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nuckfanfromafrica

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Posts posted by nuckfanfromafrica

  1. Just now, Angry Goose said:

    Raty has proven anything yet, and he definitely hasnt beaten my boy Aman out of a roster spot.

     

    Big fat L for that one

    Aman is a good prospect and a good call up prospect. He had a good surprising rookie year. An acquisition of Blueger & Oskar makes him a bit redundant.

     

    Aaty has a higher ceiling offensively and playmaking. Adjusted stats indicates Aaty is the superior player.

     

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  2. Just now, Bob.Loblaw said:

     you're taking two forwards who couldn't make the team last year and placing them on the first line.  Rebuilding teams do that.  Kuzmenko and Mikheyev have earned the right to play in the top six.

    Agreed. Kuzmenko and Mikheyev have earned their respective spots. The line composition are based more on having balance through out the line up. Both insulating a big young centerman in Raty. Mikheyev providing veteran defensive presence and forecheck. Kuzmenko adding scoring punch. 

     

    Pettersson has the pedigree of carrying a line. Much improved Pods & Hogs. Both had a down sophmore year. They have the making of a future dominant line if given the time to mature together. The team needs an infusion of youth in more prominent roles. 

    • Like 1
  3.  

             I’ve been really impressed with the moves, Alvin & co, have made so far this offseason - they've shown restraint by not overpaying on dollars & term in free Agency. The moves have been calculated, forward looking and aimed at not cap strapping the team in the near future. I hope they remain discipline and stay the course.

     

    Chasing sexy acquisitions like, Brett Pesce & co, appear enticing however is shortsighted. Reasons been:

     

    • Recency bias: team structure and environment can at times over inflate the effectiveness of that same player on a different team. Comes with a high degree of risk that may become a huge anchor. Ex Messier
    • acquisitions like this at this time will require giving up huge assets (1ST round pick(s), Top tier prospects). Assets that will be on attractive entry level contracts to balance out higher ticket items.
    • The contract and/or extension eats up a huge portion of the team salary cap without necessarily putting the team over the top. This hampers the ability of the team to build a strong supporting cast. Pettersson, Hronek, Kuzmenko etc will require big extensions shortly. Cap space management  will be key to maintaining a quality team moving forward.

     

    Generally competitive teams are built around elite Goaltending or tandem, elite Center, Elite Dman, and quality complementary depth that are above average in their respective roles.

    All these recent Championship teams (Vegas, Colorado, Tampa, LA) had that.

     

    Quality depth requires strong internal prospect development program. Teams lacking this, require cap flexibility to acquire the necessary depth to contend. Teams that struggle to get over the hump tend to be teams that are heavily committed to just a few big ticket items and not enough cap to ice above average quality complimentary pieces. Ex Toronto, Edmonton etc.

     

    The stated objective of this Management were:

     

    •   Drafting well and developing prospects
    • Getting heavier and bigger
    • Revamping D
    • having quality depth both on team and in the farm
    • clearing cap space and continuing to be efficient with cap management moving forward

     

    That said some prudent moves IMHO will be:

     

    1.       Target David Savard (6’1” 234lbs RD) via trade:

     

    On a reasonably contract for another 2yrs and in line with our recent Dman signings.

     

    Scouting Report:

     

    A prototypical defensive defenseman, he is reliable in a shutdown role but will not contribute much offense. Moves the puck well and is a rugged, fearless shot blocker who will get in front of anything. He was never fast and figures to lose a little bit of speed now that he is on the far side of 30, but remains capable of playing 20-plus minutes per game.

     

    • He fills that complementary role alongside an elite puckmoving defenseman like Hughes at a fraction of the cost without a significant drop in productivity. Adds the stated goal of added toughness, 5v5 & special teams defense. The added savings from slightly similar production can be used to balance out the rest of the line number with everyone falling in line.

     

    Trade bait

    Anthony Beauvillier, Jack Rathbone & 2024 4th (Min).

    • MTL acquires a younger puck mover that can develop with their young core along with a serviceable forward that they can flip at the deadline.
    • In addition to the complementary intangibles that Savard adds to the team, Vancouver also clears cap space that is required to activate Tanner off LIR and opens up roster space for a young entry level prospectsCould contain: Text

     

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    2.       Sign a Veteran Versatile Right shot Center/Winger on a 1yr deal

     

    Target: Oskar Sundqvist (Swede) C/RW 6’3” 220

     

    Scouting Report

    The towering Swedish forward has great size and he knows how to use it to play a consistent physical game. Is fearless despite a couple of major injuries during his NHL career, and is more than willing to sacrifice his body in order to win. Is not a gifted offensive player but can produce enough points to be useful in a bottom-six forward role. Can play either wing or center

     

     

    Roster Composition

     

    • Feature key prospects (Hoglander, Podkolzin, Raty) in prominent roles.
    • Roll 4 balance lines. A rugged line that can inject energy and forecheck
    • Line of the future to build chemistry and repetition
    • A rugged line that can inject energy and forecheck
    • Keep Myers (on a contract year)

     

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    Special Teams

     

    Could contain: Page, Text   Penalty kill options at Tail end: Pettersson & Miller. 

     

    Suggested additions:

     

     

    • Cheers 2
  4.  

    Extract from Sportsnet. 

     

    Boudreau said he believes the team is better, due to the speed and skill added on the wings, and offered some hints about how players may be deployed.

    • He likes the idea of rolling out J.T. Miller, Bo Horvat and Elias Pettersson at centre, rather than using Pettersson on the wing, because there are now enough talented wingers to build a top-nine that can score.

    • Boudreau confirmed that elite defenceman Quinn Hughes will switch to the right side from the left, at least for training camp, potentially beside Oliver Ekman-Larsson on a new top pairing.

    • He wants to better manage the workload of star goalie Thatcher Demko, who played in 64 games last season before breaking down in April, but that this will depend on how well backup goalie Spencer Martin plays.

    “I think Petey can play with anybody,” Boudreau said of Pettersson, who moved between lines and positions last season while scoring 28 goals and 56 points under the new coach. “I think he's proved that he can play any type of game. Like, I watched all these games again this summer, and. . . he's a physical player. You know, he hits. When he killed penalties, he was good at it. The offensive stuff takes care of itself. I still think the sky's the limit if he's healthy.”

    Boudreau said by playing Pettersson at centre, even if it’s theoretically on the third line, one of Pettersson, Horvat or Miller is going to get an advantageous matchup.

    “I think it's easy to say that no one's going to be classified as really a third-line player because most of them are going to be on the power play,” he said. “Our third line last year was Tyler Motte, Juho Lammikko and Matthew Highmore. They would kill penalties, but their role (at even strength) was to make sure the other team didn't score. And they did a great job at it. But I think this year's so-called third line is going to be asked to score.

    “There's a lot of rolling parts here. Believe me when I say I've gone over it 5,000 times this summer.”

    Denied an extension by new general manager Patrik Allvin and president Jim Rutherford, Boudreau will be coaching the final season of the two-year deal he signed with Canucks owner Francesco Aquilini in December. 

    After sharp year-end remarks by Rutherford about the Canucks’ “structure” under Boudreau and how poorly the team exited its defensive zone, the coach has only the same defencemen to work with. Allvin landed Mikheyev from the Toronto Maple Leafs and Kuzmenko from the Kontinental Hockey League, but failed in his stated mission to upgrade the defence over the summer.

    “You know what, I think they're really underrated,” Boudreau said of his blue line group. “I've worked in my head and on video a lot on that, and we'll be better (at zone exits). Yeah, we want great exits. Everybody does. At the same time, I'd rather be great defending. I think in the last 57 games we were the third-best defensive team. We might have scrambled a little bit but we protected ourselves off of mistakes and we had good goaltending. And I'm not going to apologize for good goaltending.”

    • Thanks 1
  5. On 8/29/2022 at 9:46 AM, wai_lai416 said:

    Lots of good analysis but I’m not a fan of your ep hoglander mik line. You put ur most offensively gifted forward with a guy with 18 and 32 points and hope one will bounce back and the other have another gear?? While giving all the players with much higher offensive potential to miller and Horvat. 
     

    so mikheyev adds defensive presence. Ep is a good defender himself.. so are we trying to turn this into a shutdown line? If anything mikheyev should play with miller since miller willingness to play defense is questionable at best.. 

     

    if anything I put ep at least podkolzin or kuzmenko before I put him with hoglander or mikheyev. Kuzmenko play making ability should make EP a threat with his ability to finish. 
     

    I also find it unlikely Pearson Dickinson will be your rotating forward on the 4th line. 6mil+ rotating in and out of the press box? Ya I get you guys have a hate on Pearson for whatever reason.. but he’s as productive as mikheyev and make quite a bit less.. so why is he all of a sudden a candidate to rotate into the press box?

    The idea was more predicated on creating a balanced line composition based on:

    • Team defense (not your traditional 1 or 2 offensive line, a checking line & energy line). A top 9 that can score and defend equally.  Best defense is based on possession not a checking line pinned in their zone for entirety of their shift. Each line features at least 2 defensively responsible forwards, player with speed to push play offensively & cover defensively). at least a true playmaker on each line 
    • Pettersson is most dangerous when he is the alpha and has the puck on his stick pushing play on his line. He has the ability to make his line mates better. His defensive awareness along with Mikheyev's fit within that idea of atleast 2 defensively responsible forwards. Hoglander has an extremely underrated offensive skill, playmaking ability, creativity that complements Pettersson nicely. He has the speed to keep up with Mik & Petey. The line is a continuation of Podz - Petey - Hogz line with Podz moving to Millers line to add more balance.
    • Podkolzin & Garland are your 2 defensively responsible forwards on Millers line that are able to get back on D with speed and tenacity. Miller as your alpha on the line and Garland as your second playmaker.
    • Kuzmenko as your true playmaker on Horvat & Boeser's line. He brings an element that we have missed for a while - ability to setup plays from behind the net. Horvat around the crease and Boeser on the wing ready to accept setups.
    • i like Pearson and think he is a good player. He just unfortunately lacks speed. We just have more forward depth now and ability to earn a spot should not be based on salary. I personally think Dickinson (sp) is a better fit if he has a bounce back season.
    • Our defense will be better with right forward deployment that fits within the team defense mantra - retaining possession (less dump & chase), forwards supporting Dmen when without the puck and on breakouts for better zone control & exits. Mobile Defense with puck mover on each D pair. 

     

    • Cheers 1
  6. On 7/28/2022 at 10:42 PM, ButterBean said:

    Here’s to hoping Bo and Boeser can regain that chemistry that has been somewhat lost the last couple years. If that combo does’t work out I’d pair Boeser with Miller, thought they did good work together when Petey was out.

    Boeser will have a breakout year on a line with Horvat & Kuzmenko

    • Cheers 1
  7. On 8/15/2022 at 1:31 AM, 70seven said:

    For me it’s all about developing pairs.  The Canucks can boast some solid forward depth here and it should be a strength against other squads. 
     

    Miller and Boeser

    …proven chemistry. Big year for Brock

    Horvat and Garland

    …Garly pulls Bo into the fire. I like that!

    Petterson and Podkolzin

    …This could be an explosive year for both

    Lazar and Dickinson

    …ideally the shutdown pair

     

    Try to build the best chemistry in camp through different looks, but these are the duos I would start with. The Dickinson add is questionable but with the amount of the cap he’s eating and after the dreadful season, you have to see IF he can return to being a valuable defensive forward that wins heavy puck battles and relieves zone pressure for our D corps.  He can also play any F position which adds in game value. Big IF, but I have a hunch he’ll play. 
     

    My guess is the other four wingers to make the cut are…

    Mikheyev- solid complimentary anywhere 

    Pearson- yes the veteran will play top 9

    Kuzmenko- with Pete and Podzilla!?

    Joshua- truculence and PK
    Lockwood is my 13th F

     

    Hoglander is battling Kuzmenko for a spot… or he will have to show he can win puck battles, play smart, and kill penalties if he is to make this squad. I just don’t think he’ll do it better than Pearson, Dickinson, Joshua, or Lockwood. 

     


     

     

     

     

     

    Similarly also believe in developing pairs with complementary forward. Each line has speed, defensively responsible and playmaking ability with finish. My pairs would be:

     

    1. Horvat and Boeser with Complementary forward Kuzmenko

    • Boeser has the best chemistry with Horvat. His best statistical performance 5v5 was when he was on a line with Baertschi - Horvat.
    • Other that the lotto line (which was more of a factor of Pettersson & J.T performance and Boeser a passenger), He had his best statistical performance 5v5 with Horvat.
    • Horvat provides the bull net drive that created room for Boeser to use his shot and Baertschi added playmaking on the wing. One weakness of the line was Baertschi's weakness on the walls (Board battle/play). 
    • Kuzmenko adds speed, strength on the wall, playmaking on the wing and most importantly ability to setup from behind the net with options to pass to from the crease (Horvat) and above the crease from either the left or right side (Boeser). 
    • Boesers best GF% last season was on a line with Horvat at 56.6%. 

    image.thumb.png.afef5dfcf858187d130748a9686a2a90.png

     

    2. Miller and Garland with complementary forward Podkolzin

    • Miller is most effectivwhen he is driving the bus on a line. Its not surprising that he had his best statistically performance at center last season.  
    • Garland adds playmaking from the wing, ability to setup from behind the net (play that worked a few times with Podkolzin). With Millers tendency at times to give up on plays at times, is made up for the relentless none stop engines of Podkolzin & Garland.
    • Of all the line combinations 5v5 from last season that Miller played on with the best GF% (62.1 & 58.4%) featured some combination of Miller with Garland Or Miller & Podkolzin. Stats below

    image.thumb.png.e8d347f93f3302e1ff65cb1cd2067baa.png

     

    3. Pettersson - Hoglander with complementary forward in Mikheyev. 

    • Mikheyev adds defensive presence and speed to creates space for Hoglanders & Pettersson east-west puck possession game.  
    • Similar to Miller, Pettersson is most effective when he is driving a line and not deferring (Miller & Boeser). In their brief time together, Podkolzin- Pettersson-Hoglander, showed promise. Mikheyev replaces Podkolzin essentially on that line (adding similar qualities in feistiness). 
    • Other than the paring with Horvat & Pearson, Hoglander's best GF% last season was on a pair that featured Pettersson at 59.6%, 59.4%.

     

    image.thumb.png.3801ebe2b921d81f114f1e423a86876b.png

     

     

    4. Lazar - Joshua with complementary rotating forward Lockwood, Pearson & Dickinson

    • Two Centerman - one Right & other left that can also play forward on corresponding sides.
    • an identity line that can be hard on the forecheck, creating energy and turnovers.
    • The success of the Lammiko(sp)-Motte-Highmore line last season was the ability of the line (mostly Motte) to get in on the forecheck with speed. The added need of speeds puts Lockwood & Dickinson in a better position thus unfortunately leaving Pearson as odd man out.
    • Lazar & Joshua have the making of 2 Motte's on the forecheck.
    • Lazars best GF% with Boston was on a line with Nosek at 70.4%. Joshua has better statistical trajectory than Nosek.

     

    image.thumb.png.335cfd35ebf0970e1a7cda2f94be076a.png

     

    image.thumb.png.fe720dbffce56cccde532975115689ce.png

    image.thumb.png.674015d7fedc8ea41e8fec6a00b7a56a.png

     

     

     

    IMHO...other complementary defensive combination and optimization of our roster this season is also outlined in this thread below: 

     

    • Like 1
  8. Great work OP. Was going to do one later in the offseason.

     

    Agree on your analysis of team needs:

     

    1. Defense (Top 4 minute eating Right shot)

    2. Top 9 Wingers (Left wingers/C depth)

    3. 3C match-up with Penalty Killing/Face off % (speed and scoring support)

    4. Overall Team Size/Grit

    5. Cost effective contracts and/or low risk + high reward players

     

    i would add that we need star power from a revenue stand point and bringing excitement back to the market. Example McDavid & Draisaitl in Edmonton, Matthews & Marner in Tor, etc. 

     

    the below offseason moves would instantly give use a balanced, electrifying dominate payoff team that has a bit of everything. Team has number 1 center, Dman, Goaltender and supporting cast.

     

    Trades:

    1. J.T Miller to Rangers/ Filip Chytil(C/LW) & Kaapo Kakko (RFA Rights) & Braden Schneider (RD) to Vancouver

    •     resign Kakko Kaapo to a bridge contract (3yr $3million per contract)
    •     move allows us to get young, add potential future top 4minute RD, size, cost effective contract and low risk + high reward players & grit

    2. Brock Boeser (RFA Rights) to Islanders/ Oliver Wahlstrom (C/RW) & Aatu Raty to Vancouver

    • replace Boeser shot with Wahlstrom with better speed. 

    3. Tanner Pearson & Tucker Poolman & Pick (3rd) to Flyers/ Scott Laughton (C/LW) to Vancouver

    • defensive forward that provides scoring support.

    4. Tyler Myers for a later pick (or prospect with size: Kevin Bahl)

    5. Jason Dickinson for later pick or futures

     

    Signings:

    1.  Evgeni Malkin (C/LW)to 2yr $9.5million per

    • star power (Malkin & Pettersson & demko etc), size & skill. Malkin steps out of Crosby's shadow. 

    2. Nick Paul (C/LW) to 2yr @ $2million per

    3. Josh Manson (RD) to 3-4yrs @ $4.5 - $5million per

    • Top 4 minute eating Right shot with size, physicality & grit

    4. Ben Chiarot (LW/RD) to 3yrs @ $4.5million per

    • Top 4 minute eating Right shot. Penalty killing ace.

    5. Third String Goaltender: 

    Resign:

    • Matthew Highmore, William Lockwood, Jack Rathbone, Juho Lammikko (depth)

    Entry level/AHL depth:

    • Linus Karlsson, Arvid Costmar
    ROSTER SIZE SALARY CAP CAP HIT OVERAGES Tooltip BONUSES CAP SPACE
    23 $81,500,000 $78,658,334 $0 $2,087,500 $2,841,666

     

    Roster

    Left Wing Centre Right Wing
    New York Rangers
    Chytil, Filip
    $2,300,000
    C, LW
    RFA - 1
    Malkin, Evgeni
    $9,500,000
    C
    UFA
    New York Islanders
    Wahlstrom, Oliver
    $894,167
    RW, C
    RFA - 1
    Vancouver Canucks
    Garland, Conor
    $4,950,000
    RW, LW
    UFA - 4
    Vancouver Canucks
    Pettersson, Elias
    $7,350,000
    C, LW
    RFA - 2
    Kakko, Kaapo
    $3,000,000
    RW
    RFA
    Vancouver Canucks
    Podkolzin, Vasily
    $925,000
    LW, RW
    RFA - 2
    Vancouver Canucks
    Horvat, Bo
    $5,500,000
    C
    UFA - 1
    Vancouver Canucks
    Höglander, Nils
    $891,667
    LW, RW
    RFA - 1
    Paul, Nicholas
    $2,000,000
    C, LW
    UFA
    Philadelphia Flyers
    Laughton, Scott
    $3,000,000
    C, LW
    UFA - 4
    Vancouver Canucks
    Highmore, Matthew
    $900,000
    LW, RW
    RFA
     
    Vancouver Canucks
    Lockwood, William
    $900,000
    RW
    RFA
     
     
     
     
    Roster created at CapFriendly.com | Follow on Twitter @CapFriendly
    Left Defense Right Defense Goaltender
    Vancouver Canucks
    Hughes, Quinn
    $7,850,000
    LD
    UFA - 5
    Manson, Josh
    $4,500,000
    RD
    UFA
    Vancouver Canucks
    Demko, Thatcher
    $5,000,000
    G
    UFA - 4
    Vancouver Canucks
    Ekman-Larsson, Oliver
    $7,260,000
    LD
    NMC
    UFA - 5
    New York Rangers
    Schneider, Braden
    $925,000
    RD
    RFA - 2
    Vancouver Canucks
    Martin, Spencer
    $762,500
    G
    UFA - 2
    Vancouver Canucks
    Rathbone, Jack
    $1,000,000
    LD
    RFA
    Chiarot, Ben
    $4,500,000
    LD/RD
    UFA
     
    Vancouver Canucks
    Dermott, Travis
    $1,500,000
    LD/RD
    RFA - 1
    Vancouver Canucks
    Schenn, Luke
    $850,000
    RD
    UFA - 1

         

     

    Special Teams (Optional)

    Power Play 1
     
    Malkin, E.
    Pettersson, E.
    Kakko, K.
     
    Hughes, Q.
    Ekman-Larsson, O.
     
    Power Play 2
     
    Wahlstrom, O.
    Horvat, B.
    Podkolzin, V.
     
    Garland, C.
    Rathbone, J.
     
    Penalty Kill 1
     
     
    Laughton, S.
    Paul, N.
     
     
    Chiarot, B.
    Schneider, B.
     
    Penalty Kill 2
     
     
    Horvat, B.
    Pettersson, E.
     
     
    Ekman-Larsson, O.
    Schneider, B.
    • Cheers 1
  9. Just now, King Heffy said:

    The extra benefit is that this gives us three true scoring lines and a shutdown line.

     

    Just now, Kobayashi Maru said:

    Would be worth a try.  It means the other winger needs to be a high skill guy to offset like Hogz:

     

    Hoglander Pettersson Gadjovich

    Garland Miller Boeser

    Pearson Horvat Podkolzin 

    Lockwood Dickinson Chiasson

    Gadjovich adds a dimension that the team has lacked for a while (Tomas Holmstrom type net presence). its not always about loading up skill on one line but balance and sustained pressure from every line that steps on the ice. I would personally like to see 3 top lines and a transitional line:

     

    Top 3 lines:

     

    Gadjovich - Pettersson - Hoglander

    (reminiscent of the Holmstrom - Datsyuk-Zetterberg Detroit line in terms of style).

     

    Podkolzin - Horvat - Boeser

    (Miller with Boeser doesn't work. Bo & Boeser is a better offensive tandem. Podkolzin adds strength on the wall that Pearson would have otherwise provided with the added playmaking skill and size)

     

    Pearson - Miller - Garland

    (2 veterans flanking Miller. Pearson complements the north-south Miller style with Garland adding the feisty skill making. Millers assertiveness will not dominate)

     

    Transitional / Blue collar line

     

    Lockwood(Motte) - Dickinson - Chiasson

     

    Highmore and/or Giuseppe/MacEwen as extra forward(s).

     

    Defense

     

    Olli over Rathbone because of roster defensive/pk left D need. Team has enough puck movers in OEL (LD), Hughes(LD), Myer(RD). Rathbone as first call up playing top line minutes in the A (asset management as doesn't require waiver).

     

    OEL - Poolman

     

    Hughes - Schenn (Hamonic***)

     

    Olli - Myers

     

    Brad Hunt (extra D if Hamonic opts out or teams goes with a 13forward 8 D format)

     

    2 Balanced PP Units;

     

                      Chiasson/Gadjovich(net presence)

     

    Garland(Left wall)                                             Pettersson (Right Wall)

                                    Podkolzin(Bumper)

                                             

                                                 OEL (Point shot)

    ________________________________________________________________________________________________

     

                             Bo Horvat (net presence/bumper position)

     

    Boeser(Left wall)                                                  J.T Miller (Right wall & right side of net)

                                   Hughes (rover/ bumper)

                                                     

                                                    Myers(Point shot)     

     

    PK Units:

     

              Dickinson - Lockwood/Chiasson/Podkolzin/Pearson/Hoglander/Gadjovich

              OEL - Poolman/Myers /Schenn/Hamonic****       

     

              Bo/Miller - Lockwood/Chiasson/Podkolzin/Pearson/Hoglander/Gadjovich

              Olli - Myers/Poolman/Schenn/Hamonic*****                                

     

     

     

     

    • Cheers 2
  10. On 8/3/2021 at 1:56 AM, Timråfan said:

    Very good, it fits nicely with my idea that Petey shouldn’t play with Miller.

    Green needs to spread the goodies so the other coach will scratch his head what to do.

    Absolutely on 5v5. Miller tends to be a line driver with a big influence (stylistically) on whichever line he is one. Petey defers a lot to Miller when aligned together. Stepping away from his biggest strengths - his shot & possession game with give and goes. Petey and Miler are best served each driving heir own line 5v5 (Can be united on PP). Eye test below:

     

     

    • Thanks 1
    • Cheers 2
  11. I know most would like to see the Lotto Line together, an absolutely valid thought. I mean they were as productive of a line as any in the league. However having all on the same line leaves the rest of the roster influx. as productive as they were, as a team, we only controlled play at an abysmal rate of 48.3%. This leads to us relying on goal tending to win games. We were outshot at a rate of 3212 to 3005 on the season.

    The most effective teams in the league controlled play 5-on-5 with CF% north of 51% at least. Key to their success were balance down the middle, productive top 9 forward(some top 12 forward), Aggressive play, mobile 6 D group. 

    Our success lies on these:

    1. A Coaching Philosophy Change

    Adapting a more puck possession aggressive style of play. Attack opponents on entry as oppose to a collapsing style of simply allowing the puck carrier to easily game the zone. Mitigating player fatigue by simply playing key players over 20 mins night after night but adapting a more balanced minute distribution. This allows for a sustained high temp & pressure style. The team was most successful last season when they didn't sit back but simply played a high tempo game regardless of score. An evenly distributed mins of 17 mins each b/w the top 9 forward group with 10 mins for bottom 3 forwards.

     

    2. Strength & Balance Down The Middle

    Last season the top 2 line center featured Pettersson & Horvat with a revolving bottom center group of Gaudette, Beagle & Sutter. A rejigging of the top 3 line as follows:

     

    • Elias Pettersson (17mins)- had the highest Defensive Point Share (DPS) on the team at 2.0. This score for reference allocates a score to each point scored by a player using concept of marginal goals for and against. Comparatively his Offensive Point Share(OPS) on team was an impressive 5.7, second on the team in production. His one area of opportunity was in face off, were he won only 41.8% of his draws (FO%). This could be bolstered by having a stronger face-off man step in on occasions for draws (similar to Kesler/Malhotra stepping in on draws with the Sedins).

     

    • Bo Horvat (17mins) - Took the most draws on the team and ended up with 57.3% FO%, for second on the team. He finished the season with a decent OPS of 3.7 and 0.9 DPS (both above 0 meaning he contributed more on both the offensive & defensive side than he gave up)

     

    • J.T Miller (17mins) - is a play driver that can anchor a line as a center allowing play to flow through him. Statistically he had the best FO% on the team at 59.2% in addition to the highest team OPS at 6.0. Equally his DPS was strong at 1.9

     

    • Jay Beagle (10mins) - Has the best FO% on the team at 59.1% relative to his immediate competition fot the position with Gaudette at 41.2% and Sutter at 48.9%. Yes his OPS is negative at -0.9, conversely his DPS is positive at 0.4

     

    3. 5-on-5 Duo Pair with a complementary 3rd Forward (Interchangeable)

     

    A. Nils Hoglander - Elias Pettersson

    Two highly skilled cerebral forwards that can create and play of each other. A control style of play - East West as oppose to dump & chase. They provide multiple options to gain offensive zone entry when opponents key in on one. Both are equally responsible defensively. Hoglander is highly skilled from behind the net plays (an element we soley lack). Both are not afraid to drive/mix it up from the crease.

    Complementary glue forward with speed, can score around the harsh mark & doesn't need the puck much, preferably a right shot that can drive the net for feeds from behind the net.

    Best Candidate: Adam Gaudette

    multi positional rightshot that can play the middle allowing Pettersson to set up on his off wing(RW) for one timers. Though limited sample size, Petterssons xGF% with Gaudette is an impressive 62.37%. In context his xGF% with J.T Miller is 56.92%, 52.95% with Boeser & 51.79% with Virtanen.

    Alternate Option: Miller double shifts for Gaudette on key draws as he has the teams best FO% and next best xGF% with Petey

     

    B.  Bo Horvat - Brock Boeser

    Strong two way bull center that drives the net thus drawing defenders opening up lane for a sniper forward. Boeser needs space for his shot. Horvat's xGF% without Boeser is at 48.8% and improves to 49.23% with Boeser as a winger. Similarly Boeser's xGF% without Bo is still lower at 49.01%.

    Popular option is Pearson with Horvat which on the surface appears productive as they bolst an xGF% of 51.45%. However upon removal of empty net tallies, that number drops significantly to an abysmal 20.82%. Similarly J.T. Millers xGF% without Bo is at 55.20% but when paired with Bo that number decreases significantly to 38.98%.

     

    Complementary glue forward would be a skilled creative play-making forward. A long term option in Podkolzin,

     

    Best Current Candidate: Sven Baertschi (placeholder. Preconcussion & tentative version) is the next best playmaking forward with chemistry with Bo

     

    C.  J.T Miller – Jake Virtanen

     

    Two powerful forwards that play a north-south style. Both have/had similar challenges earlier on in their careers (Mentor pair). Moving Miller to the middle to anchor a line provides the line a strong 2 way faceoff play driving center. With minutes distributed evenly among the top 9 group and rotation with Gaudette on draws, PP time, Miller still gets ample amount of minutes.

     

    Jake drawing in on the Left wing allows him to use his speed more to drive the net and make plays off the rush. On defence, it allows him to lay the body more. Miller with Virtanen xGF% is 55.28% compare to 52.22%  without Virtanen and 45.35% Jake without Miller,

     

    A glue complementary forward would be one that has a good shot, strong along the walls, north-south player. Preferable a left shot that can swap wings. A chip & chase player works as Virtanen’s speed allows for puck retrieval.

     

    Best Candidate: Tanner Pearson (Placeholder) has the best xgf% adjusted for empty netters at 100% with Virtanen. J.T Miller provides that similar synergy as a Pearson-Toffoli pair.

    Other options: Michael Ferland, Zack MacEwen, Adam Gaudette

     

    D.  Jay Beagle – Tyler Motte

     

    Veteran center with the strongest faceoff ability on team & defensive game, paired with a spark plug energy forward with underrated skill set to chip in goals. They both have a xGF% of 42% compared to a Sutter w Motte xGF% of 37.79%

     

    Revolving third option forward: Antoine Roussel, Jayce Hawryluk, Sutter,

     

    4. Skilled Balanced D Group (puck possession balance style defense)

     

    A.  Alexander Edler – Quinn Hughes

     

    Edler plays the stay home two-way D partner for a more revolver puck carrier in Quinn (similar to Erhoff(sp) pair with Edler). Quin playing his offside gives him the ability to be more creative playmaking D man serving as a 4th forward. Edler plays more physical in a shut down capacity as oppose to when he is the puck carrier.

     

    B. Nate Schmidt – Tyler Myers

     

    A stable play driving responsible two way D man in Schmidt calming/covering for a towering roving Myers. A lot more physical pair than a Hughes-Myer pair & a more mobile unit than an Edler – Myer pair.

     

    C.  Olli Juolevi – Travis Hamonic ($2million 1yr term)

     

    Up and coming young D man with great first pass sheltered by a steady defensive physical partner.

     

    5. Effective/efficient Penalty Kill Duo’s

     

    • Jay Beagle – Tyler Mott unit
    • Bo Horvat – Pearson unit

     

    Penalty Kill 1
     
     
    Beagle, J.
    Motte, T.
     
     
    Edler, A.
    Hamonic, T.
     
    Penalty Kill 2
     
     
    Horvat, B.
    Pearson, T.
     
     
    Schmidt, N.
    Myers, T.

     

    • J.T Miller – Pettersson unit (only deployed at 10secs or less end of a kill similar to how the Sedins were deployed).

     

    6. Two Potent Power Play Units Anchored by a strong QB and movement (not stationary)

     

    A. Pettersson Unit:

    • Nate Schmidt -  a strong point shot/puck carrier
    • Olli Juolevi - A left shot cross ice feeds from the point to the right cycle forward (Pettersson) for 1 timers. A strong below the left cycle wrister.
    • Virtanen/Gaudette rotation – a strong right shot from the left cycle that moves up & down below the goalie paint
    • Hoglander – a skilled bumper forward that can play in front of the net & behind the net. Drawing opposing forwards to him thus opening up the two shots from the cycles along with point shots.
    Power Play 1
     
    Virtanen, J.
    Höglander, N.
    Pettersson, E.
     
    Juolevi, O.
    Schmidt, N.

    B. Hughes Unit:

    • J.T Miller as the right side shot that moves in front of the net
    • Bo Horvat at the bumper spot/net front presence
    • Boeser as your Pettersson shot on the left cycle. Moves back and forth from the left cycle to the point
    • Rotate  Edler, Pearson, Baertshi, Myers

     

    Power Play 2
     
    Boeser, B.
    Horvat, B.
    Miller, J.
     
    Hughes, Q.
    Edler, A.

     

    7. A versatile Taxi Squad

    Loui Eriksson (RW/LW), Brandon Sutter (C,RW), Jayce Hawryluk (C, RW, LW), Tyler Graovac (C,RW,LW), Guillaume Brisebois (LD), Jalen Chatfleld (RD)

    With the above on the taxi squad and the following as extras (Zack MacEwen (C,RW), Jordie Benn (LD,RD), Brogan Rafferty (RD), roster fits under the cap at $80,881,878 assuming Ferland on IR

     

    Roster

    Left Wing Centre Right Wing
    VAN
    Höglander, Nils
    $891,667
    LW
    RFA - 3
    VAN
    Pettersson, Elias
    $925,000
    C
    RFA - 1
    VAN
    Gaudette, Adam
    $950,000
    C
    RFA - 1
    VAN
    Baertschi, Sven
    $3,366,666
    LW
    UFA - 1
    VAN
    Horvat, Bo
    $5,500,000
    C
    UFA - 3
    VAN
    Boeser, Brock
    $5,875,000
    RW
    RFA - 2
    VAN
    Virtanen, Jake
    $2,550,000
    RW
    RFA - 2
    VAN
    Miller, J.T.
    $5,250,000
    LW
    UFA - 3
    VAN
    Pearson, Tanner
    $3,750,000
    LW
    UFA - 1
    VAN
    Motte, Tyler
    $1,225,000
    LW, C
    UFA - 2
    VAN
    Beagle, Jay
    $3,000,000
    C
    M-NTC
    UFA - 2
    VAN
    Roussel, Antoine
    $3,000,000
    LW
    M-NTC
    UFA - 2
     
    VAN
    MacEwen, Zack
    $825,000
    C, RW
    RFA - 2
     
     
     
     
    Left Defense Right Defense Goaltender
    VAN
    Edler, Alexander
    $6,000,000
    LD
    NMC
    UFA - 1
    VAN
    Hughes, Quinn
    $916,667
    LD
    RFA - 1
    VAN
    Demko, Thatcher
    $1,050,000
    G
    RFA - 1
    VAN
    Schmidt, Nate
    $5,950,000
    LD/RD
    M-NTC
    UFA - 5
    VAN
    Myers, Tyler
    $6,000,000
    RD
    M-NTC
    UFA - 4
    VAN
    Holtby, Braden
    $4,300,000
    G
    M-NTC
    UFA - 2
    VAN
    Juolevi, Olli
    $863,333
    LD
    RFA - 1
    Hamonic, Travis
    $2,000,000
    RD
    UFA
     
    VAN
    Benn, Jordie
    $2,000,000
    LD
    UFA - 1
    VAN
    Rafferty, Brogan
    $700,000
    RD
    RFA - 1
     
     
     
     
    Scratches Injured Reserve (IR) Long Term IR (LTIR)
     
     
    VAN
    Ferland, Micheal
    $3,500,000
    LW, RW
    NMC
    UFA - 3
       
     
    Taxi Squad    
    VAN
    Eriksson, Loui
    $6,000,000 ($4,925,000)
    LW, RW
    M-NTC
    UFA - 2
       
    VAN
    Sutter, Brandon
    $4,375,000 ($3,300,000)
    RW, C
    M-NTC
    UFA - 1
       
    VAN
    Hawryluk, Jayce
    $800,000 ($0)
    LW, C
    RFA - 1
       
    VAN
    Graovac, Tyler
    $700,000 ($0)
    C
    UFA - 1
       
    VAN
    Brisebois, Guillaume
    $700,000 ($0)
    Edit
    LD
    RFA - 1
       
    VAN
    Chatfield, Jalen
    $700,000 ($0)
    RD
    RFA - 1
       
     
     

     

     

    • Wat 1
  12. Wilds just before the season pause, were playing more of a balanced line and had good run late. An effective strategy for Vancouver would be to counter each line employing the same balanced line up. My line up would be:

    Zack Parise(Rating:76.3)  – Joel Eriksson Ek(Rating: 71.6) – Luke Kunin(Rating: 72.5)

    Ryan Sutter(Rating:76.3) – Jared Spureon(Rating:76.1)

    VS

    Jake Virtanen(Rating: 72.0)  - Elias Pettersson(Rating: 77.7) – J.T Miller(Rating:78.5)

    Chris Tanev(71.0)  - Tyler Myers(Rating:72.6)

     

     

     

    Marcus Foligno(Rating:71.7) – Alex Galchenyuk(Rating:70.8) – Mats Zuccarello(Rating:71.8)

    Jonas Brodin(Rating:73.7) – Mathew Dumba(Rating:74.5)

    VS

    Michael Ferland(Rating:71.7) – Bo Horvat(Rating:74.8) – Brock Boeser(Rating: 74.1)

    AlexanderEdler(Rating:74.2) – Quinn Hughes(Ratin:75.2)

     

     

     

    Jordan Greenway(Ratin:71.2) – Eric Staal(Rating:74.2) – Kevin Fiala(Rating:78.3)

    Ryan Sutter(Rating:76.3) – Jared Spureon(Rating:76.1)

    VS

    Tyler Motte(Rating:68.8) – Jay Beagle – Brandon Sutter(Rating:70.1)

    AlexanderEdler(Rating:74.2) – Chris Tanev(71.0)

     

     

     

    Ryan Donato(Rating:72.1) – Mikko Koivu(Rating:71.8) – Ryan Hartman(Rating:71.2)

    Brad Hunt(Rating:73.7) – Greg Pateryn(Rating:70.5)

    VS

    Tanner Pearson(Rating:73.7) – Adam Gaudette(Rating:70.2) – Tyler Toffoli(Rating:75.9)

    Jordi Benn  - Troy Stecher(Rating:71.9)

  13. On 6/16/2020 at 3:07 PM, Bure_Pavel said:

    Miller-Petey-Boeser 

    Pearson-Horvat-Toffoli

    Ferland-Gaudette-Virtanen

    Roussel-Beagle-Sutter

     

    Edler - Myers

    Hughes - Tanev

    Benn - Stecher

     

    Markstrom

    Demko

    consensus lineup above. My personal lineup is based on a duo pair with a third revolving pivot(similar to how AV deployed forwards). not traditional first, second line etc. the best lines each night gets bulk of the mins.

     

    FORWARDS (Duo Pairs in bold)

    Ferland(LW) - Petey(C) - Boeser(RW) - match up against opponent 2 or 3rd line

     

    Pearson(LW) - Horvat(C) - Toffoli(RW) - match up against opponent 1st when offence is required as a shutdown unit, otherwise against 2-4

     

    Virtanen(LW) - JT Miller(C) - Gaudette(RW) - against line 2-4

     

    Motte(LW) - Beagle(C) - Sutter(RW) - defensive match up against line 1-2 and line 4 head to head

     

    Extra/Rotating forwards from first to last: Macwen RW(1), Roussel LW(2), Loui LW/RW(3), Baertschi LW(4)

     

    DEFENCE (based on some capable Dmen playing their off wing allowing for a more puck transition pair. each pair with a puck mover and defensive partner)

     

    Edler(LD) - Hughes(RD) (Edler plays well when paired with an elite puck mover.Think Ehroff, Karlsson & OEL on international stage)

    Tanev(LD) - Myers(RD)  (Myers is muchmore effective with a strong 2way positional sound defensive partner.Allows him to roam more)

    Benn(LD) - Stecher(RD) (Benn adds more physicality to the pair than Oscar. Stecher as your 3rd pair puckmover)

  14. 2 hours ago, komodo0921 said:

    So, I've been sitting here on a rainy day off watching a lot of player highlights out of shear boredom. 

    Watching Jake's, I noticed how lopsided his production is from the left side is compared to the right. 

    It's hard not to notice most of his offence comes from the left side.

    I'm wondering if he could benefit from a permanent move to that side; Especially after Podkolzin arrives.

    Couldn’t agree more. Puzzles my mind how he hasn’t been converted to a left winger permanently. Always thought player development was placing players in a position of strength. The glimpse of this year’s breakout Virtanen is the dominate Left-wing WHL Virtanen. With him on the left wing, our organizational left wing depth is slightly bolstered more thus also solving some of the glut on right wing.

    • Cheers 1
    • Upvote 2
  15. 43 minutes ago, Phil_314 said:

    I COULD see Miller being a mentor to Adam and Jake on the 3rd line from time to time, but based on last season it appeared that Ferland and Pete/ Boeser's play style didn't gel, while Miller's cerebral play clicked really well with Pete, and we might need his 59% face-offs to help Pete in match-up line situations. 

    As much as we would like to have J.T. mentor the kids, we might be weakening two lines by putting a square peg with round slots on the first line -- sure the 3rd line would be really good, but would Ferland be able to have the same effect?  I mean just imagining Ferland and Virtanen flying down the wings and terrorizing opposing defenses with their physical forecheck is exciting, as is the continuation of a breakout Lotto Line with an elite face-off presence that may be needed for continued success.  I'm not saying that there's no way that your suggestions would work but until Ferland proves his suitability for the first unit he could work just as well on the 3rd.  We could also groom Adam's face-offs by having him take quite a few as the 3rd line guy (plus he and Jake can also be the dynamic duo on that unit as he's quite creative and Jake can finish his passes off the rush). 

    JT Miller and Pettersson no doubt are great players in their own right, and in a traditional sense, you want your best players playing together on a line. When you actually look at and analyze the lotto line 5on5 play you start to see that true synergy wasn't there. 

     

    Miller controlled the play on ice. Preferring to slow the play down at times. A dump & chase style at times that was ill suited to boeser & pettersson to keep up with. Pettersson at times went away from the puck carrier role weaving his way on the rush. Each player (Pettersson & Miller) actually created a majority of their own scoring chance independent of each other that could have worked with any other linemate.

     

    IMO the Miller - Pettersson - Toffoli  & Miller - Pettersson - Virtanen lines were more effective than the lotto line because the complementary piece on the lines, that worked with Miller on ice play control, was strength on the walls in Toffoli/Virtanen. 

     

    Saying that, we can load up a top line in games (if chasing a lead) in the form of Miller - Pettersson - Toffoli. A healthy Ferland is an excellent complementary to skilled top players (look back to his time playing on the top line in Calgary & in Carolina). I believe he played on a line with Pettersson during preseason. New to the team at the time and still adjusting.

     

    Absolutely the idea of having Ferland & Virtanen banging away is enticing. However the penalty called against would be a lot. Furthermore it takes Virtanen away from playing the left wall, a position that Ferland also would need to play. The idea was based on a scoring top 9 with an energy bottom 3

  16. 23 minutes ago, ruilin96 said:

    This is more wishful thinking. It it is a lot harder to get rid-off the player you list who are under contract. It will likely cost us some prospects or draft picks to the shed some of the cap spaces. Ferland is a big question mark and as much as I wish for him to return to the line up, I just don't know until he actually plays a handful of games without getting any concussion related symptoms. I would not pencil him in on the 1st line. There is no way Miller gets 3rd line minutes with the year he had, him and Pettersson were the most dominant forwards playing on a line together, so there is no way JT doesn't stick on the top line with Petey and Brock. I do like the players you choose to bring back and resign though, I think they are the ones I would want to keep as well.

    no doubt it is working on the premise that Ferland returns to full health (hope the best for him). Brandon Sutter still has NHL value. Giving up a 3rd or later round is quite possible. I believe Tampa gave up a 1st for a few bottom forwards. Roussel can still help a team. Admit Baertschi might be a bit harder. 

     

    Absolutely JT Miller deserves to play on a first line. However the combinations are based on potentially dominate top 9 forward combinations and pairs. Pettersson-Boeser pair, Horvat-Toffoli/Pearson pair, Virtanen-JT Miller pair. Was not looking at the traditional 1st, 2nd - 3rd line sense. 5v5, Special team deployments still allows the top players their 17+ mins a night.

      

    • Cheers 1
  17. 2 hours ago, N7Nucks said:

    Why is Tryamkin getting more money than Virtanen? Guy has done little at the NHL level. Had one full NHL season, that he showed up out of shape for but nobody mentions yet constantly bring it up for Jake. Also Jake was on pace for 20+ goals, 40+ points. But a 3rd pairing guy that was outta the league for the last 3 years deserves more money? Maybe I’m crazy. 

    You are right in a normal sense, Virtanen would be making more. However Defensemen are valued differently that forwards. Tryamkin adds an enticing element of size, physicality & mobility that puts him ahead of Virtanen at this time. Myers has a higher AAV than a lot of NHL forwards that have a higher point production. Additional Virtanen needs that extra motivation to be more. the lure of a bigger payday.

  18. 9 hours ago, Kevin Biestra said:

    I like the forward thinking involved, but I don't think anyone is giving us anything, even a 7th rounder, to take on the Baertschi contract.  We'd be lucky if we only had to give a 7th rounder for someone to take it.

    Some team may take a chance on him given how he has performed in the minors. Given he is a free agent after this season may give him the extra motivation to perform. It is not unusual for a player to exceed expectation in a contract year. Furthermore the risk of him not, limits the risk for a potential suitor to this season only. A swap of a 7th for a lower pick (say Vancouver 6th) may get it done.

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