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2022-23 NHL Prediction Thread

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-AJ-

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West:  

 

1. Colorado 

2. Edmonton 

3. St Louis 

4. Vancouver 

5. Nashville 

6. Calgary 

7. Minnesotta 

8. Vegas 

 

East: 

 

1. Carolina 

2. Toronto 

3. Rangers 

4. Boston 

5. Florida 

6. Tampa 

7. Pittsburgh 

8. Islanders 

 

Aidan McDonaugh will win the NCAA scoring race and sign an ELC with us.  

Connor Lockhart will finish top 10 in OHL scoring and sign an ELC as well. 

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32 minutes ago, cripplereh said:

I think we will end up some where around 6th to 9th.A big trade will happen as said one player we all like will get traded by Xmas break or tdl.We will make a tdl deal or two.

6th to 9th in the conference? League?

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Forwards:                                           Defense:                                                  Goaltending:

JT: 105pts, Selke Finalist                    Huggy: 75pts, Norris Finalist                    Demko: .925 Sv%, 2.25 GAA, Vezina Finalist

Petey: 85pts                                        OEL: 40pts                                               Martin: .912 Sv%, 2.75 GAA

Boeser: 70pts                                      Myers: 25pts  

Bo: 60pts                                             Dermott: 20pts

Kuzzy: 60pts                                        Rathbone: 20pts                       Pacific:            Central:         Metropolitan:        Atlantic:      *Wildcard 1

Garland: 55pts                                     Schenn: 15pts                          Calgary          p Colorado        NY Rangers        z Tampa         **Wildcard 2        

Podz: 50pts                                         Poolman: 10pts                         Vancouver        St. Louis         Carolina                 Florida       p: League champion    

Höglander: 50pts                                 Burroughs: 10pts                      Los Angeles      Nashville        Washington           Toronto      z: Conference champion

Mikheyev: 50pts                                  Stillman: 5pts                            Edmonton*        Minnesota**    Pittsburgh*            Ottawa                                  

Pearson: 45pts                                                                                      Vegas                Dallas            NY Islanders**       Boston                              

Lazar: 25pts                                                                                          Anaheim            Winnipeg        New Jersey           Detroit                                   

Karlsson: 20pts                                                                                     San Jose           Chicago          Columbus             Buffalo                                   

Joshua: 15pts                                                                                        Seattle               Arizona           Philadelphia        Montreal                        

Åman: 10pts                Vancouver loses in the conference finals

                                               Cup Winner: Colorado

 

Edited by Chickenspear
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  • Petey breaks 80 points
  • Canucks just barely miss out on a wildcard and miss the playoffs 
  • Seattle surprises people by being more competitive and finishes top 6 in the division 
  • Makar breaks 90 points and MacKinnon finally breaks 100
  • St. Louis gets revenge and knocks out Colorado come playoff time
  • Owen Power wins the Calder
  • Sharks finish last in the division
  • Josi puts up 70+ points 
  • Lundqvist puts up 30+ points for the Dallas Stars
  • Torts doesn't make the difference Philly thought he would but Philly ultimately wins the 1OA pick 
  • Arizona finishes last in the league but ultimately drafts 3rd OA
  • Demko finishes as a Vezina candidate but ultimately loses out to someone from an eastern team 
  • Toronto gets out of the first round 
  • Ovi scores 40+ goals 
  • Detroit is devastated by injury all season long and misses the playoffs again
  • Florida wins their division 
  • Montreal drafts top 6
  • Islanders make the playoffs
  • Tampa goes out in the 2nd round
  • Buffalo improves but still ends up drafting 8th overall
  • Kaprizov puts up 90+ points 
  • Dubois finishes the season a Winnipeg Jet 
  • Calgary leads the division again and their offseason looks even more baffling in retrospect
  • Tkachuk comes back down closer to 85 points in Florida 
  • Anaheim loses Gibson to injury which ultimately sinks their season 
  • Crosby breaks 82 points
  • Boeser finally scores 30 
  • Gaudreau puts up 90+ points and Laine hits 40+ again for the first time in a while 
  • Miller comes back down closer to point per game 
  • Hughes breaks 50 points against but offense from our D is still largely an issue from everyone who isn't him 
  • Martin proves to be an average backup but doesn't blow anyone away 
  • McDavid breaks 130 points and Draisaitl breaks 100 again 
  • Huberdeau puts up 90+ points
  • Kopitar puts up 70+ points and wins the Selke 
  • Cup final ends up being St. Louis vs Carolina and goes at least six games 
  • Carolina wins the Jennings
  • Ottawa makes the playoffs
  • Matthews scores 60 again
  • Canucks defense is ultimately what costs them a playoff spot which prompts us to trade one of Garland or Boeser in the offseason to beef up our D
  • Horvat scores 25+ 
  • Evander Kane scores 40+ 
  • Kadri takes a step back from his career year but still puts up 50-60 points
  • Patrick Kane is traded an ultimately finishes with 90+ points again
  • LA proves that their making the playoffs last year wasn't an outlier and finishes ahead of Edmonton again 
  • Jack Hughes breaks the 80 point mark 
  • Doughty puts up 40+ points 
  • Vegas is competitive despite their goaltending but ultimately finish right behind us
  • Gritty messes with Seattle's new mascot 
  • Myers and Poolman continue to be CDC whipping boys despite Myers playing better than Dermott 

 

 

Edited by Coconuts
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Putting on my rose-colored glasses:

 

The Alien returns with a vengeance.....  44 goals and 58 assists for 102 points

Kuz gjves us a resigning headache with 31 goals and 30 assists, 61 points, Calder trophy runner up

Huggy flirts with the Norris with 77 points and a +31

Nux exit in the 2nd round of playoffs

Abby wins the Calder Cup

Bruce wins the Jack Adams

 

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On 9/12/2022 at 1:23 AM, ruilin96 said:

Reserved

 

On 9/12/2022 at 1:05 PM, You Mad Bro? said:

Reserved 

Note that the threat closes at 4pm tomorrow, so if you want to update your predictions, might be a good time to do so soon!

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58 minutes ago, Googlie said:

Putting on my rose-colored glasses:

 

The Alien returns with a vengeance.....  44 goals and 58 assists for 102 points

Kuz gjves us a resigning headache with 31 goals and 30 assists, 61 points, Calder trophy runner up

Huggy flirts with the Norris with 77 points and a +31

Nux exit in the 2nd round of playoffs

Abby wins the Calder Cup

Bruce wins the Jack Adams

 

Kuz isn't eligible for the calder, unfortunately. Turned 26 in February.

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4 hours ago, Chickenspear said:

Kuz isn't eligible for the calder, unfortunately. Turned 26 in February.

There seems to be  conflicting criteria:

 

To be considered, a player cannot have previously played more than 25 games in any single season, nor have played in six or more games in each of any two preceding seasons, in any major pro league. In addition, Calder winners must be 26 years old or younger on September 15 of their rookie season.

 

or

 

To be considered a rookie, a player must not have played in more than 25 NHL games in any preceding seasons, nor in six or more NHL games in each of any two preceding seasons. Any player at least 26 years of age (by September 15th of that season) is not considered a rookie.

 

so which is it for Kuzmenko?

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1 minute ago, Googlie said:

There seems to be  conflicting criteria:

 

To be considered, a player cannot have previously played more than 25 games in any single season, nor have played in six or more games in each of any two preceding seasons, in any major pro league. In addition, Calder winners must be 26 years old or younger on September 15 of their rookie season.

 

or

 

To be considered a rookie, a player must not have played in more than 25 NHL games in any preceding seasons, nor in six or more NHL games in each of any two preceding seasons. Any player at least 26 years of age (by September 15th of that season) is not considered a rookie.

 

so which is it for Kuzmenko?

Interesting. My understanding was that if, at any point during the regular season, a player was 27 years old, he was ineligible. Because Kuzmenko turns 27 in February, I assumed he was ineligible.

 

What are your sources for the above statements?

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18 minutes ago, Googlie said:

There seems to be  conflicting criteria:

 

To be considered, a player cannot have previously played more than 25 games in any single season, nor have played in six or more games in each of any two preceding seasons, in any major pro league. In addition, Calder winners must be 26 years old or younger on September 15 of their rookie season.

 

or

 

To be considered a rookie, a player must not have played in more than 25 NHL games in any preceding seasons, nor in six or more NHL games in each of any two preceding seasons. Any player at least 26 years of age (by September 15th of that season) is not considered a rookie.

 

so which is it for Kuzmenko?

All I know is I placed a bet on playnow for a Kuzzy calder, and I get an email 2 days later saying the bet was ineligible and got a refund. I checked back and his selection spot is still there at 26.00, but it's grayed out.

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20 minutes ago, J-23 said:

It would be very disappointing if Mikheyev only puts up 30.

Probably, but I think he's gonna fall off a bit this year. I wasn't that impressed with his regular season and he hasn't been on pace for much more than 50 points in prior years. Keep in mind that it is 30 points in just 70 games, so a pace for 35 points.

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1 hour ago, -AJ- said:

Interesting. My understanding was that if, at any point during the regular season, a player was 27 years old, he was ineligible. Because Kuzmenko turns 27 in February, I assumed he was ineligible.

 

What are your sources for the above statements?

I think you are right in that with both definitions, Kuz is ineligible. 

The applicable Sept 15 reference would be 2023, not 2022 ( the rookie year being 2022-2023)  by which time he wil be 27, as you say.  (Quotes were from TheHockeyWriters and The Canadian Encyclopedia)

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1 of Toronto, Calgary or Edmonton misses the playoffs

 

Demko is a Vezina finalist

 

Kirill Kaprizov is a Hart finalist.

 

Matty Beniers wins the Calder

 

Petey has 35+ goals & 75+ points. Hughes eclipses 70 points. OEL reaches double digit goals. 

 

Canucks make the playoffs in a divisional spot

 

Carolina vs Colorado in the finals, & Carolina takes it. 

 

Arizona finishes dead last with less than 52 points. But Chicago wins the lottery & gets Bedard.

 

Edited by Smashian Kassian
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On 9/11/2022 at 10:41 PM, -AJ- said:

Time for results comparison! June 2023 comments are bolded.

 

I want to predict the stats of our players, but there's so much in flux--especially the fight for forward positions on the 3rd and 4th lines. Defense is more known, but the bottom pairing is still pretty uncertain.

 

NHL Predictions:

 

- Makar will be the first defender in over 20 years to 100+ points and win the Norris again.

He was on pace for 90 points, but was injured. He's my pick for the Norris, but we'll see if he wins it.
 

- Vegas collapses, finishing 6th or 7th in the Pacific

Wrong. Very wrong.

- Seattle improves, finishing 6th or 7th in the Pacific
Half right. They improved, but by even more than I expected.
 

- The Sharks finish 8th in the Pacific
Close. 7th.
 

- Matty Beniers wins the Calder trophy
I don't think he should, but he probably will.
 

- Jacob Markstrom wins the Vezina trophy
Not even close.

 

Canuck Stats:

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83904c7c9f9719aa7dcb5029c3821dd3.png

 

Notes:

 

Players

- Miller regresses, but is still our best forward
Mostly true, but Petey was the best forward

- Petey takes a step forward, but still isn't the crazy dominant forward at all times we want him to be
Happy to be wrong here. He was all we've ever wanted.

- Hughes takes another step forward and finishes top 10 in Norris voting. Huge part of our defensive play.
Pretty much dead on.

- Boeser has a minor bounce back year
Probably an accurate statement.

- Horvat scores 30+ again
Well yes, but...

- Kuzmenko is a hit, scoring 48 points; fans love him and he loves Vancouver
Yes, except that he was even better than I expected by a large margin.

- Garland remains steady and fills a playmaking role, though also has some injuries
Not overly wrong, but not terribly accurate. Wasn't that steady and was largely injury-free.

- Podkolzin takes a big step forward, being a scoring threat in our top six
Alas, not this year

- OEL can't score, but has a good number of assists
Sort of true. Missed more games than I predicted, but offense did improve.

- Mikheyev's offense isn't what it was in his last year in Toronto, but his defense is reliable
On the contrary, he was every bit as good as he was in Toronto, albeit a bit more balanced between goals and assists.

- Hoglander improves slightly, but not by much--he spends the year being used as a grinder. A healthy scratch once or twice and also injured
Probably best to regard this as false. Spent most of the year in Abby, though did see big improvement there.

- Pearson regresses again, similar to 2020-21. He also has significant injury troubles.
Pretty darn accurate, honestly.

- Lazar thrives in Vancouver in a 4th line role
Unfortunately, the fit wasn't nearly as good as I had hoped.

- Aman is a great energy forward, but doesn't put up many points
More or less true, though he's not overly high energy.

- Schenn is still great, but not as good as 2021-22

Untrue--he was even better.

- Dermott moves from 4-7 on the defensive lineup. Also starts the season injured (already known).

More injured than I predicted.

- Rathbone shows some good flashes, but isn't consistent enough to hold his NHL job

Correct.

- Burroughs isn't as good as last year, but plays more games due to injuries on d-core.

Debatable. Did play more, but I'm unsure if he was better or worse.

- Poolman tries to play games, but headaches return and he misses much of the year

Bang on.

- Demko finishes 5th in Vezina voting
Alas, not so.

- Martin isn't as good as Demko or in the 2021-22 season, but is a solid backup
Too heavy a workload for him kind of broke him. Wasn't doing well even when Demko was his starter though.

 

Team

- Team goes 44-29-9 for 97 points, finishing 4th in the division
Quite a bit worse, unfortunately

- Canucks bring the Oilers or Flames (whichever is 2nd) to 7 games in round 1, but lose
See above

- Team scores 256 goals (246 scored in 2021-22). Defense is slightly worse than 2021-22.
Goals were 276, so even better, but defense was dramatically worse, not slightly worse.

- Slight improvements to the team all around, offense, and special teams. PK is substantially better. Team feels worse because it is not as good as post-Boudreau 2021-22, but still far better than Green 2021-22, so is more "average" throughout the entire year.
Team overall was worse. Our PK and PP were both worse, though the net PK was better thanks to all the shorthanded goals.

 

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