BigTramFan Posted November 21, 2021 Share Posted November 21, 2021 I know this is a ‘what if’ but….how well should this team be performing? Offense: Based on the individual players ‘goals for per game’ from the previous 2 seasons the Canucks should be targeting approx. 276 goals for this regular season. But they are currently tracking towards only 209 goals for (about 67 goals less). Our forwards are the main contributors to the projected drop in ‘goals for’, on pace for 62 goals lower than they should be targeting. Especially Pettersson, Pearson, Boeser and Dickinson, who are well down on the pace of goals we expect them to score. Horvat is lagging a bit but can still catch up. Miller and Hoglander are doing better than expected. Garland and Chiasson are performing about as expected. As a rookie, Podkolzin is on track for 15 goals this season, so I have used that as his ‘past’ performance. Motte has been injured so has not put any goals up this season yet. He has time to contribute. For more detail see table below. Note we should expect about 35 goals from our defense corps over the season and we are on pace for 30 goals at this stage. Not too bad and tells the story that the forwards are the main reason for this slump in offense. Defense: Our team is doing well on 5v5. After 18 games we have given away 37 goals at even strength. The issue is the PK. Currently 23 PP goals against, whereas the league average is 10 PP goals against. If our PK could perform at ‘league average’ for the whole season, then the Canucks would be on track for a total of only 214 goals against. At this stage they are looking at closer to 273 goals against based on the current rate. Summary: If the individual players scored as they have the previous 2 seasons and our PK was just 'average', then we would looking at 276 goals for and 214 goals against, and could expect to easily make the playoffs. For the below table, 'Goals based on previous performance' is based on averaged goal production per game over the past 2 seasons multiplied by 82 games. For 'Projected goals based on performance this season' I have taken the pace of goals scored in the first 18 games multiplied by 82 games. Goals based on previous performance Projected goals based on performance this season Miller 28 32 Pettersson 32 14 Boeser 28 22 Pearson 21 9 Horvat 27 23 Hoglander 19 23 Garland 23 23 Dickinson 11 5 Podkolzin 15 15 Motte 15 0 Lammikko 7 0 Chiasson 15 13 Forwards TOTAL 241 179 OEL 8 9 Hughes 7 10 Myers 8 0 Hamonic 6 0 Poolman 3 5 Burroughs 3 6 Defense TOTAL 35 30 Team TOTAL 276 209 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.