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WestCoastDave

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Posts posted by WestCoastDave

  1. On 6/25/2023 at 11:52 PM, Curmudgeon said:

    Once upon a time there were maybe two or three mock drafts. Now, everybody with a keyboard has one. I wanted to see which player was projected to be eleventh overall, so I surveyed 28 different mock drafts. Here are the results:

     

    Media outlet.                              11th overall

     

    Nhlmock                                    Moore

    Prohockeyrumours                    Danielson

    ChicagoST                                Willander

    Montreal HN                              Willander

    Clutchpoints                              Willander

    BleacherReports                       Willander

    DailyFaceoff                              Willander

    Pronman                                    Danielson

    Talkathon                                   Sandin-Pelikka

    Linesdotcom                             Barlow

    Sportsnaut                                Willander

    SportingNews                           Leonard

    FloridaHN                                 Willander

    Oddshark                                  Sale

    Flohockey                                 Honzek

    FCHockey                                 Sale

    McKenzie                                  Wood

    Button                                       Wood

    ShaneMalloy                             Wood

    EliteProspects                           Dvorsky

    ChrisPeters                               Perrault

    THN                                          Moore

    McKeen’s                                 Moore

    Sportsnet                                 Dvorsky

    RecruitScouting                       Reinbacher

    DraftProspects                         Dvorsky

    Dobber                                     Musty

    Smaht                                       Leonard

     

     

    With how wide open the 11th spot is, it makes the most sense to trade down and recoup the 2nd we traded away in the Hronek deal.

  2. If Bedard really wants to be a Canuck, he could pull off a Lindros (Michel Goulet did the same to get drafted by Quebec too).  So that is why finishing closer to the bottom is useful because it will be easier to facilitate a trade when you have a low pick too (or other teams could let him slide to your draft position like what happened with Goulet).  Aside from the Lindros option, Bedard could go the college route, spend a few years there, and then will be free to sign with whichever team he wants to.  Not saying he would do any of this, but if he really wants to the power is in his hands.  Just putting this out there.

    • Tanks a lot 1
  3. 6 hours ago, Warhippy said:

    Ok.  Heres my take on things.  We've failed consistently to develop anyone and ignored positions of organizational need so much we ended up chasing the exact same pattern of picks/players for almost 2 decades.

     

    Going back to 2006 our organizational need has been RHD, RHC, RW predominantly.  

     

    2006 we took Grabner over Lewis, Stweart and Giroux.  3 players in which people were clamouring for.

    2007 we took White over Subban and Perron.  Safe

    2008 we took Hodgson over Karlsson.  Numerous people wanted Karlsson due to the RHD factor and his ability.  Safe ish but arguable

    2009 we took Schroder over O'Reilly.  LOADS wanted O'Reilly badly 

    2011 Jensen over Jenner/Rakell.  Some wanted Rakell but a large voice wanted Jenner

    2012 Gaunce.  Safest possible pick due to his being BPA but many wanted to trade down

    2013 Horvat and Shinkaruk.  people were pissed we took Horvat over Nicushkin.  But they also wanted Shae Theodore over Shinkaruk 

    2014 Virtanen and McCann.  Virtanen was not the BPA over Nylander/Ehlers.  McCann was not wanted over Pasternak and Kempe

    2015 Boeser was debated over Konecny but he was the BPA

    2016 is arguably the one year we took an organizational need and instead of taking the RHD Sergachev, we took the "consensus" Juolevi over 1 good tournament

    2017 Pettersson yes

    2018 Hughes  yes

    2019 Podkolzon.  Eveeryone wanted Zegras and were happy with Podkolzin.  Jury is out

    2022 Lekkerimaki over Bischel and Pickering and even Kemmel.  Both players people were screaming for

     

    By and large you see we took the BPA associated with that draft position while many in threads easily found were clamouring for what was the organizational need a year or two out.  Gaunce, White. Hodgson.  All arguably the safe picks due to need and player draft bio but by and large we chose the exact same types of players ignoring our RHD and RHC for over a decade.  Look where we are now?  We tend to go for home runs  on the BPA with skilled smaller players and it's blown up in our face consistently.

     

    If you look at our most consistent organizational needs in player types we never drafted.  had we gone with organizational need as many were clamouring for; we'd have done FAR FAR better.

    It was unfortunate the team went on a run at the end of the 2018-19 season that put us ahead of Anaheim.  Otherwise, we would have drafted Zegras over Pod.

  4. Most NHL teams are cash strapped and I do not think the Nucks want to trade away their 23 1st in a strong draft.  What about bringing in a third team like Chicago who have some cap space and two first round picks in their own and TB (top 10 protected for both 23 and 24 drafts).  We could trade someone like Garland (or some other player(s) for one of TB 1st owned by Chicago and then combined it with Ekman-Larsson for Karlsson with SJ retaining 50% of the latter's contract.  It could possibly help all three teams.  The Nucks get to strengthen their right side D and free up cap space.  SJ will be free of EK and the 1st will help their rebuild while Chicago get an asset. What do you think?  Are we giving up too much or the trade could be improve? 

  5. 20 hours ago, -Vintage Canuck- said:

    Nate Schmidt is another example who had a disappointing short stint with the Canucks and ended up playing better with their new team. Now we're seeing the same with Jason Dickinson. Speaking of ex-Canuck players, Tyler Motte also has five points in five games with the Senators.

    Motte was heading into free agency so we got what we could for him.  I agree with Schmidt and Dickenson we bought on the high side and sold low.

  6. 20 hours ago, Dazzle said:

    Dumb take. Some people like you know nothing but hating someone at all costs.

    You are talking about yourself.  Not true, just stating the facts.  I thought Benning made some good picks like Pettersson, Hughes, and Boeser.  I would rate him as a good scout just not a super one.

  7. 19 hours ago, coryberg said:

    Here is a number...24

     

    That's the number of times NHL GM's passed on pastrnak. Including super scout Jim Benning twice.

     

    So basically at least 80% of the NHL has poor scouting in your mind.

    You mean that is what you are thinking.

     

    Here is a number...2

     

    Virtanen and Juolevi.  Two bust by your super scout. 

    • Wat 1
    • RoughGame 1
  8. 16 hours ago, coryberg said:

    Last season...

    McCann 32 points

    Kapanen 30 points

     

    This season

    McCann 16 points

    Kapanen 15 points

     

    Career PPG

    McCann .46ppg

    Kapanen .50ppg

    Confused Thinking GIF

    I see that we are having fun with numbers and you didn't mentioned Pastranak at all.  Here are more numbers...

     

    This season PPG

     

    Kapanen  0.56 (Pitt 7th Eastern Conferance)

    McCann  0.73 (Seat 15th Western Conferance)

    Pastranak  0.88 (Bos 8th Eastern Conferance)

     

     

    Career CF% rel

     

    Kapanen  0.5

    McCann  2.0

    Pastranak  13.0

     

     

  9. 1 hour ago, Elias Pettersson said:

    Who is Patrik Allvin? Get to know the Penguins’ interim GM | Pittsburgh Post-Gazette

     

    Since Allvin was named head European scout in 2012, the Penguins have picked more Europeans than they had throughout most of Ray Shero’s tenure — another possible sign that Allvin’s influence in the organization was growing.

     

    Over those nine drafts, the Penguins selected 14 prospects who played overseas. That list includes Kasperi Kapanen, Oskar Sundqvist, Dominik Simon and their top two draft picks from a year ago, goalies Joel Blomqvist and Calle Clang.

    I'm not impressed.  Why did he draft Kapanen and passed on McCann and Pastranak who were drafted below Pittsburgh's pick?

  10. I would favor making a gm change at the end of the season when there are more candidates around preferably from an successful organization.  For example, during the Pat Quinn era, the Nucks were one of the stronger teams in the league and had Burke and McPhee as their assistant gms.  Burke went on to win a Cup in Anaheim while Mcphee went on to build a strong Capital team that stay on top of their division for a long time.  More recent example, after McPhee is let go from Washington his assistant MacLellan became the gm and went on to win the cup.  Same thing with Tampa, after Yzerman left to go to Detriot, his successor Brisebois won the cup.  Yeah...and that is not just a cup of java.

  11. 2 hours ago, gurn said:

                                             Total NHL games and NHL points

    2007 Patrick White               0 games                          

    2000 Nathan Smith             26 games 0 points

    1996 Josh Holden              60  games 14 points

    1992 Libor Polasek             0 games           

    1990 Shawn Antoski          183 games  8 points

    1989 Jason Herter                1 game 1 point

    1986 Dan Woodley                5 games 2 points

    So off this list, the two picks that performed the worst would be Patrick White and Libor Polasek because they played 0 games. 

    • Upvote 1
  12. On 10/10/2021 at 5:15 PM, Toyotasfan said:

    Why even ask for players like these in return? There’s better waiver wire scraps before the season starts, might as well have given Joulevi away for free and pick something off final cut waivers.

    Yep, the underlying numbers for Juulsen and Lammikko are slightly worse than Joulevi.  Also, you'll be getting 2 contracts (2 x 0.75) in return while losing one (1 x 0.75).  So regrettably, Florida is off loading more garbage at a higher cost on us than we are giving them. 

  13. After seeing Markstrom, Toffoli, Tanev, etc. go last summer, I'm more incline to trade JT for something than risk not getting anything back in return.  You'll be selling high (or close to it) so you could get maximum value.  Ideally, the best time is now until next summer because other teams like it when there is term left on the contract.  If you wait until the last year, the offers might not be as good.

  14. 5 hours ago, Sbriggs said:

    Juolevi is too early to tell as well, let the kid get some serious ice time and develope he'll be a good NHL defenseman. Virtanen will or would have been a good 3rd line winger but not what we expected and McCann is playing full time in the NHL so I'm not sure what your point is other than not being a Benning supporter

    Yep, you missed the point.  We are talking apples and oranges.  You are talking about picks that made the NHL while I'm talking about picks that turn out to be impact/star players.  When you could draft an impact player every one out of every two picks in the first round, you are doing a pretty good job and should continue doing it. So in no ways I'm slamming Benning, but instead acknowledging his success with first round picks.

    • Upvote 1
  15. Looking at Bennings track record with 1st round picks, he have been hitting something like a 50% success rate at getting a impact player with it.  Successful picks include Boeser, Petterson, and Hughes.  Less successful picks include Virtanen, McCann, and Juolevi with Podkolzin being too early to tell.  So I would say keep the pick because it is usually the easiest way to getting an above average player.

    • Cheers 1
  16. I learned from Montreal that having a Northern division  helps a Canadian team advance to the final 4 spots and one series win away from contending in the Stanley Cup!  In the past while under the previous divisional format, it has been very difficult for Canadian teams to make it to the end or even the final 4 for that matter.  Thankfully, the habs ended the long drought and made it to the last dance this season!

  17.  

    8 hours ago, UKNuck96 said:

    Right so if I say we should just get a n01 rhd and a franchise player that will solve our problems and I’m sure management can get those for under 3m

    Let me help you understand.  This approach is just one of several options available to help improve the club.  Of course getting a no. 1 D seems unlikely through the ufa route at such a low cap.  Good point. What it does (as shown in Leafs and Panthers examples) is you could get complementary pieces to add to your team at good value.  Look at the gm in Florida.  He used this method (along with other moves) to successfully help improve his team and is now the favorite to win gm of the year.  

     

  18. 11 hours ago, UKNuck96 said:

    So we should plug the gaps with cheap ufas surely if it was such an easy task you would be able to real of at least one? 
     

     

    Like I said before that is the job of management.  It is not an easy task because you still need to do your homework, due diligence,...etc.  Anyhow, a very recent example is Toronto just resign Speeza to a 1 year $750,000  for the fine work he did last season.

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