Hortankin
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Posts posted by Hortankin
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I don't think Goldobin is that great. 27th OA pick.. deffiently should have looked to shop Hansen elsewhere. ID say 3rd liner at best
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35 minutes ago, nuckin_futz said:
What casino in the world will deal practically to the end of an 8 deck shoe? Been to local casinos, Vegas, Atlantic City. Not even Trump's old casinos in Atlantic City were that foolish.
The count I taught myself was fairly basic. 5 cards = -1, 5 cards = +1, with an Ace side count. If someone can't master that on a single deck in 1 hour they should not bother going further.
Yes I do think I can count effectively on a fast paced table with lots of distractions, because I have done it. Seven seat tables full of chatty people, throw in a guy in the anchor seat guessing on most decisions (adding to the aggravation). Sure you're going to lose the count from time to time. It's a very mentally tiring thing to do for prolonged periods. And of course if some blonde with her chest hanging out of her blouse happens by you may become distracted by that as well. That's all part of it. Casinos are supposed to be full of distractions.
The true count is not a true count. It's a supposition. Same as in poker. When counting your outs in poker (cards that will help strengthen your hand) you assume all of those cards are remaining. Even though you have no idea if any of them were folded earlier in the hand. Counting cards with more decks is not "just as easy" as you put it. There are less breaks and it is far more mentally tiring. Not to mention it is not nearly "just as effective". Simply dividing the count to account for decks remaining doesn't cover all the variables multiple decks bring. That's why casinos have all but abandoned 1 and 2 deck games and are happy to use 6-8 decks. The reason for that is to neutralize the advantage of counting. That advantage is not defeated by simple division.
Question: Have you actually tried counting a 6-8 deck shoe in a busy casino full of distractions?
As far as betting strategies go I will pass. My betting strats are employed in foreign exchange and futures markets. My business is never refused and there is no chance of getting beaten up by security.
cheers
No I haven't but I have practiced with noisey blackjack table noise while my Friend deals out hands for me and a few buddies to play. They can't seem to get the grasp of counting, but me winning every single time suggests to me that counting a 6-8 deck really does work, even early into the shoe. We play if 8 decks and cut about halfway. My method with a deck that high is to wait for a +20 count before betting aggressively. After the deck gets smaller that # will decrease a bit. However in a real setting I'd need people to count the cards and signal me over and bet progressively (a very common blackjack betting stratedgy). I can't bet table minimum and the all of a sudden go progressive when the deck is hot or I'll be kicked out pretty quickly.
If you get distracted and lose count you have not mastered it. Take 3 decks shuffle them together, count out 52 cards and try and count them in under 30 seconds while having a conversation with someone. Then you can say you mastered it when you can consistently do that.
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When I watch the CFL it's only when the Lions are in the playoffs..
But I can't get into it, American football is much better imo.
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11 minutes ago, nuckin_futz said:
Card counting is really not all that difficult. Years ago I taught myself how to do it in fifteen minutes and had it mastered within an hour. It's really only effective in 1 or 2 deck games where they deal very deep into the shoe. These days most games deal from a 6 deck shoe and cut off between 1.5-2 decks. Rendering it fairly useless. Good luck finding a casino that will deal a single deck or even a 2 deck game that isn't totally on the look out for counters.
Fairly easy to spot a counter with the very predictable bet jumping. About 6 years a go a buddy of mine was in Vegas and counting at The Wynn. He took them for about 4k and while cashing out, security approached him and congratulated him on his winnings and told him to never come back. They were pissed enough to ban him after losing a measly $4,000. So good luck thinking you're going to take them for any serious amount of cash.
No comment on the cryptos. Others here can offer better advice than I can.
The true count is the best way to beat the 8 deck game, some casinos let you cutoff the deck and the best way to do it is towards the bottom of the deck so the deck can get hot.
You may be able to cards count but highly doubt you mastered it in 1 hour. Think you can count at a fast paced table with noise and distractions while also remembering the count? Dealers also purposely say a bunch of numbers to try and make counters forget the count.
A true count is a mathematical equation to tell you what the count would be if there was only 1 deck left. If the count in a 1 deck game is +2 the true count is +2.
In order to have a true count of +2 in an 8 deck game the count will have to be +16. (+16÷8 decks=+2). Now by the time the 8 decks hit +16 there will likely be let's say 7 decks remaining, so let's say the count is a +21 with 7 decks remaining.. the true count would then be +3
They made it harder with more decks but if you understand it counting cards with more decks is just as easy and surprisingly just as effective.
As to betting strategies if your interested in more inbox me.. who knows we could hit the casino together someday
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19 minutes ago, nuckin_futz said:
No thoughts on Canopy. Twitter is an interesting platform but an absolute disaster of a company. You're not going to fulfill your goals in IRBT.
If you're looking to gamble and try to hit a home run then your best bet (of your choices) are penny stocks or some crappy little crypto. Then hope for a miracle.
You might be better off in Vegas if excitement and a possible windfall is what you're looking for.
Either way I wish you good luck in the markets.
I've been really into card counting lately, trying to get a team going for in about 5 years when I come up with enough money to go hard at it.. it's crazy how good card counting works. Only thing that makes it difficult is forming a good enough team to keep the heat off of your betting..
The way bitcoin took off give me high hopes in the cryptocurrency and I think Etherum has that same potential and is only at a little over $200 right now. EOS from what I've read is only $1.21 and is apparently a better version of etherum.. kind of want to buy atleast 5 coins in each (even the really unknown ones) and hope for a few to really take off when it becomes mainstream
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31 minutes ago, nuckin_futz said:
I'll assume you mean dividend as I have no idea what a "divident" is.
The current dividend yield on the S&P (the blue chips you speak of) is 1.91%. Let's say you consider $25,000 a year a comfortable amount to make off dividends. You'd need to invest $1,300,000 in the S&P to generate that yearly.
That is crazy haha.. I'm working with under $1000.. I'm debating between penny stocks and cryptocurrency now that you cleared that up for me lol..
Couple stocks I've been looking at are Canopy Growth, IRobot (not even close to a penny stock), and Twitter.
Cryptocurrencies I've been looking into is bitcoin (seems too high right now), etherum, and eos.
Any thoughts on these choices?
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How much $ would I have to invest to make a comfortable amount of $ off of dividents?
I'm really new to the investing game and trying to learn as much as I can before I start.
I like the idea of penny stocks because I'm really not working with much money and I think hitting on a penny stock is worth a gamble. I know penny stocks are a risky buisness from what I hear but I also feel like there's not enough potential in blue chip stocks to double or triple my investment. So that's why I thought I'd ask for some opinions on the dividents these stocks pay out.
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25 minutes ago, J.R. said:
Gagner?
He or Boeser will be the right shot on the PP with the twins imo.
We have a lot of options that'll allow for different looks. Nothing wrong with that at all
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14 minutes ago, numb3r 16 said:
1st pp should be whichever sedin, Boeser, gagner, Baer, stecher 2nd unit should be other sedin, granny, horvat, edler, hutton
1st PP...
Baertschi Horvat Boeser
Hutton Stecher
2nd PP...
Sedin Sedin Goldobin
Juolevi Eriksson/Granlund
1st PK...
Sutter Eriksson
Edler Gudbranson
2nd PK
Horvat Granlund
Juolevi Tanev
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5 minutes ago, Where'd Luongo? said:
I just think that purposely injuring other players is wrong, not to mention highly illegal.
There now I "literally" stalked you.
Stalking people is weird, wrong, and highly illegal.. don't be a hippacrit
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4 minutes ago, Where'd Luongo? said:
All I did was show you a few players that would stand up for McDavid. Trying to injure players is a sure way to make the entire league including refs to hate you.
For days now every time I post you have something to say. You are literally stalking me and it's weird.. I kind of feel violated
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Just now, Where'd Luongo? said:
Learn english.
Learn maturity
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Just now, Where'd Luongo? said:
Maroon, Lucic, Nurse, Kassian.
Do you seriously stock my profile and wait for me to comment.
Your really creeping me out. Stop it. Obsessive behaviour is a scary thing to have. I think you need to talk to someone.
And none of them will do squat. Gudbranson and Virtanen would have them scared to touch the puck
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12 minutes ago, teepain said:
If virtanen makes it "cross fingers" they will be cutting someone else . As of now they have too many bodys at forward chaput , megna , gaunce , burmistrov, dorsett , boeser, goldobin and forgot who else . Some good competition to make the big club
If Virtanen makes it I'm going to feel bad for Pettersson for a while
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10 hours ago, Salmonberries said:
921 now. I'd like to see it merged with the Jake Virtanen Talk thread over in the Canucks NHL roster discussion which is doing gangbusters itself. This kid would have a chance to shatter forum records!
He will set a record for causing most injuries in playoff history.
Virtanen hits McDavid and all of a sudden the Oilers are screwed. Just for good measures he'd hit Draisitl to.
Funny thing is is Lucic won't do squat because Gudbranson will mess him up
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What are some other cryptocurrency under $5 a coin I should be looking at? I'm looking for that next bitcoin and I'm willing to sink a good chunk into a few I'm hopes of banking 1000% in 5-10 years. The more I read into this the more I want to invest.
I don't want to put it into bitcoin right now because I think it's going to fall quite a bit but don't you have to buy bit coin to buy into the other cryptocurrency?
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35 minutes ago, Chip Kelly said:
I like your optimism but that is a little rich for me quite honestly.
I don't like the Eagles corners at all and in a division stacked with great wide receivers that is very concerning.
Who knows how good Rasul Douglas will be and how much he plays, Jalen Mills too, and then you have Patrick Robinson a 30 year old former first round bust just trying to keep his career going with his third team in like 5 years.
Sidney Jones might be redshirted the whole year. They need a surprise guy like Aaron Grymes or Myles White to come in from the CFL and be solid at CB to have a chance at that record.
Wentz also has to be much improved this year and show progress or else nothing else will matter.
Eagles would have to be incredibly lucky to stay healthy to have that record or another team run into injury and suspensions like the Cowboys and Redskins for that to happen.
Then again Ezekiel Elliot could miss the first 4 games of the season... which could affect the balance of power early on.
Can't catch if the QB can't throw it lol.
Honestly if Sidney Jones does start playing this year we may become super bowl favorites by the time the playoffs get here. I'm super excited for this football season.
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On 25/05/2017 at 4:40 AM, Chip Kelly said:
I think it will be the most competitive division in the league next to NFC South. I could see a scenario where it goes something like this...
Giants 11-5 division winners elite d. Added more weapons for Eli.
Eagles 10-6 wild card improved offence biggest question marks at both cornerback spots
Cowboys 9-7 questions about secondary and d line slight sophomore slump for Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliot now that teams have a years worth of film still elite offence but worse d than last year.
Redskins 8-8 Offence takes step back without Desean and Garcon.
D stays solid but not the greatest.
I think the Eagles are being over looked but maybe that's just my bias kicking in. We have a top 5 Oline and D line and we seen what both could do last year.
Wentz killed it last year with Johnson in the lineup until he got suspended, if we have him all year and Wentz has that time with Jeffrey, Ertz, Smith, and and improved agholor than he is going to turn heads.
Our D line was solid under shwartz last year, just imagine how good we are going to be with the additions of Jernigan and Barnett.. I don't think the Giants have the Oline to counter that.
Call me crazy but this is how I see it shaking up...
Eagles 13-3
Giants 10-6
Cowboy 10-6
Redskins 6-10
We go 5-1 against the division
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As much as I hate the fact of LBJ being a Laker it seems like a possibility and we may just win the 2018-2019 finals if he does.
Ball
George
Ingram
James
Lopez
Clarkson
Kuzma
Nance Jr
Randle
Zubac
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12 minutes ago, GLASSJAW said:
not that i'm aware of, no. quickbt.com allows small purchases (under 150) and you can use interac. the website is secure. but i don't know how to avoid using a CC or bank info
I might try it out.. do you think I should wait and hop it drops a bit before buying it? Seems to be at its highest point now so if my thinking is right I should hold off, but I don't really know much haha.. I'm looking to buy a bunch of it in hopes I can turn it into a huge profit.. Probably not as easy as I think it is lol
Trying to get out of the middle class and the idea of multiplying my money sounds great but its scary how much you can lose if you don't do it right
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1 hour ago, GLASSJAW said:
buy bitcoin
transfer that bitcoin to a marketplace that has EOS (www.bittrex.com should have it)
trade bitcoin for EOS
if this sounds like a foreign language to you, you have to google it, youtube it, or pay me to do it for you
Do you know a website you can buy bit coins with PayPal? I really don't like using credit cards on the Internet lol
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Idk much about this other than I hear people make a lot of money off of this. I checked into it a bit and realized a year ago a bit coin was worth around $600 but is now worth over $2100.. TO me that looks like if I threw $10k into bit coin a year ago I'd have $35k now.
Am I understanding it right? And with it so high now should I wait until it hopefully drops to that $600 range again before I invest anything into it?
And finally how do I purchase bitcoin? I watched a couple YouTube videos but I didnt quite understand what they were talking about.
EOS cryptocurrency is one I'd really like info on. It's only $2.02 CAD per coin but I have no idea how to purchase it. If I put $100 on that and it jumped up to $2000 in 7-10 years that'd be awsome.. if not it's only $100
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3 hours ago, iinatcc said:
As tradeable as Vrbata's final year with Vancouver with a $5 Million cap hit?
Vrbata was a sooky bum.. no comparison
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On 01/07/2016 at 1:03 PM, apollo said:
Six years... Oh well I bet JB had no choice. I'll trust his judgement on this
LUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUU!
Can't go wrong with a swede. Here's to 6 30 goal seasons for Loui =)
I think from this point on he hits 30 twice and atleast 20 in each of the other 3 years.
I'd actually like to try him with Horvat and Boeser on the top line.
Eriksson Horvat Boeser
Sedin Sedin Goldobin
Baertschi Sutter Granlund
Virtanen Gagner Molino
Brock Boeser | #6 | RW
in Current Roster
Posted
Last year was luck IMO.. if he starts in the NHL (and that's a BIG if) he probably won't hit 20. Hopefully he proves me wrong but i doubt it as a huge % of prospects never acheive their potential
that's my CDC politically correct answer.. need to fit in around here.. being to positive is trolling.. who knew?