s draft.

Buffalo won 2 of the top 3 picks last night. How lucky can they be?

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I honestly don't even understand how it works.  I was watching live, and still can't grasp while Carolina was gifted a free pass to the 1,2,3 slots.

20 minutes ago, Alflives said:

This system is such a friggin’ joke.  There is way too much opportunity for fixing the results.  

 

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39 minutes ago, PunjabiCanucks said:

I thought once the team who wins #1 , their odds of winning 2 and 3 are dispersed proportionately amongst the rest of the teams, thus not needing a redraw.... and once the team #2 their odds of #3 are dispersed again among the rest.

 

 

The combinations of numbers are allocated to the teams before the draw.  The 1st draw is for 1st overall and as soon as they won that draw - all their combinations are ignored.  It changes the odds but they don't re-allocate the combinations.  

 

Buffalo removes 185 combinations - 815 left.  Florida would have removed 10 combinations - 990 left.

Canucks had 75 combinations and it's higher odds to have 75 combinations with 815 left vs 990 left.  

 

These were the combinations allocated to each team: http://www.nhl.com/nhl/en/v3/ext/pdfs/NHL_Lottery_2018_By_TEAM_SEQ.pdf

 

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1 hour ago, khay said:

The system is not a joke. The day will come when we miss the playoffs by few points due to injury at stuff and look for us to win a top 3 pick and win the cup the year after with the player we draft.

 

That will prove the system is a Joke.

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1 minute ago, thrago said:

That will prove the system is a Joke.

The current system is based on randomness. If it's a joke, then randomness is a joke.

 

I think it's a fair system. In fact, this is what some people wanted. Why should a team play so hard to make the playoffs only to be penalized in the draft position whereas the team that tanks on purpose be rewarded for poor management? By leaving it up to chance, everyone has a chance to draft high, whether you managed your team well and had a shot at the playoffs or your team sucked because you couldn't rebuild in time out of respect to two hall of famers in the tail end of their careers.

 

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10 minutes ago, khay said:

The current system is based on randomness. If it's a joke, then randomness is a joke.

 

I think it's a fair system. In fact, this is what some people wanted. Why should a team play so hard to make the playoffs only to be penalized in the draft position whereas the team that tanks on purpose be rewarded for poor management? By leaving it up to chance, everyone has a chance to draft high, whether you managed your team well and had a shot at the playoffs or your team sucked because you couldn't rebuild in time out of respect to two hall of famers in the tail end of their careers.

 

Ok senario for you. Next year Crosby and Malkin get hurt and miss most of the season as a result they miss the playoffs.  Some stroke of luck they win the lottery and pick first overall.  The fact that this is a real possibility makes this system a joke.

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12 minutes ago, thrago said:

Ok senario for you. Next year Crosby and Malkin get hurt and miss most of the season as a result they miss the playoffs.  Some stroke of luck they win the lottery and pick first overall.  The fact that this is a real possibility makes this system a joke.

Socialist mindset. 

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4 minutes ago, thrago said:

Ok senario for you. Next year Crosby and Malkin get hurt and miss most of the season as a result they miss the playoffs.  Some stroke of luck they win the lottery and pick first overall.  The fact that this is a real possibility makes this system a joke.

Sure but if they barely miss, that chance is like 1%.

 

On the opposite spectrum, we had this "fair" system that rewarded $hitty franchises. It saw Edmonton F*cking Oilers win 4 first overall picks. It saw the the Penguins, that joke of a franchise, end up with Crosby, Malkin, Fleury, Staal and so on. These teams' management sucked on purpose for a chance to draft high and succeeded (although they did get lucky with Crosby because 9 other teams had the equal chance). That's not fair. They didn't deserve Crosby and Malkin. The current system lowers the chance of such $hitty franchise like Penguins rising to dominance. The joke is that with very small chance, these teams could get lucky and get even better. But I think that's more fair than rewarding a team that is devoid of any morale and tanks on purpose.

 

Imagine if during the Sedins and Luongo era, when we missed the playoffs in 2008, if we won one of the top 2 picks, then we would have drafted Stamkos or Doughty. We would have won at least 3 cups then. The thing is, this system can benefit anyone, even us. The old system? It only benefits other teams operating without moral, without principles (well I guess they do have some principle, that is, be faceless and tank on purpose).

 

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