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Canucks Statistical Comparison to the California Teams

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William_Clarkson

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If the Canucks are to make the playoffs, they will most likely have to face a California team in the 1st round (and 2nd round if that happens), who all have been a struggle for the Canucks since being eliminated by the 8th seeded Kings in the 1st round in 2012. However, this year the Canucks have started off a respectable 2-1-1 against the California teams. They prepare to face all 3 again, but let's compare how the Canucks' stats to those of the California teams.

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The playoffs are known for heightened physicality and all 3 of these teams are physical (especially the ones in SoCal) and so far the Canucks are far behind in this category. One can argue that it may suggest the Canucks have the puck more, nevertheless however, hits are an important part of the game. Not to mention, the Blackhawks are 2nd last right now in hits and they've had lots of playoff success.

Kings-1109 (2nd in the league)

Ducks-10209 (4th in the league)

Sharks-813 (17th in the league)

Canucks-643 (27th in the league)

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Blocking shots is an important part of hockey. It leads to the goalie facing less shots, most of which are from the middle of the ice. The Canucks are an above average shot blocking team, but still fall short to the Ducks & Sharks. However, like the hits this could show that the Canucks have more offensive zone time, so they don't need to face as many shots.

Ducks-538 (7th in the league)

Sharks-526 (9th in the league)

Canucks-499 (13th in the league)

Kings-421 (28th in the league)

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Faceoffs let teams start with possession and can even be the difference between winning and losing. However, they are quite far behind the California teams in this department.

Sharks-52.0% (8th in the league)

Ducks-51.7% (9th in the league)

Kings-50.9% (11th in the league)

Canucks-48.6% (21st in the league)

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Corsi for percentage in brief measures a team's shot for (including missed and blocked shots) vs. shots against (once again including missed and blocked shots). In the past few years the Canucks have always been good in this category (even last year), but this year they seem to have less impressive possession. This also means the Canucks probably should have more blocked shots in theory than the Ducks and Sharks, yet they don't. Although, despite the fact the Canucks seem to get outshot, I'll look at shooting percentage after to see if stats say they just wait for quality shots.

Kings-53.4% (3rd in the league)

Sharks-52.2% (11th in the league)

Ducks-50.2% (18th in the league)

Canucks-49.9% (20th in the league)

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Second to only the Ducks in shooting percentage. Makes sense why the Sharks and Kings would have lower shooting percentage, but the Ducks appear to be taking better shots or just simply have better finishers.

Ducks-8.05% (11th in the league)

Canucks-7.42% (19th in the league)

Kings-7.37% (20th in the league)

Sharks-7.21% (22nd in the league)

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The most important stat, however (other than wins obviously) is the goals for vs. goals against differential. Overall, the Canucks rank 3rd in this, but it's way too close to make a huge deal out of it.

Sharks/Kings-+9 (tied for 11th in the league)

Canucks-+8 (14th in the league)

Ducks-+6 (tied for 16th in the league)

Now for my quick recall of the games so far against them:

The Sharks outplayed the Canucks I thought for pretty much the entire game, but Miller stood on his head and stole the win. Can't depend on that.

The Kings also outplayed the Canucks, but before Canucks started to get scored on it wasn't as bad as it was against the Sharks. However, this was a day after the game against the Sharks.

The Canucks have been quite competitive with the Ducks this year (major step up from last year where the Canucks never beat the Ducks and lost 9-1 once), with both games ending in a shootout. However, both teams were dealing with major injuries in these games most notably Corey Perry & Dan Hamhuis, both of which will miss the game tomorrow.

Overall, I don't think the Canucks could win a playoff series against any of these teams, but the most competitive matchup would be Ducks vs. Canucks. However, I think the Kings and Sharks would both easily handle the Canucks (repeat of 2012 and 2013, respectively). Although the team's success lies in the future. Any thoughts?


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You made a small typo in this:

Kings-1109 (2nd in the league)

Ducks-10209 (4th in the league)

(The ducks hits cant be 10000+)

But besides that nice post.

I think the Canucks could beat the Sharks or the Ducks in a competitive 6 to 7 games.

But the kings IMO will be a bigger challenge.

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. cant really take these stats into account weve played last tough stretch without our best dman and done decently hamhuis back healthy helps our backend and some of thoughs stats plus alot can happen before trade deadline injurys trades maybe wait til after trade deadline to say we cant beat these teams in a seven game series

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