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Nanaimo-Ladysmith By-Election - Green Party Wins Election in Former NDP Stronghold


DonLever

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https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/nanaimo-ladysmith-byelection-2019-1.5123822

 

Voters in the British Columbia riding of Nanaimo-Ladysmith will go to the polls today to elect a new member of Parliament. 

The seat has been vacant for several months since the NDP's Sheila Malcolmson stepped down for a successful run at provincial politics.

Nanaimo-Ladysmith was created in 2012 when the boundaries of two ridings — one encompassing Alberni and one Cowichan — were redrawn. The two ridings were solidly Conservative and NDP, respectively, meaning the new riding has strong bases for two parties on opposing ends of the spectrum. 

 

Macolmson took the riding by 10 points in the 2015 election, but the Liberals and Conservatives also put up strong and nearly identical showings at around 23 per cent of the vote. 

The Green party also captured around 20 per cent of the vote in the last election, and they are a competitive player on Vancouver Island. They've put up strong provincial showings in New Brunswick and Prince Edward Island, and this is the last chance for the party to potentially pick up a second federal seat before the election campaign.

Environmental issues tend to influence votes in this particular part of the province, and with three parties claiming the left of the spectrum, vote splitting could factor into the results of this byelection.

The main candidates are:

  • NDP: Bob Chamberlain, former vice president of the Union of B.C. Indian Chiefs
  • Conservatives: John Hirst, Sun Life Financial manager 
  • Liberals: Michelle Corfield, a First Nations leader who served as chair of the Nanaimo Port Authority
  • Greens: Paul Manly, communications specialist and former candidate in this riding

All of the party leaders have made an appearance in the riding during the campaign.

This is the fourth federal byelection of the year, after three were decided in February.

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It seems like such a waste considering the full election is only 5 months away.  I drove through Nanaimo on the weekend and it sure seems like the parties are taking it seriously though.  There are campaign signs everywhere.

 

I am sure the winning party will portray the results as very meaningful leading into the October election, but considering the results of this one seat won't impact the balance in the house I have my doubts this vote will mean anything at all.  Add in possible voter fatigue in Nanaimo, we might see a low turnout today.  Sure, previous votes in Nanaimo have had very good attendance, but I feel there is so much less on the line this time.

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5 minutes ago, goalie13 said:

It seems like such a waste considering the full election is only 5 months away.  I drove through Nanaimo on the weekend and it sure seems like the parties are taking it seriously though.  There are campaign signs everywhere.

 

I am sure the winning party will portray the results as very meaningful leading into the October election, but considering the results of this one seat won't impact the balance in the house I have my doubts this vote will mean anything at all.  Add in possible voter fatigue in Nanaimo, we might see a low turnout today.  Sure, previous votes in Nanaimo have had very good attendance, but I feel there is so much less on the line this time.

It's a pretty common sentiment tbh. I live in Nanaimo and it's honestly tiring, signs always going up and down. They're absolutely everywhere. Feels like we just did this. 

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2 hours ago, Coconuts said:

It's a pretty common sentiment tbh. I live in Nanaimo and it's honestly tiring, signs always going up and down. They're absolutely everywhere. Feels like we just did this. 

I'm not from the island but it really does  seem there's always an election on the brew. It's been awhile since both federal and provincial politics have been so contentious. Aside from the print media's constant angles the general public seems to have had enough, regardless of party.

The general public is fed up and i expect that to really show in the next federal election. Followed by a provincial fiasco.

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6 minutes ago, brownky said:

I'd find it amusing if an independent won it.

 

I mean it's not gonna happen, but just the sheer pants-fill for the major parties "We collectively dislike all of you. Here's notice".

Pun intended?

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3 hours ago, Coconuts said:

It's a pretty common sentiment tbh. I live in Nanaimo and it's honestly tiring, signs always going up and down. They're absolutely everywhere. Feels like we just did this. 

If only someone is able to calculate the amount of plastic and waste goes into an election.  

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1 hour ago, Lancaster said:

If only someone is able to calculate the amount of plastic and waste goes into an election.  

100% of the candidates are plastic and 100% of their promises are waste.

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6 hours ago, Coconuts said:

It's a pretty common sentiment tbh. I live in Nanaimo and it's honestly tiring, signs always going up and down. They're absolutely everywhere. Feels like we just did this. 

Yup. Still going to vote, but dangerously close to not caring.

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Can't see the BC Liberals doing very well as everyone is now starting to realize the long term damage the Liberals did to our amazing province......

Liberals contributed to the disasters in affordable housing, public education, healthcare , casino crime/laundering / crime in our province /  highway one nightmare in Langley / Abby. 

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31 minutes ago, kingofsurrey said:

Can't see the BC Liberals doing very well as everyone is now starting to realize the long term damage the Liberals did to our amazing province......

Liberals contributed to the disasters in affordable housing, public education, healthcare , casino crime/laundering / crime in our province /  highway one nightmare in Langley / Abby. 

Pretty sure it’s a federal byelection. The provincial byelection already happened there.

 

With that said it’s most likely the NDPs to lose with an outside chance for the conservatives to take the seat.

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40 minutes ago, Aladeen said:

Pretty sure it’s a federal byelection. The provincial byelection already happened there.

 

With that said it’s most likely the NDPs to lose with an outside chance for the conservatives to take the seat.

Of course it is a federal by-election.  I thought I made that clear in the title by saying final by-election before October Vote.   We are not having a provincial election in October but will have a federal election by then.

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32 minutes ago, DonLever said:

Of course it is a federal by-election.  I thought I made that clear in the title by saying final by-election before October Vote.   We are not having a provincial election in October but will have a federal election by then.

Well to be fair Don it is possible given the structure of your government.:towel:

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8 hours ago, goalie13 said:

It seems like such a waste considering the full election is only 5 months away.  I drove through Nanaimo on the weekend and it sure seems like the parties are taking it seriously though.  There are campaign signs everywhere.

 

I am sure the winning party will portray the results as very meaningful leading into the October election, but considering the results of this one seat won't impact the balance in the house I have my doubts this vote will mean anything at all.  Add in possible voter fatigue in Nanaimo, we might see a low turnout today.  Sure, previous votes in Nanaimo have had very good attendance, but I feel there is so much less on the line this time.

I wish the constituents of Papineau had no federal representation.:gocan:

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1 hour ago, kingofsurrey said:

Can't see the BC Liberals doing very well as everyone is now starting to realize the long term damage the Liberals did to our amazing province......

Liberals contributed to the disasters in affordable housing, public education, healthcare , casino crime/laundering / crime in our province /  highway one nightmare in Langley / Abby. 

Kind of sums up why no one takes you serious in a political discussion.

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10 hours ago, brownky said:

I'd find it amusing if an independent won it.

 

I mean it's not gonna happen, but just the sheer pants-fill for the major parties "We collectively dislike all of you. Here's notice".

There’s a wacky woman here that runs in every election named Brunie Brunie.  Maybe someday :) 

edit. Just got back from voting, she wasn’t on the ballot.  Must be saving up for the “real” election in October :P 

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7 hours ago, aqua59 said:

I'm not from the island but it really does  seem there's always an election on the brew. It's been awhile since both federal and provincial politics have been so contentious. Aside from the print media's constant angles the general public seems to have had enough, regardless of party.

The general public is fed up and i expect that to really show in the next federal election. Followed by a provincial fiasco.

It's definitely getting that way, though I expect a fair voting turnout next federal election. It'll likely be more of the same though, Canada doesn't have as many legitimate options as some people like to think. It's always liberal or conservative. 

6 hours ago, Lancaster said:

If only someone is able to calculate the amount of plastic and waste goes into an election.  

It's a lot, I work at a recycling depot and we don't recycle that stuff. It's likely all garbage. 

3 hours ago, StealthNuck said:

Yup. Still going to vote, but dangerously close to not caring.

Same on both counts. 

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1 hour ago, Ryan Strome said:

Kind of sums up why no one takes you serious in a political discussion.

I may have misread the thread.....

 

But sadly people don't take you serious because you are a climate change denier......   

 

https://vancouversun.com/pmn/news-pmn/canada-news-pmn/un-environment-report-has-strong-message-for-canada-co-author/wcm/2d4ace61-fb55-4347-9575-5092820690f3

 

 

https://vancouversun.com/news/local-news/no-end-to-oil-and-gas-extraction-victoria-mayor-not-moved-after-oilsands-tour

 

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