Kurisu Posted June 24, 2020 Share Posted June 24, 2020 I was gonna suggest quick hammering all the inactives in succession but 2 kills complicates things Link to comment
Master Radishes Posted June 24, 2020 Share Posted June 24, 2020 This is actually kind of bad. We may not have the room to be wrong very often within our PoE. It might be time to get our thinking caps on again. 1 Link to comment
Qwags Posted June 24, 2020 Share Posted June 24, 2020 How much room for error do we have? 1 Link to comment
Master Radishes Posted June 24, 2020 Share Posted June 24, 2020 Toews Milk and Cereal K Qwags Darth Smelvin Zfetch MR Professor Linguini Funnygurl555 9 players left. 3+1 (K/PL/Toews + MR) have been fairly consensus town (I know I'm less so but for the sake of argument). 5 remain from our consensus PoE (MH, Qwags, DM, Zfetch, FG) Optimistic scenario: we are on track and only have, say, 1 baddie left. That gives us 3 flushes before we reach F3. 5 > 3 if I'm remembering my math correctly. Which means we no longer have the space to shoot our entire PoE. And that's the optimistic scenario. Link to comment
Master Radishes Posted June 24, 2020 Share Posted June 24, 2020 I'm assuming the extra kill isn't coming from a Vig because what Vig shoots falcon (or SS, but that feels like the MK)? And does that mean they shot NIK or BJ in N1? All those players were widely townread. Scum get an extra kill? Unfair mechanics. Another 'blinzer' scenario where someone gets a final shot? Possible, but seems unlikely we'd have two of those roles. But even a 3P killer role doesn't fully make sense because that was N4 right? Where have they been? Maybe a N1 kill was theirs, but why not act N2 or N3? A 3-round restriction seems UP for that sort of independent role. If I'm missing an obvious reason for there to be an extra kill please let me know. Link to comment
Intoewsables Posted June 24, 2020 Share Posted June 24, 2020 Bob is still not sold on Qwags being scum. Would rather go after FG today. ALSO CAN WE PLEASE GO TO 24 HOUR DAYS INSTEAD OF 48? 1 Link to comment
Intoewsables Posted June 24, 2020 Share Posted June 24, 2020 Bob could also get on board with Zfetch Link to comment
DarthMelvin Posted June 24, 2020 Share Posted June 24, 2020 1 hour ago, Qwags said: How much room for error do we have? Can't get any scummier than this.... Link to comment
Master Radishes Posted June 24, 2020 Share Posted June 24, 2020 39 minutes ago, Intoewsables said: Bob is still not sold on Qwags being scum. Would rather go after FG today. ALSO CAN WE PLEASE GO TO 24 HOUR DAYS INSTEAD OF 48? It's 36 Day + 12 Night. We could maybe do 12/12 but that would suck for me tbh. Link to comment
DarthMelvin Posted June 24, 2020 Share Posted June 24, 2020 3 hours ago, Kurisu said: I was gonna suggest quick hammering all the inactives in succession but 2 kills complicates things Bhahahaaa Link to comment
Professor Linguine Posted June 25, 2020 Share Posted June 25, 2020 hypothesis 1: my reads are so completely offbase that the mafia leave me alive so I'll mislead town in endgame hypothesis 2: I was the obvious kill and told mafia to kill me, causing mafia to fear a doctor protection, or an ability similar to kurisu's or something along those lines second question: why is falcon dead given that he was not close to being the most trusted member of town and he hadn't softed or claimed any power role hypothesis 3: maybe kill redirection really did take place and it directed the kill from me to falcon. this would make the intended NKs last night be me and sharpshooter, which is completely in line with expectations Link to comment
Professor Linguine Posted June 25, 2020 Share Posted June 25, 2020 I guess I'll start coming up with some tinfoils in case hypothesis 1 is correct, although sharpshooter had a lot of the same reads as me so not sure about that one. could be that I was completely off base about my mafia reads, mafia killed falcon, and then the second killer killed sharpshooter. neither of last night's kills are kills a sane vigilante would plausibly make so we have to assume it's something along the lines of serial killer. Link to comment
Professor Linguine Posted June 25, 2020 Share Posted June 25, 2020 9 hours ago, falcon45ca said: Wrong. He's trying his not worst. Why does MR get a pass? MR gets a pass because of the way the wagons formed on him day 1 and day 2. for instance if you believe that ep40 is wolf (which I do) then it makes no sense for MR to be wolf with him given that ep40 came out of the shadows specifically in order to try and secure an MR lynch at a sketchy timing (taking advantage of inactive votes). mafia members have tried too hard to kill MR for me to believe MR is a wolf. if we're tinfoiling though, MR could be SK. Link to comment
Professor Linguine Posted June 25, 2020 Share Posted June 25, 2020 if we assume my reads are offbase... I guess something like: toews / MH / otis? / DM and then they look at my reads list and laugh at me (which DM actually did in thread) and then kill sharpshooter because they knew I was going to go after FG/zfetch etc. and give them a free win in the endgame Link to comment
Professor Linguine Posted June 25, 2020 Share Posted June 25, 2020 no, that would necessitate 6 wolves because EP40/Luckylooger wolf are my bedrock reads. so take otis out, and this is my tinfoil theory about the wolf team: toews / MH / DM / EP40 (dead) / Luckylooger (dead) but there are also two other explanations as to why I wasn't killed during the night so I don't know how correct this tinfoil is. Link to comment
Professor Linguine Posted June 25, 2020 Share Posted June 25, 2020 could be qwags in there as well, I had him as a scumlean but not a strong one and didn't really go after him too much, so it's possible for him to be on the team and still have them collectively think my reads are so far off course it's better to leave me alive. Link to comment
Professor Linguine Posted June 25, 2020 Share Posted June 25, 2020 3 hours ago, Intoewsables said: Bob is still not sold on Qwags being scum. Would rather go after FG today. ALSO CAN WE PLEASE GO TO 24 HOUR DAYS INSTEAD OF 48? 3 hours ago, Intoewsables said: Bob could also get on board with Zfetch this is going to be humiliating in the endgame if my tinfoil theory was correct and toews/qwags was in the wolf team Link to comment
milk and honey Posted June 25, 2020 Share Posted June 25, 2020 Legit been trying to follow but no idea when night fall is. Apparently 10pm. People die but there hasn't been a proper night fall post. No faction are shown I know is a thing but damn it's hard for a tp member to know what's up. No pming to is brutal Vote ll Also if a vote is tied isn't there a rule about voting for one of 2 said players the next round and voting for another player 1 Link to comment
Kurisu Posted June 25, 2020 Share Posted June 25, 2020 7 hours ago, Master Radishes said: I'm assuming the extra kill isn't coming from a Vig because what Vig shoots falcon (or SS, but that feels like the MK)? And does that mean they shot NIK or BJ in N1? All those players were widely townread. Scum get an extra kill? Unfair mechanics. Another 'blinzer' scenario where someone gets a final shot? Possible, but seems unlikely we'd have two of those roles. But even a 3P killer role doesn't fully make sense because that was N4 right? Where have they been? Maybe a N1 kill was theirs, but why not act N2 or N3? A 3-round restriction seems UP for that sort of independent role. If I'm missing an obvious reason for there to be an extra kill please let me know. What if there just was two of those roles Like FM did very much appear trying to get lynched Link to comment
Recommended Posts
Please sign in to comment
You will be able to leave a comment after signing in
Sign In Now