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Mafia: Return of the Autobots - GAME OVER! AUTOBOTS/MAFIA WIN!

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On 7/7/2020 at 1:09 AM, hoggers said:
  Reveal hidden contents

 

Zfetch (1) - DM

TheRocket18 (1) - Zfetch

Professor Linguine (2) - 6FT5, hoggers

Qwags (3) - Milk & Honey, GoCanucks16, Kurisu

Kurisu (1) - Professor Linguine

J23 (2) - Intoews, luckylager

6FT5 (2) - Sharpshooter, Qwags

GoCanucks16 (1) - BJ22

 

Professor Linguine (7) - Blinzer, hoggers, GoCanucks16, Sharpshooter, zFetch, BoKnows, J23

Zfetch (3) - DM, Radish, Otis

Sharpshooter (3) - Kurisu, Bluejay, Luckylager

J23 (2) - Intoews, luckylager

Qwags (1) - Milk & Honey

Melvin (1) - EP40

Kurisu (1) - Professor Linguine

 

Professor Linguine (6) - GoCanucks16, BoKnows, Sharpshooter, Zfetch, Blinzer, J-23

DM (1) - EP40

J-23 (1) - , Intoews

Qwags (1) - Milk & Honey

Kurisu (1) - Professor Linguine

Zfetch (3) - Otis, MR, DM

Sharpshooter(6) - hoggers, Kurisu, BJ22, luckylager, NIK, Qwags

 

Professor Linguine (6) - GoCanucks16, BoKnows, Sharpshooter, Zfetch, Blinzer, TheRocket18

DM (1) - EP40

Qwags (2) - Milk & Honey, 

Kurisu (1) - Professor Linguine

Zfetch (3) - Otis, MR, DM

Sharpshooter (7) - BJ22, Intoews, hoggers, Kurisu, luckylager, NIK, Qwags

TheRocket18 (1) - J-23

 

Professor Linguine (5) - GoCanucks16, BoKnows, Sharpshooter, Zfetch, TheRocket18

DM (1) - EP40

Qwags (2) - Milk & Honey, 

Kurisu (1) - Professor Linguine

Zfetch (3) - Otis, MR, DM

Sharpshooter (8) - BJ22, hoggers, Kurisu, luckylager, NIK, Qwags, Intoews, Blinzer

TheRocket18 (1) - J-23

 

linguine highlighted as scum here for posterity sake. this is votecounts down purely off fact and reason. no opinions or biased meshed in the way. this is for later on reference mostly. to detail what i'm seeing, scum were willing to sheep my read on linguine as i assumed he wasn't mafia, and so they were going to play it like i lynched him and move us like dominos. you can see gocanucks and sharpshooter both claim that my reads are good and they'll sheep them.

 

however, i also begin to suspect an ulterior motive. i moved on the linguine wagon as the zfetch wagon was building momentum to see how much resistance they would have comparably. zfetch wagon had a lot of resistance, and not as many inactives moved onto it as you would think. it should also be documented that neither sharpshooter nor gocanucks moved onto zfetch though he was just as easy as a lynch at the time as pasta linguine was. aside from main building points, sharp on sixfive is a good look for him as well as the commentary sharp added.

 

Blinzer, hoggers, GoCanucks16, Sharpshooter, zFetch, BoKnows, J23

out of these 7

zfetch, sharp, gocanucks, and boknows never moved. blinzer, hoggers, and j23 eventually moved. j23 notably moved onto therocket cfd which held only his vote. also notable is at the end therocket joins this group to remain on linguine at the end of the day. 

 

as a final notation, the kill was off wagon. normally this would imply a wolf on wagon, but due to claim shenanigans and the mafia fearkill, it can be reasonably inferred that mafia shot the counterwagon once they realized the counterwagon wasn't going anywhere. 

 

  Reveal hidden contents

 

Zfetch (1) - DM

TheRocket18 (1) - Zfetch

Professor Linguine (2) - 6FT5, hoggers

Qwags (3) - Milk & Honey, GoCanucks16, Kurisu

Kurisu (1) - Professor Linguine

J23 (2) - Intoews, luckylager

6FT5 (2) - Sharpshooter, Qwags

GoCanucks16 (1) - BJ22

 

Professor Linguine (7) - Blinzer, hoggers, GoCanucks16, Sharpshooter, zFetch, BoKnows, J23

Zfetch (3) - DM, Radish, Otis

Sharpshooter (3) - Kurisu, Bluejay, Luckylager

J23 (2) - Intoews, luckylager

Qwags (1) - Milk & Honey

Melvin (1) - EP40

Kurisu (1) - Professor Linguine

 

Professor Linguine (6) - GoCanucks16, BoKnows, Sharpshooter, Zfetch, Blinzer, J-23

DM (1) - EP40

J-23 (1) - , Intoews

Qwags (1) - Milk & Honey

Kurisu (1) - Professor Linguine

Zfetch (3) - Otis, MR, DM

Sharpshooter(6) - hoggers, Kurisu, BJ22, luckylager, NIK, Qwags

 

Professor Linguine (6) - GoCanucks16, BoKnows, Sharpshooter, Zfetch, Blinzer, TheRocket18

DM (1) - EP40

Qwags (2) - Milk & Honey, 

Kurisu (1) - Professor Linguine

Zfetch (3) - Otis, MR, DM

Sharpshooter (7) - BJ22, Intoews, hoggers, Kurisu, luckylager, NIK, Qwags

TheRocket18 (1) - J-23

 

Professor Linguine (5) - GoCanucks16, BoKnows, Sharpshooter, Zfetch, TheRocket18

DM (1) - EP40

Qwags (2) - Milk & Honey, 

Kurisu (1) - Professor Linguine

Zfetch (3) - Otis, MR, DM

Sharpshooter (8) - BJ22hoggers, Kurisu, luckylager, NIK, Qwags, Intoews, Blinzer

TheRocket18 (1) - J-23

 

this is filling in the blanks with the league of heroes. as it can be notated and by no small coincidence, they coincide on sharpshooter wagon relatively early. kurisu is a main benefactor who IS NOT green on here, but he sticks to his guns on sharpshooter almost the entire time. this cannot be conceived as tunneling in most universes, though there is a chance it took off when he wasn't around. this is a. not likely, and b. disproven by timestamps in thread.

 

another point is that qwags is actually the vote to tie the linguine and sharpshooter wagons. if he was going to bus, that was probably the worst moment. i suspect that mafia would wait until sharpshooter was doomed before committing to the buss as intoews and blinzer did. based on vote formations and patterns, qwags can be reasonably cleared based off how he voted. (cleared used in the most lax and relaxed form of it. cleared by no means, but a solid townread based off it).

 

this is where things start to get spicy. 

 

 

  Reveal hidden contents

 

Zfetch (1) - DM

TheRocket18 (1) - Zfetch

Professor Linguine (2) - 6FT5, hoggers

Qwags (3) - Milk & Honey, GoCanucks16, Kurisu

Kurisu (1) - Professor Linguine

J23 (2) - Intoews, luckylager

6FT5 (2) - Sharpshooter, Qwags

GoCanucks16 (1) - BJ22

 

Zfetch (4) - DM, mr, otis, bluejay

dm - ep40, boknows

TheRocket18 (1) - Zfetch, sharp

Professor Linguine (2) - 6FT5, hoggers, gocanucks16

Qwags (3) - Milk & Honey, Kurisu

Kurisu (1) - Professor Linguine

J23 (2) - Intoews, luckylager

6FT5 (2) - Qwags

gocanucks - j23

 

Professor Linguine (7) - Blinzer, hoggers, GoCanucks16, Sharpshooter, zFetch, BoKnows, J23

Zfetch (3) - DM, Radish, Otis

Sharpshooter (3) - Kurisu, Bluejay, Luckylager

J23 (2) - Intoews, luckylager

Qwags (1) - Milk & Honey

Melvin (1) - EP40

Kurisu (1) - Professor Linguine

 

Professor Linguine (6) - GoCanucks16, BoKnows, Sharpshooter, Zfetch, Blinzer, J-23

DM (1) - EP40

J-23 (1) - , Intoews

Qwags (1) - Milk & Honey

Kurisu (1) - Professor Linguine

Zfetch (3) - Otis, MR, DM

Sharpshooter(6) - hoggers, Kurisu, BJ22, luckylager, NIK, Qwags

 

Professor Linguine (6) - GoCanucks16, BoKnows, Sharpshooter, Zfetch, Blinzer, TheRocket18

DM (1) - EP40

Qwags (2) - Milk & Honey, 

Kurisu (1) - Professor Linguine

Zfetch (3) - Otis, MR, Zfetch

Sharpshooter (7) - BJ22, Intoews, hoggers, Kurisu, luckylager, NIK, Qwags

TheRocket18 (1) - J-23

 

Professor Linguine (5) - GoCanucks16, BoKnows, Sharpshooter, Zfetch, TheRocket18

DM (1) - EP40

Qwags (2) - Milk & Honey, 

Kurisu (1) - Professor Linguine

Zfetch (3) - Otis, MR, DM

Sharpshooter (8) - BJ22hoggers, Kurisu, luckylager, NIK, Qwags, Intoews, Blinzer

TheRocket18 (1) - J-23

 

as an aside, an extra votecount was added to show where zfetch begins to get pressured.

 

zfetch collects votes on him and the scumteam seems to move to save him. under these pretenses, the voting makes absolute sense. qwags, the villager, has canucks pushing him, but as soon as he loses momentum, canucks goes to vote on linguine which sharpshooter and zfetch both later join off the wagon of therocket. this may be a good look for him depending on how we flip zfetch. they then stagnate on linguine as that seems to be the only wagon to save them. it's likely maybe, maybe 1 scum hopped off, but based on the colorings, it seems the wagon on sharpshooter was very stagnantly green. it's possible that intoews or blinzer hopped over. intoews however had the killing vote on sharp when blinzer was present. kurisu is added to these list of possible busses, but he remained on sharpshooter the entire day through the lynch and was creating content, too.

 

not dependant on wagon analysis, but the j23 and how he handled the sheriff thing came across as town. i could probably mark him as town along with his reaction to sharpshooters posting, but that had nothing to do with the wagon analysis as he was mainly off any contending wagons and did his own thing. therocket hops up in standings as he seemed to be jumped by two wolves simultaneously. 

 

 

based off this, vote zfetch is pretty essential just in case my later reads are wildly off track. i am interested in {intoews, otis} and want to hear from @Master Radishes. i individually townread dm regardless of wagons. {milk and honey, ep40, boknows} i need to see more of.

this looks to be accurate still

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Zfetch (6) - Qwags, MR, Intoews, EP40, NIK, Otis

MR (2) -  Zfetch, J23

Kurisu (2) - hoggers, TheRocket18

BlueJay22 (2) - DM

Qwags (1) - MH

Otis (4) - luckylager, Blinzer, BlueJay22, Kurisu

TheRocket18 (1) - BoKnows

 

off a glance some of the votes here are off. at least mine is, but i can still say qwags kill on wagon may imply off wagon wolf. shot in the dark if i needed an off wagon wolf i'd shoot boknows undoubtedly. only other option is m&h.

 

boknows, m&h, ep40, otis 

intoews mr

 

is really the poe i'm working with here.

i suspect it's likely otis or boknows. 

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i need to go through the old votecounts and just verify everything i'm seeing now is correct. intoews i'm 99% is town, and mr i don't think i have to worry about. i really think it is just otis / boknows.

 

i also forgot blinzer. we can throw them in.

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