Zfetch Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 4 minutes ago, Beluga Whale said: @Zfetch, when you say I fluffed my posts as mafia, you're referring to the Toronto Man game, right? because in that DC vs PK game I was town. I said BJ not BW Link to comment
Beluga Whale Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 Just now, Zfetch said: I said BJ not BW Lol I'm blind Last game probably isn't a great representation of my typical activity since I was afk for most of it. Link to comment
Zfetch Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 I looked at the Toronto game and its a crapshoot. TL says a lot more per post, BW also says a lot more per post. That was a unique game tho. Stamkos was trying extra hard that game as TP for whatever reason so the graph would suggest he was mafia. Link to comment
Zfetch Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 Also a game of 7 and 18 would not be good comparables lol. So I think that data is rather useless. People act differently when there is less/more hiding available to them Link to comment
Beluga Whale Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 I don't think there'd ever been a solid analytical way of catching scum if you do it in the open. Because as soon as it becomes effective, the wolves will start trying to game the system. Link to comment
Zfetch Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 6 minutes ago, Beluga Whale said: I don't think there'd ever been a solid analytical way of catching scum if you do it in the open. Because as soon as it becomes effective, the wolves will start trying to game the system. Agreed which is why we solve this game and then use it again a few games from now lol. Also it's best to view it on a case by case basis. Not "he posts a lot but says a little" but "TL tends to post like this when he's mafia but like this when he's TP" And WWs idea of only checking out the first round might be a better idea Link to comment
Zfetch Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 Also I have this one-of-a-kind magical game in the works js 1 Link to comment
Zfetch Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 K so here is round 1 only of the last game BJ is still super fluffed as mafia Stamkos as well Zfetch is more fluffed as mafia as well WW still more fluffed as TP special MR says more as TP Kryten says more as TP OW says more as TP GEN says more as TP Aladeen says a lot when TP Falcon has med-high ratio when TP, this game he is med-low TL data and BW data is inconsistent based on the 7 player game they were mafiaTP Leans: Zfetch, BJ, Stamkos, AladeenMafia leans: MR, Kryten, OW, GENCould go either way: TL, Falcon, BWNot in previous data: 112, J23, Lucky, Jazz Link to comment
Guest Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 Welp, it turns out I’m an idiot. I don’t have a vote restriction, like I previously thought. BW never clears someone when he’s scum since he wants to keep the pool as open as possible. He has 3. I was rather suspicious at the start because of him piling onto my vote, and having two immediately in the next game (this habit was first brought up last game) but I don’t think he would’ve narrowed it down so much, so quick as scum. GEP isn’t doing anything, except OMGUSing, that he has in his previous two games as Vanilla TP, no long posts or reads, so he’s either scum (likely), TP special (possible) or 3P (unlikely because of his reaction to what 3P means). I say hold off on him for now because of the second one. Is Sexy Morris even playing anymore? Lucky is a confusing player for me. The Hitman sounds like something that’d either be a scum aligned or 3P aligned role (could that be a name of an SK?). He’s posting a lot less in order to lay low, so I think it’s highly unlikely that he’s TP at this point. Whether or not he was coached into doing it depends on his faction, but a mafia team would be very likely to do so. Falcon looks a lot like he tried to come up with an explanation for his vote after the fact. He back-pedalled and gave no reason for his vote on GEP. I personally think he’s trying too hard to be TWTBW. Fetch is almost certainly TP at this point. Krpten is posting less than he was at the start, keep an eye on him. If he had vote restrictions he’d have been more conservative at the beginning imho. BW, 112 and BJ piled onto my vote very early and got off scot free from it. I’m almost certain at least one is a wolf. TP Me TP leans BW Fetch Scum/3P leans LL Scum Falcon Either scum or TP special GEP Vote Falcon Link to comment
Beluga Whale Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 Do we give Stamkos a derp clear for this? 1 Link to comment
Guest Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 Why're people talking about activity as an important tell when we know that there could be requirements/restrictions at play? Come on, people. With GEP, we know that he usually has a lot more substance to his posts. LL and Krpten also posted a bit more at the beginning. Unless they used all of their posts early (if that's indeed what's stopping them), they should be posting more. Link to comment
Zfetch Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 BW is pretty scummy for the sole reason that he hasn't yet cleared or siren's Falcon Link to comment
Guest Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 According to the members online function, @J-23, @thejazz97 and @Master Radishes are all on CDC right now. Link to comment
J-23 Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 2 hours ago, Beluga Whale said: J23 is concerning. He typically posts way more. He could be busy, but he could be struggling to get involved because he's a wolf. I’ve had family over this week they leaving Monday morning. I’ll try and get on more though, cause I have been inactive Link to comment
thejazz97 Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 1 minute ago, Stamkos said: According to the members online function, @J-23, @thejazz97 and @Master Radishes are all on CDC right now. I keep a tab open for fantasy hockey and mafia tings, but yeah, you caught me while I'm on Link to comment
thejazz97 Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 16 minutes ago, Beluga Whale said: Do we give Stamkos a derp clear for this? I'd clear him just based on his play in these past couple minutes. Dude's on a roll. Link to comment
J-23 Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 1 hour ago, Zfetch said: Here is the last game's data Advance stats taking over Mafia as well now. 1 Link to comment
Guest Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 AV said he wanted a Lovers Mafia at some point, where if you lynch one then the other dies. Too many people for that this game, but could there be an SK tandem like that? Purely hypothetical, btw Link to comment
Guest Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 6 minutes ago, Stamkos said: According to the members online function, @J-23, @thejazz97 and @Master Radishes are all on CDC right now. 4 minutes ago, J-23 said: I’ve had family over this week they leaving Monday morning. I’ll try and get on more though, cause I have been inactive 2 minutes ago, thejazz97 said: I keep a tab open for fantasy hockey and mafia tings, but yeah, you caught me while I'm on Of course they start talking as soon as I tag them 2 minutes ago, thejazz97 said: I'd clear him just based on his play in these past couple minutes. Dude's on a roll. POCKET Link to comment
Guest Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 1 minute ago, Stamkos said: AV said he wanted a Lovers Mafia at some point, where if you lynch one then the other dies. Too many people for that this game, but could there be an SK tandem like that? Purely hypothetical, btw Not even necessarily for this game, although the title and lack of role knowledge would suggest it, but it seems like a pretty cool thing to include. Would certainly make for a fun game. Link to comment
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