Ryan Strome Posted April 22, 2019 Share Posted April 22, 2019 This could be very interesting. The 66th Prince Edward Island general election will be held this Tuesday. Rarely does P.E.I. politics get centre stage in the national Canadian media, but opinion polls conducted in the past months indicate that P.E.I. could soon be led by the very first Green Party government in Canadian history. However, three main factors make the result of this election highly uncertain: 1) the low population per district (less than 100,000 voters for 27 electoral districts); 2) the scarcity of scientific polls available (only four polls in the past month, all of which have sample sizes smaller than 800 people); and 3) the novelty of a surging Green Party, to a level which we have never seen before in Canada. Nevertheless, using a simplified version of the 338 electoral model adapted to P.E.I., here is the electoral projection for April 22. Popular Vote Projection The Green Party of Prince Edward Island is projected as the favourite to win the popular vote in Tuesday’s election with average support of 36.4 per cent. Should this projected support translate into actual votes on Tuesday, this would be the highest vote share for a Green party in Canadian history. https://www.macleans.ca/politics/a-new-vote-projection-points-to-a-historic-green-win-in-p-e-i/ 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gurn Posted April 22, 2019 Share Posted April 22, 2019 Hopefully the greens win, it will help to have more credible choices for actual government. Competition will, in theory anyway, make the other parties run better candidates and on better platforms. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted April 22, 2019 Share Posted April 22, 2019 (edited) With the recent shift to the Right, it would be a welcome surprise. Edited April 22, 2019 by Guest Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zigmund.Palffy Posted April 22, 2019 Share Posted April 22, 2019 imagine having a green government.. LOL Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JM_ Posted April 22, 2019 Share Posted April 22, 2019 thats interesting.... I wonder how much of it is a regional effect with people tired of the usual PC vs Lib stuff? might give the federal Greens a boost out east as well. The federal Liberals crushed all 4 seats the last election but that could all change in a hurry. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ryan Strome Posted April 22, 2019 Author Share Posted April 22, 2019 4 minutes ago, WalkWithElias40 said: imagine having a green government.. LOL Will be interesting to follow. 1 minute ago, Jimmy McGill said: thats interesting.... I wonder how much of it is a regional effect with people tired of the usual PC vs Lib stuff? might give the federal Greens a boost out east as well. The federal Liberals crushed all 4 seats the last election but that could all change in a hurry. I think after a few years in PEI will either grow the party federally or ruin it depending what PEI looks like under a green party if they do win. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kingofsurrey Posted April 22, 2019 Share Posted April 22, 2019 30 minutes ago, Ryan Strome said: Will be interesting to follow. I think after a few years in PEI will either grow the party federally or ruin it depending what PEI looks like under a green party if they do win. More and more canadians are thankfully seeing the negative effects of climate change. Look for the Green Party to be adding support across Canada including Alberta.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ryan Strome Posted April 22, 2019 Author Share Posted April 22, 2019 21 minutes ago, kingofsurrey said: More and more canadians are thankfully seeing the negative effects of climate change. Look for the Green Party to be adding support across Canada including Alberta.... I think it's clear green party support is growing across the country I just wonder if they will stay a fringe party federally or if this will change things. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ghostsof1915 Posted April 22, 2019 Share Posted April 22, 2019 I think this illustrates how tired voters are of the existing parties. 1 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violator Posted April 22, 2019 Share Posted April 22, 2019 (edited) People still put faith in poles? The only poles that are worth there money are stripper poles. Edited April 23, 2019 by Violator 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xereau Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 These polls are ridiculously biased and are rarely if ever right. Basically all it is is a two pronged confirmation that these are (a) people that are willing to answer some stupid poll, that (b) have a landline phone. That is it. Need I remind you? Push polling at its finest. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drummer4now Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 (edited) IMO the whole system of politics needs a revamp.. because it is essentially a giant scam set up by the establishment. I feel sad for the common working class pleb or lower income person who may have to depend on these crooks. I still can't believe hard working people still donate to these people... thinking they would do something for them. Fortunately people are finally waking up.. Edited April 23, 2019 by drummer4now 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shad0w4life Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 Vote green all they want but they should get zero of the federal "have not" funds that come from any province that produces energy that has a negative environmental impact...aka all forms of energy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xereau Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 42 minutes ago, drummer4now said: IMO the whole system of politics needs a revamp.. because it is essentially a giant scam set up by the establishment. I feel sad for the common working class pleb or lower income person who may have to depend on these crooks. I still can't believe hard working people still donate to these people... thinking they would do something for them. Fortunately people are finally waking up.. Its money laundering and theft. Plain and simple. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alflives Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 5 hours ago, Jimmy McGill said: thats interesting.... I wonder how much of it is a regional effect with people tired of the usual PC vs Lib stuff? might give the federal Greens a boost out east as well. The federal Liberals crushed all 4 seats the last election but that could all change in a hurry. Is their leader Anne? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kingofsurrey Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 First Pot is nationally legalized... now Greens forming governments.... What is next ? LOL ????? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ryan Strome Posted April 23, 2019 Author Share Posted April 23, 2019 11 minutes ago, kingofsurrey said: First Pot is nationally legalized... now Greens forming governments.... What is next ? LOL ????? Elizabeth May is getting married. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goalie13 Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 1 hour ago, Alflives said: Is their leader Anne? Obviously. In PEI they think the Green party is just short for the Green Gables party. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nucklehead Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 1 hour ago, kingofsurrey said: First Pot is nationally legalized... now Greens forming governments.... What is next ? LOL ????? Free money Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JM_ Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 13 hours ago, Alflives said: Is their leader Anne? I wonder if there will be a potato shortage crisis as the island will be legislated vegan? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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