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Mafia: The Game [I Cuori Spezzati] - Nightfall Sunday at 11 PM PST

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AV.

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I looked at the Toronto game and its a crapshoot. TL says a lot more per post, BW also says a lot more per post. That was a unique game tho. Stamkos was trying extra hard that game as TP for whatever reason so the graph would suggest he was mafia.

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6 minutes ago, Beluga Whale said:

I don't think there'd ever been a solid analytical way of catching scum if you do it in the open. Because as soon as it becomes effective, the wolves will start trying to game the system.

Agreed which is why we solve this game and then use it again a few games from now lol.

 

Also it's best to view it on a case by case basis. Not "he posts a lot but says a little" but "TL tends to post like this when he's mafia but like this when he's TP"

 

And WWs idea of only checking out the first round might be a better idea

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K so here is round 1 only of the last game

mafiadcvbw.png.1b0424e017ad84a9d52e1652f77395d3.png

BJ is still super fluffed as mafia
Stamkos as well
Zfetch is more fluffed as mafia as well

WW still more fluffed as TP special

MR says more as TP
Kryten says more as TP
OW says more as TP

GEN says more as TP

Aladeen says a lot when TP
Falcon has med-high ratio when TP, this game he is med-low
TL data and BW data is inconsistent based on the 7 player game they were mafia

TP Leans: Zfetch, BJ, Stamkos, Aladeen
Mafia leans: MR, Kryten, OW, GEN
Could go either way: TL, Falcon, BW
Not in previous data: 112, J23, Lucky, Jazz

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Welp, it turns out I’m an idiot. I don’t have a vote restriction, like I previously thought. 

 

BW never clears someone when he’s scum since he wants to keep the pool as open as possible. He has 3. I was rather suspicious at the start because of him piling onto my vote, and having two immediately in the next game (this habit was first brought up last game) but I don’t think he would’ve narrowed it down so much, so quick as scum. 

 

GEP isn’t doing anything, except OMGUSing, that he has in his previous two games as Vanilla TP, no long posts or reads, so he’s either scum (likely), TP special (possible) or 3P (unlikely because of his reaction to what 3P means). I say hold off on him for now because of the second one. 

 

Is Sexy Morris even playing anymore? 

 

Lucky is a confusing player for me. The Hitman sounds like something that’d either be a scum aligned or 3P aligned role (could that be a name of an SK?). He’s posting a lot less in order to lay low, so I think it’s highly unlikely that he’s TP at this point. Whether or not he was coached into doing it depends on his faction, but a mafia team would be very likely to do so.

 

Falcon looks a lot like he tried to come up with an explanation for his vote after the fact. He back-pedalled and gave no reason for his vote on GEP. I personally think he’s trying too hard to be TWTBW. 

 

Fetch is almost certainly TP at this point. 

 

Krpten is posting less than he was at the start, keep an eye on him. If he had vote restrictions he’d have been more conservative at the beginning imho. 

 

BW, 112 and BJ piled onto my vote very early and got off scot free from it. I’m almost certain at least one is a wolf. 

 

TP 

Me 

 

TP leans 

BW 

Fetch 

 

Scum/3P leans 

LL 

 

Scum 

Falcon 

 

Either scum or TP special 

GEP  

 

Vote Falcon

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Why're people talking about activity as an important tell when we know that there could be requirements/restrictions at play? Come on, people. 

 

With GEP, we know that he usually has a lot more substance to his posts. LL and Krpten also posted a bit more at the beginning. Unless they used all of their posts early (if that's indeed what's stopping them), they should be posting more. 

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2 hours ago, Beluga Whale said:

J23 is concerning. He typically posts way more.

 

He could be busy, but he could be struggling to get involved because he's a wolf. 

I’ve had family over this week they leaving Monday morning. I’ll try and get on more though, cause I have been inactive

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AV said he wanted a Lovers Mafia at some point, where if you lynch one then the other dies. Too many people for that this game, but could there be an SK tandem like that? Purely hypothetical, btw

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6 minutes ago, Stamkos said:

According to the members online function, @J-23, @thejazz97 and @Master Radishes are all on CDC right now.

 

4 minutes ago, J-23 said:

I’ve had family over this week they leaving Monday morning. I’ll try and get on more though, cause I have been inactive

 

2 minutes ago, thejazz97 said:

I keep a tab open for fantasy hockey and mafia tings, but yeah, you caught me while I'm on :lol:

Of course they start talking as soon as I tag them :ph34r: 

 

2 minutes ago, thejazz97 said:

I'd clear him just based on his play in these past couple minutes. Dude's on a roll.

POCKET

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1 minute ago, Stamkos said:

AV said he wanted a Lovers Mafia at some point, where if you lynch one then the other dies. Too many people for that this game, but could there be an SK tandem like that? Purely hypothetical, btw

Not even necessarily for this game, although the title and lack of role knowledge would suggest it, but it seems like a pretty cool thing to include. Would certainly make for a fun game.

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